HERSHEY CO/THE (HSY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:HSY • US4278661081
Current stock price
182.34 USD
-3.4 (-1.83%)
At close:
180.97 USD
-1.37 (-0.75%)
Pre-Market:
This HSY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. HSY Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year HSY was profitable.
- HSY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- HSY had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years HSY always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- HSY has a better Return On Assets (7.91%) than 85.06% of its industry peers.
- HSY has a Return On Equity of 23.11%. This is amongst the best in the industry. HSY outperforms 90.80% of its industry peers.
- HSY has a better Return On Invested Capital (13.04%) than 91.95% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HSY is significantly above the industry average of 7.69%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (18.61%) for HSY is well above the current ROIC(13.04%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.91% | ||
| ROE | 23.11% | ||
| ROIC | 13.04% |
ROA(3y)13.08%
ROA(5y)13.69%
ROE(3y)37.19%
ROE(5y)43%
ROIC(3y)18.61%
ROIC(5y)19.34%
1.3 Margins
- With an excellent Profit Margin value of 9.12%, HSY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.91% of the companies in the same industry.
- HSY's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- HSY's Operating Margin of 14.68% is amongst the best of the industry. HSY outperforms 89.66% of its industry peers.
- HSY's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- HSY's Gross Margin of 35.03% is amongst the best of the industry. HSY outperforms 83.91% of its industry peers.
- HSY's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 14.68% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.12% | ||
| GM | 35.03% |
OM growth 3Y-16.11%
OM growth 5Y-10.52%
PM growth 3Y-21.78%
PM growth 5Y-13.6%
GM growth 3Y-8.07%
GM growth 5Y-5.89%
2. HSY Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HSY is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, HSY has more shares outstanding
- Compared to 5 years ago, HSY has less shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for HSY has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 4.35 indicates that HSY is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- The Altman-Z score of HSY (4.35) is better than 86.21% of its industry peers.
- HSY has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.89. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as HSY would need 2.89 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of HSY (2.89) is better than 81.61% of its industry peers.
- HSY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.03. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- HSY has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.03. This is in the lower half of the industry: HSY underperforms 68.97% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.03 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.35 |
ROIC/WACC1.57
WACC8.28%
2.3 Liquidity
- HSY has a Current Ratio of 1.24. This is a normal value and indicates that HSY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- HSY's Current ratio of 1.24 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HSY is outperformed by 65.52% of its industry peers.
- HSY has a Quick Ratio of 1.24. This is a bad value and indicates that HSY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- HSY has a Quick ratio of 0.77. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HSY outperforms 45.98% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.24 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.77 |
3. HSY Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for HSY have decreased strongly by -21.69% in the last year.
- Measured over the past 5 years, HSY shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 0.06% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, HSY shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 11.50% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.49% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.69%
EPS 3Y-9.52%
EPS 5Y0.06%
EPS Q2Q%12.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.5%
Revenue growth 3Y3.92%
Revenue growth 5Y7.49%
Sales Q2Q%10.65%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 13.64% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.83% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y35.52%
EPS Next 2Y26.03%
EPS Next 3Y19.89%
EPS Next 5Y13.64%
Revenue Next Year5.8%
Revenue Next 2Y4.26%
Revenue Next 3Y3.77%
Revenue Next 5Y3.83%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. HSY Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 27.75, the valuation of HSY can be described as expensive.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of HSY is on the same level as its industry peers.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.51. HSY is around the same levels.
- HSY is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.19.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as HSY.
- HSY's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 21.41.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.19 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- HSY's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
- HSY's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.95 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.12 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- HSY has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- HSY's earnings are expected to grow with 19.89% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.78
PEG (5Y)436.98
EPS Next 2Y26.03%
EPS Next 3Y19.89%
5. HSY Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- HSY has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.19%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.27, HSY pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- HSY's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.80.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.19% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of HSY grows each year by 11.76%, which is quite nice.
