TOLL BROTHERS INC (TOL) Stock Technical Analysis
USA - NYSE:TOL - US8894781033 - Common Stock
139.69 USD
-0.15 (-0.11%)
141.28 USD
+1.59 (+1.14%)
Taking everything into account, TOL scores 7 out of 10 in our technical rating. Although TOL is only a medium performer in the overall market, the technical picture looks good in both the medium and short term time frames.
The long term trend is positive and the short term trend is neutral. The long term trend gets the benefit of the doubt for now.
TOL has an average volume of 1680910 traded shares per day. This is a good sign as it is always nice to have a liquid stock.
When comparing the performance of all stocks over the past year, TOL turns out to be only a medium performer in the overall market: it outperformed 63% of all stocks.
TOL is an average performer in the Household Durables industry, it outperforms 67% of 63 stocks in the same industry.
TOL is currently trading in the middle of its 52 week range. The S&P500 Index however is currently trading near new highs, so TOL is lagging the market.
In the last month TOL has a been trading in the 131.10 - 149.79 range, which is quite wide. It is currently trading in the middle of this range, so some resistance may be found above.
Besides having an excellent technical rating, TOL also presents a decent setup pattern. Prices have been consolidating lately and the volatility has been reduced. A pullback is taking place, which may present a nice opportunity for an entry. There is a resistance zone just above the current price starting at 147.38. Right above this resistance zone may be a good entry point.
More info and screens
122.56
149.49
We found 3 important support areas.
- A support zone ranging from 139.68 to 139.68. This zone is formed by a combination of multiple trend lines in multiple time frames.
- Support @134.12 from a trend line in the daily time frame.
- A support zone ranging from 123.80 to 124.28. This zone is formed by a combination of multiple trend lines in the daily time frame.
We found 1 important resistance area.
- A resistance zone ranging from 147.38 to 148.01. This zone is formed by a combination of multiple trend lines in multiple time frames.
The Technical Rating and Setup analysis above combine different indicators and trends in different timeframes. Individual signals from indicators may give more contradictive signals and should always be interpreted in the more global context.
| Indicator | Value | Signal | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|
| ChartMill Long Term Trend Indicator | UP | POSITIVE | The long term trend for TOL is up. |
| ChartMill Short Term Trend Indicator | NEUTRAL | NEUTRAL | The short term trend for TOL is neutral. |
| ChartMill Relative Strength | 63.95 | NEUTRAL | TOL is not amongst the best or worst performers on the market. |
| Simple Moving Average/SMA (20) | UP | MIXED | The current price of TOL is below the rising SMA(20). |
| Simple Moving Average/SMA (50) | UP | POSITIVE | The current price of TOL is above the rising SMA(50). |
| Simple Moving Average/SMA (200) | DOWN | MIXED | The current price of TOL is above a declining SMA(200). |
| Relative Strength Index/RSI (14) | 53.45 | NEUTRAL | The RSI value for TOL is a neutral value. |
| Moving Average Convergence Divergence/MACD (12, 26, 9) | -1.19 | NEGATIVE | The MACD value suggests TOL has a negative trend. |
| Stochastics (14,3) | 30.43 | NEUTRAL | The Stochastics value for TOL is a neutral value. |
| Average True Range in percent/ATR (20) | 2.76 | MEDIUM VOLATILITY | The ATR as a percentage value for TOL suggests some volalility. |
| Average Directional Index/ADX (14) | 39.67 | POSITIVE | The high ADX value value for TOL suggests a strong trend. |
Daily CandleStick Patterns
Bullish Engulfing (D)
Bullish Hammer (D)
Bearish Inverted Hammer (D)
Hanging Man (D)
Bullish Harami (D)
Doji (D)
Gravestone Doji (D)
DragonFly Doji (D)
Bearish Engulfing (D)
Bearish Shooting Star (D)
Bearish Harami (D)
Inside Bar (D)
Red Dog Reversal Down (D)
Red Dog Reversal Up (D)
Dark Cloud Cover (D)
Weekly CandleStick Patterns
Bullish Engulfing (W)
Bullish Hammer (W)
Bearish Inverted Hammer (W)
Hanging Man (W)
Bullish Harami (W)
Doji (W)
Gravestone Doji (W)
DragonFly Doji (W)
Bearish Engulfing (W)
Bearish Shooting Star (W)
Bearish Harami (W)
Inside Bar (W)
Dark Cloud Cover (W)
Daily Chart Patterns
Bull Flag
Bear Flag
Ascending Triangle (D)
Descending Triangle (D)
Symmetrical Triangle (D)
Squeeze
Channel (D)
Channel Up (D)
Channel Down (D)
Rising Wedge (D)
Falling Wedge (D)
Double Bottom (D)
Multiple Bottom (D)
Double Top (D)
Multiple Top (D)
Weekly Chart Patterns
Weekly Bull Flag
Weekly Bear Flag
Squeeze Week
Channel (W)
Double Bottom (W)
Multiple Bottom (W)
Double Top (W)
Multiple Top (W)
Important!: this is just an example which is fully automatically generated based on the analysis above and should in no way be interpreted as a suggestion. Always make your own analysis and determine your own entry and exit points.
| ENTRY | EXIT | DISTANCE | CAPITAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142.92 | 139.67 | 3.25 (2.27%) | 25.00% |
| An entry @142.92. This is a Buy Stop order right above the 10 day moving average. | An exit @139.67. This is a Stop Loss order right below the support zone. | The trade has a worst case loss of 3.25 points, which is 2.27%. | When investing 25.00% of your capital in this trade, your total portfolio risk will be 0.57%. |
- The distance between exit and entry is rather small compared to the average daily movement of TOL. Please evaluate whether better entry and exit points can be found.
- The generated setup is based on the nearest support and resistance areas. If you are looking for a more long term trade, probably a wider stop is advisable.
- This trade setup was generated fully automatically and should not be interpreted as trading advice. Always check the related news for upcoming earnings or other events. Make your own analysis and trade at your own responsibility.
139.69
-0.15 (-0.11%)
Chartmill TA Rating
Chartmill Setup Rating
Sector
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryHousehold Durables
Performance
% Chg-0.11%
1 Week-2.63%
2 Weeks-5.21%
1 Month6.16%
3 Month28.97%
6 Month31.6%
12 Month-7.15%
2 Year88.87%
3 Year232.6%
5 Year187.07%
10 Year307.97%
15 Year634.44%
Volatility
ATR(14)4.13
ATR(20)%2.76%
ATR Inc-13.4%
Range Today4.32
ADR(20)3.76
ADR(20)%2.69%
Trend & SMA
ST Trend
LT Trend
SMA(5)
SMA(10)
SMA(20)
SMA(50)
SMA(100)
SMA(200)
Relative Strength & Ranges
CRS63.95
Mansfield-0.04
10 Day High148.51
10 Day Low137
20 Day High149.79
20 Day Low131.1
52 Week High169.52
52 Week Low86.67
CS1 End139.68
CR1 Start147.38
Volume & EV
DER(3)0.88%
DER(5)1.35%
Volume3.06M
Volume Incr5.18%
Vol(5)1.95M
Vol(50)1.68M