SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:SMG • US8101861065

Current stock price

63.76 USD
-0.61 (-0.95%)
At close:
63.76 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This SMG fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. SMG Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SMG was profitable.
  • In the past year SMG had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: SMG reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • SMG had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
SMG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSMG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of SMG (2.96%) is better than 67.07% of its industry peers.
  • SMG has a Return On Invested Capital of 14.12%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SMG outperforms 93.90% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SMG is above the industry average of 6.49%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (14.12%) for SMG is above the 3 year average (10.89%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.96%
ROE N/A
ROIC 14.12%
ROA(3y)-2.35%
ROA(5y)-1.31%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)10.89%
ROIC(5y)10.87%
SMG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSMG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 -100 -200

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of SMG (2.68%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • SMG's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 13.52%, SMG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.17% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SMG's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 31.47%, SMG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SMG's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 13.52%
PM (TTM) 2.68%
GM 31.47%
OM growth 3Y6.65%
OM growth 5Y-2.32%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-14.62%
GM growth 3Y5.81%
GM growth 5Y-1.12%
SMG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSMG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

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3

2. SMG Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • SMG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SMG has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, SMG has more shares outstanding
  • SMG has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
SMG Yearly Shares OutstandingSMG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
SMG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSMG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.42 indicates that SMG is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.42, SMG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SMG is 7.05, which is on the high side as it means it would take SMG, 7.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • SMG has a Debt to FCF ratio of 7.05. This is in the better half of the industry: SMG outperforms 71.95% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 7.05
Altman-Z 2.42
ROIC/WACC1.23
WACC11.49%
SMG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSMG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.35 indicates that SMG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.35, SMG is doing worse than 74.39% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.44 indicates that SMG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • SMG's Quick ratio of 0.44 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SMG is outperformed by 95.12% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.35
Quick Ratio 0.44
SMG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSMG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

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4

3. SMG Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 37.14% over the past year.
  • The earnings per share for SMG have been decreasing by -12.47% on average. This is quite bad
  • Looking at the last year, SMG shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -5.86% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, SMG shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -3.75% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)37.14%
EPS 3Y-3.11%
EPS 5Y-12.47%
EPS Q2Q%13.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.86%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.54%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.75%
Sales Q2Q%-14.97%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, SMG will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 14.30% on average per year.
  • SMG is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.44% yearly.
EPS Next Y16.7%
EPS Next 2Y14.61%
EPS Next 3Y13.48%
EPS Next 5Y14.3%
Revenue Next Year-2.9%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.17%
Revenue Next 3Y0.81%
Revenue Next 5Y2.44%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
SMG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSMG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 1B 2B 3B 4B
SMG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSMG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2 4 6 8

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6

4. SMG Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 16.60, which indicates a correct valuation of SMG.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SMG is valued a bit cheaper than 67.07% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SMG is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.79, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • SMG is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.05.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SMG is valued a bit cheaper than 75.61% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SMG is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 38.88, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.6
Fwd PE 13.05
SMG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSMG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • SMG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • SMG's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SMG is cheaper than 87.80% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.31
EV/EBITDA 11.86
SMG Per share dataSMG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • SMG's earnings are expected to grow with 13.48% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.99
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.61%
EPS Next 3Y13.48%

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5

5. SMG Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.23%, SMG is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.01, SMG pays a better dividend. On top of this SMG pays more dividend than 89.02% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • SMG's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.23%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of SMG decreases each year by -18.28%.
  • SMG has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • SMG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-18.28%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
SMG Yearly Dividends per shareSMG Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

  • 171.01% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SMG. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP171.01%
EPS Next 2Y14.61%
EPS Next 3Y13.48%
SMG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSMG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M -400M
SMG Dividend Payout.SMG Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SMG Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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SMG Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO

NYSE:SMG (4/22/2026, 7:54:55 PM)

After market: 63.76 0 (0%)

63.76

-0.61 (-0.95%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)01-28
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners76.44%
Inst Owner Change0.22%
Ins Owners0.64%
Ins Owner Change0.12%
Market Cap3.70B
Revenue(TTM)3.35B
Net Income(TTM)89.70M
Analysts80
Price Target77.93 (22.22%)
Short Float %11.67%
Short Ratio5.59
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.23%
Yearly Dividend2.69
Dividend Growth(5Y)-18.28%
DP171.01%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date02-20
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)12.1%
Min EPS beat(2)2.56%
Max EPS beat(2)21.65%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)9.2%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.27%
Max EPS beat(4)21.65%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)9.33%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.15%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)7.31%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.71%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.33%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.1%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.89%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.1%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.93%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.64%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.9%
PT rev (1m)4.37%
PT rev (3m)5.62%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.71%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.12%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.14%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.73%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.32%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.6
Fwd PE 13.05
P/S 1.1
P/FCF 10.31
P/OCF 8.28
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.86
EPS(TTM)3.84
EY6.02%
EPS(NY)4.89
Fwd EY7.66%
FCF(TTM)6.18
FCFY9.7%
OCF(TTM)7.7
OCFY12.08%
SpS57.73
BVpS-8.63
TBVpS-18.88
PEG (NY)0.99
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.96%
ROE N/A
ROCE 21.56%
ROIC 14.12%
ROICexc 14.17%
ROICexgc 19.81%
OM 13.52%
PM (TTM) 2.68%
GM 31.47%
FCFM 10.71%
ROA(3y)-2.35%
ROA(5y)-1.31%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)10.89%
ROIC(5y)10.87%
ROICexc(3y)11.14%
ROICexc(5y)11.26%
ROICexgc(3y)16.21%
ROICexgc(5y)16.69%
ROCE(3y)16.63%
ROCE(5y)16.6%
ROICexgc growth 3Y24.46%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-7.91%
ROICexc growth 3Y20.33%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.04%
OM growth 3Y6.65%
OM growth 5Y-2.32%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-14.62%
GM growth 3Y5.81%
GM growth 5Y-1.12%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 7.05
Debt/EBITDA 4.27
Cap/Depr 118.26%
Cap/Sales 2.63%
Interest Coverage 3.55
Cash Conversion 84.74%
Profit Quality 400.11%
Current Ratio 1.35
Quick Ratio 0.44
Altman-Z 2.42
F-Score6
WACC11.49%
ROIC/WACC1.23
Cap/Depr(3y)111.47%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.25%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.61%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.58%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)37.14%
EPS 3Y-3.11%
EPS 5Y-12.47%
EPS Q2Q%13.48%
EPS Next Y16.7%
EPS Next 2Y14.61%
EPS Next 3Y13.48%
EPS Next 5Y14.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.86%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.54%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.75%
Sales Q2Q%-14.97%
Revenue Next Year-2.9%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.17%
Revenue Next 3Y0.81%
Revenue Next 5Y2.44%
EBIT growth 1Y17.36%
EBIT growth 3Y1.8%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.98%
EBIT Next Year37.09%
EBIT Next 3Y16.17%
EBIT Next 5Y12.48%
FCF growth 1Y-30.75%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-11.17%
OCF growth 1Y-27.83%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-7.82%

SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO / SMG Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to SMG.


What is the valuation status for SMG stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of SMG stock?

SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for SMG stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) is 16.6 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is -7.39.


How sustainable is the dividend of SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) stock?

The dividend rating of SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 171.01%.