- HSY has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- HSY has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.76%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years34
5.3 Sustainability
- 100.69% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HSY. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- HSY's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP100.69%
EPS Next 2Y26.03%
EPS Next 3Y19.89%
HSY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
182.34
-3.4 (-1.83%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Industry Strength23.6
Industry Growth11.8
Earnings (Last)04-30 2026-04-30/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-28 2026-07-28/bmo
Inst Owners88.6%
Inst Owner Change0.05%
Ins Owners0.17%
Ins Owner Change-8.05%
Market Cap36.96B
Revenue(TTM)11.99B
Net Income(TTM)1.09B
Analysts67.33
Price Target229.41 (25.81%)
Short Float %6.39%
Short Ratio5.06
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.19% |
Yearly Dividend5.36
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.76%
DP100.69%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date05-15 2026-05-15 (1.452)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)17.21%
Min EPS beat(2)13.79%
Max EPS beat(2)20.62%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)18.91%
Min EPS beat(4)13.79%
Max EPS beat(4)20.83%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)9.05%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)7.85%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)7.8%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.12%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.73%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.19%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.73%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.84%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.48%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.42%
PT rev (1m)-2.92%
PT rev (3m)16.4%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.21%
EPS NQ rev (3m)11.97%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.03%
EPS NY rev (3m)19.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.97%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.13%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.19 | ||
| P/S | 3.08 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.95 | ||
| P/OCF | 15.73 | ||
| P/B | 7.81 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.12 |
EPS(TTM)6.57
EY3.6%
EPS(NY)10.02
Fwd EY5.5%
FCF(TTM)9.14
FCFY5.01%
OCF(TTM)11.59
OCFY6.36%
SpS59.16
BVpS23.36
TBVpS-5.19
PEG (NY)0.78
PEG (5Y)436.98
Graham Number58.7577 (-67.78%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.91% | ||
| ROE | 23.11% | ||
| ROCE | 16.29% | ||
| ROIC | 13.04% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.17% | ||
| ROICexgc | 33.2% | ||
| OM | 14.68% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.12% | ||
| GM | 35.03% | ||
| FCFM | 15.45% |
ROA(3y)13.08%
ROA(5y)13.69%
ROE(3y)37.19%
ROE(5y)43%
ROIC(3y)18.61%
ROIC(5y)19.34%
ROICexc(3y)19.85%
ROICexc(5y)20.49%
ROICexgc(3y)42.97%
ROICexgc(5y)47.25%
ROCE(3y)25.08%
ROCE(5y)26.14%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.82%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-11.95%
ROICexc growth 3Y-19.39%
ROICexc growth 5Y-12.71%
OM growth 3Y-16.11%
OM growth 5Y-10.52%
PM growth 3Y-21.78%
PM growth 5Y-13.6%
GM growth 3Y-8.07%
GM growth 5Y-5.89%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.87
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.03 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.13 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 96.16% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.15% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 7.73 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 103.18% | ||
| Profit Quality | 169.28% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.24 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.77 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.35 |
F-Score6
WACC8.28%
ROIC/WACC1.57
Cap/Depr(3y)140.55%
Cap/Depr(5y)143.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.61%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.47%
Profit Quality(3y)122.7%
Profit Quality(5y)117.24%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.69%
EPS 3Y-9.52%
EPS 5Y0.06%
EPS Q2Q%12.44%
EPS Next Y35.52%
EPS Next 2Y26.03%
EPS Next 3Y19.89%
EPS Next 5Y13.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.5%
Revenue growth 3Y3.92%
Revenue growth 5Y7.49%
Sales Q2Q%10.65%
Revenue Next Year5.8%
Revenue Next 2Y4.26%
Revenue Next 3Y3.77%
Revenue Next 5Y3.83%
EBIT growth 1Y-24.14%
EBIT growth 3Y-12.82%
EBIT growth 5Y-3.82%
EBIT Next Year64.2%
EBIT Next 3Y25.46%
EBIT Next 5Y15.68%
FCF growth 1Y39.41%
FCF growth 3Y-1.1%
FCF growth 5Y7.01%
OCF growth 1Y9.95%
OCF growth 3Y-0.73%
OCF growth 5Y6.17%
HERSHEY CO/THE / HSY Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HSY stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to HSY.
Can you provide the valuation status for HERSHEY CO/THE?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to HERSHEY CO/THE (HSY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HERSHEY CO/THE (HSY) stock?
HERSHEY CO/THE (HSY) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for HSY stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HERSHEY CO/THE (HSY) is 27.75 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 7.81.
How financially healthy is HERSHEY CO/THE?
The financial health rating of HERSHEY CO/THE (HSY) is 5 / 10.