VALERO ENERGY CORP (VLO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:VLO • US91913Y1001

181.43 USD
-1.06 (-0.58%)
At close: Jan 30, 2026
181.7 USD
+0.27 (+0.15%)
After Hours: 1/30/2026, 8:23:25 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

VLO gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. The financial health of VLO is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. VLO has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year VLO was profitable.
  • VLO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years VLO 4 years were profitable.
  • VLO had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
VLO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVLO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of VLO (2.54%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 6.26%, VLO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.34% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VLO has a Return On Invested Capital of 5.59%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VLO outperforms 49.76% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for VLO is below the industry average of 21.94%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (18.62%) for VLO is well above the current ROIC(5.59%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.54%
ROE 6.26%
ROIC 5.59%
ROA(3y)12.46%
ROA(5y)7.25%
ROE(3y)31.15%
ROE(5y)18.17%
ROIC(3y)18.62%
ROIC(5y)N/A
VLO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVLO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 1.21%, VLO is doing worse than 63.77% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of VLO has remained more or less at the same level.
  • The Operating Margin of VLO (2.51%) is worse than 70.05% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VLO has declined.
  • VLO has a worse Gross Margin (3.38%) than 75.85% of its industry peers.
  • VLO's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.51%
PM (TTM) 1.21%
GM 3.38%
OM growth 3Y15.66%
OM growth 5Y-3.52%
PM growth 3Y37.91%
PM growth 5Y-0.94%
GM growth 3Y10.46%
GM growth 5Y-3.09%
VLO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVLO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2 -2 4 6 8

6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so VLO is creating value.
  • There is no outstanding debt for VLO. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
VLO Yearly Shares OutstandingVLO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M
VLO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVLO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 4.54 indicates that VLO is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of VLO (4.54) is better than 87.92% of its industry peers.
  • VLO has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.67. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as VLO would need 2.67 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of VLO (2.67) is better than 78.74% of its industry peers.
  • VLO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.41. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • VLO's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.41 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VLO outperforms 55.07% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF 2.67
Altman-Z 4.54
ROIC/WACC0.67
WACC8.38%
VLO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVLO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.3 Liquidity

  • VLO has a Current Ratio of 1.60. This is a normal value and indicates that VLO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 1.60, VLO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.60% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VLO has a Quick Ratio of 1.09. This is a normal value and indicates that VLO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of VLO (1.09) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.6
Quick Ratio 1.09
VLO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVLO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 28.16% over the past year.
  • VLO shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -28.61% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)28.16%
EPS 3Y-28.61%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%496.87%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-1.25%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, VLO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.16% on average per year.
  • VLO is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -1.38% yearly.
EPS Next Y13.82%
EPS Next 2Y9.78%
EPS Next 3Y11.32%
EPS Next 5Y16.16%
Revenue Next Year-10.75%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.64%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.77%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.38%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
VLO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVLO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 50B 100B 150B
VLO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVLO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 10 20

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 17.04, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of VLO.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as VLO.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.30. VLO is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.97, VLO is valued correctly.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as VLO.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.57, VLO is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.04
Fwd PE 14.97
VLO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVLO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • VLO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, VLO is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.15% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.97
EV/EBITDA 10.04
VLO Per share dataVLO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 100 200 300 400

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • VLO's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.23
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y9.78%
EPS Next 3Y11.32%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • VLO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.61%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • VLO's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.73.
  • VLO's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.61%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of VLO has a limited annual growth rate of 3.43%.
  • VLO has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • VLO has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years14
VLO Yearly Dividends per shareVLO Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3 4

5.3 Sustainability

  • 94.09% of the earnings are spent on dividend by VLO. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • VLO's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP94.09%
EPS Next 2Y9.78%
EPS Next 3Y11.32%
VLO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendVLO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
VLO Dividend Payout.VLO Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.VLO Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

VALERO ENERGY CORP / VLO FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for VALERO ENERGY CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to VLO.


Can you provide the valuation status for VALERO ENERGY CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to VALERO ENERGY CORP (VLO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of VLO stock?

VALERO ENERGY CORP (VLO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of VALERO ENERGY CORP (VLO) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for VALERO ENERGY CORP (VLO) is 17.04 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.33.


Is the dividend of VALERO ENERGY CORP sustainable?

The dividend rating of VALERO ENERGY CORP (VLO) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 94.09%.