HARLEY-DAVIDSON INC (HOG)       37.58  +0.46 (+1.24%)

37.58  +0.46 (+1.24%)

US4128221086 - Common Stock


Fundamental Rating

4

Overall HOG gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated HOG against 33 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. While HOG is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are some concerns on its financial health. HOG is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.




Profitability

Profitability Rating

6

HOG has a Return On Assets of 5.14%. This is amongst the best returns in the industry. The industry average is -15.46%. HOG outperforms 83% of its industry peers.
HOG has a Profit Margin of 11.65%. This is amongst the best returns in the industry. The industry average is -4.22%. HOG outperforms 88% of its industry peers.

HOG's Return On Equity of 23.64% is in line with the rest of the industry. The industry average Return On Equity is 23.64%.
The Piotroski-F score of HOG is 6.00. This is a neutral score and indicates average health and profitability for HOG.
VS Industry

ROA (5.14%) VS Industry: 83% outperformed.

-304.36
16.16

ROE (23.64%) VS Industry: 50% outperformed.

5.66
40.17

Profit Margin (11.65%) VS Industry: 88% outperformed.

-610,674.36
11,001.72

Valuation

Valuation Rating

4

With a Price/Earnings Ratio of 9.17, the valuation of HOG can be described as very reasonable.
With a Forward Price/Earnings Ratio of 7.85, the valuation of HOG can be described as cheap.
The PEG Ratio, which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
When comparing the current price to the book value of HOG, we can conclude it is valued correctly. It is trading at 2.08 times its book value.

When comparing the price book ratio of HOG to the average industry price book ratio of 1.88, HOG is valued in line with its industry peers.
HOG's Price/Earning Ratio is slightly more expensive than the industry average, which is at 8.98.
When comparing the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of HOG to the average industry ratio of 7.03, HOG is valued more expensive than its industry peers. 85% of the companies listed in the same industry are valued cheaper.
VS Industry

Price/Earnings (9.17) VS Industry: 40% outperformed.

86.79
2.82

Price/Book (2.08) VS Industry: 41% outperformed.

100.63
0.39

Enterprise Value/ EBITDA (11.2) VS Industry: 15% outperformed.

59.37
0.64

Growth

Growth Rating

5

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 29.75% over the past year.
The EPS growth is accelerating: in the next 5 years the growth will be better than in the last years.
HOG shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 10.33%.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last 5 years to the growth rate of the upcoming 5 years, we see that the growth is accelerating.

The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 1.91% on average over the past 5 years.
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.11% on average over the next 5 years.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -2.31% on average over the past 5 years.
Based on estimates for the next 5 years, HOG will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.61% on average per year.

PastFuture
5Y3Y1Y1Y2Y3Y5Y
EPS1.91% 7.62% 29.75% 8.86% 6.79% 6.74% 6.11%
Revenue-2.31% -2.27% 10.33% 10.67% 8.36% 4.04% 2.61%

Health

Health Rating

2

A Current Ratio of 1.44 indicates that HOG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
A Quick Ratio of 1.25 indicates that HOG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Piotroski-F score of HOG is 6.00. This is a neutral score and indicates average health and profitability for HOG.
Compared to an average industry Current Ratio of 2.09, HOG is worse placed to pay its short term obligations than its industry peers.

Compared to an average industry Quick Ratio of 1.78, HOG is worse placed to pay its short term obligations than its industry peers.
HOG has one of the worst Debt to Equity ratios in its industry. 100% of its industry peers require less debt for financing their operations.
HOG has an Altman-Z score of 1.43. This is a bad value and indicates that HOG is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
When comparing the Altman-Z score of HOG to the average industry Altman-Z score of 1.72, HOG is less financially healthy than its industry peers.
VS Industry

Debt/Equity (1.97) VS Industry: 0% outperformed.

1.97
0.00

Quick Ratio (1.25) VS Industry: 38% outperformed.

0.35
34.04

Current Ratio (1.44) VS Industry: 29% outperformed.

0.39
35.03

Altman-Z (1.43) VS Industry: 33% outperformed.

-11.06
37.76

Dividend

Dividend Rating

4

14.99% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HOG. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
HOG has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
HOG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.55%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.

HOG's Dividend Yield is slightly below the industry average, which is at 2.29.
HOG's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 2.48.
The dividend of HOG decreases each year by -25.99%.
VS Industry

Dividend Yield (1.55%) VS Industry: 25% outperformed.

0.69
7.76
HOG Daily chart

HARLEY-DAVIDSON INC37.58

NYSE:HOG (9/27/2022, 8:50:09 AM)+0.46 (+1.24%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS Sector Consumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroup Automobiles & Components
GICS Industry Automobiles
Earnings (Last) 07-28 2022-07-28/bmo Earnings (Next) 10-25 2022-10-25
Ins Owners 0.46% Inst Owners 87.97%
Market Cap 5.49B Analysts 72
Valuation
PE 9.17 Fwd PE 7.85
PEG (NY) 1.03 PEG (5Y) 4.79
P/S 1.03 P/B 2.08
EV/EBITDA 11.2
Dividend
Dividend Yield 1.55% Dividend Growth -25.99%
DP 14.99% Ex-Date 09-09 2022-09-09 (0.1575)
Growth
EPS 1Y 29.75% EPS 3Y 7.62%
EPS 5Y 1.91% EPS growth Q2Q 9.77%
EPS Next Y 8.86% EPS Next 2Y 6.79%
EPS Next 3Y 6.74% EPS Next 5Y 6.11%
Revenue growth 1Y 10.33% Revenue growth 3Y -2.27%
Revenue growth 5Y -2.31% Revenue growth Q2Q -4.11%
Revenue Next Year 10.67% Revenue Next 2Y 8.36%
Revenue Next 3Y 4.04% Revenue Next 5Y 2.61%
Health
Current Ratio 1.44 Quick Ratio 1.25
Altman-Z 1.43 F-Score 6
Debt/Equity 1.97
Profitability
ROA 5.14% ROE 23.64%
ROIC 6.69% ROICg 6.65%
PM 11.65 OM 14.33
Asset Turnover 0.44

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