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KEYERA CORP (KEY.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:KEY - CA4932711001 - Common Stock

43.12 CAD
+1.13 (+2.69%)
Last: 1/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Overall KEY gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated KEY against 211 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. KEY has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. KEY has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

KEY had positive earnings in the past year.
KEY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years KEY has been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years KEY had a positive operating cash flow.
KEY.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFKEY.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 3.22%, KEY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.88% of the companies in the same industry.
KEY has a better Return On Equity (15.37%) than 92.42% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 5.64%, KEY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for KEY is above the industry average of 6.52%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.22%
ROE 15.37%
ROIC 5.64%
ROA(3y)4.74%
ROA(5y)3.81%
ROE(3y)14.7%
ROE(5y)11.71%
ROIC(3y)8.56%
ROIC(5y)7.83%
KEY.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICKEY.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of KEY (6.07%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of KEY has declined.
With a Operating Margin value of 10.58%, KEY perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.82% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of KEY has declined.
With a Gross Margin value of 18.92%, KEY perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 49.76% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of KEY has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 10.58%
PM (TTM) 6.07%
GM 18.92%
OM growth 3Y-4.37%
OM growth 5Y-6.77%
PM growth 3Y1.58%
PM growth 5Y-11.08%
GM growth 3Y-2.54%
GM growth 5Y-6.91%
KEY.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsKEY.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), KEY is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for KEY remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, KEY has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, KEY has an improved debt to assets ratio.
KEY.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingKEY.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
KEY.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsKEY.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.2 Solvency

KEY has an Altman-Z score of 1.57. This is a bad value and indicates that KEY is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of KEY (1.57) is better than 67.30% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of KEY is 12.11, which is on the high side as it means it would take KEY, 12.11 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
KEY has a better Debt to FCF ratio (12.11) than 72.51% of its industry peers.
KEY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.22. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
KEY has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (2.22) than 77.73% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.22
Debt/FCF 12.11
Altman-Z 1.57
ROIC/WACC0.79
WACC7.1%
KEY.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFKEY.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

KEY has a Current Ratio of 1.88. This is a normal value and indicates that KEY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
KEY's Current ratio of 1.88 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. KEY outperforms 77.73% of its industry peers.
KEY has a Quick Ratio of 1.78. This is a normal value and indicates that KEY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
KEY has a better Quick ratio (1.78) than 79.15% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.88
Quick Ratio 1.78
KEY.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesKEY.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for KEY have decreased by -4.08% in the last year.
Measured over the past 5 years, KEY shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 0.96% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, KEY shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -5.45% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, KEY shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 14.57% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.08%
EPS 3Y15.19%
EPS 5Y0.96%
EPS Q2Q%-54.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.45%
Revenue growth 3Y12.72%
Revenue growth 5Y14.57%
Sales Q2Q%-8.91%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.00% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, KEY will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 13.42% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-6.92%
EPS Next 2Y15.01%
EPS Next 3Y13.29%
EPS Next 5Y12%
Revenue Next Year-1.29%
Revenue Next 2Y16.14%
Revenue Next 3Y15.57%
Revenue Next 5Y13.42%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
KEY.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesKEY.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
KEY.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesKEY.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1 2 3 4

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 22.94, KEY is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, KEY is valued a bit cheaper than 61.61% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.30, KEY is valued at the same level.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.23, the valuation of KEY can be described as correct.
63.03% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than KEY, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
KEY's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 24.04.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.94
Fwd PE 15.23
KEY.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsKEY.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as KEY.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of KEY indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: KEY is cheaper than 64.45% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.25
EV/EBITDA 14.06
KEY.CA Per share dataKEY.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

KEY's earnings are expected to grow with 13.29% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)23.85
EPS Next 2Y15.01%
EPS Next 3Y13.29%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.19%, KEY is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.71, KEY pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.92, KEY pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.19%

5.2 History

The dividend of KEY has a limited annual growth rate of 2.11%.
KEY has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
KEY has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.11%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years3
KEY.CA Yearly Dividends per shareKEY.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

111.75% of the earnings are spent on dividend by KEY. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of KEY is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP111.75%
EPS Next 2Y15.01%
EPS Next 3Y13.29%
KEY.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendKEY.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
KEY.CA Dividend Payout.KEY.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.KEY.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

