HARLEY-DAVIDSON INC (HOG) Stock Technical Analysis
NYSE:HOG - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US4128221086 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a technical rating of 1 out of 10 to HOG. HOG scores bad on all fronts: it is a bad performer in the overall market and both the medium and short term pictures are negative.
The long term trend is still negative, but the short term trend is neutral. It is advised to wait a little bit longer to see how this turns out.
86% of all other stocks performed better in the past year than HOG.
HOG is one of the lesser performing stocks in the Automobiles industry. 61% of 37 stocks in the same industry do better.
HOG is currently trading in the lower part of its 52 week range, which is not a good signal. Certainly not because the S&P500 Index is trading near new highs.
HOG has an average volume of 1684940 traded shares per day. This is a good sign as it is always nice to have a liquid stock.
In the last month HOG has a been trading in the 22.89 - 25.78 range, which is quite wide. It is currently trading in the middle of this range, so some resistance may be found above.
Considerably lower volume is observed in the last couple of days.
Although the technical rating is bad, HOG does present a nice setup opportunity. We see reduced volatility while prices have been consolidating in the most recent period. There is a support zone below the current price at 23.85, a Stop Loss order could be placed below this zone.
More info and screens
23.43
32.63
We found 1 important support area.
- A support zone ranging from 23.67 to 23.85. This zone is formed by a combination of multiple trend lines in multiple time frames.
When analyzing the resistance we notice 4 important areas.
- A resistance zone ranging from 24.19 to 24.39. This zone is formed by a combination of multiple trend lines and important moving averages in multiple time frames.
- A resistance zone ranging from 24.80 to 25.53. This zone is formed by a combination of multiple trend lines and important moving averages in multiple time frames.
- A resistance zone ranging from 25.94 to 25.96. This zone is formed by a combination of multiple trend lines in the daily time frame.
- Resistance @32.31 from a trend line in the weekly time frame.
The Technical Rating and Setup analysis above combine different indicators and trends in different timeframes. Individual signals from indicators may give more contradictive signals and should always be interpreted in the more global context.
| Indicator | Value | Signal | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|
| ChartMill Long Term Trend Indicator | DOWN | NEGATIVE | The long term trend for HOG is down. |
| ChartMill Short Term Trend Indicator | NEUTRAL | NEUTRAL | The short term trend for HOG is neutral. |
| ChartMill Relative Strength | 14.3 | NEGATIVE | HOG has a low relative strength, it was outperformed by 85.7% off all stocks on the market. |
| Simple Moving Average/SMA (20) | DOWN | NEGATIVE | The current price of HOG is below a declining SMA(20). |
| Simple Moving Average/SMA (50) | UP | MIXED | The current price of HOG is below the rising SMA(50). |
| Simple Moving Average/SMA (200) | DOWN | NEGATIVE | The current price of HOG is below a declining SMA(200). |
| Relative Strength Index/RSI (14) | 46.27 | NEUTRAL | The RSI value for HOG is a neutral value. |
| Moving Average Convergence Divergence/MACD (12, 26, 9) | 0 | POSITIVE | The MACD value suggests HOG has a positive trend, although the MACD value is declining. |
| Stochastics (14,3) | 52.47 | NEUTRAL | The Stochastics value for HOG is a neutral value. |
| Average True Range in percent/ATR (20) | 3.1 | MEDIUM VOLATILITY | The ATR as a percentage value for HOG suggests some volalility. |
| Average Directional Index/ADX (14) | 11.08 | NEGATIVE | The low ADX value for HOG suggests a weak or negative trend. |
Daily CandleStick Patterns
Bullish Engulfing (D)
Bullish Hammer (D)
Bearish Inverted Hammer (D)
Hanging Man (D)
Bullish Harami (D)
Doji (D)
Gravestone Doji (D)
DragonFly Doji (D)
Bearish Engulfing (D)
Bearish Shooting Star (D)
Bearish Harami (D)
Inside Bar (D)
Red Dog Reversal Down (D)
Red Dog Reversal Up (D)
Dark Cloud Cover (D)
Weekly CandleStick Patterns
Bullish Engulfing (W)
Bullish Hammer (W)
Bearish Inverted Hammer (W)
Hanging Man (W)
Bullish Harami (W)
Doji (W)
Gravestone Doji (W)
DragonFly Doji (W)
Bearish Engulfing (W)
Bearish Shooting Star (W)
Bearish Harami (W)
Inside Bar (W)
Dark Cloud Cover (W)
Daily Chart Patterns
Bull Flag
Bear Flag
Ascending Triangle (D)
Descending Triangle (D)
Symmetrical Triangle (D)
Squeeze
Channel (D)
Channel Up (D)
Channel Down (D)
Rising Wedge (D)
Falling Wedge (D)
Double Bottom (D)
Multiple Bottom (D)
Double Top (D)
Multiple Top (D)
Weekly Chart Patterns
Weekly Bull Flag
Weekly Bear Flag
Squeeze Week
Channel (W)
Double Bottom (W)
Multiple Bottom (W)
Double Top (W)
Multiple Top (W)
24
-0.63 (-2.56%)
Chartmill TA Rating
Chartmill Setup Rating
Sector
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Performance
% Chg-2.56%
1 Week-2.52%
2 Weeks1.69%
1 Month-0.83%
3 Month6.62%
6 Month-17.36%
12 Month-30.68%
2 Year-37.84%
3 Year-36.52%
5 Year-7.8%
10 Year-58.83%
15 Year-11.86%
Volatility
ATR(14)0.79
ATR(20)%3.1%
ATR Inc-10.9%
Range Today0.92
ADR(20)0.71
ADR(20)%2.95%
Trend & SMA
ST Trend
LT Trend
SMA(5)
SMA(10)
SMA(20)
SMA(50)
SMA(100)
SMA(200)
Relative Strength & Ranges
CRS14.3
Mansfield-2.43
10 Day High25.78
10 Day Low23.42
20 Day High25.78
20 Day Low22.89
52 Week High39.93
52 Week Low20.45
CS1 End23.85
CR1 Start24.19
Volume & EV
DER(3)1.89%
DER(5)2.96%
Volume1.24M
Volume Incr-34.99%
Vol(5)1.02M
Vol(50)1.68M