US92840M1027 - Common Stock

We assign a fundamental rating of **5** out of 10 to **VST**. **VST** was compared to 22 industry peers in the **Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers** industry. **VST** has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. **VST** is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.

In the past year **VST** was profitable.

The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: **VST** reported negative net income in multiple years.

Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
---|---|---|---|

ROA | 1.22% | ||

ROE | 8.53% | ||

ROIC | 4.58% |

ROA(3y)-1.5%

ROA(5y)0.3%

ROE(3y)-6.13%

ROE(5y)0.17%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

The **Operating Margin** of **VST** (**13.01%**) is comparable to the rest of the industry.

In the last couple of years the **Operating Margin** of **VST** has grown nicely.

Looking at the **Gross Margin**, with a value of **105.08%**, **VST** belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming **100.00%** of the companies in the same industry.

In the last couple of years the **Gross Margin** of **VST** has remained more or less at the same level.

Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
---|---|---|---|

OM | 13.01% | ||

PM (TTM) | 3.39% | ||

GM | 105.08% |

OM growth 3Y4.15%

OM growth 5Y27.82%

PM growth 3Y17.81%

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y0.05%

GM growth 5YN/A

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), **VST** is destroying value.

Compared to 1 year ago, **VST** has less shares outstanding

Compared to 5 years ago, **VST** has less shares outstanding

Compared to 1 year ago, **VST** has a worse debt to assets ratio.

Based on the Altman-Z score of **1.29**, we must say that **VST** is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.

The Debt to FCF ratio of **VST** is **16.93**, which is on the high side as it means it would take **VST**, **16.93** years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.

Looking at the **Debt to Equity ratio**, with a value of **2.67**, **VST** is in line with its industry, outperforming **54.55%** of the companies in the same industry.

Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
---|---|---|---|

Debt/Equity | 2.67 | ||

Debt/FCF | 16.93 | ||

Altman-Z | 1.29 |

ROIC/WACC0.59

WACC7.71%

A Current Ratio of **0.98** indicates that **VST** may have some problems paying its short term obligations.

Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
---|---|---|---|

Current Ratio | 0.98 | ||

Quick Ratio | 0.88 |

The **Revenue** has been growing by **10.08%** on average over the past years. This is quite good.

EPS 1Y (TTM)62.06%

EPS 3Y33.64%

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%332%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.66%

Revenue growth 3Y8.9%

Revenue growth 5Y10.08%

Sales Q2Q%53.89%

EPS Next Y30.76%

EPS Next 2Y39%

EPS Next 3Y32.88%

EPS Next 5Y22.24%

Revenue Next Year8.13%

Revenue Next 2Y9.78%

Revenue Next 3Y7.83%

Revenue Next 5Y4.19%

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.

Based on the **Price/Earnings** ratio of **25.75**, the valuation of **VST** can be described as expensive.

Based on the **Price/Earnings** ratio, **VST** is valued a bit cheaper than 77.27% of the companies in the same industry.

The **Price/Forward Earnings** ratio is **20.52**, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of **VST**.

Based on the **Price/Forward Earnings** ratio, **VST** is valued cheaper than 86.36% of the companies in the same industry.

When comparing the **Price/Forward Earnings** ratio of **VST** to the average of the S&P500 Index (**23.90**), we can say **VST** is valued inline with the index average.

Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
---|---|---|---|

PE | 25.75 | ||

Fwd PE | 20.52 |

Based on the **Price/Free Cash Flow** ratio, **VST** is valued cheaply inside the industry as 81.82% of the companies are valued more expensively.

Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
---|---|---|---|

P/FCF | 48.95 | ||

EV/EBITDA | 15.72 |

A more expensive valuation may be justified as **VST**'s earnings are expected to grow with **32.88%** in the coming years.

PEG (NY)0.84

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y39%

EPS Next 3Y32.88%

Compared to an average S&P500 **Dividend Yield** of **2.21**, **VST**'s dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.

Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
---|---|---|---|

Dividend Yield | 0.65% |

On average, the dividend of **VST** grows each year by **13.13%**, which is quite nice.

Dividend Growth(5Y)13.13%

Div Incr Years4

Div Non Decr Years4

DP96.44%

EPS Next 2Y39%

EPS Next 3Y32.88%

**VISTRA CORP**

NYSE:VST (11/8/2024, 8:27:49 PM)

After market: 143.5 +1.6 (+1.13%)**141.9**

**+6.17 (+4.55%) **

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorUtilities

GICS IndustryGroupUtilities

GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers

Earnings (Last)

Earnings (Next)

Inst Owners

Inst Owner Change

Ins Owners

Ins Owner Change

Market Cap48.75B

Analysts

Price Target

Dividend

Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
---|---|---|---|

Dividend Yield | 0.65% |

Dividend Growth(5Y)

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Div Non Decr Years

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Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)

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EPS beat(16)

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Revenue beat(8)

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EPS NY rev (3m)

Revenue NQ rev (1m)

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Valuation

Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
---|---|---|---|

PE | 25.75 | ||

Fwd PE | 20.52 | ||

P/S | |||

P/FCF | |||

P/OCF | |||

P/B | |||

P/tB | |||

EV/EBITDA |

EPS(TTM)

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EPS(NY)

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FCF(TTM)

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OCF(TTM)

OCFY

SpS

BVpS

TBVpS

PEG (NY)0.84

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
---|---|---|---|

ROA | 1.22% | ||

ROE | 8.53% | ||

ROCE | |||

ROIC | |||

ROICexc | |||

ROICexgc | |||

OM | 13.01% | ||

PM (TTM) | 3.39% | ||

GM | 105.08% | ||

FCFM |

ROA(3y)

ROA(5y)

ROE(3y)

ROE(5y)

ROIC(3y)

ROIC(5y)

ROICexc(3y)

ROICexc(5y)

ROICexgc(3y)

ROICexgc(5y)

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ROICexcg growth 3Y

ROICexcg growth 5Y

ROICexc growth 3Y

ROICexc growth 5Y

OM growth 3Y

OM growth 5Y

PM growth 3Y

PM growth 5Y

GM growth 3Y

GM growth 5Y

F-Score

Asset Turnover0.36

Health

Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
---|---|---|---|

Debt/Equity | 2.67 | ||

Debt/FCF | |||

Debt/EBITDA | |||

Cap/Depr | |||

Cap/Sales | |||

Interest Coverage | |||

Cash Conversion | |||

Profit Quality | |||

Current Ratio | 0.98 | ||

Quick Ratio | 0.88 | ||

Altman-Z |

F-Score

WACC

ROIC/WACC

Cap/Depr(3y)

Cap/Depr(5y)

Cap/Sales(3y)

Cap/Sales(5y)

Profit Quality(3y)

Profit Quality(5y)

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)62.06%

EPS 3Y33.64%

EPS 5Y

EPS Q2Q%

EPS Next Y30.76%

EPS Next 2Y

EPS Next 3Y

EPS Next 5Y

Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.66%

Revenue growth 3Y8.9%

Revenue growth 5Y

Sales Q2Q%

Revenue Next Year

Revenue Next 2Y

Revenue Next 3Y

Revenue Next 5Y

EBIT growth 1Y

EBIT growth 3Y

EBIT growth 5Y

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EBIT Next 5Y

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