EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:EXPE - US30212P3038 - Common Stock
214.95 USD
-1.57 (-0.73%)
214.95 USD
0 (0%)
Overall EXPE gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated EXPE against 134 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While EXPE has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. EXPE is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
EXPE had positive earnings in the past year.
EXPE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years EXPE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
EXPE had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 4.10%, EXPE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.45% of the companies in the same industry.
EXPE's Return On Equity of 132.42% is amongst the best of the industry. EXPE outperforms 98.51% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of EXPE (17.00%) is better than 85.82% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for EXPE is significantly below the industry average of 16.00%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (17.00%) for EXPE is above the 3 year average (10.99%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.1% | ||
| ROE | 132.42% | ||
| ROIC | 17% |
ROA(3y)3.61%
ROA(5y)-0.96%
ROE(3y)48.88%
ROE(5y)5.49%
ROIC(3y)10.99%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 7.90%, EXPE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.42% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EXPE has grown nicely.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 12.15%, EXPE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.93% of the companies in the same industry.
EXPE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
EXPE has a better Gross Margin (89.58%) than 97.76% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EXPE has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.9% | ||
| GM | 89.58% |
OM growth 3Y58.59%
OM growth 5Y8.82%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y14%
GM growth 3Y2.82%
GM growth 5Y1.74%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EXPE is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for EXPE has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for EXPE has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
EXPE has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
EXPE has an Altman-Z score of 1.15. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
EXPE has a worse Altman-Z score (1.15) than 64.18% of its industry peers.
EXPE has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.11. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EXPE would need 3.11 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.11, EXPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.34% of the companies in the same industry.
EXPE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.34. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
EXPE has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (5.34) than 61.94% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.15 |
ROIC/WACC2.03
WACC8.38%
2.3 Liquidity
EXPE has a Current Ratio of 0.75. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.75, EXPE is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.30% of the companies in the same industry.
EXPE has a Quick Ratio of 0.75. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of EXPE (0.75) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.75 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.75 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 21.29% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, EXPE shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 14.87% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, EXPE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.69% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, EXPE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.56% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.29%
EPS 3Y104.08%
EPS 5Y14.87%
EPS Q2Q%20.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y16.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.56%
Sales Q2Q%6.41%
3.2 Future
EXPE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 15.50% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.25% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y18.05%
EPS Next 2Y17.92%
EPS Next 3Y17.55%
EPS Next 5Y15.5%
Revenue Next Year5.46%
Revenue Next 2Y5.98%
Revenue Next 3Y6.57%
Revenue Next 5Y6.25%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 16.33 indicates a correct valuation of EXPE.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of EXPE indicates a rather cheap valuation: EXPE is cheaper than 80.60% of the companies listed in the same industry.
EXPE is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.06, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.63, the valuation of EXPE can be described as correct.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, EXPE is valued cheaper than 82.09% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.69. EXPE is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.33 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.63 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, EXPE is valued a bit cheaper than 68.66% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of EXPE indicates a rather cheap valuation: EXPE is cheaper than 88.81% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.32 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.03 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
EXPE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
EXPE has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
EXPE's earnings are expected to grow with 17.55% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.91
PEG (5Y)1.1
EPS Next 2Y17.92%
EPS Next 3Y17.55%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
EXPE has a yearly dividend return of 0.74%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.01, EXPE pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.41, EXPE's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.74% |
5.2 History
EXPE has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y17.92%
EPS Next 3Y17.55%
214.95
-1.57 (-0.73%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners100.21%
Inst Owner Change-1.56%
Ins Owners0.49%
Ins Owner Change0.27%
Market Cap26.59B
Analysts72.56
Price Target226.72 (5.48%)
Short Float %5.62%
Short Ratio3.65
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.74% |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)11.21%
Min EPS beat(2)1.46%
Max EPS beat(2)20.96%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)9.14%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.95%
Max EPS beat(4)20.96%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)30.51%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-12.48%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)3.75%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.36%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.83%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.11%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.22%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.66%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.81%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.4%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.63%
PT rev (1m)17.34%
PT rev (3m)18.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.07%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.86%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.13%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.84%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.59%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.17%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.33 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.63 | ||
| P/S | 1.9 | ||
| P/FCF | 13.32 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.57 | ||
| P/B | 31.81 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.03 |
EPS(TTM)13.16
EY6.12%
EPS(NY)17.02
Fwd EY7.92%
FCF(TTM)16.14
FCFY7.51%
OCF(TTM)22.45
OCFY10.45%
SpS113.3
BVpS6.76
TBVpS-55.12
PEG (NY)0.91
PEG (5Y)1.1
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.1% | ||
| ROE | 132.42% | ||
| ROCE | 23.13% | ||
| ROIC | 17% | ||
| ROICexc | 181.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.9% | ||
| GM | 89.58% | ||
| FCFM | 14.25% |
ROA(3y)3.61%
ROA(5y)-0.96%
ROE(3y)48.88%
ROE(5y)5.49%
ROIC(3y)10.99%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)20.29%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)14.96%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y125.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y22.57%
OM growth 3Y58.59%
OM growth 5Y8.82%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y14%
GM growth 3Y2.82%
GM growth 5Y1.74%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.11 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.74 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.29% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.57% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 7.92 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 108.18% | ||
| Profit Quality | 180.4% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.75 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.75 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.15 |
F-Score8
WACC8.38%
ROIC/WACC2.03
Cap/Depr(3y)92.88%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.19%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.93%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.19%
Profit Quality(3y)403.1%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.29%
EPS 3Y104.08%
EPS 5Y14.87%
EPS Q2Q%20.8%
EPS Next Y18.05%
EPS Next 2Y17.92%
EPS Next 3Y17.55%
EPS Next 5Y15.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y16.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.56%
Sales Q2Q%6.41%
Revenue Next Year5.46%
Revenue Next 2Y5.98%
Revenue Next 3Y6.57%
Revenue Next 5Y6.25%
EBIT growth 1Y7.31%
EBIT growth 3Y85.19%
EBIT growth 5Y11.61%
EBIT Next Year134.06%
EBIT Next 3Y40.85%
EBIT Next 5Y27.05%
FCF growth 1Y-13.96%
FCF growth 3Y-8.85%
FCF growth 5Y7.7%
OCF growth 1Y-11.08%
OCF growth 3Y-6.28%
OCF growth 5Y2.2%