SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:SMG • US8101861065

66.34 USD
+1.3 (+2%)
At close: Feb 6, 2026
66.34 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/6/2026, 8:06:29 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to SMG. SMG was compared to 83 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. SMG has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. SMG is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • SMG had positive earnings in the past year.
  • SMG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: SMG reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Of the past 5 years SMG 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
SMG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSMG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • With an excellent Return On Assets value of 5.30%, SMG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.13% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of SMG (14.47%) is better than 93.98% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SMG is above the industry average of 6.09%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (14.47%) for SMG is above the 3 year average (10.89%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.3%
ROE N/A
ROIC 14.47%
ROA(3y)-2.35%
ROA(5y)-1.31%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)10.89%
ROIC(5y)10.87%
SMG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSMG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 -100 -200

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 4.25%, SMG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.47% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SMG's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • SMG has a better Operating Margin (12.96%) than 69.88% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SMG has declined.
  • SMG has a Gross Margin of 31.19%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: SMG outperforms 56.63% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SMG has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.96%
PM (TTM) 4.25%
GM 31.19%
OM growth 3Y6.65%
OM growth 5Y-2.32%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-14.62%
GM growth 3Y5.81%
GM growth 5Y-1.12%
SMG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSMG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), SMG is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for SMG has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, SMG has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for SMG has been reduced compared to a year ago.
SMG Yearly Shares OutstandingSMG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
SMG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSMG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.75 indicates that SMG is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • SMG has a Altman-Z score of 2.75. This is in the better half of the industry: SMG outperforms 79.52% of its industry peers.
  • SMG has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.69. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as SMG would need 7.69 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 7.69, SMG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.88% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 7.69
Altman-Z 2.75
ROIC/WACC1.25
WACC11.54%
SMG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSMG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • SMG has a Current Ratio of 1.27. This is a normal value and indicates that SMG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SMG's Current ratio of 1.27 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SMG is outperformed by 84.34% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.47 indicates that SMG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • SMG has a Quick ratio of 0.47. This is amonst the worse of the industry: SMG underperforms 93.98% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.27
Quick Ratio 0.47
SMG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSMG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • SMG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 37.14%, which is quite impressive.
  • The earnings per share for SMG have been decreasing by -12.47% on average. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue has decreased by -5.86% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been decreasing by -3.75% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)37.14%
EPS 3Y-3.11%
EPS 5Y-12.47%
EPS Q2Q%13.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.86%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.54%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.75%
Sales Q2Q%-14.97%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, SMG will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 13.99% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.82% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y16.53%
EPS Next 2Y14.95%
EPS Next 3Y12.74%
EPS Next 5Y13.99%
Revenue Next Year-2.9%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.31%
Revenue Next 3Y0.44%
Revenue Next 5Y2.82%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
SMG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSMG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 1B 2B 3B 4B
SMG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSMG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2 4 6 8

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 17.28, the valuation of SMG can be described as rather expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SMG is valued a bit cheaper than 63.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.92. SMG is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • SMG is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.50.
  • 72.29% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SMG, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • SMG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.78.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.28
Fwd PE 13.5
SMG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSMG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as SMG.
  • 80.72% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SMG, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.05
EV/EBITDA 11.29
SMG Per share dataSMG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • SMG's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of SMG may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as SMG's earnings are expected to grow with 12.74% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.05
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.95%
EPS Next 3Y12.74%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.08%, SMG is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.24, SMG pays a better dividend. On top of this SMG pays more dividend than 86.75% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • SMG's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.08%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of SMG decreases each year by -18.28%.
  • SMG has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • SMG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-18.28%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
SMG Yearly Dividends per shareSMG Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

  • 106.27% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SMG. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP106.27%
EPS Next 2Y14.95%
EPS Next 3Y12.74%
SMG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSMG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M -400M
SMG Dividend Payout.SMG Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SMG Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO

NYSE:SMG (2/6/2026, 8:06:29 PM)

After market: 66.34 0 (0%)

66.34

+1.3 (+2%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)01-28
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners74.56%
Inst Owner Change-0.41%
Ins Owners0.57%
Ins Owner Change-0.16%
Market Cap3.85B
Revenue(TTM)3.35B
Net Income(TTM)145.20M
Analysts81.67
Price Target73.64 (11%)
Short Float %8.27%
Short Ratio4.34
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.08%
Yearly Dividend2.69
Dividend Growth(5Y)-18.28%
DP106.27%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date02-20
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)7.7%
Min EPS beat(2)2.56%
Max EPS beat(2)12.85%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)10.9%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.27%
Max EPS beat(4)28.45%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)7.37%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.6%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)4.72%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.72%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.33%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.18%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.86%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.15%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.77%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.46%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.29%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-13.65%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.5%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-14.86%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.94%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.28
Fwd PE 13.5
P/S 1.13
P/FCF 14.05
P/OCF 10.36
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.29
EPS(TTM)3.84
EY5.79%
EPS(NY)4.92
Fwd EY7.41%
FCF(TTM)4.72
FCFY7.12%
OCF(TTM)6.4
OCFY9.65%
SpS58.85
BVpS-6.16
TBVpS-17.3
PEG (NY)1.05
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.3%
ROE N/A
ROCE 22.09%
ROIC 14.47%
ROICexc 14.74%
ROICexgc 21.95%
OM 12.96%
PM (TTM) 4.25%
GM 31.19%
FCFM 8.02%
ROA(3y)-2.35%
ROA(5y)-1.31%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)10.89%
ROIC(5y)10.87%
ROICexc(3y)11.14%
ROICexc(5y)11.26%
ROICexgc(3y)16.21%
ROICexgc(5y)16.69%
ROCE(3y)16.63%
ROCE(5y)16.6%
ROICexgc growth 3Y24.46%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-7.91%
ROICexc growth 3Y20.33%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.04%
OM growth 3Y6.65%
OM growth 5Y-2.32%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-14.62%
GM growth 3Y5.81%
GM growth 5Y-1.12%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.24
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 7.69
Debt/EBITDA 3.96
Cap/Depr 129.87%
Cap/Sales 2.85%
Interest Coverage 3.37
Cash Conversion 71.78%
Profit Quality 188.64%
Current Ratio 1.27
Quick Ratio 0.47
Altman-Z 2.75
F-Score8
WACC11.54%
ROIC/WACC1.25
Cap/Depr(3y)111.47%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.25%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.61%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.58%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)37.14%
EPS 3Y-3.11%
EPS 5Y-12.47%
EPS Q2Q%13.48%
EPS Next Y16.53%
EPS Next 2Y14.95%
EPS Next 3Y12.74%
EPS Next 5Y13.99%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.86%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.54%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.75%
Sales Q2Q%-14.97%
Revenue Next Year-2.9%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.31%
Revenue Next 3Y0.44%
Revenue Next 5Y2.82%
EBIT growth 1Y24.52%
EBIT growth 3Y1.8%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.98%
EBIT Next Year39.35%
EBIT Next 3Y16.4%
EBIT Next 5Y14.08%
FCF growth 1Y-53.06%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-11.17%
OCF growth 1Y-44.37%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-7.82%

SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO / SMG FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SMG.


What is the valuation status for SMG stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO?

SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) is 17.28 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is -10.76.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SMG stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) is expected to grow by 16.53% in the next year.