KEYERA CORP

TSX:KEY (1/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

43.12

+1.13 (+2.69%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-14 2025-11-14/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-11 2026-02-11/amc
Inst Owners48.23%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.41%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap12.17B
Revenue(TTM)7.09B
Net Income(TTM)430.98M
Analysts77.5
Price Target53.2 (23.38%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.19%
Yearly Dividend2.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.11%
DP111.75%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2.98%
Min EPS beat(2)-31.68%
Max EPS beat(2)37.63%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.72%
Min EPS beat(4)-31.68%
Max EPS beat(4)37.63%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-12.22%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-21.38%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-13.03%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.15%
Min Revenue beat(2)-10.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.82%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.38%
Min Revenue beat(4)-10.47%
Max Revenue beat(4)14.91%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.22%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.42%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)10.46%
PT rev (1m)0.89%
PT rev (3m)2.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-14.15%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.15%
EPS NY rev (3m)-11.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.79%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.65%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.21%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.94
Fwd PE 15.23
P/S 1.71
P/FCF 22.25
P/OCF 15.18
P/B 4.34
P/tB 4.45
EV/EBITDA 14.06
EPS(TTM)1.88
EY4.36%
EPS(NY)2.83
Fwd EY6.56%
FCF(TTM)1.94
FCFY4.49%
OCF(TTM)2.84
OCFY6.59%
SpS25.14
BVpS9.94
TBVpS9.68
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)23.85
Graham Number20.5
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.22%
ROE 15.37%
ROCE 7.32%
ROIC 5.64%
ROICexc 7.76%
ROICexgc 7.83%
OM 10.58%
PM (TTM) 6.07%
GM 18.92%
FCFM 7.71%
ROA(3y)4.74%
ROA(5y)3.81%
ROE(3y)14.7%
ROE(5y)11.71%
ROIC(3y)8.56%
ROIC(5y)7.83%
ROICexc(3y)8.62%
ROICexc(5y)7.87%
ROICexgc(3y)8.71%
ROICexgc(5y)7.97%
ROCE(3y)11.11%
ROCE(5y)10.16%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.46%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.33%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.54%
OM growth 3Y-4.37%
OM growth 5Y-6.77%
PM growth 3Y1.58%
PM growth 5Y-11.08%
GM growth 3Y-2.54%
GM growth 5Y-6.91%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.53
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.22
Debt/FCF 12.11
Debt/EBITDA 5.6
Cap/Depr 70.03%
Cap/Sales 3.59%
Interest Coverage 3.86
Cash Conversion 71.9%
Profit Quality 126.85%
Current Ratio 1.88
Quick Ratio 1.78
Altman-Z 1.57
F-Score4
WACC7.1%
ROIC/WACC0.79
Cap/Depr(3y)174.25%
Cap/Depr(5y)189.14%
Cap/Sales(3y)7%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.6%
Profit Quality(3y)122.66%
Profit Quality(5y)88.01%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.08%
EPS 3Y15.19%
EPS 5Y0.96%
EPS Q2Q%-54.88%
EPS Next Y-6.92%
EPS Next 2Y15.01%
EPS Next 3Y13.29%
EPS Next 5Y12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.45%
Revenue growth 3Y12.72%
Revenue growth 5Y14.57%
Sales Q2Q%-8.91%
Revenue Next Year-1.29%
Revenue Next 2Y16.14%
Revenue Next 3Y15.57%
Revenue Next 5Y13.42%
EBIT growth 1Y-24.14%
EBIT growth 3Y7.79%
EBIT growth 5Y6.8%
EBIT Next Year26.34%
EBIT Next 3Y31.82%
EBIT Next 5Y19.87%
FCF growth 1Y33.4%
FCF growth 3Y134.72%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-8.86%
OCF growth 3Y29.43%
OCF growth 5Y7.35%

KEYERA CORP / KEY.CA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for KEYERA CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to KEY.CA.


What is the valuation status of KEYERA CORP (KEY.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to KEYERA CORP (KEY.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of KEY stock?

KEYERA CORP (KEY.CA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for KEY stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for KEYERA CORP (KEY.CA) is 22.94 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 4.34.


What is the expected EPS growth for KEYERA CORP (KEY.CA) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of KEYERA CORP (KEY.CA) is expected to decline by -6.92% in the next year.