Guess Inc (GES) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:GES • US4016171054

Current stock price

16.81 USD
-0.05 (-0.3%)
At close:
16.8116 USD
+0 (+0.01%)
After Hours:

This GES fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. GES Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GES was profitable.
  • In the past year GES had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • GES had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years GES always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
GES Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGES Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 0.55%, GES perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.64% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GES has a Return On Equity (3.35%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • GES has a Return On Invested Capital (5.89%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GES is in line with the industry average of 13.21%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (5.89%) for GES is well below the 3 year average (11.49%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that GES had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.55%
ROE 3.35%
ROIC 5.89%
ROA(3y)5.51%
ROA(5y)3.97%
ROE(3y)23.53%
ROE(5y)16.57%
ROIC(3y)11.49%
ROIC(5y)10.21%
GES Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGES Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of GES (0.53%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GES has declined.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 4.53%, GES is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GES's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • GES has a better Gross Margin (42.70%) than 63.93% of its industry peers.
  • GES's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.53%
PM (TTM) 0.53%
GM 42.7%
OM growth 3Y-22.39%
OM growth 5Y-0.26%
PM growth 3Y-35.42%
PM growth 5Y-13.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.27%
GM growth 5Y2.75%
GES Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGES Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

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4

2. GES Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • GES has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • GES has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, GES has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GES has a worse debt to assets ratio.
GES Yearly Shares OutstandingGES Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
GES Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGES Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • GES has an Altman-Z score of 2.17. This is not the best score and indicates that GES is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 2.17, GES perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GES is 49.11, which is on the high side as it means it would take GES, 49.11 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • GES has a Debt to FCF ratio (49.11) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • GES has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.22. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • GES has a Debt to Equity ratio (1.22) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.22
Debt/FCF 49.11
Altman-Z 2.17
ROIC/WACC1.09
WACC5.42%
GES Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGES Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.52 indicates that GES should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.52, GES is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.30% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GES has a Quick Ratio of 1.52. This is a bad value and indicates that GES is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GES has a Quick ratio of 0.76. This is in the better half of the industry: GES outperforms 64.75% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.52
Quick Ratio 0.76
GES Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGES Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. GES Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • GES shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -34.00%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 4.64% on average over the past years.
  • Looking at the last year, GES shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 7.88% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, GES shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.26% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34%
EPS 3Y-12.39%
EPS 5Y4.64%
EPS Q2Q%2.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.88%
Revenue growth 3Y4.94%
Revenue growth 5Y2.26%
Sales Q2Q%7.16%

3.2 Future

  • GES is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -0.01% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, GES will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.07% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-16.94%
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.8%
Revenue Next 2Y6.41%
Revenue Next 3Y5.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
GES Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGES Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
GES Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGES Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 2 3

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6

4. GES Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • GES is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.19.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GES is valued cheaper than 83.61% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GES to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.54), we can say GES is valued rather cheaply.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.82, the valuation of GES can be described as very reasonable.
  • GES's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GES is cheaper than 85.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.70. GES is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.19
Fwd PE 9.82
GES Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGES Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GES is valued cheaply inside the industry as 81.15% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • GES's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 69.02
EV/EBITDA 6.24
GES Per share dataGES EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • GES has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.19
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. GES Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • GES has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.35%, which is a nice return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.79, GES pays a better dividend. On top of this GES pays more dividend than 91.80% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, GES pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.35%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of GES grows each year by 43.88%, which is quite nice.
  • GES has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • GES has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.88%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
GES Yearly Dividends per shareGES Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • 393.60% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GES. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The Dividend Rate of GES has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP393.6%
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
GES Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGES Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M
GES Dividend Payout.GES Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GES Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

More info and screens

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GES Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

Guess Inc

NYSE:GES (1/22/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 16.8116 +0 (+0.01%)

16.81

-0.05 (-0.3%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)11-25
Earnings (Next)04-01
Inst Owners57.77%
Inst Owner Change-10.22%
Ins Owners31.89%
Ins Owner Change-444.76%
Market Cap876.64M
Revenue(TTM)3.00B
Net Income(TTM)16.32M
Analysts46.67
Price Target17.09 (1.67%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.35%
Yearly Dividend3.53
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.88%
DP393.6%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)48.88%
Min EPS beat(2)36.86%
Max EPS beat(2)60.89%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)23.49%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.23%
Max EPS beat(4)60.89%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)16.26%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)24.73%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)18.99%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.09%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.59%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.17%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.68%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.56%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.32%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.24%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.93%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.19
Fwd PE 9.82
P/S 0.28
P/FCF 69.02
P/OCF 8.66
P/B 1.8
P/tB 1.94
EV/EBITDA 6.24
EPS(TTM)1.65
EY9.82%
EPS(NY)1.71
Fwd EY10.18%
FCF(TTM)0.24
FCFY1.45%
OCF(TTM)1.94
OCFY11.54%
SpS59.28
BVpS9.35
TBVpS8.66
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.19
Graham Number18.63
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.55%
ROE 3.35%
ROCE 6.65%
ROIC 5.89%
ROICexc 6.47%
ROICexgc 6.6%
OM 4.53%
PM (TTM) 0.53%
GM 42.7%
FCFM 0.41%
ROA(3y)5.51%
ROA(5y)3.97%
ROE(3y)23.53%
ROE(5y)16.57%
ROIC(3y)11.49%
ROIC(5y)10.21%
ROICexc(3y)13.77%
ROICexc(5y)12.63%
ROICexgc(3y)14.09%
ROICexgc(5y)12.95%
ROCE(3y)12.97%
ROCE(5y)11.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.98%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.08%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1%
OM growth 3Y-22.39%
OM growth 5Y-0.26%
PM growth 3Y-35.42%
PM growth 5Y-13.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.27%
GM growth 5Y2.75%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.04
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.22
Debt/FCF 49.11
Debt/EBITDA 2.84
Cap/Depr 126.32%
Cap/Sales 2.86%
Interest Coverage 5.47
Cash Conversion 48.19%
Profit Quality 77.81%
Current Ratio 1.52
Quick Ratio 0.76
Altman-Z 2.17
F-Score5
WACC5.42%
ROIC/WACC1.09
Cap/Depr(3y)130.91%
Cap/Depr(5y)106.86%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.96%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.47%
Profit Quality(3y)79.46%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34%
EPS 3Y-12.39%
EPS 5Y4.64%
EPS Q2Q%2.94%
EPS Next Y-16.94%
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.88%
Revenue growth 3Y4.94%
Revenue growth 5Y2.26%
Sales Q2Q%7.16%
Revenue Next Year8.8%
Revenue Next 2Y6.41%
Revenue Next 3Y5.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-36.61%
EBIT growth 3Y-18.55%
EBIT growth 5Y2%
EBIT Next Year26.43%
EBIT Next 3Y11.08%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-91.05%
FCF growth 3Y-19.45%
FCF growth 5Y-23.52%
OCF growth 1Y-52.93%
OCF growth 3Y-2.58%
OCF growth 5Y-9.27%

Guess Inc / GES Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of Guess Inc (GES) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GES.


What is the valuation status for GES stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to Guess Inc (GES). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is Guess Inc (GES) stock?

Guess Inc (GES) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of Guess Inc (GES) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for Guess Inc (GES) is 10.19 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.8.


What is the expected EPS growth for Guess Inc (GES) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of Guess Inc (GES) is expected to decline by -16.94% in the next year.