Logo image of KEY.CA

KEYERA CORP (KEY.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:KEY - CA4932711001 - Common Stock

44.25 CAD
-1.3 (-2.85%)
Last: 12/9/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Overall KEY gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated KEY against 218 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. KEY has an average financial health and profitability rating. KEY is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year KEY was profitable.
KEY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years KEY has been profitable.
KEY had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
KEY.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFKEY.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 3.22%, KEY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.23% of the companies in the same industry.
KEY has a Return On Equity of 15.37%. This is amongst the best in the industry. KEY outperforms 91.74% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 5.64%, KEY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.98% of the companies in the same industry.
KEY had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.56%. This is above the industry average of 6.53%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.22%
ROE 15.37%
ROIC 5.64%
ROA(3y)4.74%
ROA(5y)3.81%
ROE(3y)14.7%
ROE(5y)11.71%
ROIC(3y)8.56%
ROIC(5y)7.83%
KEY.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICKEY.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

With a Profit Margin value of 6.07%, KEY perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.26% of the companies in the same industry.
KEY's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 10.58%, KEY is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.88% of the companies in the same industry.
KEY's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
KEY's Gross Margin of 18.92% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. KEY outperforms 49.54% of its industry peers.
KEY's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 10.58%
PM (TTM) 6.07%
GM 18.92%
OM growth 3Y-4.37%
OM growth 5Y-6.77%
PM growth 3Y1.58%
PM growth 5Y-11.08%
GM growth 3Y-2.54%
GM growth 5Y-6.91%
KEY.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsKEY.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), KEY is creating some value.
KEY has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
KEY has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
KEY has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
KEY.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingKEY.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
KEY.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsKEY.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.62, we must say that KEY is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
KEY's Altman-Z score of 1.62 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. KEY outperforms 67.89% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of KEY is 12.11, which is on the high side as it means it would take KEY, 12.11 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 12.11, KEY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.31% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.22 is on the high side and indicates that KEY has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 2.22, KEY is doing worse than 79.36% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.22
Debt/FCF 12.11
Altman-Z 1.62
ROIC/WACC0.78
WACC7.28%
KEY.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFKEY.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.88 indicates that KEY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
KEY has a better Current ratio (1.88) than 77.52% of its industry peers.
KEY has a Quick Ratio of 1.78. This is a normal value and indicates that KEY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.78, KEY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.44% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.88
Quick Ratio 1.78
KEY.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesKEY.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

KEY shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -4.08%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 0.96% on average over the past years.
KEY shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -5.45%.
Measured over the past years, KEY shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 14.57% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.08%
EPS 3Y15.19%
EPS 5Y0.96%
EPS Q2Q%-54.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.45%
Revenue growth 3Y12.72%
Revenue growth 5Y14.57%
Sales Q2Q%-8.91%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, KEY will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.12% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, KEY will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.75% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-2.9%
EPS Next 2Y13.86%
EPS Next 3Y12.69%
EPS Next 5Y9.12%
Revenue Next Year-3.84%
Revenue Next 2Y16.14%
Revenue Next 3Y16.51%
Revenue Next 5Y7.75%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
KEY.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesKEY.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
KEY.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesKEY.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1 2 3 4

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 23.54 indicates a rather expensive valuation of KEY.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, KEY is valued a bit cheaper than 61.93% of the companies in the same industry.
KEY is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.28, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.95, which indicates a correct valuation of KEY.
KEY's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. KEY is cheaper than 61.01% of the companies in the same industry.
KEY's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.52.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.54
Fwd PE 15.95
KEY.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsKEY.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of KEY is on the same level as its industry peers.
KEY's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. KEY is cheaper than 64.68% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.84
EV/EBITDA 14.83
KEY.CA Per share dataKEY.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as KEY's earnings are expected to grow with 12.69% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)24.47
EPS Next 2Y13.86%
EPS Next 3Y12.69%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

KEY has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.80%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.83, KEY pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.31, KEY pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.8%

5.2 History

The dividend of KEY has a limited annual growth rate of 2.11%.
KEY has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
KEY has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.11%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years3
KEY.CA Yearly Dividends per shareKEY.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

111.75% of the earnings are spent on dividend by KEY. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
KEY's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP111.75%
EPS Next 2Y13.86%
EPS Next 3Y12.69%
KEY.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendKEY.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
KEY.CA Dividend Payout.KEY.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.KEY.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

