GUESS? INC (GES) Stock Technical Analysis
NYSE:GES - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US4016171054 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a technical rating of 3 out of 10 to GES. Recently some decent action could be observed, but in the medium term time frame this is still negative. GES was also a bad performer in the overall market in the last year.
The long term trend is still negative, but the short term trend is neutral. It is advised to wait a little bit longer to see how this turns out.
86% of all other stocks performed better in the past year than GES.
GES is part of the Specialty Retail industry. There are 121 other stocks in this industry, of which 62% are performing better than GES.
GES is currently trading in the lower part of its 52 week range. The S&P500 Index however is trading in the upper part of its 52 week range, so GES is lagging the market.
GES has an average volume of 1054520 traded shares per day. This is a good sign as it is always nice to have a liquid stock.
In the last month GES has a been trading in the 10.29 - 12.64 range, which is quite wide. It is currently trading in the middle of this range, so some resistance may be found above.
Although the technical rating is bad, GES does present a nice setup opportunity. Prices have been consolidating lately. There is a resistance zone just above the current price starting at 12.04. Right above this resistance zone may be a good entry point. There is a support zone below the current price at 11.17, a Stop Loss order could be placed below this zone. We notice that large players showed an interest for GES in the last couple of days, which is a good sign.
- Behavior of large players is measured by the Effective Volume indicator. This indicator inspects the 1 minute timeframe looking for high volume transactions.
More info and screens
10.37
24.42
When analyzing the support we can see 3 important areas.
- A support zone ranging from 11.16 to 11.17. This zone is formed by a combination of multiple trend lines and important moving averages in the daily time frame.
- Support @10.88 from a trend line in the weekly time frame.
- A support zone ranging from 10.47 to 10.47. This zone is formed by a combination of multiple trend lines in multiple time frames.
When analyzing the resistance we notice 3 important areas.
- A resistance zone ranging from 12.04 to 12.14. This zone is formed by a combination of multiple trend lines in multiple time frames.
- A resistance zone ranging from 12.47 to 12.53. This zone is formed by a combination of multiple trend lines in the daily time frame.
- Resistance @24.18 from a horizontal line in the weekly time frame.
The Technical Rating and Setup analysis above combine different indicators and trends in different timeframes. Individual signals from indicators may give more contradictive signals and should always be interpreted in the more global context.
| Indicator | Value | Signal | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|
| ChartMill Long Term Trend Indicator | DOWN | NEGATIVE | The long term trend for GES is down. |
| ChartMill Short Term Trend Indicator | NEUTRAL | NEUTRAL | The short term trend for GES is neutral. |
| ChartMill Relative Strength | 14.24 | NEGATIVE | GES has a low relative strength, it was outperformed by 85.76% off all stocks on the market. |
| Simple Moving Average/SMA (20) | UP | POSITIVE | The current price of GES is above the rising SMA(20). |
| Simple Moving Average/SMA (50) | UP | POSITIVE | The current price of GES is above the rising SMA(50). |
| Simple Moving Average/SMA (200) | DOWN | NEGATIVE | The current price of GES is below a declining SMA(200). |
| Relative Strength Index/RSI (14) | 54.7 | NEUTRAL | The RSI value for GES is a neutral value. |
| Moving Average Convergence Divergence/MACD (12, 26, 9) | 0.02 | POSITIVE | The MACD value suggests GES has a positive trend. |
| Stochastics (14,3) | 62.07 | NEUTRAL | The Stochastics value for GES is a neutral value. |
| Average True Range in percent/ATR (20) | 4.77 | MEDIUM VOLATILITY | The ATR as a percentage value for GES suggests some volalility. |
| Average Directional Index/ADX (14) | 19.55 | NEGATIVE | The low ADX value for GES suggests a weak or negative trend. |
Daily CandleStick Patterns
Bullish Engulfing (D)
Bullish Hammer (D)
Bearish Inverted Hammer (D)
Hanging Man (D)
Bullish Harami (D)
Doji (D)
Gravestone Doji (D)
DragonFly Doji (D)
Bearish Engulfing (D)
Bearish Shooting Star (D)
Bearish Harami (D)
Inside Bar (D)
Red Dog Reversal Down (D)
Red Dog Reversal Up (D)
Dark Cloud Cover (D)
Weekly CandleStick Patterns
Bullish Engulfing (W)
Bullish Hammer (W)
Bearish Inverted Hammer (W)
Hanging Man (W)
Bullish Harami (W)
Doji (W)
Gravestone Doji (W)
DragonFly Doji (W)
Bearish Engulfing (W)
Bearish Shooting Star (W)
Bearish Harami (W)
Inside Bar (W)
Dark Cloud Cover (W)
Daily Chart Patterns
Bull Flag
Bear Flag
Ascending Triangle (D)
Descending Triangle (D)
Symmetrical Triangle (D)
Squeeze
Channel (D)
Channel Up (D)
Channel Down (D)
Rising Wedge (D)
Falling Wedge (D)
Double Bottom (D)
Multiple Bottom (D)
Double Top (D)
Multiple Top (D)
Weekly Chart Patterns
Weekly Bull Flag
Weekly Bear Flag
Squeeze Week
Channel (W)
Double Bottom (W)
Multiple Bottom (W)
Double Top (W)
Multiple Top (W)
11.96
+0.56 (+4.91%)
Chartmill TA Rating
Chartmill Setup Rating
Sector
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Performance
% Chg4.91%
1 Week0.67%
2 Weeks8.83%
1 Month8.24%
3 Month-0.08%
6 Month-16.94%
12 Month-41.72%
2 Year-38.51%
3 Year-29.85%
5 Year23.68%
10 Year-37.61%
15 Year-61.72%
Volatility
ATR(14)0.61
ATR(20)%4.77%
ATR Inc-0.74%
Range Today0.68
ADR(20)0.53
ADR(20)%4.45%
Trend & SMA
ST Trend
LT Trend
SMA(5)
SMA(10)
SMA(20)
SMA(50)
SMA(100)
SMA(200)
Relative Strength & Ranges
CRS14.24
Mansfield-2.61
10 Day High12.64
10 Day Low11
20 Day High12.64
20 Day Low10.29
52 Week High24.64
52 Week Low8.48
CS1 End11.17
CR1 Start12.04
Volume & EV
DER(3)3.01%
DER(5)0.67%
Volume1.64M
Volume Incr9.03%
Vol(5)958.00K
Vol(50)1.05M