VALERO ENERGY CORP (VLO) Forecast, Price Target & Analyst Ratings

NYSE:VLO • US91913Y1001

Current stock price

242.07 USD
+3.61 (+1.51%)
At close:
242.93 USD
+0.86 (+0.36%)
After Hours:

Analyst forecast overview

View the latest analyst price targets, stock forecast, EPS estimates, revenue projections, revisions, full estimates, rating distribution and upgrades/downgrades for VALERO ENERGY CORP (VLO).

Forecast Snapshot

Consensus Price Target

Price Target
$202.05
-16.53% Downside
→ Price target details

Next Earnings Forecast

Earnings Estimate
Release Date
Apr 22, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$1.90
Revenue Estimate
27.993B
→ Full earnings forecast details

ChartMill Buy Consensus

Rating
74.62%
Weighted Analyst Rating Score
→ Analyst Ratings details

Price Target Details & History

Consensus Price Target and Range

Mean target
$202.05
Upside
-16.53%
From current price of $242.07 to mean target of $202.05, Based on 26 analyst forecasts
Low
$145.95
Median
$204.00
High
$231.00

Price Target Revisions

1 Month
0.98%
3 Months
6.51%

Price Target Summary

26 Wall Street analysts provided a forecast for the next 12 months for VLO. The average price target is 202.05 USD. This implies a price decrease of -16.53% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 242.07.
The average price target has been revised upward by 6.51% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peer stocks trading 30% below analyst price target

Analyst Ratings & History

Current Analyst Ratings

VLO Current Analyst RatingVLO Current Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings.Current Analyst Rating Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell 2 4 6 8 10

Analyst Ratings History

VLO Historical Analyst RatingsVLO Historical Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings and number of analysts.Historical Monthly Analyst Rating -19 -17 -15 -13 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 5 10 15 20 25

Analyst Ratings Consensus

ChartMill Buy Consensus
74.62%
VLO was analyzed by 26 analysts. The buy percentage consensus is at 75. So analysts seem to be have mildly positive about VLO.
In the previous month the buy percentage consensus was at a similar level.
VLO was analyzed by 26 analysts, which should be a sufficient number of analysts to have a meaningful average consensus rating.
→ Find peer stocks with a buy consensus above 85%

Recent Upgrades & Downgrades

DateFirmActionFrom → To
2026-03-12Goldman SachsMaintains Buy -> Buy
2026-02-09CitigroupMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2026-01-30Morgan StanleyMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2026-01-30Piper SandlerMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2026-01-27Morgan StanleyMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2026-01-08JP MorganMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2026-01-08Piper SandlerMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-12-12MizuhoDowngrade Outperform -> Neutral
2025-12-11B of A SecuritiesDowngrade Buy -> Neutral
2025-11-17BarclaysMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-11-14Piper SandlerMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-11-10Wells FargoMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-10-24TD CowenMaintains Hold -> Hold
2025-10-24Raymond JamesReiterate Strong Buy -> Strong Buy
2025-10-24JP MorganMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-10-24Piper SandlerMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-10-17Wells FargoInitiate Overweight
2025-10-17Raymond JamesReiterate Strong Buy -> Strong Buy
2025-10-10JefferiesMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-10-07BarclaysMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-10-03Morgan StanleyDowngrade Overweight -> Equal-Weight
2025-09-22UBSMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-09-19Evercore ISI GroupMaintains In-Line -> In-Line
2025-09-15MizuhoMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2025-09-11Piper SandlerMaintains Overweight -> Overweight

Next Earnings Forecast Details

Next Earnings Details

Release Date
Apr 22, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$1.90
Revenue Estimate
27.993B
Revenue Q2Q
-7.49%
EPS Q2Q
113.30%
Number of Analysts
19

Next Earnings Revisions

Revenue (1 Month)
4.68%
Revenue (3 Months)
-3.24%
EPS (1 Month)
10.90%
EPS (3 Months)
-32.02%

Next Earnings Summary

VLO is expected to report earnings on 4/22/2026. The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings is 1.9 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 27.99B USD.
The next earnings revenue estimate has been revised downward by 3.24% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% revenue growth next quarter