KEYERA CORP

TSX:KEY (12/9/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

44.25

-1.3 (-2.85%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-14 2025-11-14/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-11 2026-02-11/amc
Inst Owners47.21%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.41%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap12.49B
Revenue(TTM)7.09B
Net Income(TTM)430.98M
Analysts77.65
Price Target52.73 (19.16%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.8%
Yearly Dividend2.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.11%
DP111.75%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date12-15 2025-12-15 (0.54)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2.98%
Min EPS beat(2)-31.68%
Max EPS beat(2)37.63%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.72%
Min EPS beat(4)-31.68%
Max EPS beat(4)37.63%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-12.22%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-21.38%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-13.03%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.15%
Min Revenue beat(2)-10.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.82%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.38%
Min Revenue beat(4)-10.47%
Max Revenue beat(4)14.91%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.22%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.42%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)10.46%
PT rev (1m)0.3%
PT rev (3m)1.2%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-11.33%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-14.26%
EPS NY rev (1m)-8.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)-5.06%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)4.62%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.79%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.55%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.94%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.54
Fwd PE 15.95
P/S 1.76
P/FCF 22.84
P/OCF 15.58
P/B 4.45
P/tB 4.57
EV/EBITDA 14.83
EPS(TTM)1.88
EY4.25%
EPS(NY)2.77
Fwd EY6.27%
FCF(TTM)1.94
FCFY4.38%
OCF(TTM)2.84
OCFY6.42%
SpS25.14
BVpS9.94
TBVpS9.68
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)24.47
Graham Number20.5
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.22%
ROE 15.37%
ROCE 7.32%
ROIC 5.64%
ROICexc 7.76%
ROICexgc 7.83%
OM 10.58%
PM (TTM) 6.07%
GM 18.92%
FCFM 7.71%
ROA(3y)4.74%
ROA(5y)3.81%
ROE(3y)14.7%
ROE(5y)11.71%
ROIC(3y)8.56%
ROIC(5y)7.83%
ROICexc(3y)8.62%
ROICexc(5y)7.87%
ROICexgc(3y)8.71%
ROICexgc(5y)7.97%
ROCE(3y)11.11%
ROCE(5y)10.16%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.46%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.33%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.54%
OM growth 3Y-4.37%
OM growth 5Y-6.77%
PM growth 3Y1.58%
PM growth 5Y-11.08%
GM growth 3Y-2.54%
GM growth 5Y-6.91%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.53
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.22
Debt/FCF 12.11
Debt/EBITDA 5.6
Cap/Depr 70.03%
Cap/Sales 3.59%
Interest Coverage 3.86
Cash Conversion 71.9%
Profit Quality 126.85%
Current Ratio 1.88
Quick Ratio 1.78
Altman-Z 1.62
F-Score4
WACC7.28%
ROIC/WACC0.78
Cap/Depr(3y)174.25%
Cap/Depr(5y)189.14%
Cap/Sales(3y)7%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.6%
Profit Quality(3y)122.66%
Profit Quality(5y)88.01%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.08%
EPS 3Y15.19%
EPS 5Y0.96%
EPS Q2Q%-54.88%
EPS Next Y-2.9%
EPS Next 2Y13.86%
EPS Next 3Y12.69%
EPS Next 5Y9.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.45%
Revenue growth 3Y12.72%
Revenue growth 5Y14.57%
Sales Q2Q%-8.91%
Revenue Next Year-3.84%
Revenue Next 2Y16.14%
Revenue Next 3Y16.51%
Revenue Next 5Y7.75%
EBIT growth 1Y-24.14%
EBIT growth 3Y7.79%
EBIT growth 5Y6.8%
EBIT Next Year27.11%
EBIT Next 3Y29.76%
EBIT Next 5Y18.43%
FCF growth 1Y33.4%
FCF growth 3Y134.72%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-8.86%
OCF growth 3Y29.43%
OCF growth 5Y7.35%

KEYERA CORP / KEY.CA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for KEYERA CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to KEY.CA.


Can you provide the valuation status for KEYERA CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to KEYERA CORP (KEY.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of KEY stock?

KEYERA CORP (KEY.CA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of KEYERA CORP (KEY.CA) stock?

The financial health rating of KEYERA CORP (KEY.CA) is 4 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for KEY stock?

The dividend rating of KEYERA CORP (KEY.CA) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 111.75%.