Guess Inc (GES) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:GES • US4016171054

16.81 USD
-0.05 (-0.3%)
At close: Jan 22, 2026
16.8116 USD
+0 (+0.01%)
After Hours: 1/22/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Analyst Ratings Earnings Estimates Financials Ownership News
Fundamental Rating

5

Overall GES gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated GES against 123 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. GES has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. GES has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GES was profitable.
  • GES had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • GES had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years GES always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
GES Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGES Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • GES has a Return On Assets (0.55%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • GES's Return On Equity of 3.35% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GES outperforms 58.20% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 5.89%, GES perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GES is below the industry average of 13.61%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (11.49%) for GES is well above the current ROIC(5.89%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.55%
ROE 3.35%
ROIC 5.89%
ROA(3y)5.51%
ROA(5y)3.97%
ROE(3y)23.53%
ROE(5y)16.57%
ROIC(3y)11.49%
ROIC(5y)10.21%
GES Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGES Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • GES has a Profit Margin (0.53%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GES has declined.
  • GES's Operating Margin of 4.53% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GES outperforms 64.75% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GES has remained more or less at the same level.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 42.70%, GES is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.93% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GES's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.53%
PM (TTM) 0.53%
GM 42.7%
OM growth 3Y-22.39%
OM growth 5Y-0.26%
PM growth 3Y-35.42%
PM growth 5Y-13.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.27%
GM growth 5Y2.75%
GES Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGES Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GES is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GES has less shares outstanding
  • GES has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • GES has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
GES Yearly Shares OutstandingGES Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
GES Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGES Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • GES has an Altman-Z score of 2.17. This is not the best score and indicates that GES is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.17, GES is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GES is 49.11, which is on the high side as it means it would take GES, 49.11 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 49.11, GES perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.22 is on the high side and indicates that GES has dependencies on debt financing.
  • GES has a Debt to Equity ratio (1.22) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.22
Debt/FCF 49.11
Altman-Z 2.17
ROIC/WACC1.09
WACC5.42%
GES Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGES Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.52 indicates that GES should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of GES (1.52) is better than 62.30% of its industry peers.
  • GES has a Quick Ratio of 1.52. This is a bad value and indicates that GES is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GES has a Quick ratio of 0.76. This is in the better half of the industry: GES outperforms 64.75% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.52
Quick Ratio 0.76
GES Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGES Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for GES have decreased strongly by -34.00% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, GES shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 4.64% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.88% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, GES shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.26% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34%
EPS 3Y-12.39%
EPS 5Y4.64%
EPS Q2Q%2.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.88%
Revenue growth 3Y4.94%
Revenue growth 5Y2.26%
Sales Q2Q%7.16%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -0.01% on average over the next years.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.07% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-16.94%
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.8%
Revenue Next 2Y6.41%
Revenue Next 3Y5.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
GES Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGES Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
GES Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGES Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 2 3

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 10.19, the valuation of GES can be described as reasonable.
  • 83.61% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GES, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • GES is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.07, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 9.82, which indicates a very decent valuation of GES.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GES is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.25% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GES to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.05), we can say GES is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.19
Fwd PE 9.82
GES Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGES Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GES is valued cheaper than 81.15% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as GES.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 69.02
EV/EBITDA 6.24
GES Per share dataGES EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.19
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • GES has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.35%, which is a nice return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.33, GES pays a better dividend. On top of this GES pays more dividend than 91.80% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • GES's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.35%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of GES grows each year by 43.88%, which is quite nice.
  • GES has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • GES has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.88%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
GES Yearly Dividends per shareGES Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • GES pays out 393.60% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • GES's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP393.6%
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
GES Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGES Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M
GES Dividend Payout.GES Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GES Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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Guess Inc

NYSE:GES (1/22/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 16.8116 +0 (+0.01%)

16.81

-0.05 (-0.3%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)11-25
Earnings (Next)04-01
Inst Owners57.77%
Inst Owner Change-10.22%
Ins Owners31.89%
Ins Owner Change-437.95%
Market Cap876.64M
Revenue(TTM)3.00B
Net Income(TTM)16.32M
Analysts46.67
Price Target17.09 (1.67%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.35%
Yearly Dividend3.53
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.88%
DP393.6%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)48.88%
Min EPS beat(2)36.86%
Max EPS beat(2)60.89%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)23.49%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.23%
Max EPS beat(4)60.89%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)16.26%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)24.73%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)18.99%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.09%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.59%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.17%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.68%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.56%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.32%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.24%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.93%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.19
Fwd PE 9.82
P/S 0.28
P/FCF 69.02
P/OCF 8.66
P/B 1.8
P/tB 1.94
EV/EBITDA 6.24
EPS(TTM)1.65
EY9.82%
EPS(NY)1.71
Fwd EY10.18%
FCF(TTM)0.24
FCFY1.45%
OCF(TTM)1.94
OCFY11.54%
SpS59.28
BVpS9.35
TBVpS8.66
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.19
Graham Number18.63
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.55%
ROE 3.35%
ROCE 6.65%
ROIC 5.89%
ROICexc 6.47%
ROICexgc 6.6%
OM 4.53%
PM (TTM) 0.53%
GM 42.7%
FCFM 0.41%
ROA(3y)5.51%
ROA(5y)3.97%
ROE(3y)23.53%
ROE(5y)16.57%
ROIC(3y)11.49%
ROIC(5y)10.21%
ROICexc(3y)13.77%
ROICexc(5y)12.63%
ROICexgc(3y)14.09%
ROICexgc(5y)12.95%
ROCE(3y)12.97%
ROCE(5y)11.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.98%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.08%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1%
OM growth 3Y-22.39%
OM growth 5Y-0.26%
PM growth 3Y-35.42%
PM growth 5Y-13.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.27%
GM growth 5Y2.75%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.04
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.22
Debt/FCF 49.11
Debt/EBITDA 2.84
Cap/Depr 126.32%
Cap/Sales 2.86%
Interest Coverage 5.47
Cash Conversion 48.19%
Profit Quality 77.81%
Current Ratio 1.52
Quick Ratio 0.76
Altman-Z 2.17
F-Score5
WACC5.42%
ROIC/WACC1.09
Cap/Depr(3y)130.91%
Cap/Depr(5y)106.86%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.96%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.47%
Profit Quality(3y)79.46%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34%
EPS 3Y-12.39%
EPS 5Y4.64%
EPS Q2Q%2.94%
EPS Next Y-16.94%
EPS Next 2Y-6.78%
EPS Next 3Y-0.01%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.88%
Revenue growth 3Y4.94%
Revenue growth 5Y2.26%
Sales Q2Q%7.16%
Revenue Next Year8.8%
Revenue Next 2Y6.41%
Revenue Next 3Y5.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-36.61%
EBIT growth 3Y-18.55%
EBIT growth 5Y2%
EBIT Next Year26.43%
EBIT Next 3Y11.08%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-91.05%
FCF growth 3Y-19.45%
FCF growth 5Y-23.52%
OCF growth 1Y-52.93%
OCF growth 3Y-2.58%
OCF growth 5Y-9.27%

Guess Inc / GES FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of Guess Inc (GES) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GES.


What is the valuation status for GES stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to Guess Inc (GES). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is Guess Inc (GES) stock?

Guess Inc (GES) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of Guess Inc (GES) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for Guess Inc (GES) is 10.19 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.8.


What is the expected EPS growth for Guess Inc (GES) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of Guess Inc (GES) is expected to decline by -16.94% in the next year.