Guess Inc (GES) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:GES • US4016171054

Current stock price

16.81 USD
-0.05 (-0.3%)
At close:
16.8116 USD
+0 (+0.01%)
After Hours:

This GES fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. GES Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GES was profitable.
  • GES had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years GES 4 years were profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years GES had a positive operating cash flow.
GES Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGES Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • GES's Return On Assets of 0.55% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GES outperforms 51.64% of its industry peers.
  • GES has a Return On Equity (3.35%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • GES's Return On Invested Capital of 5.89% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GES outperforms 59.84% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GES is in line with the industry average of 13.27%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (11.49%) for GES is well above the current ROIC(5.89%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.55%
ROE 3.35%
ROIC 5.89%
ROA(3y)5.51%
ROA(5y)3.97%
ROE(3y)23.53%
ROE(5y)16.57%
ROIC(3y)11.49%
ROIC(5y)10.21%
GES Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGES Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of GES (0.53%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • GES's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 4.53%, GES is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GES has remained more or less at the same level.
  • GES has a Gross Margin of 42.70%. This is in the better half of the industry: GES outperforms 63.93% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GES has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.53%
PM (TTM) 0.53%
GM 42.7%
OM growth 3Y-22.39%
OM growth 5Y-0.26%
PM growth 3Y-35.42%
PM growth 5Y-13.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.27%
GM growth 5Y2.75%
GES Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGES Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. GES Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GES is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GES has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for GES has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • GES has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
GES Yearly Shares OutstandingGES Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
GES Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGES Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • GES has an Altman-Z score of 2.17. This is not the best score and indicates that GES is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • GES has a Altman-Z score of 2.17. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GES outperforms 47.54% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GES is 49.11, which is on the high side as it means it would take GES, 49.11 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • GES has a Debt to FCF ratio (49.11) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • GES has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.22. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • GES has a Debt to Equity ratio (1.22) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.22
Debt/FCF 49.11
Altman-Z 2.17
ROIC/WACC1.09
WACC5.42%
GES Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGES Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • GES has a Current Ratio of 1.52. This is a normal value and indicates that GES is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GES's Current ratio of 1.52 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GES outperforms 62.30% of its industry peers.
  • GES has a Quick Ratio of 1.52. This is a bad value and indicates that GES is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of GES (0.76) is better than 64.75% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.52
Quick Ratio 0.76
GES Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGES Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. GES Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • GES shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -34.00%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 4.64% on average over the past years.
  • Looking at the last year, GES shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 7.88% in the last year.
  • GES shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.26% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34%
EPS 3Y-12.39%
EPS 5Y4.64%
EPS Q2Q%2.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.88%
Revenue growth 3Y4.94%
Revenue growth 5Y2.26%
Sales Q2Q%7.16%

3.2 Future

  • GES is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -0.01% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, GES will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.07% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-16.94%
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.8%
Revenue Next 2Y6.41%
Revenue Next 3Y5.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
GES Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGES Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
GES Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGES Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 2 3

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6

4. GES Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 10.19, the valuation of GES can be described as reasonable.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GES is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.61% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.35, GES is valued rather cheaply.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 9.82, which indicates a very decent valuation of GES.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GES indicates a rather cheap valuation: GES is cheaper than 85.25% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.61, GES is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.19
Fwd PE 9.82
GES Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGES Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GES is valued cheaper than 81.15% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GES's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 69.02
EV/EBITDA 6.24
GES Per share dataGES EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of GES may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.19
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. GES Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.35%, GES is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • GES's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.75. GES pays more dividend than 91.80% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GES's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.35%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of GES is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 43.88%!
  • GES has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • GES has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.88%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
GES Yearly Dividends per shareGES Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • 393.60% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GES. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The Dividend Rate of GES has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP393.6%
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
GES Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGES Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M
GES Dividend Payout.GES Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GES Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

More info and screens

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GES Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

Guess Inc

NYSE:GES (1/22/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 16.8116 +0 (+0.01%)

16.81

-0.05 (-0.3%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)11-25
Earnings (Next)04-01
Inst Owners57.77%
Inst Owner Change-10.22%
Ins Owners31.89%
Ins Owner Change-444.76%
Market Cap876.64M
Revenue(TTM)3.00B
Net Income(TTM)16.32M
Analysts46.67
Price Target17.09 (1.67%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.35%
Yearly Dividend3.53
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.88%
DP393.6%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)48.88%
Min EPS beat(2)36.86%
Max EPS beat(2)60.89%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)23.49%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.23%
Max EPS beat(4)60.89%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)16.26%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)24.73%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)18.99%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.09%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.59%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.17%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.68%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.56%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.32%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.24%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.93%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.19
Fwd PE 9.82
P/S 0.28
P/FCF 69.02
P/OCF 8.66
P/B 1.8
P/tB 1.94
EV/EBITDA 6.24
EPS(TTM)1.65
EY9.82%
EPS(NY)1.71
Fwd EY10.18%
FCF(TTM)0.24
FCFY1.45%
OCF(TTM)1.94
OCFY11.54%
SpS59.28
BVpS9.35
TBVpS8.66
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.19
Graham Number18.63
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.55%
ROE 3.35%
ROCE 6.65%
ROIC 5.89%
ROICexc 6.47%
ROICexgc 6.6%
OM 4.53%
PM (TTM) 0.53%
GM 42.7%
FCFM 0.41%
ROA(3y)5.51%
ROA(5y)3.97%
ROE(3y)23.53%
ROE(5y)16.57%
ROIC(3y)11.49%
ROIC(5y)10.21%
ROICexc(3y)13.77%
ROICexc(5y)12.63%
ROICexgc(3y)14.09%
ROICexgc(5y)12.95%
ROCE(3y)12.97%
ROCE(5y)11.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.98%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.08%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1%
OM growth 3Y-22.39%
OM growth 5Y-0.26%
PM growth 3Y-35.42%
PM growth 5Y-13.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.27%
GM growth 5Y2.75%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.04
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.22
Debt/FCF 49.11
Debt/EBITDA 2.84
Cap/Depr 126.32%
Cap/Sales 2.86%
Interest Coverage 5.47
Cash Conversion 48.19%
Profit Quality 77.81%
Current Ratio 1.52
Quick Ratio 0.76
Altman-Z 2.17
F-Score5
WACC5.42%
ROIC/WACC1.09
Cap/Depr(3y)130.91%
Cap/Depr(5y)106.86%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.96%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.47%
Profit Quality(3y)79.46%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34%
EPS 3Y-12.39%
EPS 5Y4.64%
EPS Q2Q%2.94%
EPS Next Y-16.94%
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.88%
Revenue growth 3Y4.94%
Revenue growth 5Y2.26%
Sales Q2Q%7.16%
Revenue Next Year8.8%
Revenue Next 2Y6.41%
Revenue Next 3Y5.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-36.61%
EBIT growth 3Y-18.55%
EBIT growth 5Y2%
EBIT Next Year26.43%
EBIT Next 3Y11.08%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-91.05%
FCF growth 3Y-19.45%
FCF growth 5Y-23.52%
OCF growth 1Y-52.93%
OCF growth 3Y-2.58%
OCF growth 5Y-9.27%

Guess Inc / GES Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of Guess Inc (GES) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GES.


What is the valuation status for GES stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to Guess Inc (GES). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for Guess Inc?

Guess Inc (GES) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for GES stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for Guess Inc (GES) is 10.19 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.8.


Is the dividend of Guess Inc sustainable?

The dividend rating of Guess Inc (GES) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 393.6%.