Guess Inc (GES) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:GES • US4016171054

Current stock price

16.81 USD
-0.05 (-0.3%)
At close:
16.8116 USD
+0 (+0.01%)
After Hours:

This GES fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. GES Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • GES had positive earnings in the past year.
  • GES had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • GES had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • GES had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
GES Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGES Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • GES's Return On Assets of 0.55% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GES outperforms 51.64% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of GES (3.35%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 5.89%, GES perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GES is in line with the industry average of 13.24%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (11.49%) for GES is well above the current ROIC(5.89%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.55%
ROE 3.35%
ROIC 5.89%
ROA(3y)5.51%
ROA(5y)3.97%
ROE(3y)23.53%
ROE(5y)16.57%
ROIC(3y)11.49%
ROIC(5y)10.21%
GES Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGES Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • GES has a Profit Margin of 0.53%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GES outperforms 51.64% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GES has declined.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 4.53%, GES is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GES's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 42.70%, GES is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.93% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GES has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.53%
PM (TTM) 0.53%
GM 42.7%
OM growth 3Y-22.39%
OM growth 5Y-0.26%
PM growth 3Y-35.42%
PM growth 5Y-13.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.27%
GM growth 5Y2.75%
GES Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGES Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

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4

2. GES Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GES is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GES has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, GES has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for GES is higher compared to a year ago.
GES Yearly Shares OutstandingGES Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
GES Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGES Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.17 indicates that GES is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • GES has a Altman-Z score (2.17) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GES is 49.11, which is on the high side as it means it would take GES, 49.11 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 49.11, GES is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.22 is on the high side and indicates that GES has dependencies on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.22, GES is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.16% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.22
Debt/FCF 49.11
Altman-Z 2.17
ROIC/WACC1.09
WACC5.42%
GES Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGES Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • GES has a Current Ratio of 1.52. This is a normal value and indicates that GES is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of GES (1.52) is better than 62.30% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.76 indicates that GES may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of GES (0.76) is better than 64.75% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.52
Quick Ratio 0.76
GES Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGES Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. GES Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for GES have decreased strongly by -34.00% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, GES shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 4.64% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.88% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, GES shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.26% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34%
EPS 3Y-12.39%
EPS 5Y4.64%
EPS Q2Q%2.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.88%
Revenue growth 3Y4.94%
Revenue growth 5Y2.26%
Sales Q2Q%7.16%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, GES will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -0.01% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.07% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-16.94%
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.8%
Revenue Next 2Y6.41%
Revenue Next 3Y5.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
GES Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGES Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
GES Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGES Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 2 3

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6

4. GES Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 10.19, which indicates a very decent valuation of GES.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GES is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.61% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • GES's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.51.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.82, the valuation of GES can be described as very reasonable.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GES is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.25% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GES to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.41), we can say GES is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.19
Fwd PE 9.82
GES Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGES Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GES indicates a rather cheap valuation: GES is cheaper than 81.15% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GES is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 69.02
EV/EBITDA 6.24
GES Per share dataGES EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of GES may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.19
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. GES Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.35%, GES is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • GES's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.95. GES pays more dividend than 91.80% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GES's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.80.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.35%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of GES grows each year by 43.88%, which is quite nice.
  • GES has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • GES has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.88%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
GES Yearly Dividends per shareGES Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • 393.60% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GES. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The Dividend Rate of GES has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP393.6%
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
GES Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGES Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M
GES Dividend Payout.GES Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GES Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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GES Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

Guess Inc

NYSE:GES (1/22/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 16.8116 +0 (+0.01%)

16.81

-0.05 (-0.3%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Industry StrengthN/A
Industry GrowthN/A
Earnings (Last)11-25
Earnings (Next)04-01
Inst Owners57.77%
Inst Owner Change-6.55%
Ins Owners31.89%
Ins Owner Change-444.76%
Market Cap876.64M
Revenue(TTM)3.00B
Net Income(TTM)16.32M
Analysts46.67
Price Target17.09 (1.67%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.35%
Yearly Dividend3.53
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.88%
DP393.6%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)48.88%
Min EPS beat(2)36.86%
Max EPS beat(2)60.89%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)23.49%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.23%
Max EPS beat(4)60.89%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)16.26%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)24.73%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)18.99%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.09%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.59%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.17%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.68%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.56%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.32%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.24%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.93%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.19
Fwd PE 9.82
P/S 0.28
P/FCF 69.02
P/OCF 8.66
P/B 1.8
P/tB 1.94
EV/EBITDA 6.24
EPS(TTM)1.65
EY9.82%
EPS(NY)1.71
Fwd EY10.18%
FCF(TTM)0.24
FCFY1.45%
OCF(TTM)1.94
OCFY11.54%
SpS59.28
BVpS9.35
TBVpS8.66
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.19
Graham Number18.6301 (10.83%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.55%
ROE 3.35%
ROCE 6.65%
ROIC 5.89%
ROICexc 6.47%
ROICexgc 6.6%
OM 4.53%
PM (TTM) 0.53%
GM 42.7%
FCFM 0.41%
ROA(3y)5.51%
ROA(5y)3.97%
ROE(3y)23.53%
ROE(5y)16.57%
ROIC(3y)11.49%
ROIC(5y)10.21%
ROICexc(3y)13.77%
ROICexc(5y)12.63%
ROICexgc(3y)14.09%
ROICexgc(5y)12.95%
ROCE(3y)12.97%
ROCE(5y)11.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.98%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.08%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1%
OM growth 3Y-22.39%
OM growth 5Y-0.26%
PM growth 3Y-35.42%
PM growth 5Y-13.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.27%
GM growth 5Y2.75%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.04
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.22
Debt/FCF 49.11
Debt/EBITDA 2.84
Cap/Depr 126.32%
Cap/Sales 2.86%
Interest Coverage 5.47
Cash Conversion 48.19%
Profit Quality 77.81%
Current Ratio 1.52
Quick Ratio 0.76
Altman-Z 2.17
F-Score5
WACC5.42%
ROIC/WACC1.09
Cap/Depr(3y)130.91%
Cap/Depr(5y)106.86%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.96%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.47%
Profit Quality(3y)79.46%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34%
EPS 3Y-12.39%
EPS 5Y4.64%
EPS Q2Q%2.94%
EPS Next Y-16.94%
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.88%
Revenue growth 3Y4.94%
Revenue growth 5Y2.26%
Sales Q2Q%7.16%
Revenue Next Year8.8%
Revenue Next 2Y6.41%
Revenue Next 3Y5.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-36.61%
EBIT growth 3Y-18.55%
EBIT growth 5Y2%
EBIT Next Year26.43%
EBIT Next 3Y11.08%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-91.05%
FCF growth 3Y-19.45%
FCF growth 5Y-23.52%
OCF growth 1Y-52.93%
OCF growth 3Y-2.58%
OCF growth 5Y-9.27%

Guess Inc / GES Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of Guess Inc (GES) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GES.


What is the valuation status for GES stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to Guess Inc (GES). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for Guess Inc?

Guess Inc (GES) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for GES stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for Guess Inc (GES) is 10.19 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.8.


Is the dividend of Guess Inc sustainable?

The dividend rating of Guess Inc (GES) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 393.6%.