HARLEY-DAVIDSON INC (HOG)       45.12  -0.05 (-0.11%)

45.12  -0.05 (-0.11%)

US4128221086 - Common Stock - After market: 45.12 0 (0%)

Technical Rating

7

We assign a technical rating of 7 out of 10 to HOG. Both in the recent history as in the last year, HOG has proven to be a steady performer, scoring decent points in every aspect analyzed.



The long and short term trends are both positive. This is looking good!
When comparing the yearly performance of all stocks, we notice that HOG is one of the better performing stocks in the market, outperforming 87% of all stocks.
HOG is part of the Automobiles industry. There are 35 other stocks in this industry. HOG outperforms 94% of them.
HOG is currently trading in the upper part of its 52 week range. The market is still in the middle of its 52 week range, so HOG slightly outperforms the market at the moment.
In the last month HOG has a been trading in the 40.37 - 45.90 range, which is quite wide. It is currently trading near the high of this range.
HOG has an average volume of 1248700 traded shares per day. This is a good sign as it is always nice to have a liquid stock.

Statistics

1 Month 3 Months 6 Months 12 Months 10.05% -0.51% 21.06% 26.21% SMA(20) SMA(50) SMA(100) SMA(200) RS 52 Wk Range ST Trend LT Trend 87.17 29.8 - 48.72
HOG Weekly chart
HOG Daily chart

Support/Resistance Analysis


39.39

50.21
We found 4 important support areas.
  • A support zone ranging from 43.80 to 44.69. This zone is formed by a combination of multiple trend lines and important moving averages in multiple time frames.
  • Support @42.68 from a trend line in the daily time frame.
  • Support @41.41 from a horizontal line in the weekly time frame.
  • A support zone ranging from 39.79 to 40.28. This zone is formed by a combination of multiple trend lines in multiple time frames.
When analyzing the resistance we notice 3 important areas.
  • Resistance @45.18 from a trend line in the daily time frame.
  • A resistance zone ranging from 48.25 to 48.25. This zone is formed by a combination of multiple trend lines in multiple time frames.
  • Resistance @49.71 from a horizontal line in the weekly time frame.

Setup Analysis

Setup Rating

8

HOG has an excellent technical rating and also presents a decent setup pattern. Prices have been consolidating lately. There is a support zone below the current price at 44.69, a Stop Loss order could be placed below this zone. We notice that large players showed an interest for HOG in the last couple of days, which is a good sign. Another positive sign is the recent Pocket Pivot signal.

  • Behavior of large players is measured by the Effective Volume indicator. This indicator inspects the 1 minute timeframe looking for high volume transactions.
  • A Pocket Pivot is a price/volume accumulation pattern. A Pocket Pivot occurs when price moves up with volume higher than the maximum down volume registered in the previous 10 days.

Possible Trading Setup

The following trade can be suggested based on the decent technical rating and setup score.


ENTRYEXITDISTANCECAPITAL
45.1943.791.40 (3.10%)25.00%
An entry @45.19. This is a Buy Stop order right above the resistance zone.An exit @43.79. This is a Stop Loss order right below the support zone.The worst case loss on the trade is limited to 1.40 points, which is 3.10%.When investing 25.00% of your capital in this trade, your total portfolio risk will be 0.77%.

  • The distance between exit and entry is rather small compared to the average daily movement of HOG. Please evaluate whether better entry and exit points can be found.
  • The generated setup is based on the nearest support and resistance areas. If you are looking for a more long term trade, probably a wider stop is advisable.
  • This trade setup was generated fully automatically and should not be interpreted as trading advice. Always check the related news for upcoming earnings or other events. Make your own analysis and trade at your own responsibility.
HOG Daily chart

HARLEY-DAVIDSON INC45.12

NYSE:HOG (1/30/2023, 7:04:00 PM)-0.05 (-0.11%)

After market: 45.12 0 (0%)

Chartmill TA Rating
Chartmill Setup Rating
Sector
GICS Sector Consumer Discretionary
GICS Industry Automobiles

Performance
Today -0.11% 1 Week 1.67%
2 Weeks -0.84% 1 Month 10.05%
3 Month -0.51% 6 Month 21.06%

Volatility
ATR(14) 1.2 ATR(20)% 2.75%
ATR Inc 8.64% Range Today 1.1

Trend & SMA
ST Trend LT Trend
SMA(5) SMA(10)
SMA(20) SMA(50)
SMA(100) SMA(200)

Relative Strength & Ranges
CRS 87.17 Mansfield 1.49
10 Day High 45.9 10 Day Low 42.27
20 Day High 45.9 20 Day Low 40.37
52 Week High 48.72 52 Week Low 29.8
CS1 End 44.69 CR1 Start 45.18

Volume & EV
DER(3) 3.73% DER(5) 3.2%
Volume 1.52M Volume Incr -1.27%
Vol(5) 1.23M Vol(50) 1.25M

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