Guess Inc (GES) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:GES • US4016171054

16.81 USD
-0.05 (-0.3%)
At close: Jan 22, 2026
16.8116 USD
+0 (+0.01%)
After Hours: 1/22/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Analyst Ratings Earnings Estimates Financials Ownership News
Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, GES scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GES was compared to 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. GES has an average financial health and profitability rating. GES is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GES was profitable.
  • In the past year GES had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • GES had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years GES had a positive operating cash flow.
GES Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGES Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • GES has a Return On Assets (0.55%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 3.35%, GES is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.20% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GES has a Return On Invested Capital (5.89%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • GES had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 11.49%. This is in line with the industry average of 12.08%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (5.89%) for GES is well below the 3 year average (11.49%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that GES had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.55%
ROE 3.35%
ROIC 5.89%
ROA(3y)5.51%
ROA(5y)3.97%
ROE(3y)23.53%
ROE(5y)16.57%
ROIC(3y)11.49%
ROIC(5y)10.21%
GES Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGES Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • GES's Profit Margin of 0.53% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GES outperforms 51.64% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GES has declined.
  • GES has a Operating Margin of 4.53%. This is in the better half of the industry: GES outperforms 64.75% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GES has remained more or less at the same level.
  • With a decent Gross Margin value of 42.70%, GES is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.93% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GES's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.53%
PM (TTM) 0.53%
GM 42.7%
OM growth 3Y-22.39%
OM growth 5Y-0.26%
PM growth 3Y-35.42%
PM growth 5Y-13.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.27%
GM growth 5Y2.75%
GES Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGES Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

More info and screens

ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GES is creating value.
  • GES has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for GES has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GES has a worse debt to assets ratio.
GES Yearly Shares OutstandingGES Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
GES Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGES Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.17 indicates that GES is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 2.17, GES perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GES has a debt to FCF ratio of 49.11. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GES would need 49.11 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • GES's Debt to FCF ratio of 49.11 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GES outperforms 42.62% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.22 is on the high side and indicates that GES has dependencies on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of GES (1.22) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.22
Debt/FCF 49.11
Altman-Z 2.17
ROIC/WACC1.09
WACC5.42%
GES Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGES Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.52 indicates that GES should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of GES (1.52) is better than 62.30% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.76 indicates that GES may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GES has a Quick ratio of 0.76. This is in the better half of the industry: GES outperforms 64.75% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.52
Quick Ratio 0.76
GES Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGES Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • GES shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -34.00%.
  • GES shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 4.64% yearly.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.88% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, GES shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.26% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34%
EPS 3Y-12.39%
EPS 5Y4.64%
EPS Q2Q%2.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.88%
Revenue growth 3Y4.94%
Revenue growth 5Y2.26%
Sales Q2Q%7.16%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -0.01% on average over the next years.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, GES will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.07% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-16.94%
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.8%
Revenue Next 2Y6.41%
Revenue Next 3Y5.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
GES Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGES Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
GES Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGES Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 2 3

More info and screens

Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.19, the valuation of GES can be described as very reasonable.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GES indicates a rather cheap valuation: GES is cheaper than 83.61% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.19. GES is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.82, the valuation of GES can be described as reasonable.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GES is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.25% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GES to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.06), we can say GES is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.19
Fwd PE 9.82
GES Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGES Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • GES's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GES is cheaper than 81.15% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GES is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 69.02
EV/EBITDA 6.24
GES Per share dataGES EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of GES may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.19
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.35%, GES is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • GES's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.26. GES pays more dividend than 91.80% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GES's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.35%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of GES is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 43.88%!
  • GES has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • GES has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.88%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
GES Yearly Dividends per shareGES Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • 393.60% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GES. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • GES's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP393.6%
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
GES Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGES Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M
GES Dividend Payout.GES Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GES Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

Guess Inc

NYSE:GES (1/22/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 16.8116 +0 (+0.01%)

16.81

-0.05 (-0.3%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)11-25
Earnings (Next)04-01
Inst Owners57.77%
Inst Owner Change-4.37%
Ins Owners31.89%
Ins Owner Change-437.95%
Market Cap876.64M
Revenue(TTM)3.00B
Net Income(TTM)16.32M
Analysts46.67
Price Target17.09 (1.67%)
Short Float %12.04%
Short Ratio5.74
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.35%
Yearly Dividend3.53
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.88%
DP393.6%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)48.88%
Min EPS beat(2)36.86%
Max EPS beat(2)60.89%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)23.49%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.23%
Max EPS beat(4)60.89%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)16.26%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)24.73%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)18.99%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.09%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.59%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.17%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.68%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.56%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.32%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.24%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.93%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.19
Fwd PE 9.82
P/S 0.28
P/FCF 69.02
P/OCF 8.66
P/B 1.8
P/tB 1.94
EV/EBITDA 6.24
EPS(TTM)1.65
EY9.82%
EPS(NY)1.71
Fwd EY10.18%
FCF(TTM)0.24
FCFY1.45%
OCF(TTM)1.94
OCFY11.54%
SpS59.28
BVpS9.35
TBVpS8.66
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.19
Graham Number18.63
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.55%
ROE 3.35%
ROCE 6.65%
ROIC 5.89%
ROICexc 6.47%
ROICexgc 6.6%
OM 4.53%
PM (TTM) 0.53%
GM 42.7%
FCFM 0.41%
ROA(3y)5.51%
ROA(5y)3.97%
ROE(3y)23.53%
ROE(5y)16.57%
ROIC(3y)11.49%
ROIC(5y)10.21%
ROICexc(3y)13.77%
ROICexc(5y)12.63%
ROICexgc(3y)14.09%
ROICexgc(5y)12.95%
ROCE(3y)12.97%
ROCE(5y)11.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.98%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.08%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1%
OM growth 3Y-22.39%
OM growth 5Y-0.26%
PM growth 3Y-35.42%
PM growth 5Y-13.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.27%
GM growth 5Y2.75%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.04
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.22
Debt/FCF 49.11
Debt/EBITDA 2.84
Cap/Depr 126.32%
Cap/Sales 2.86%
Interest Coverage 5.47
Cash Conversion 48.19%
Profit Quality 77.81%
Current Ratio 1.52
Quick Ratio 0.76
Altman-Z 2.17
F-Score5
WACC5.42%
ROIC/WACC1.09
Cap/Depr(3y)130.91%
Cap/Depr(5y)106.86%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.96%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.47%
Profit Quality(3y)79.46%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34%
EPS 3Y-12.39%
EPS 5Y4.64%
EPS Q2Q%2.94%
EPS Next Y-16.94%
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.88%
Revenue growth 3Y4.94%
Revenue growth 5Y2.26%
Sales Q2Q%7.16%
Revenue Next Year8.8%
Revenue Next 2Y6.41%
Revenue Next 3Y5.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-36.61%
EBIT growth 3Y-18.55%
EBIT growth 5Y2%
EBIT Next Year26.43%
EBIT Next 3Y11.08%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-91.05%
FCF growth 3Y-19.45%
FCF growth 5Y-23.52%
OCF growth 1Y-52.93%
OCF growth 3Y-2.58%
OCF growth 5Y-9.27%

Guess Inc / GES FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of Guess Inc (GES) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GES.


What is the valuation status for GES stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to Guess Inc (GES). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is Guess Inc (GES) stock?

Guess Inc (GES) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of Guess Inc (GES) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for Guess Inc (GES) is 10.19 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.8.


What is the expected EPS growth for Guess Inc (GES) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of Guess Inc (GES) is expected to decline by -16.94% in the next year.