ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:LLY • US5324571083

Current stock price

903.02 USD
-16.88 (-1.83%)
At close:
914 USD
+10.98 (+1.22%)
After Hours:

This LLY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

9

1. LLY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year LLY was profitable.
  • LLY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • LLY had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years LLY had a positive operating cash flow.
LLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • LLY has a Return On Assets of 18.35%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LLY outperforms 96.34% of its industry peers.
  • LLY has a better Return On Equity (77.78%) than 98.95% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of LLY (31.47%) is better than 98.95% of its industry peers.
  • LLY had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 25.56%. This is significantly above the industry average of 13.11%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (25.56%) for LLY is below the current ROIC(31.47%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.35%
ROE 77.78%
ROIC 31.47%
ROA(3y)13.33%
ROA(5y)12.81%
ROE(3y)67.02%
ROE(5y)64.37%
ROIC(3y)25.56%
ROIC(5y)23%
LLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 200 300

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 31.66%, LLY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.76% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LLY has grown nicely.
  • The Operating Margin of LLY (45.56%) is better than 98.95% of its industry peers.
  • LLY's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • LLY has a better Gross Margin (83.04%) than 86.91% of its industry peers.
  • LLY's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 45.56%
PM (TTM) 31.66%
GM 83.04%
OM growth 3Y16.24%
OM growth 5Y10.3%
PM growth 3Y13.11%
PM growth 5Y4.64%
GM growth 3Y2.65%
GM growth 5Y1.35%
LLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60 80

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6

2. LLY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LLY is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, LLY has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for LLY has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • LLY has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
LLY Yearly Shares OutstandingLLY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
LLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 8.04 indicates that LLY is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • LLY has a better Altman-Z score (8.04) than 80.63% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of LLY is 7.13, which is on the high side as it means it would take LLY, 7.13 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • LLY's Debt to FCF ratio of 7.13 is amongst the best of the industry. LLY outperforms 81.15% of its industry peers.
  • LLY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.54. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.54, LLY is doing worse than 79.06% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.54
Debt/FCF 7.13
Altman-Z 8.04
ROIC/WACC3.38
WACC9.3%
LLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

  • LLY has a Current Ratio of 1.58. This is a normal value and indicates that LLY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.58, LLY is doing worse than 72.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LLY has a Quick Ratio of 1.19. This is a normal value and indicates that LLY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of LLY (1.19) is worse than 75.39% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.58
Quick Ratio 1.19
LLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

9

3. LLY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • LLY shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 86.23%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, LLY shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 25.01% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, LLY shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 44.70%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 21.58% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)86.23%
EPS 3Y44.11%
EPS 5Y25.01%
EPS Q2Q%41.73%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)44.7%
Revenue growth 3Y31.69%
Revenue growth 5Y21.58%
Sales Q2Q%42.56%

3.2 Future

  • LLY is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 20.51% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 14.96% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y44.42%
EPS Next 2Y32.59%
EPS Next 3Y27.1%
EPS Next 5Y20.51%
Revenue Next Year28.55%
Revenue Next 2Y22.14%
Revenue Next 3Y18.91%
Revenue Next 5Y14.96%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
LLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 50B 100B 150B
LLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 20 40 60

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5

4. LLY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 37.30, LLY can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LLY is valued a bit cheaper than 79.06% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.71, LLY is valued a bit more expensive.
  • LLY is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.83.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LLY is valued a bit cheaper than 75.92% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LLY to the average of the S&P500 Index (38.09), we can say LLY is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 37.3
Fwd PE 25.83
LLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LLY is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 78.53% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • 75.39% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LLY, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 143.06
EV/EBITDA 28.54
LLY Per share dataLLY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • LLY's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • LLY has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • LLY's earnings are expected to grow with 27.10% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.84
PEG (5Y)1.49
EPS Next 2Y32.59%
EPS Next 3Y27.1%

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7

5. LLY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.77%, LLY is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.68, LLY pays a better dividend. On top of this LLY pays more dividend than 89.53% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, LLY's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.77%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of LLY is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 15.17%!
  • LLY has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • LLY has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.17%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years34
LLY Yearly Dividends per shareLLY Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3 4 5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 26.09% of the earnings are spent on dividend by LLY. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of LLY is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP26.09%
EPS Next 2Y32.59%
EPS Next 3Y27.1%
LLY Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLLY Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B 20B
LLY Dividend Payout.LLY Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.LLY Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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LLY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ELI LILLY & CO

