VISTRA CORP (VST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:VST - US92840M1027 - Common Stock
175 USD
+0.31 (+0.18%)
175 USD
0 (0%)
Overall VST gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated VST against 20 industry peers in the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers industry. There are concerns on the financial health of VST while its profitability can be described as average. VST is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year VST was profitable.
VST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: VST reported negative net income in multiple years.
VST had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.52%, VST belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of VST (18.43%) is better than 90.00% of its industry peers.
VST has a better Return On Invested Capital (5.32%) than 85.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.52% | ||
| ROE | 18.43% | ||
| ROIC | 5.32% |
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of VST (5.58%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
VST's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 12.24%, VST is in line with its industry, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
VST's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.58% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), VST is destroying value.
VST has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for VST has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
VST has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
VST has an Altman-Z score of 1.71. This is a bad value and indicates that VST is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.71, VST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
VST has a debt to FCF ratio of 44.74. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as VST would need 44.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
VST's Debt to FCF ratio of 44.74 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VST outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
VST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.42. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of VST (3.42) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.42 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 44.74 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.71 |
ROIC/WACC0.68
WACC7.87%
2.3 Liquidity
VST has a Current Ratio of 0.99. This is a bad value and indicates that VST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.99, VST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.88 indicates that VST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
VST has a Quick ratio (0.88) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for VST have decreased strongly by -55.17% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, VST shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 30.49% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.69% in the past year.
VST shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.84% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-55.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y30.49%
EPS Q2Q%-67.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y12.56%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%-20.94%
3.2 Future
VST is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 14.59% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, VST will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.93% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-16.9%
EPS Next 2Y12.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.2%
EPS Next 5Y14.59%
Revenue Next Year16.89%
Revenue Next 2Y14.59%
Revenue Next 3Y11.85%
Revenue Next 5Y6.93%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 70.85, the valuation of VST can be described as expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of VST indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: VST is cheaper than 65.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.89, VST is valued quite expensively.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.65, VST is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, VST is valued a bit cheaper than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
VST's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 34.59.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 70.85 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.65 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as VST.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of VST indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: VST is cheaper than 75.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 141.51 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.01 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
VST's earnings are expected to grow with 14.20% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.32
EPS Next 2Y12.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.2%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.49%, VST is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.24, VST pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.49, VST pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.44.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.49% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of VST grows each year by 22.79%, which is quite nice.
VST has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
As VST did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
51.67% of the earnings are spent on dividend by VST. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
VST's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP51.67%
EPS Next 2Y12.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.2%
175
+0.31 (+0.18%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners93.08%
Inst Owner Change-0.8%
Ins Owners0.48%
Ins Owner Change-2.71%
Market Cap59.29B
Revenue(TTM)17.19B
Net Income(TTM)960.00M
Analysts81.6
Price Target232.19 (32.68%)
Short Float %2.03%
Short Ratio1.57
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.49% |
Yearly Dividend1.38
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
DP51.67%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-30.06%
Min EPS beat(2)-42.47%
Max EPS beat(2)-17.64%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-87.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-242.54%
Max EPS beat(4)-17.64%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-203.41%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)469.5%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)267.99%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-15.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)-19.33%
Max Revenue beat(2)-12.57%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)-19.33%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.46%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.74%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.89%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-8.22%
PT rev (1m)5.26%
PT rev (3m)20.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)24.95%
EPS NQ rev (3m)36.48%
EPS NY rev (1m)-10.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)-9.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-5.28%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.92%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.61%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.55%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 70.85 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.65 | ||
| P/S | 3.45 | ||
| P/FCF | 141.51 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.86 | ||
| P/B | 11.38 | ||
| P/tB | 195.69 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.01 |
EPS(TTM)2.47
EY1.41%
EPS(NY)8.91
Fwd EY5.09%
FCF(TTM)1.24
FCFY0.71%
OCF(TTM)11.78
OCFY6.73%
SpS50.74
BVpS15.38
TBVpS0.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.32
Graham Number29.23
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.52% | ||
| ROE | 18.43% | ||
| ROCE | 7.11% | ||
| ROIC | 5.32% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.42% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.47% | ||
| OM | 12.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.58% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 2.44% |
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y8.13%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y9.82%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.45
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.42 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 44.74 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.51 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 120.47% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 20.78% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.02 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 78.73% | ||
| Profit Quality | 43.65% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.71 |
F-Score5
WACC7.87%
ROIC/WACC0.68
Cap/Depr(3y)131.08%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-55.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y30.49%
EPS Q2Q%-67.59%
EPS Next Y-16.9%
EPS Next 2Y12.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.2%
EPS Next 5Y14.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y12.56%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%-20.94%
Revenue Next Year16.89%
Revenue Next 2Y14.59%
Revenue Next 3Y11.85%
Revenue Next 5Y6.93%
EBIT growth 1Y-41.29%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y15.41%
EBIT Next Year65.12%
EBIT Next 3Y27.55%
EBIT Next 5Y19.52%
FCF growth 1Y-79.8%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-5.84%
OCF growth 1Y-19.62%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y10.77%
VISTRA CORP / VST FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for VST stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to VST.
What is the valuation status for VST stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to VISTRA CORP (VST). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is VISTRA CORP (VST) stock?
VISTRA CORP (VST) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for VST stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for VISTRA CORP (VST) is 70.85 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 11.38.
Can you provide the financial health for VST stock?
The financial health rating of VISTRA CORP (VST) is 3 / 10.