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ALPHA ARCHITECT TAIL RISK (CAOS) Stock Technical Analysis

USA - NYSEARCA:CAOS - US02072L5167 - ETF

89.5599 USD
+0.04 (+0.05%)
Last: 9/12/2025, 8:04:02 PM
Technical Rating and Analysis

7

We assign a technical rating of 7 out of 10 to CAOS. Although CAOS is only a medium performer in the overall market, the technical picture looks good in both the medium and short term time frames.

Both the short term and long term trends are positive. This is a very positive sign.
When comparing the performance of all stocks over the past year, CAOS turns out to be only a medium performer in the overall market: it outperformed 41% of all stocks.
CAOS is currently trading in the middle of its 52 week range. The S&P500 Index however is currently trading near new highs, so CAOS is lagging the market.
In the last month CAOS has a been trading in a tight range between 89.01 and 89.77.
Weekly and Daily overview Charts
ALPHA ARCHITECT TAIL RISK / CAOS Weekly stock chart
ALPHA ARCHITECT TAIL RISK / CAOS Daily stock chart
Setup Rating and Analysis

10

Besides having an excellent technical rating, CAOS also presents a decent setup pattern. We see reduced volatility while prices have been consolidating in the most recent period. A pullback is taking place, which may present a nice opportunity for an entry. There is very little resistance above the current price. There is a support zone below the current price at 89.49, a Stop Loss order could be placed below this zone. We notice that large players showed an interest for CAOS in the last couple of days, which is a good sign. Another positive sign is the recent Pocket Pivot signal.

  • Behavior of large players is measured by the Effective Volume indicator. This indicator inspects the 1 minute timeframe looking for high volume transactions.
  • A Pocket Pivot is a price/volume accumulation pattern. A Pocket Pivot occurs when price moves up with volume higher than the maximum down volume registered in the previous 10 days.
Support and Resistance Analysis

82.46

92.42

When analyzing the support we can see 2 important areas.

  • A support zone ranging from 87.12 to 89.49. This zone is formed by a combination of multiple trend lines and important moving averages in multiple time frames.
  • A support zone ranging from 83.29 to 83.41. This zone is formed by a combination of multiple trend lines in multiple time frames.

We found 1 important resistance area.

  • A resistance zone ranging from 90.35 to 91.50. This zone is formed by a combination of multiple trend lines in multiple time frames.
Technical Indicator Signal Analysis

The Technical Rating and Setup analysis above combine different indicators and trends in different timeframes. Individual signals from indicators may give more contradictive signals and should always be interpreted in the more global context.

IndicatorValueSignalComment
ChartMill Long Term Trend IndicatorUPPOSITIVEThe long term trend for CAOS is up.
ChartMill Short Term Trend IndicatorUPPOSITIVEThe short term trend for CAOS is up.
ChartMill Relative Strength41.74NEUTRALCAOS is not amongst the best or worst performers on the market.
Simple Moving Average/SMA (20)UPPOSITIVEThe current price of CAOS is above the rising SMA(20).
Simple Moving Average/SMA (50)UPPOSITIVEThe current price of CAOS is above the rising SMA(50).
Simple Moving Average/SMA (200)UPPOSITIVEThe current price of CAOS is above the rising SMA(200).
Relative Strength Index/RSI (14)63.22NEUTRALThe RSI value for CAOS is a neutral value.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence/MACD (12, 26, 9)0POSITIVEThe MACD value suggests CAOS has a positive trend, although the MACD value is declining.
Stochastics (14,3)64.88NEUTRALThe Stochastics value for CAOS is a neutral value.
Average True Range in percent/ATR (20)0.23LOW VOLATILITYThe low ATR as a percentage value for CAOS suggests low volalility.
Average Directional Index/ADX (14)64.25POSITIVEThe high ADX value value for CAOS suggests a strong trend.
Chart- and CandleStick Pattern Analysis
Daily CandleStick Patterns
Bullish Engulfing (D)
Bullish Hammer (D)
Bearish Inverted Hammer (D)
Hanging Man (D)
Bullish Harami (D)
Doji (D)
Gravestone Doji (D)
DragonFly Doji (D)
Bearish Engulfing (D)
Bearish Shooting Star (D)
Bearish Harami (D)
Inside Bar (D)
Red Dog Reversal Down (D)
Red Dog Reversal Up (D)
Dark Cloud Cover (D)
Weekly CandleStick Patterns
Bullish Engulfing (W)
Bullish Hammer (W)
Bearish Inverted Hammer (W)
Hanging Man (W)
Bullish Harami (W)
Doji (W)
Gravestone Doji (W)
DragonFly Doji (W)
Bearish Engulfing (W)
Bearish Shooting Star (W)
Bearish Harami (W)
Inside Bar (W)
Dark Cloud Cover (W)
Daily Chart Patterns
Bull Flag
Bear Flag
Ascending Triangle (D)
Descending Triangle (D)
Symmetrical Triangle (D)
Squeeze
Channel (D)
Channel Up (D)
Channel Down (D)
Rising Wedge (D)
Falling Wedge (D)
Double Bottom (D)
Multiple Bottom (D)
Double Top (D)
Multiple Top (D)
Weekly Chart Patterns
Weekly Bull Flag
Weekly Bear Flag
Squeeze Week
Channel (W)
Double Bottom (W)
Multiple Bottom (W)
Double Top (W)
Multiple Top (W)
Example Setup

Important!: this is just an example which is fully automatically generated based on the analysis above and should in no way be interpreted as a suggestion. Always make your own analysis and determine your own entry and exit points.

ENTRYEXITDISTANCECAPITAL
89.7889.230.55 (0.61%)25.00%
An entry @89.78. This is a Buy Stop order right above the 10 day high.An exit @89.23. This is a Stop Loss order right below the 10 day low.The worst case loss on the trade is limited to 0.55 points, which is 0.61%.When investing 25.00% of your capital in this trade, your total portfolio risk will be 0.15%.

  • The generated setup is based on the nearest support and resistance areas. If you are looking for a more long term trade, probably a wider stop is advisable.
  • This trade setup was generated fully automatically and should not be interpreted as trading advice. Always check the related news for upcoming earnings or other events. Make your own analysis and trade at your own responsibility.
ALPHA ARCHITECT TAIL RISK / CAOS Daily stock chart

ALPHA ARCHITECT TAIL RISK

NYSEARCA:CAOS (9/12/2025, 8:04:02 PM)

89.5599

+0.04 (+0.05%)

Chartmill TA Rating
Chartmill Setup Rating
Sector
GICS SectorN/A
GICS IndustryN/A
Performance
% Chg0.05%
1 Week-0.06%
2 Weeks0.13%
1 Month0.5%
3 Month0.61%
6 Month1.84%
12 Month3.7%
2 Year10.16%
3 YearN/A
5 YearN/A
10 YearN/A
15 YearN/A
Volatility
ATR(14)0.2
ATR(20)%0.23%
ATR Inc-42.72%
Range Today0.11
ADR(20)0.2
ADR(20)%0.22%
Trend & SMA
ST Trend
LT Trend
SMA(5)
SMA(10)
SMA(20)
SMA(50)
SMA(100)
SMA(200)
Relative Strength & Ranges
CRS41.74
Mansfield-0.85
10 Day High89.77
10 Day Low89.24
20 Day High89.77
20 Day Low89.01
52 Week High92.11
52 Week Low86.33
CS1 End89.49
CR1 Start90.35
Volume & EV
DER(3)4.13%
DER(5)3.66%
Volume76.60K
Volume Incr-51.42%
Vol(5)33.09K
Vol(50)39.80K