NYSE:LLY (4/21/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 914 +10.98 (+1.22%)

903.02

-16.88 (-1.83%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupPharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
GICS IndustryPharmaceuticals
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)04-30
Inst Owners84.43%
Inst Owner Change0.07%
Ins Owners0.16%
Ins Owner Change-2.64%
Market Cap853.19B
Revenue(TTM)65.18B
Net Income(TTM)20.64B
Analysts81.03
Price Target1225.32 (35.69%)
Short Float %0.82%
Short Ratio2.41
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.77%
Yearly Dividend5.69
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.17%
DP26.09%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date02-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)16.98%
Min EPS beat(2)11.92%
Max EPS beat(2)22.05%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)14.46%
Min EPS beat(4)9.38%
Max EPS beat(4)22.05%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)12.16%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)23.37%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)18.14%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)7.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)8.81%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.5%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.81%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.73%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.29%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.28%
PT rev (1m)-0.13%
PT rev (3m)8.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.2%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.39%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.02%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.58%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.47%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.15%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.92%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 37.3
Fwd PE 25.83
P/S 13.09
P/FCF 143.06
P/OCF 50.75
P/B 32.15
P/tB 60.44
EV/EBITDA 28.54
EPS(TTM)24.21
EY2.68%
EPS(NY)34.96
Fwd EY3.87%
FCF(TTM)6.31
FCFY0.7%
OCF(TTM)17.79
OCFY1.97%
SpS68.99
BVpS28.08
TBVpS14.94
PEG (NY)0.84
PEG (5Y)1.49
Graham Number123.687 (-86.3%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.35%
ROE 77.78%
ROCE 38.44%
ROIC 31.47%
ROICexc 34.74%
ROICexgc 42.23%
OM 45.56%
PM (TTM) 31.66%
GM 83.04%
FCFM 9.15%
ROA(3y)13.33%
ROA(5y)12.81%
ROE(3y)67.02%
ROE(5y)64.37%
ROIC(3y)25.56%
ROIC(5y)23%
ROICexc(3y)27.7%
ROICexc(5y)25.05%
ROICexgc(3y)35.92%
ROICexgc(5y)34.98%
ROCE(3y)33.47%
ROCE(5y)29.68%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.25%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.72%
ROICexc growth 3Y17.48%
ROICexc growth 5Y13.55%
OM growth 3Y16.24%
OM growth 5Y10.3%
PM growth 3Y13.11%
PM growth 5Y4.64%
GM growth 3Y2.65%
GM growth 5Y1.35%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.58
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.54
Debt/FCF 7.13
Debt/EBITDA 1.29
Cap/Depr 543.27%
Cap/Sales 16.64%
Interest Coverage 46.91
Cash Conversion 53.05%
Profit Quality 28.9%
Current Ratio 1.58
Quick Ratio 1.19
Altman-Z 8.04
F-Score7
WACC9.3%
ROIC/WACC3.38
Cap/Depr(3y)500.99%
Cap/Depr(5y)364.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)14.81%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)86.23%
EPS 3Y44.11%
EPS 5Y25.01%
EPS Q2Q%41.73%
EPS Next Y44.42%
EPS Next 2Y32.59%
EPS Next 3Y27.1%
EPS Next 5Y20.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)44.7%
Revenue growth 3Y31.69%
Revenue growth 5Y21.58%
Sales Q2Q%42.56%
Revenue Next Year28.55%
Revenue Next 2Y22.14%
Revenue Next 3Y18.91%
Revenue Next 5Y14.96%
EBIT growth 1Y74.26%
EBIT growth 3Y53.07%
EBIT growth 5Y34.09%
EBIT Next Year54.37%
EBIT Next 3Y28.79%
EBIT Next 5Y22.24%
FCF growth 1Y1339.54%
FCF growth 3Y9.04%
FCF growth 5Y5.93%
OCF growth 1Y90.67%
OCF growth 3Y30.38%
OCF growth 5Y20.93%

ELI LILLY & CO / LLY Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ELI LILLY & CO?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to LLY.


What is the valuation status of ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ELI LILLY & CO (LLY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) stock?

ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) is 37.3 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 32.15.


Is the dividend of ELI LILLY & CO sustainable?

The dividend rating of ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 26.09%.