Full Analyst Estimates

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT, EBITDA and Operating Margin Analyst Estimates

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue
YoY % growth
VLO revenue by date.VLO revenue by date.
144.766B
-17.93%		129.881B
-10.28%		122.687B
-5.54%		107.947B
-12.01%		111.979B
3.74%		130.784B
16.79%		115.78B
-11.47%		N/A
EBITDA
YoY % growth
VLO ebitda by date.VLO ebitda by date.
14.559B
-20.10%		6.529B
-55.15%		7.47B
14.41%		8.244B
10.36%		8.143B
-1.23%		8.909B
9.41%		9.777B
9.74%		11.241B
14.97%
EBIT
YoY % growth
VLO ebit by date.VLO ebit by date.
11.858B
-24.70%		3.755B
-68.33%		4.312B
14.83%		5.152B
19.48%		5.321B
3.28%		5.405B
1.58%		4.897B
-9.40%		N/A
Operating Margin
VLO operating margin by date.VLO operating margin by date.
8.19%2.89%3.51%4.77%4.75%4.13%4.23%N/A
EPS
YoY % growth
VLO eps by date.VLO eps by date.
24.71
-15.58%		8.31
-66.37%		10.65
28.16%		12.15
14.04%		12.81
5.48%		16.17
26.22%		29.59
83.01%		32.12
8.53%

All data in USD

Quarterly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT and EBITDA Analyst Estimates

Q1 / 26 Q2 / 26 Q3 / 26 Q4 / 26 Q1 / 27 Q2 / 27 Q3 / 27 Q4 / 27 Q1 / 28 Q2 / 28
EPS
Q2Q % growth		1.90
113.30%		4.07
78.33%		3.81
4.02%		2.20
-42.29%		2.92
53.58%		4.22
3.75%		4.05
6.38%		2.61
18.29%		-0.22
-107.45%		3.28
-22.26%
Revenue
Q2Q % growth		27.993B
-7.49%		27.313B
-8.62%		27.817B
-13.53%		28.87B
-4.95%		27.001B
-3.54%		27.515B
0.74%		27.817B27.817B
-3.65%		N/AN/A
EBITDA
Q2Q % growth		1.834B
98.92%		2.305B
-7.87%		2.226B
-42.18%		1.653B
-65.08%		1.865B
1.69%		2.313B
0.35%		2.221B
-0.22%		1.733B
4.84%		807.09M
-56.72%		1.895B
-18.07%
EBIT
Q2Q % growth		838.87M
263.15%		1.674B
67.90%		1.528B
1.26%		1.042B
-33.84%		1.715B
104.44%		2.146B
28.20%		2.003B
31.09%		1.504B
44.34%		N/AN/A

All data in USD

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Revenue Trends vs Historical Data

VLO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVLO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 50B 100B 150B
VLO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVLO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 10 20 30

Long Term Forward Growth Forecast Summary

Long Term EPS Growth (CAGR)

EPS Next 3 Year
14.94%
EPS Next 5 Year
24.70%

Long Term Revenue Growth (CAGR)

Revenue Next 3 Year
2.33%
Revenue Next 5 Year
-1.31%

Long Term EBIT Growth (CAGR)

EBIT Next 3 Year
38.35%
EBIT Next 5 Year
27.29%
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% CAGR revenue growth over the next 3 years

VALERO ENERGY CORP / VLO Forecast FAQ

Can you provide the average price target for VALERO ENERGY CORP stock?

26 analysts have analysed VLO and the average price target is 202.05 USD. This implies a price decrease of -16.53% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 242.07.

Can you provide the upcoming earnings date for VALERO ENERGY CORP?

VALERO ENERGY CORP (VLO) will report earnings on 2026-04-22, before the market open.

What are the consensus estimates for VLO stock next earnings?

The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings of VALERO ENERGY CORP (VLO) is 1.9 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 27.99B USD.

How do analysts rate VALERO ENERGY CORP (VLO)?

The consensus rating for VALERO ENERGY CORP (VLO) is 74.6154 / 100 . This indicates that analysts generally have a positive outlook on the stock.