SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:SMG • US8101861065

Current stock price

60.74 USD
-1.8 (-2.88%)
At close:
60.74 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This SMG fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. SMG Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • SMG had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year SMG had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: SMG reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • SMG had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
SMG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSMG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.96%, SMG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.07% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 14.12%, SMG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.90% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SMG had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.89%. This is above the industry average of 6.48%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (10.89%) for SMG is below the current ROIC(14.12%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.96%
ROE N/A
ROIC 14.12%
ROA(3y)-2.35%
ROA(5y)-1.31%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)10.89%
ROIC(5y)10.87%
SMG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSMG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 -100 -200

1.3 Margins

  • SMG has a Profit Margin of 2.68%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: SMG outperforms 58.54% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SMG has declined.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 13.52%, SMG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.17% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SMG has declined.
  • SMG has a better Gross Margin (31.47%) than 62.20% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SMG has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 13.52%
PM (TTM) 2.68%
GM 31.47%
OM growth 3Y6.65%
OM growth 5Y-2.32%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-14.62%
GM growth 3Y5.81%
GM growth 5Y-1.12%
SMG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSMG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

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3

2. SMG Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • SMG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SMG has more shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for SMG has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SMG has an improved debt to assets ratio.
SMG Yearly Shares OutstandingSMG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
SMG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSMG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

  • SMG has an Altman-Z score of 2.38. This is not the best score and indicates that SMG is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.38, SMG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SMG is 7.05, which is on the high side as it means it would take SMG, 7.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 7.05, SMG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.95% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 7.05
Altman-Z 2.38
ROIC/WACC1.24
WACC11.36%
SMG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSMG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.35 indicates that SMG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.35, SMG is doing worse than 74.39% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SMG has a Quick Ratio of 1.35. This is a bad value and indicates that SMG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SMG's Quick ratio of 0.44 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SMG is outperformed by 95.12% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.35
Quick Ratio 0.44
SMG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSMG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

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4

3. SMG Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • SMG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 37.14%, which is quite impressive.
  • The earnings per share for SMG have been decreasing by -12.47% on average. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue has decreased by -5.86% in the past year.
  • SMG shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -3.75% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)37.14%
EPS 3Y-3.11%
EPS 5Y-12.47%
EPS Q2Q%13.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.86%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.54%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.75%
Sales Q2Q%-14.97%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, SMG will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 14.30% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, SMG will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.44% on average per year.
EPS Next Y16.7%
EPS Next 2Y14.61%
EPS Next 3Y13.48%
EPS Next 5Y14.3%
Revenue Next Year-2.9%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.17%
Revenue Next 3Y0.81%
Revenue Next 5Y2.44%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
SMG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSMG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 1B 2B 3B 4B
SMG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSMG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2 4 6 8

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6

4. SMG Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.82, SMG is valued correctly.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of SMG indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: SMG is cheaper than 71.95% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of SMG to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.78), we can say SMG is valued slightly cheaper.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.43, the valuation of SMG can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SMG is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 78.05% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.54, SMG is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.82
Fwd PE 12.43
SMG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSMG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of SMG is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SMG is valued cheaper than 90.24% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 9.82
EV/EBITDA 11.46
SMG Per share dataSMG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • SMG's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • SMG's earnings are expected to grow with 13.48% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.95
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.61%
EPS Next 3Y13.48%

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5

5. SMG Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • SMG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.22%, which is a nice return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.06, SMG pays a better dividend. On top of this SMG pays more dividend than 89.02% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • SMG's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.22%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of SMG decreases each year by -18.28%.
  • SMG has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • SMG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-18.28%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
SMG Yearly Dividends per shareSMG Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

  • 171.01% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SMG. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP171.01%
EPS Next 2Y14.61%
EPS Next 3Y13.48%
SMG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSMG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M -400M
SMG Dividend Payout.SMG Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SMG Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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SMG Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO

NYSE:SMG (4/10/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 60.74 0 (0%)

60.74

-1.8 (-2.88%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)01-28
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners76.44%
Inst Owner Change0.1%
Ins Owners0.64%
Ins Owner Change0.12%
Market Cap3.53B
Revenue(TTM)3.35B
Net Income(TTM)89.70M
Analysts80
Price Target78.54 (29.31%)
Short Float %8.81%
Short Ratio4.2
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.22%
Yearly Dividend2.69
Dividend Growth(5Y)-18.28%
DP171.01%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date02-20
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)12.1%
Min EPS beat(2)2.56%
Max EPS beat(2)21.65%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)9.2%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.27%
Max EPS beat(4)21.65%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)9.33%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.15%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)7.31%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.71%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.33%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.1%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.89%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.1%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.93%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.64%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.9%
PT rev (1m)5.19%
PT rev (3m)6.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.75%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.2%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.12%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.14%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.73%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.32%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.82
Fwd PE 12.43
P/S 1.05
P/FCF 9.82
P/OCF 7.89
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.46
EPS(TTM)3.84
EY6.32%
EPS(NY)4.89
Fwd EY8.04%
FCF(TTM)6.18
FCFY10.18%
OCF(TTM)7.7
OCFY12.68%
SpS57.73
BVpS-8.63
TBVpS-18.88
PEG (NY)0.95
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.96%
ROE N/A
ROCE 21.56%
ROIC 14.12%
ROICexc 14.17%
ROICexgc 19.81%
OM 13.52%
PM (TTM) 2.68%
GM 31.47%
FCFM 10.71%
ROA(3y)-2.35%
ROA(5y)-1.31%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)10.89%
ROIC(5y)10.87%
ROICexc(3y)11.14%
ROICexc(5y)11.26%
ROICexgc(3y)16.21%
ROICexgc(5y)16.69%
ROCE(3y)16.63%
ROCE(5y)16.6%
ROICexgc growth 3Y24.46%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-7.91%
ROICexc growth 3Y20.33%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.04%
OM growth 3Y6.65%
OM growth 5Y-2.32%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-14.62%
GM growth 3Y5.81%
GM growth 5Y-1.12%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 7.05
Debt/EBITDA 4.27
Cap/Depr 118.26%
Cap/Sales 2.63%
Interest Coverage 3.55
Cash Conversion 84.74%
Profit Quality 400.11%
Current Ratio 1.35
Quick Ratio 0.44
Altman-Z 2.38
F-Score6
WACC11.36%
ROIC/WACC1.24
Cap/Depr(3y)111.47%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.25%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.61%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.58%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)37.14%
EPS 3Y-3.11%
EPS 5Y-12.47%
EPS Q2Q%13.48%
EPS Next Y16.7%
EPS Next 2Y14.61%
EPS Next 3Y13.48%
EPS Next 5Y14.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.86%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.54%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.75%
Sales Q2Q%-14.97%
Revenue Next Year-2.9%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.17%
Revenue Next 3Y0.81%
Revenue Next 5Y2.44%
EBIT growth 1Y17.36%
EBIT growth 3Y1.8%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.98%
EBIT Next Year37.09%
EBIT Next 3Y16.17%
EBIT Next 5Y12.48%
FCF growth 1Y-30.75%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-11.17%
OCF growth 1Y-27.83%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-7.82%

SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO / SMG Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to SMG.


What is the valuation status for SMG stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of SMG stock?

SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for SMG stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) is 15.82 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is -7.04.


How sustainable is the dividend of SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) stock?

The dividend rating of SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 171.01%.