GUESS? INC (GES) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GES - US4016171054 - Common Stock
16.82 USD
-0.05 (-0.3%)
16.82 USD
0 (0%)
GES gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 122 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. GES has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. GES has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- GES had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year GES had a positive cash flow from operations.
- GES had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years GES had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- GES has a Return On Assets (0.55%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- GES's Return On Equity of 3.35% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GES outperforms 58.20% of its industry peers.
- GES has a Return On Invested Capital (5.89%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GES is in line with the industry average of 12.24%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (5.89%) for GES is well below the 3 year average (11.49%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that GES had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.55% | ||
| ROE | 3.35% | ||
| ROIC | 5.89% |
ROA(3y)5.51%
ROA(5y)3.97%
ROE(3y)23.53%
ROE(5y)16.57%
ROIC(3y)11.49%
ROIC(5y)10.21%
1.3 Margins
- GES has a Profit Margin of 0.53%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GES outperforms 51.64% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GES has declined.
- GES has a better Operating Margin (4.53%) than 64.75% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GES has remained more or less at the same level.
- GES's Gross Margin of 42.70% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GES outperforms 63.93% of its industry peers.
- GES's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.53% | ||
| GM | 42.7% |
OM growth 3Y-22.39%
OM growth 5Y-0.26%
PM growth 3Y-35.42%
PM growth 5Y-13.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.27%
GM growth 5Y2.75%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GES is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, GES has less shares outstanding
- GES has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, GES has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- GES has an Altman-Z score of 2.17. This is not the best score and indicates that GES is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- GES has a Altman-Z score (2.17) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- GES has a debt to FCF ratio of 49.11. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GES would need 49.11 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- GES has a Debt to FCF ratio (49.11) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.22 is on the high side and indicates that GES has dependencies on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of GES (1.22) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 49.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.17 |
ROIC/WACC1.08
WACC5.46%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.52 indicates that GES should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- GES has a better Current ratio (1.52) than 62.30% of its industry peers.
- GES has a Quick Ratio of 1.52. This is a bad value and indicates that GES is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a decent Quick ratio value of 0.76, GES is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.93% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.52 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.76 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- GES shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -34.00%.
- GES shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 4.64% yearly.
- GES shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.88%.
- Measured over the past years, GES shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.26% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34%
EPS 3Y-12.39%
EPS 5Y4.64%
EPS Q2Q%2.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.88%
Revenue growth 3Y4.94%
Revenue growth 5Y2.26%
Sales Q2Q%7.16%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -0.01% on average over the next years.
- Based on estimates for the next years, GES will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.07% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-16.94%
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.8%
Revenue Next 2Y6.41%
Revenue Next 3Y5.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 10.19, which indicates a very decent valuation of GES.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GES is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.07% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.33. GES is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.83, the valuation of GES can be described as reasonable.
- 85.25% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GES, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- GES's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.12.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.83 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- GES's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GES is cheaper than 79.51% of the companies in the same industry.
- GES's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 69.06 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.25 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- GES has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.2
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- GES has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.36%, which is a nice return.
- GES's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.13. GES pays more dividend than 92.62% of the companies in the same industry.
- GES's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.91.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.36% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of GES grows each year by 43.88%, which is quite nice.
- GES has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- GES has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.88%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
- 393.60% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GES. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The Dividend Rate of GES has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP393.6%
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
16.82
-0.05 (-0.3%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)11-25 2025-11-25/amc
Earnings (Next)04-01 2026-04-01/amc
Inst Owners57.77%
Inst Owner Change-2.24%
Ins Owners31.89%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap877.16M
Revenue(TTM)3.00B
Net Income(TTM)16.32M
Analysts46.67
Price Target17.09 (1.61%)
Short Float %12.28%
Short Ratio7.58
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.36% |
Yearly Dividend3.53
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.88%
DP393.6%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)48.88%
Min EPS beat(2)36.86%
Max EPS beat(2)60.89%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)23.49%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.23%
Max EPS beat(4)60.89%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)16.26%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)24.73%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)18.99%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.09%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.59%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.17%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.68%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.56%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.32%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.24%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.88%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.93%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.83 | ||
| P/S | 0.28 | ||
| P/FCF | 69.06 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.67 | ||
| P/B | 1.8 | ||
| P/tB | 1.94 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.25 |
EPS(TTM)1.65
EY9.81%
EPS(NY)1.71
Fwd EY10.18%
FCF(TTM)0.24
FCFY1.45%
OCF(TTM)1.94
OCFY11.53%
SpS59.28
BVpS9.35
TBVpS8.66
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.2
Graham Number18.63
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.55% | ||
| ROE | 3.35% | ||
| ROCE | 6.65% | ||
| ROIC | 5.89% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.47% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.6% | ||
| OM | 4.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.53% | ||
| GM | 42.7% | ||
| FCFM | 0.41% |
ROA(3y)5.51%
ROA(5y)3.97%
ROE(3y)23.53%
ROE(5y)16.57%
ROIC(3y)11.49%
ROIC(5y)10.21%
ROICexc(3y)13.77%
ROICexc(5y)12.63%
ROICexgc(3y)14.09%
ROICexgc(5y)12.95%
ROCE(3y)12.97%
ROCE(5y)11.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.98%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.08%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1%
OM growth 3Y-22.39%
OM growth 5Y-0.26%
PM growth 3Y-35.42%
PM growth 5Y-13.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.27%
GM growth 5Y2.75%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.04
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 49.11 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.84 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 126.32% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.86% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.47 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 48.19% | ||
| Profit Quality | 77.81% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.52 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.76 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.17 |
F-Score5
WACC5.46%
ROIC/WACC1.08
Cap/Depr(3y)130.91%
Cap/Depr(5y)106.86%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.96%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.47%
Profit Quality(3y)79.46%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34%
EPS 3Y-12.39%
EPS 5Y4.64%
EPS Q2Q%2.94%
EPS Next Y-16.94%
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.88%
Revenue growth 3Y4.94%
Revenue growth 5Y2.26%
Sales Q2Q%7.16%
Revenue Next Year8.8%
Revenue Next 2Y6.41%
Revenue Next 3Y5.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-36.61%
EBIT growth 3Y-18.55%
EBIT growth 5Y2%
EBIT Next Year26.43%
EBIT Next 3Y11.08%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-91.05%
FCF growth 3Y-19.45%
FCF growth 5Y-23.52%
OCF growth 1Y-52.93%
OCF growth 3Y-2.58%
OCF growth 5Y-9.27%
GUESS? INC / GES FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of GUESS? INC (GES) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GES.
What is the valuation status for GES stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to GUESS? INC (GES). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is GUESS? INC (GES) stock?
GUESS? INC (GES) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of GUESS? INC (GES) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GUESS? INC (GES) is 10.19 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.8.
What is the expected EPS growth for GUESS? INC (GES) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GUESS? INC (GES) is expected to decline by -16.94% in the next year.