VISTRA CORP (VST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:VST - US92840M1027 - Common Stock
217.895 USD
+6.62 (+3.13%)
VST gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 20 industry peers in the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of VST get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. VST has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year VST was profitable.
VST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years VST reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
VST had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
VST has a Return On Assets of 5.76%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VST outperforms 95.00% of its industry peers.
VST has a better Return On Equity (45.53%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 9.26%, VST belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.76% | ||
| ROE | 45.53% | ||
| ROIC | 9.26% |
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
VST has a Profit Margin of 11.87%. This is in the better half of the industry: VST outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of VST has grown nicely.
The Operating Margin of VST (19.72%) is better than 75.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VST has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 19.72% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.87% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so VST is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, VST has less shares outstanding
VST has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
VST has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
VST has an Altman-Z score of 2.04. This is not the best score and indicates that VST is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
VST has a Altman-Z score of 2.04. This is in the better half of the industry: VST outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of VST is 48.90, which is on the high side as it means it would take VST, 48.90 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
VST has a better Debt to FCF ratio (48.90) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.81 is on the high side and indicates that VST has dependencies on debt financing.
VST's Debt to Equity ratio of 3.81 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VST outperforms 45.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 48.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.04 |
ROIC/WACC1.16
WACC8%
2.3 Liquidity
VST has a Current Ratio of 0.90. This is a bad value and indicates that VST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
VST has a Current ratio of 0.90. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VST outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.80 indicates that VST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.80, VST is in line with its industry, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.8 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
VST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 350.00%, which is quite impressive.
VST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 30.49% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 31.61% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.84% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)350%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y30.49%
EPS Q2Q%-21.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)31.61%
Revenue growth 3Y12.56%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%10.53%
3.2 Future
VST is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 14.92% yearly.
VST is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.96% yearly.
EPS Next Y-6.28%
EPS Next 2Y11.94%
EPS Next 3Y12.31%
EPS Next 5Y14.92%
Revenue Next Year20.21%
Revenue Next 2Y14.97%
Revenue Next 3Y12.66%
Revenue Next 5Y7.96%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
VST is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 35.60.
80.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VST, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
VST's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 27.38.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 24.84, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of VST.
80.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VST, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.86. VST is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.6 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.84 |
4.2 Price Multiples
VST's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of VST indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: VST is cheaper than 70.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 187.38 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.32 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of VST may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as VST's earnings are expected to grow with 12.31% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.17
EPS Next 2Y11.94%
EPS Next 3Y12.31%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
VST has a yearly dividend return of 0.08%, which is pretty low.
VST's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 4.77.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.38, VST's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.08% |
5.2 History
The dividend of VST is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 22.79%!
VST has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
As VST did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
VST pays out 22.81% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
VST's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.81%
EPS Next 2Y11.94%
EPS Next 3Y12.31%
NYSE:VST (9/22/2025, 3:58:02 PM)
217.895
+6.62 (+3.13%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners82.18%
Inst Owner Change4.9%
Ins Owners0.48%
Ins Owner Change-0.24%
Market Cap73.83B
Analysts82.73
Price Target211.97 (-2.72%)
Short Float %2.2%
Short Ratio1.62
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.08% |
Yearly Dividend1.38
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
DP22.81%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-142.51%
Min EPS beat(2)-242.54%
Max EPS beat(2)-42.47%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)3.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-242.54%
Max EPS beat(4)346.48%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-203.88%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)470.52%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)262.9%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.47%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.38%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.18%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)24.2%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.88%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.2%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-9.57%
PT rev (1m)10.33%
PT rev (3m)16.49%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.52%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-8.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.2%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.4%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.6 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.84 | ||
| P/S | 3.99 | ||
| P/FCF | 187.38 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.47 | ||
| P/B | 15.31 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.32 |
EPS(TTM)6.12
EY2.81%
EPS(NY)8.77
Fwd EY4.03%
FCF(TTM)1.16
FCFY0.53%
OCF(TTM)12.47
OCFY5.72%
SpS54.62
BVpS14.23
TBVpS-0.71
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.17
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.76% | ||
| ROE | 45.53% | ||
| ROCE | 12.71% | ||
| ROIC | 9.26% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.4% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.29% | ||
| OM | 19.72% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.87% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 2.13% |
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y8.13%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y9.82%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 48.9 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.77 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 128.25% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 20.7% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.4 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 63.66% | ||
| Profit Quality | 17.94% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.8 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.04 |
F-Score7
WACC8%
ROIC/WACC1.16
Cap/Depr(3y)131.08%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)350%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y30.49%
EPS Q2Q%-21.11%
EPS Next Y-6.28%
EPS Next 2Y11.94%
EPS Next 3Y12.31%
EPS Next 5Y14.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)31.61%
Revenue growth 3Y12.56%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%10.53%
Revenue Next Year20.21%
Revenue Next 2Y14.97%
Revenue Next 3Y12.66%
Revenue Next 5Y7.96%
EBIT growth 1Y99.45%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y15.41%
EBIT Next Year65.2%
EBIT Next 3Y26.04%
EBIT Next 5Y19.06%
FCF growth 1Y-71.26%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-5.84%
OCF growth 1Y0.14%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y10.77%