GREENHILL & CO INC (GHL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:GHL • US3952591044

Current stock price

14.99 USD
-0.02 (-0.13%)
At close:
15 USD
+0.01 (+0.07%)
After Hours:

This GHL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

2

1. GHL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GHL has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year GHL had a positive cash flow from operations.
GHL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGHL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50M 100M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of GHL (-5.43%) is worse than 91.71% of its industry peers.
  • GHL has a worse Return On Equity (-93.77%) than 96.59% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -5.43%
ROE -93.77%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)4.46%
ROA(5y)4.74%
ROE(3y)26.64%
ROE(5y)33.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
GHL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGHL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GHL has declined.
  • GHL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • GHL's Gross Margin of 95.76% is amongst the best of the industry. GHL outperforms 93.66% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GHL has remained more or less at the same level.
  • GHL does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 95.76%
OM growth 3Y-19.39%
OM growth 5Y22.54%
PM growth 3Y-29.57%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.05%
GM growth 5Y-0.01%
GHL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGHL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20 40 60 80

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1

2. GHL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • Compared to 1 year ago, GHL has less shares outstanding
  • GHL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
GHL Yearly Shares OutstandingGHL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
GHL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGHL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 200M 400M 600M

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.83, we must say that GHL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • GHL has a Altman-Z score (0.83) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • GHL has a debt to FCF ratio of 10.56. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GHL would need 10.56 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GHL (10.56) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • GHL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 9.61. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 9.61, GHL is doing worse than 89.27% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 9.61
Debt/FCF 10.56
Altman-Z 0.83
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
GHL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGHL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.57 indicates that GHL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of GHL (0.57) is worse than 75.12% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.57 indicates that GHL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.57, GHL is doing worse than 75.12% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.57
Quick Ratio 0.57
GHL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGHL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 100M 200M 300M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. GHL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • GHL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -947.37%.
  • The earnings per share for GHL have been decreasing by -30.66% on average. This is quite bad
  • Looking at the last year, GHL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -11.32% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, GHL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.56% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-947.37%
EPS 3Y-30.66%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-323.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-11.32%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.95%
Revenue growth 5Y1.56%
Sales Q2Q%-62.15%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, GHL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 163.54% on average per year.
  • GHL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.16% yearly.
EPS Next Y35.07%
EPS Next 2Y288.97%
EPS Next 3Y163.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.82%
Revenue Next 2Y9.65%
Revenue Next 3Y8.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
GHL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGHL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
GHL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGHL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 0.5 1 1.5

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4

4. GHL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for GHL. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.31, the valuation of GHL can be described as correct.
  • GHL's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GHL to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.36), we can say GHL is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 16.31
GHL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGHL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 71.71% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GHL, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.73
EV/EBITDA N/A
GHL Per share dataGHL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • GHL's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • GHL's earnings are expected to grow with 163.54% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y288.97%
EPS Next 3Y163.54%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

3

5. GHL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • GHL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.67%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.46, GHL is paying slightly less dividend.
  • GHL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.80.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.67%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of GHL decreases each year by -21.81%.
  • GHL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • As GHL did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-21.81%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years5
GHL Yearly Dividends per shareGHL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • The earnings of GHL are negative and hence is the payout ratio. GHL will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-40.59%
EPS Next 2Y288.97%
EPS Next 3Y163.54%
GHL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGHL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50M 100M

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GHL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GREENHILL & CO INC

NYSE:GHL (11/30/2023, 8:04:01 PM)

After market: 15 +0.01 (+0.07%)

14.99

-0.02 (-0.13%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Industry Strength74.53
Industry Growth95.03
Earnings (Last)11-10
Earnings (Next)01-30
Inst Owners0.47%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners4.34%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap282.11M
Revenue(TTM)247.60M
Net Income(TTM)-27.10M
Analysts45
Price Target15.3 (2.07%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.67%
Yearly Dividend0.5
Dividend Growth(5Y)-21.81%
DP-40.59%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-938.96%
Min EPS beat(2)-1847.23%
Max EPS beat(2)-30.69%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-515.52%
Min EPS beat(4)-1847.23%
Max EPS beat(4)-22.2%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-290.93%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-206.97%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-190.19%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-22.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)-45.75%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.41%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-14.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-45.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.41%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.84%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.5%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.91%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-110%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.74%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 16.31
P/S 1.14
P/FCF 10.73
P/OCF 8.87
P/B 9.76
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-1.61
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.92
Fwd EY6.13%
FCF(TTM)1.4
FCFY9.32%
OCF(TTM)1.69
OCFY11.27%
SpS13.16
BVpS1.54
TBVpS-8.95
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -5.43%
ROE -93.77%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 95.76%
FCFM 10.62%
ROA(3y)4.46%
ROA(5y)4.74%
ROE(3y)26.64%
ROE(5y)33.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)11.88%
ROCE(5y)13.34%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-19.39%
OM growth 5Y22.54%
PM growth 3Y-29.57%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.05%
GM growth 5Y-0.01%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.5
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 9.61
Debt/FCF 10.56
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 90.16%
Cap/Sales 2.22%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.57
Quick Ratio 0.57
Altman-Z 0.83
F-Score3
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)226.52%
Cap/Depr(5y)151.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.2%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.14%
Profit Quality(3y)379.66%
Profit Quality(5y)309.15%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-947.37%
EPS 3Y-30.66%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-323.88%
EPS Next Y35.07%
EPS Next 2Y288.97%
EPS Next 3Y163.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-11.32%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.95%
Revenue growth 5Y1.56%
Sales Q2Q%-62.15%
Revenue Next Year-1.82%
Revenue Next 2Y9.65%
Revenue Next 3Y8.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-133.44%
EBIT growth 3Y-23.38%
EBIT growth 5Y24.45%
EBIT Next Year-39.45%
EBIT Next 3Y29.76%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-73.99%
FCF growth 3Y17.69%
FCF growth 5Y10.44%
OCF growth 1Y-72.82%
OCF growth 3Y24.36%
OCF growth 5Y12.59%

GREENHILL & CO INC / GHL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of GREENHILL & CO INC (GHL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GHL.


What is the valuation status of GREENHILL & CO INC (GHL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to GREENHILL & CO INC (GHL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is GREENHILL & CO INC (GHL) stock?

GREENHILL & CO INC (GHL) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


How financially healthy is GREENHILL & CO INC?

The financial health rating of GREENHILL & CO INC (GHL) is 2 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for GREENHILL & CO INC (GHL) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GREENHILL & CO INC (GHL) is expected to grow by 35.07% in the next year.