SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:SMG • US8101861065

64.93 USD
-1.23 (-1.86%)
At close: Mar 6, 2026
64.93 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 3/6/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Forecast Earnings Financials Ownership News

This SMG fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

4

SMG gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 84 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. While SMG is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. SMG is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. SMG Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SMG was profitable.
  • SMG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: SMG reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Of the past 5 years SMG 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
SMG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSMG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • SMG has a Return On Assets of 2.96%. This is in the better half of the industry: SMG outperforms 71.08% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 14.12%, SMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.18% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SMG is above the industry average of 6.36%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (14.12%) for SMG is above the 3 year average (10.89%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.96%
ROE N/A
ROIC 14.12%
ROA(3y)-2.35%
ROA(5y)-1.31%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)10.89%
ROIC(5y)10.87%
SMG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSMG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 -100 -200

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of SMG (2.68%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SMG has declined.
  • SMG has a Operating Margin of 13.52%. This is in the better half of the industry: SMG outperforms 71.08% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SMG has declined.
  • The Gross Margin of SMG (31.47%) is better than 60.24% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SMG has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 13.52%
PM (TTM) 2.68%
GM 31.47%
OM growth 3Y6.65%
OM growth 5Y-2.32%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-14.62%
GM growth 3Y5.81%
GM growth 5Y-1.12%
SMG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSMG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

3

2. SMG Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SMG is still creating some value.
  • SMG has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • SMG has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SMG has an improved debt to assets ratio.
SMG Yearly Shares OutstandingSMG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
SMG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSMG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.44 indicates that SMG is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • SMG has a Altman-Z score of 2.44. This is in the better half of the industry: SMG outperforms 67.47% of its industry peers.
  • SMG has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.05. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as SMG would need 7.05 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SMG (7.05) is better than 72.29% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 7.05
Altman-Z 2.44
ROIC/WACC1.23
WACC11.45%
SMG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSMG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • SMG has a Current Ratio of 1.35. This is a normal value and indicates that SMG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SMG's Current ratio of 1.35 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SMG is outperformed by 79.52% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.44 indicates that SMG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.44, SMG is doing worse than 95.18% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.35
Quick Ratio 0.44
SMG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSMG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. SMG Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • SMG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 37.14%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, SMG shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -12.47% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, SMG shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -5.86% in the last year.
  • SMG shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -3.75% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)37.14%
EPS 3Y-3.11%
EPS 5Y-12.47%
EPS Q2Q%13.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.86%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.54%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.75%
Sales Q2Q%-14.97%

3.2 Future

  • SMG is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 12.07% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, SMG will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.85% on average per year.
EPS Next Y16.53%
EPS Next 2Y14.95%
EPS Next 3Y12.74%
EPS Next 5Y12.07%
Revenue Next Year-2.9%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.31%
Revenue Next 3Y0.44%
Revenue Next 5Y1.85%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
SMG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSMG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 1B 2B 3B 4B
SMG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSMG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2 4 6 8

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5

4. SMG Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • SMG is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.91.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of SMG indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: SMG is cheaper than 65.06% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • SMG is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.29, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • SMG is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.21.
  • SMG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SMG is cheaper than 69.88% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.57. SMG is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.91
Fwd PE 13.21
SMG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSMG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as SMG.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SMG is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.95% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.5
EV/EBITDA 12.06
SMG Per share dataSMG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • SMG's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • SMG's earnings are expected to grow with 12.74% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.02
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.95%
EPS Next 3Y12.74%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. SMG Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • SMG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.99%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.15, SMG pays a better dividend. On top of this SMG pays more dividend than 85.54% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, SMG pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.99%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of SMG decreases each year by -18.28%.
  • SMG has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • SMG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-18.28%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
SMG Yearly Dividends per shareSMG Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

  • SMG pays out 171.01% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP171.01%
EPS Next 2Y14.95%
EPS Next 3Y12.74%
SMG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSMG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M -400M
SMG Dividend Payout.SMG Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SMG Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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SMG Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO

NYSE:SMG (3/6/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 64.93 0 (0%)

64.93

-1.23 (-1.86%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)01-28
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners76.26%
Inst Owner Change4.12%
Ins Owners0.63%
Ins Owner Change-0.02%
Market Cap3.77B
Revenue(TTM)3.35B
Net Income(TTM)89.70M
Analysts81.82
Price Target74.66 (14.99%)
Short Float %7.85%
Short Ratio4.06
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.99%
Yearly Dividend2.69
Dividend Growth(5Y)-18.28%
DP171.01%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date02-20
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)12.1%
Min EPS beat(2)2.56%
Max EPS beat(2)21.65%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)9.2%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.27%
Max EPS beat(4)21.65%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)9.33%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.15%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)7.31%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.71%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.33%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.1%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.89%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.1%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.93%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.64%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.9%
PT rev (1m)1.2%
PT rev (3m)1.2%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.53%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.06%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.56%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.87%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.87%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.49%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.4%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.91
Fwd PE 13.21
P/S 1.12
P/FCF 10.5
P/OCF 8.43
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.06
EPS(TTM)3.84
EY5.91%
EPS(NY)4.92
Fwd EY7.57%
FCF(TTM)6.18
FCFY9.52%
OCF(TTM)7.7
OCFY11.86%
SpS57.73
BVpS-8.63
TBVpS-18.88
PEG (NY)1.02
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.96%
ROE N/A
ROCE 21.56%
ROIC 14.12%
ROICexc 14.17%
ROICexgc 19.81%
OM 13.52%
PM (TTM) 2.68%
GM 31.47%
FCFM 10.71%
ROA(3y)-2.35%
ROA(5y)-1.31%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)10.89%
ROIC(5y)10.87%
ROICexc(3y)11.14%
ROICexc(5y)11.26%
ROICexgc(3y)16.21%
ROICexgc(5y)16.69%
ROCE(3y)16.63%
ROCE(5y)16.6%
ROICexgc growth 3Y24.46%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-7.91%
ROICexc growth 3Y20.33%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.04%
OM growth 3Y6.65%
OM growth 5Y-2.32%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-14.62%
GM growth 3Y5.81%
GM growth 5Y-1.12%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 7.05
Debt/EBITDA 4.27
Cap/Depr 118.26%
Cap/Sales 2.63%
Interest Coverage 3.55
Cash Conversion 84.74%
Profit Quality 400.11%
Current Ratio 1.35
Quick Ratio 0.44
Altman-Z 2.44
F-Score6
WACC11.45%
ROIC/WACC1.23
Cap/Depr(3y)111.47%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.25%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.61%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.58%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)37.14%
EPS 3Y-3.11%
EPS 5Y-12.47%
EPS Q2Q%13.48%
EPS Next Y16.53%
EPS Next 2Y14.95%
EPS Next 3Y12.74%
EPS Next 5Y12.07%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.86%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.54%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.75%
Sales Q2Q%-14.97%
Revenue Next Year-2.9%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.31%
Revenue Next 3Y0.44%
Revenue Next 5Y1.85%
EBIT growth 1Y17.36%
EBIT growth 3Y1.8%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.98%
EBIT Next Year36.77%
EBIT Next 3Y15.53%
EBIT Next 5Y11.19%
FCF growth 1Y-30.75%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-11.17%
OCF growth 1Y-27.83%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-7.82%

SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO / SMG FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to SMG.


What is the valuation status for SMG stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO?

SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) is 16.91 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is -7.53.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SMG stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO (SMG) is expected to grow by 16.53% in the next year.