US4128221086 - Common Stock

Overall **HOG** gets a fundamental rating of **6** out of 10. We evaluated **HOG** against 40 industry peers in the **Automobiles** industry. While **HOG** has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on **HOG**. With these ratings, **HOG** could be worth investigating further for value investing!.

In the past year **HOG** was profitable.

In the past 5 years **HOG** has always been profitable.

Of the past 5 years **HOG** 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.

Looking at the **Return On Invested Capital**, with a value of **6.05%**, **HOG** belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming **87.18%** of the companies in the same industry.

Measured over the past 3 years, the **Average Return On Invested Capital** for **HOG** is in line with the industry average of **8.30%**.

Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
---|---|---|---|

ROA | 5.8% | ||

ROE | 21.83% | ||

ROIC | 6.05% |

ROA(3y)6.05%

ROA(5y)4.44%

ROE(3y)24.24%

ROE(5y)19.25%

ROIC(3y)7.52%

ROIC(5y)5.94%

With an excellent **Profit Margin** value of **12.19%**, **HOG** belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming **94.87%** of the companies in the same industry.

Looking at the **Operating Margin**, with a value of **13.56%**, **HOG** belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming **97.44%** of the companies in the same industry.

In the last couple of years the **Operating Margin** of **HOG** has remained more or less at the same level.

Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
---|---|---|---|

OM | 13.56% | ||

PM (TTM) | 12.19% | ||

GM | 37.83% |

OM growth 3Y57.06%

OM growth 5Y-1.11%

PM growth 3Y622.77%

PM growth 5Y5.42%

GM growth 3Y-3.13%

GM growth 5Y-4.13%

Compared to 5 years ago, **HOG** has less shares outstanding

Compared to 1 year ago, **HOG** has an improved debt to assets ratio.

Based on the Altman-Z score of **1.64**, we must say that **HOG** is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.

With a decent **Altman-Z score** value of **1.64**, **HOG** is doing good in the industry, outperforming **71.79%** of the companies in the same industry.

The Debt to FCF ratio of **HOG** is **15.39**, which is on the high side as it means it would take **HOG**, **15.39** years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.

Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
---|---|---|---|

Debt/Equity | 2.02 | ||

Debt/FCF | 15.39 | ||

Altman-Z | 1.64 |

ROIC/WACC0.72

WACC8.36%

A Quick Ratio of **1.74** indicates that **HOG** should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.

Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
---|---|---|---|

Current Ratio | 2.03 | ||

Quick Ratio | 1.74 |

The **Earnings Per Share** has been growing slightly by **7.42%** on average over the past years.

Looking at the last year, **HOG** shows a small growth in **Revenue**. The Revenue has grown by **5.26%** in the last year.

Measured over the past years, **HOG** shows a small growth in **Revenue**. The Revenue has been growing by **0.41%** on average per year.

EPS 1Y (TTM)1.86%

EPS 3Y44281400%

EPS 5Y7.42%

EPS growth Q2Q-22.47%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.26%

Revenue growth 3Y12.91%

Revenue growth 5Y0.41%

Revenue growth Q2Q-6.04%

Based on estimates for the next years, **HOG** will show a small growth in **Revenue**. The Revenue will grow by **7.54%** on average per year.

EPS Next Y-8.57%

EPS Next 2Y1.01%

EPS Next 3Y-1.22%

EPS Next 5Y3.62%

Revenue Next Year-1.62%

Revenue Next 2Y1.93%

Revenue Next 3Y6.9%

Revenue Next 5Y7.54%

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.

Based on the **Price/Earnings** ratio of **7.66**, the valuation of **HOG** can be described as very cheap.

Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
---|---|---|---|

PE | 7.66 | ||

Fwd PE | 8.56 |

Based on the **Enterprise Value to EBITDA** ratio, **HOG** is valued cheaper than 84.62% of the companies in the same industry.

Compared to the rest of the industry, the **Price/Free Cash Flow** ratio of **HOG** indicates a rather cheap valuation: **HOG** is cheaper than 92.31% of the companies listed in the same industry.

Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
---|---|---|---|

P/FCF | 11.06 | ||

EV/EBITDA | 10.33 |

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)1.03

EPS Next 2Y1.01%

EPS Next 3Y-1.22%

Compared to the average S&P500 **Dividend Yield** of **2.48**, **HOG** is paying slightly less dividend.

Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
---|---|---|---|

Dividend Yield | 1.75% |

The dividend of **HOG** decreases each year by **-15.76%**.

Dividend Growth(5Y)-15.76%

Div Incr Years3

Div Non Decr Years3

DP13.26%

EPS Next 2Y1.01%

EPS Next 3Y-1.22%

**HARLEY-DAVIDSON INC**

NYSE:HOG (2/22/2024, 11:06:54 AM)

**37.71**

**+0.16 (+0.43%) **

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary

GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components

GICS IndustryAutomobiles

Earnings (Last)

Earnings (Next)

Inst Owners

Inst Owner Change

Ins Owners

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Market Cap5.25B

Analysts

Price Target

Dividend

Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
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Dividend Yield | 1.75% |

Dividend Growth(5Y)

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Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)

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Valuation

Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
---|---|---|---|

PE | 7.66 | ||

Fwd PE | 8.56 | ||

P/S | |||

P/FCF | |||

P/OCF | |||

P/B | |||

P/tB | |||

EV/EBITDA |

EPS(TTM)

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PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)1.03

Profitability

Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
---|---|---|---|

ROA | 5.8% | ||

ROE | 21.83% | ||

ROCE | |||

ROIC | |||

ROICexc | |||

ROICexgc | |||

OM | 13.56% | ||

PM (TTM) | 12.19% | ||

GM | 37.83% | ||

FCFM |

ROA(3y)

ROA(5y)

ROE(3y)

ROE(5y)

ROIC(3y)

ROIC(5y)

ROICexc(3y)

ROICexc(5y)

ROICexgc(3y)

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ROICexcg growth 3Y

ROICexcg growth 5Y

ROICexc growth 3Y

ROICexc growth 5Y

OM growth 3Y

OM growth 5Y

PM growth 3Y

PM growth 5Y

GM growth 3Y

GM growth 5Y

F-Score

Asset Turnover0.48

Health

Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
---|---|---|---|

Debt/Equity | 2.02 | ||

Debt/FCF | |||

Debt/EBITDA | |||

Cap/Depr | |||

Cap/Sales | |||

Interest Coverage | |||

Cash Conversion | |||

Profit Quality | |||

Current Ratio | 2.03 | ||

Quick Ratio | 1.74 | ||

Altman-Z |

F-Score

WACC

ROIC/WACC

Cap/Depr(3y)

Cap/Depr(5y)

Cap/Sales(3y)

Cap/Sales(5y)

Profit Quality(3y)

Profit Quality(5y)

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)1.86%

EPS 3Y44281400%

EPS 5Y

EPS growth Q2Q

EPS Next Y-8.57%

EPS Next 2Y

EPS Next 3Y

EPS Next 5Y

Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.26%

Revenue growth 3Y12.91%

Revenue growth 5Y

Revenue growth Q2Q

Revenue Next Year

Revenue Next 2Y

Revenue Next 3Y

Revenue Next 5Y

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EBIT growth 3Y

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