VISTRA CORP (VST) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:VST • US92840M1027

170.57 USD
-3.11 (-1.79%)
At close: Feb 18, 2026
170.11 USD
-0.46 (-0.27%)
After Hours: 2/18/2026, 5:46:24 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Analyst Ratings Earnings Estimates Financials Ownership News
Fundamental Rating

4

Overall VST gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated VST against 20 industry peers in the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers industry. VST has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. VST is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year VST was profitable.
  • In the past year VST had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: VST reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • VST had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
VST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • VST has a better Return On Assets (2.52%) than 85.00% of its industry peers.
  • VST has a Return On Equity of 18.43%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VST outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
  • VST has a Return On Invested Capital of 5.32%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VST outperforms 85.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.52%
ROE 18.43%
ROIC 5.32%
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
VST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 200 300

1.3 Margins

  • VST has a Profit Margin (5.58%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • VST's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of VST (12.24%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • VST's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.24%
PM (TTM) 5.58%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
VST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 200 300 400

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • VST has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, VST has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for VST has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, VST has a worse debt to assets ratio.
VST Yearly Shares OutstandingVST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M
VST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.71, we must say that VST is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 1.71, VST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of VST is 44.74, which is on the high side as it means it would take VST, 44.74 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • VST's Debt to FCF ratio of 44.74 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VST outperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.42 is on the high side and indicates that VST has dependencies on debt financing.
  • VST's Debt to Equity ratio of 3.42 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VST is outperformed by 60.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.42
Debt/FCF 44.74
Altman-Z 1.71
ROIC/WACC0.68
WACC7.78%
VST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • VST has a Current Ratio of 0.99. This is a bad value and indicates that VST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • VST has a Current ratio (0.99) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • VST has a Quick Ratio of 0.99. This is a bad value and indicates that VST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.88, VST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.99
Quick Ratio 0.88
VST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for VST have decreased strongly by -55.17% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, VST shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 30.49% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, VST shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.69% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, VST shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.84% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-55.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y30.49%
EPS Q2Q%-67.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y12.56%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%-20.94%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 14.23% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • VST is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.11% yearly.
EPS Next Y-23.8%
EPS Next 2Y12.92%
EPS Next 3Y16.42%
EPS Next 5Y14.23%
Revenue Next Year13.69%
Revenue Next 2Y15.33%
Revenue Next 3Y12.61%
Revenue Next 5Y7.11%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
VST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
VST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 10 15

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 69.06, the valuation of VST can be described as expensive.
  • 70.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VST, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • VST's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.27.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 19.11, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of VST.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of VST indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: VST is cheaper than 80.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 28.16, VST is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 69.06
Fwd PE 19.11
VST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100 150

4.2 Price Multiples

  • VST's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of VST indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: VST is cheaper than 75.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 137.93
EV/EBITDA 14.95
VST Per share dataVST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • VST's earnings are expected to grow with 16.42% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.26
EPS Next 2Y12.92%
EPS Next 3Y16.42%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • VST has a yearly dividend return of 0.53%, which is pretty low.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.27, VST pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.53, VST pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.84.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.53%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of VST grows each year by 22.79%, which is quite nice.
  • VST has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • VST has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
VST Yearly Dividends per shareVST Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

  • 51.67% of the earnings are spent on dividend by VST. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • VST's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP51.67%
EPS Next 2Y12.92%
EPS Next 3Y16.42%
VST Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendVST Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B 20B
VST Dividend Payout.VST Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.VST Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

VISTRA CORP

NYSE:VST (2/18/2026, 5:46:24 PM)

After market: 170.11 -0.46 (-0.27%)

170.57

-3.11 (-1.79%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)11-06
Earnings (Next)02-26
Inst Owners92.62%
Inst Owner Change2.04%
Ins Owners0.47%
Ins Owner Change0.15%
Market Cap57.79B
Revenue(TTM)17.19B
Net Income(TTM)960.00M
Analysts80.83
Price Target227.29 (33.25%)
Short Float %2.87%
Short Ratio1.72
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.53%
Yearly Dividend1.38
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
DP51.67%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-30.06%
Min EPS beat(2)-42.47%
Max EPS beat(2)-17.64%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-87.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-242.54%
Max EPS beat(4)-17.64%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-203.41%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)469.5%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)267.99%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-15.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)-19.33%
Max Revenue beat(2)-12.57%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)-19.33%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.46%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.74%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.89%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-8.22%
PT rev (1m)-3.74%
PT rev (3m)-2.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)5.28%
EPS NQ rev (3m)10.32%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.86%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.33%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.04%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.28%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.73%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 69.06
Fwd PE 19.11
P/S 3.36
P/FCF 137.93
P/OCF 14.48
P/B 11.09
P/tB 190.74
EV/EBITDA 14.95
EPS(TTM)2.47
EY1.45%
EPS(NY)8.93
Fwd EY5.23%
FCF(TTM)1.24
FCFY0.72%
OCF(TTM)11.78
OCFY6.91%
SpS50.74
BVpS15.38
TBVpS0.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.26
Graham Number29.23
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.52%
ROE 18.43%
ROCE 7.11%
ROIC 5.32%
ROICexc 5.42%
ROICexgc 6.47%
OM 12.24%
PM (TTM) 5.58%
GM N/A
FCFM 2.44%
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y8.13%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y9.82%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.45
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.42
Debt/FCF 44.74
Debt/EBITDA 3.51
Cap/Depr 120.47%
Cap/Sales 20.78%
Interest Coverage 2.02
Cash Conversion 78.73%
Profit Quality 43.65%
Current Ratio 0.99
Quick Ratio 0.88
Altman-Z 1.71
F-Score5
WACC7.78%
ROIC/WACC0.68
Cap/Depr(3y)131.08%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-55.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y30.49%
EPS Q2Q%-67.59%
EPS Next Y-23.8%
EPS Next 2Y12.92%
EPS Next 3Y16.42%
EPS Next 5Y14.23%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y12.56%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%-20.94%
Revenue Next Year13.69%
Revenue Next 2Y15.33%
Revenue Next 3Y12.61%
Revenue Next 5Y7.11%
EBIT growth 1Y-41.29%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y15.41%
EBIT Next Year63.6%
EBIT Next 3Y30.55%
EBIT Next 5Y19.47%
FCF growth 1Y-79.8%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-5.84%
OCF growth 1Y-19.62%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y10.77%

VISTRA CORP / VST FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for VISTRA CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to VST.


Can you provide the valuation status for VISTRA CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to VISTRA CORP (VST). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is VISTRA CORP (VST) stock?

VISTRA CORP (VST) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


How financially healthy is VISTRA CORP?

The financial health rating of VISTRA CORP (VST) is 3 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for VISTRA CORP (VST) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VISTRA CORP (VST) is expected to decline by -23.8% in the next year.