SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:SMG • US8101861065

Current stock price

66.84 USD
+1.18 (+1.8%)
At close:
66.84 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This SMG fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. SMG Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • SMG had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year SMG had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: SMG reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Of the past 5 years SMG 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
SMG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSMG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • SMG has a better Return On Assets (2.96%) than 71.08% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 14.12%, SMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.98% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SMG is above the industry average of 6.51%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (14.12%) for SMG is above the 3 year average (10.89%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.96%
ROE N/A
ROIC 14.12%
ROA(3y)-2.35%
ROA(5y)-1.31%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)10.89%
ROIC(5y)10.87%
SMG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSMG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 -100 -200

1.3 Margins

  • SMG has a Profit Margin of 2.68%. This is in the better half of the industry: SMG outperforms 60.24% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SMG has declined.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 13.52%, SMG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.29% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SMG has declined.
  • SMG's Gross Margin of 31.47% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SMG outperforms 62.65% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SMG has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 13.52%
PM (TTM) 2.68%
GM 31.47%
OM growth 3Y6.65%
OM growth 5Y-2.32%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-14.62%
GM growth 3Y5.81%
GM growth 5Y-1.12%
SMG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSMG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

More info and screens

ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

3

2. SMG Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • SMG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SMG has more shares outstanding
  • SMG has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SMG has an improved debt to assets ratio.
SMG Yearly Shares OutstandingSMG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
SMG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSMG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

  • SMG has an Altman-Z score of 2.43. This is not the best score and indicates that SMG is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.43, SMG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.27% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SMG is 7.05, which is on the high side as it means it would take SMG, 7.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 7.05, SMG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.29% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 7.05
Altman-Z 2.43
ROIC/WACC1.21
WACC11.63%
SMG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSMG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.35 indicates that SMG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • SMG has a worse Current ratio (1.35) than 74.70% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.44 indicates that SMG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.44, SMG is doing worse than 95.18% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.35
Quick Ratio 0.44
SMG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSMG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. SMG Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 37.14% over the past year.
  • SMG shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -12.47% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, SMG shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -5.86% in the last year.
  • SMG shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -3.75% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)37.14%
EPS 3Y-3.11%
EPS 5Y-12.47%
EPS Q2Q%13.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.86%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.54%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.75%
Sales Q2Q%-14.97%

3.2 Future

  • SMG is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 14.30% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, SMG will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.44% on average per year.
EPS Next Y16.57%
EPS Next 2Y15.14%
EPS Next 3Y14.09%
EPS Next 5Y14.3%
Revenue Next Year-2.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.2%
Revenue Next 3Y0.8%
Revenue Next 5Y2.44%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
SMG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSMG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 1B 2B 3B 4B
SMG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSMG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2 4 6 8

More info and screens

Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

6

4. SMG Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • SMG is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 17.41.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SMG is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 62.65% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of SMG to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.54), we can say SMG is valued slightly cheaper.
  • SMG is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.55.
  • SMG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SMG is cheaper than 68.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SMG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.70.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.41
Fwd PE 13.55
SMG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSMG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of SMG is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SMG is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.75% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.81
EV/EBITDA 12
SMG Per share dataSMG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • SMG's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of SMG may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • SMG's earnings are expected to grow with 14.09% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.05
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.14%
EPS Next 3Y14.09%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. SMG Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.10%, SMG is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.12, SMG pays a better dividend. On top of this SMG pays more dividend than 89.16% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, SMG pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.1%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of SMG decreases each year by -18.28%.
  • SMG has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • SMG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-18.28%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
SMG Yearly Dividends per shareSMG Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

  • SMG pays out 171.01% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP171.01%
EPS Next 2Y15.14%
EPS Next 3Y14.09%
SMG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSMG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M -400M
SMG Dividend Payout.SMG Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SMG Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

SMG Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO

NYSE:SMG (3/24/2026, 4:15:00 PM)

After market: 66.84 0 (0%)

66.84

+1.18 (+1.8%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)01-28
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners76.26%
Inst Owner Change4.11%
Ins Owners0.63%
Ins Owner Change0.12%
Market Cap3.88B
Revenue(TTM)3.35B
Net Income(TTM)89.70M
Analysts81.82
Price Target74.66 (11.7%)
Short Float %8.07%
Short Ratio3.98
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.1%
Yearly Dividend2.69
Dividend Growth(5Y)-18.28%
DP171.01%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date02-20
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)12.1%
Min EPS beat(2)2.56%
Max EPS beat(2)21.65%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)9.2%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.27%
Max EPS beat(4)21.65%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)9.33%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.15%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)7.31%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.71%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.33%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.1%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.89%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.1%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.93%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.64%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.9%
PT rev (1m)1.39%
PT rev (3m)1.2%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.02%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.54%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.03%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.87%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.3%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.41
Fwd PE 13.55
P/S 1.16
P/FCF 10.81
P/OCF 8.68
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 12
EPS(TTM)3.84
EY5.75%
EPS(NY)4.93
Fwd EY7.38%
FCF(TTM)6.18
FCFY9.25%
OCF(TTM)7.7
OCFY11.52%
SpS57.73
BVpS-8.63
TBVpS-18.88
PEG (NY)1.05
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.96%
ROE N/A
ROCE 21.56%
ROIC 14.12%
ROICexc 14.17%
ROICexgc 19.81%
OM 13.52%
PM (TTM) 2.68%
GM 31.47%
FCFM 10.71%
ROA(3y)-2.35%
ROA(5y)-1.31%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)10.89%
ROIC(5y)10.87%
ROICexc(3y)11.14%
ROICexc(5y)11.26%
ROICexgc(3y)16.21%
ROICexgc(5y)16.69%
ROCE(3y)16.63%
ROCE(5y)16.6%
ROICexgc growth 3Y24.46%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-7.91%
ROICexc growth 3Y20.33%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.04%
OM growth 3Y6.65%
OM growth 5Y-2.32%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-14.62%
GM growth 3Y5.81%
GM growth 5Y-1.12%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 7.05
Debt/EBITDA 4.27
Cap/Depr 118.26%
Cap/Sales 2.63%
Interest Coverage 3.55
Cash Conversion 84.74%
Profit Quality 400.11%
Current Ratio 1.35
Quick Ratio 0.44
Altman-Z 2.43
F-Score6
WACC11.63%
ROIC/WACC1.21
Cap/Depr(3y)111.47%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.25%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.61%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.58%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)37.14%
EPS 3Y-3.11%
EPS 5Y-12.47%
EPS Q2Q%13.48%
EPS Next Y16.57%
EPS Next 2Y15.14%
EPS Next 3Y14.09%
EPS Next 5Y14.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.86%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.54%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.75%
Sales Q2Q%-14.97%
Revenue Next Year-2.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.2%
Revenue Next 3Y0.8%
Revenue Next 5Y2.44%
EBIT growth 1Y17.36%
EBIT growth 3Y1.8%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.98%
EBIT Next Year37.3%
EBIT Next 3Y16.22%
EBIT Next 5Y12.48%
FCF growth 1Y-30.75%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-11.17%
OCF growth 1Y-27.83%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-7.82%

SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO / SMG Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SMG.


What is the valuation status for SMG stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO?

SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) is 17.41 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is -7.75.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SMG stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) is expected to grow by 16.57% in the next year.