VISTRA CORP (VST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:VST - US92840M1027 - Common Stock
192.09 USD
+2.01 (+1.06%)
VST gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 19 industry peers in the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers industry. VST has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. VST has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year VST was profitable.
VST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years VST reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Of the past 5 years VST 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of VST (5.76%) is better than 94.74% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 45.53%, VST belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
VST has a Return On Invested Capital of 9.26%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VST outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.76% | ||
| ROE | 45.53% | ||
| ROIC | 9.26% |
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
VST's Profit Margin of 11.87% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VST outperforms 73.68% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of VST has grown nicely.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 19.72%, VST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VST has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 19.72% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.87% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so VST is still creating some value.
VST has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for VST has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
VST has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 1.91 indicates that VST is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
VST has a Altman-Z score of 1.91. This is amongst the best in the industry. VST outperforms 84.21% of its industry peers.
VST has a debt to FCF ratio of 48.90. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as VST would need 48.90 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of VST (48.90) is better than 78.95% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.81 is on the high side and indicates that VST has dependencies on debt financing.
VST has a Debt to Equity ratio (3.81) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 48.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.91 |
ROIC/WACC1.15
WACC8.02%
2.3 Liquidity
VST has a Current Ratio of 0.90. This is a bad value and indicates that VST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
VST has a Current ratio (0.90) which is in line with its industry peers.
VST has a Quick Ratio of 0.90. This is a bad value and indicates that VST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
VST's Quick ratio of 0.80 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VST outperforms 52.63% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.8 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
VST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 350.00%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 30.49% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue has grown by 31.61% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
Measured over the past years, VST shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.84% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)350%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y30.49%
EPS Q2Q%-21.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)31.61%
Revenue growth 3Y12.56%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%10.53%
3.2 Future
VST is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 14.92% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, VST will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.96% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-6.28%
EPS Next 2Y11.94%
EPS Next 3Y12.31%
EPS Next 5Y14.92%
Revenue Next Year20.22%
Revenue Next 2Y14.77%
Revenue Next 3Y12.47%
Revenue Next 5Y7.96%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 31.39, the valuation of VST can be described as expensive.
VST's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. VST is cheaper than 78.95% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of VST to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.03), we can say VST is valued inline with the index average.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.90, the valuation of VST can be described as rather expensive.
78.95% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VST, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.63, VST is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31.39 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.9 |
4.2 Price Multiples
VST's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. VST is cheaper than 63.16% of the companies in the same industry.
VST's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. VST is cheaper than 84.21% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 165.19 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.24 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
VST has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
VST's earnings are expected to grow with 12.31% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.03
EPS Next 2Y11.94%
EPS Next 3Y12.31%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.48%, VST is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
VST's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 5.31.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.48, VST pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.34.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.48% |
5.2 History
The dividend of VST is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 22.79%!
VST has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
As VST did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
VST pays out 22.81% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
VST's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.81%
EPS Next 2Y11.94%
EPS Next 3Y12.31%
NYSE:VST (8/26/2025, 10:18:10 AM)
192.09
+2.01 (+1.06%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners82.18%
Inst Owner Change4.9%
Ins Owners0.48%
Ins Owner Change-0.16%
Market Cap65.08B
Analysts81.9
Price Target207.02 (7.77%)
Short Float %2.25%
Short Ratio1.53
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.48% |
Yearly Dividend1.38
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
DP22.81%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-142.51%
Min EPS beat(2)-242.54%
Max EPS beat(2)-42.47%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)3.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-242.54%
Max EPS beat(4)346.48%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-203.88%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)470.52%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)262.9%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.47%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.38%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.18%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)24.2%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.88%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.2%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-9.57%
PT rev (1m)14.05%
PT rev (3m)20%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.74%
EPS NQ rev (3m)16.4%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.12%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.51%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.12%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)30.17%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.44%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31.39 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.9 | ||
| P/S | 3.52 | ||
| P/FCF | 165.19 | ||
| P/OCF | 15.4 | ||
| P/B | 13.49 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.24 |
EPS(TTM)6.12
EY3.19%
EPS(NY)8.77
Fwd EY4.57%
FCF(TTM)1.16
FCFY0.61%
OCF(TTM)12.47
OCFY6.49%
SpS54.62
BVpS14.23
TBVpS-0.71
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.03
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.76% | ||
| ROE | 45.53% | ||
| ROCE | 12.71% | ||
| ROIC | 9.26% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.4% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.29% | ||
| OM | 19.72% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.87% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 2.13% |
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y8.13%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y9.82%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 48.9 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.77 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 128.25% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 20.7% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.4 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 63.66% | ||
| Profit Quality | 17.94% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.8 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.91 |
F-Score7
WACC8.02%
ROIC/WACC1.15
Cap/Depr(3y)131.08%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)350%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y30.49%
EPS Q2Q%-21.11%
EPS Next Y-6.28%
EPS Next 2Y11.94%
EPS Next 3Y12.31%
EPS Next 5Y14.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)31.61%
Revenue growth 3Y12.56%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%10.53%
Revenue Next Year20.22%
Revenue Next 2Y14.77%
Revenue Next 3Y12.47%
Revenue Next 5Y7.96%
EBIT growth 1Y99.45%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y15.41%
EBIT Next Year65.2%
EBIT Next 3Y26.04%
EBIT Next 5Y19.06%
FCF growth 1Y-71.26%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-5.84%
OCF growth 1Y0.14%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y10.77%