GUESS? INC (GES) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:GES - US4016171054 - Common Stock
16.94 USD
-0.04 (-0.24%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to GES. GES was compared to 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. GES has an average financial health and profitability rating. GES is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GES was profitable.
In the past year GES had a positive cash flow from operations.
GES had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years GES always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
GES has a Return On Assets of 0.54%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GES outperforms 51.24% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 3.28%, GES is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.33% of the companies in the same industry.
GES's Return On Invested Capital of 5.90% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GES outperforms 60.33% of its industry peers.
GES had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 11.49%. This is in line with the industry average of 11.82%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (5.90%) for GES is well below the 3 year average (11.49%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that GES had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.54% | ||
| ROE | 3.28% | ||
| ROIC | 5.9% |
ROA(3y)5.51%
ROA(5y)3.97%
ROE(3y)23.53%
ROE(5y)16.57%
ROIC(3y)11.49%
ROIC(5y)10.21%
1.3 Margins
GES has a Profit Margin (0.52%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GES's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
GES has a better Operating Margin (4.54%) than 65.29% of its industry peers.
GES's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
GES has a Gross Margin of 42.70%. This is in the better half of the industry: GES outperforms 66.12% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GES has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.54% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.52% | ||
| GM | 42.7% |
OM growth 3Y-22.39%
OM growth 5Y-0.26%
PM growth 3Y-35.42%
PM growth 5Y-13.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.27%
GM growth 5Y2.75%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GES is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for GES has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GES has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, GES has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.17 indicates that GES is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
GES has a Altman-Z score of 2.17. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GES outperforms 50.41% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GES is 46.39, which is on the high side as it means it would take GES, 46.39 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
GES has a Debt to FCF ratio (46.39) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.22 is on the high side and indicates that GES has dependencies on debt financing.
GES has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.22) than 60.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 46.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.17 |
ROIC/WACC1.2
WACC4.92%
2.3 Liquidity
GES has a Current Ratio of 1.52. This is a normal value and indicates that GES is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of GES (1.52) is better than 62.81% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.76 indicates that GES may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GES has a better Quick ratio (0.76) than 64.46% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.52 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.76 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GES shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -38.11%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 4.64% on average over the past years.
The Revenue for GES has decreased by -10.62% in the past year. This is quite bad
GES shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.26% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.11%
EPS 3Y-12.39%
EPS 5Y4.64%
EPS Q2Q%-38.1%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.62%
Revenue growth 3Y4.94%
Revenue growth 5Y2.26%
Sales Q2Q%5.51%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -0.01% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, GES will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.56% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-19.85%
EPS Next 2Y-6.09%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year7.8%
Revenue Next 2Y5.61%
Revenue Next 3Y4.56%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GES is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.33.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GES indicates a rather cheap valuation: GES is cheaper than 83.47% of the companies listed in the same industry.
GES is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.13, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.75 indicates a reasonable valuation of GES.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GES is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.12% of the companies are valued more expensively.
GES is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.35, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.33 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.75 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GES is valued a bit cheaper than 74.38% of the companies in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as GES.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 65.62 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.26 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of GES may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.22
EPS Next 2Y-6.09%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GES has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.29%, which is a nice return.
GES's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 5.49. GES pays more dividend than 93.39% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, GES pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.29% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of GES grows each year by 43.88%, which is quite nice.
GES has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
GES has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.88%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
GES pays out 403.30% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
GES's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP403.3%
EPS Next 2Y-6.09%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
NYSE:GES (11/6/2025, 1:37:52 PM)
16.94
-0.04 (-0.24%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners56.45%
Inst Owner Change-0.18%
Ins Owners32.63%
Ins Owner Change2.41%
Market Cap882.24M
Revenue(TTM)3.09B
Net Income(TTM)16.01M
Analysts74.29
Price Target17.09 (0.89%)
Short Float %15.25%
Short Ratio4.66
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.29% |
Yearly Dividend3.53
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.88%
DP403.3%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)48.88%
Min EPS beat(2)36.86%
Max EPS beat(2)60.89%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)23.49%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.23%
Max EPS beat(4)60.89%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)16.26%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)24.73%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)18.99%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.09%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.59%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.17%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.68%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.56%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.32%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.24%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)4.69%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.3%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.18%
EPS NY rev (3m)7.82%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.47%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.59%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.33 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.75 | ||
| P/S | 0.29 | ||
| P/FCF | 65.62 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.7 | ||
| P/B | 1.81 | ||
| P/tB | 1.95 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.26 |
EPS(TTM)1.64
EY9.68%
EPS(NY)1.74
Fwd EY10.26%
FCF(TTM)0.26
FCFY1.52%
OCF(TTM)1.95
OCFY11.5%
SpS59.36
BVpS9.36
TBVpS8.68
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.22
Graham Number18.59
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.54% | ||
| ROE | 3.28% | ||
| ROCE | 6.66% | ||
| ROIC | 5.9% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.49% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.61% | ||
| OM | 4.54% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.52% | ||
| GM | 42.7% | ||
| FCFM | 0.43% |
ROA(3y)5.51%
ROA(5y)3.97%
ROE(3y)23.53%
ROE(5y)16.57%
ROIC(3y)11.49%
ROIC(5y)10.21%
ROICexc(3y)13.77%
ROICexc(5y)12.63%
ROICexgc(3y)14.09%
ROICexgc(5y)12.95%
ROCE(3y)12.97%
ROCE(5y)11.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.98%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.08%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1%
OM growth 3Y-22.39%
OM growth 5Y-0.26%
PM growth 3Y-35.42%
PM growth 5Y-13.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.27%
GM growth 5Y2.75%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.04
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 46.39 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.83 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 124.89% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.4 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 48.15% | ||
| Profit Quality | 84% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.52 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.76 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.17 |
F-Score5
WACC4.92%
ROIC/WACC1.2
Cap/Depr(3y)130.91%
Cap/Depr(5y)106.86%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.96%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.47%
Profit Quality(3y)79.46%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.11%
EPS 3Y-12.39%
EPS 5Y4.64%
EPS Q2Q%-38.1%
EPS Next Y-19.85%
EPS Next 2Y-6.09%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.62%
Revenue growth 3Y4.94%
Revenue growth 5Y2.26%
Sales Q2Q%5.51%
Revenue Next Year7.8%
Revenue Next 2Y5.61%
Revenue Next 3Y4.56%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-30.68%
EBIT growth 3Y-18.55%
EBIT growth 5Y2%
EBIT Next Year20.78%
EBIT Next 3Y11.08%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-90.52%
FCF growth 3Y-19.45%
FCF growth 5Y-23.52%
OCF growth 1Y-52.81%
OCF growth 3Y-2.58%
OCF growth 5Y-9.27%
GUESS? INC / GES FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GUESS? INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GES.
What is the valuation status of GUESS? INC (GES) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to GUESS? INC (GES). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is GUESS? INC (GES) stock?
GUESS? INC (GES) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the valuation of GUESS? INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GUESS? INC (GES) is 10.33 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.81.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GES stock?
The dividend rating of GUESS? INC (GES) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 403.3%.