EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:EXPE • US30212P3038

Current stock price

224.3 USD
-4.74 (-2.07%)
At close:
229.5 USD
+5.2 (+2.32%)
After Hours:

This EXPE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

9

1. EXPE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year EXPE was profitable.
  • EXPE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years EXPE 4 years were profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years EXPE had a positive operating cash flow.
EXPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEXPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B -4B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 5.29%, EXPE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EXPE has a better Return On Equity (100.78%) than 96.83% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 22.36%, EXPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EXPE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.54%. This is significantly above the industry average of 10.56%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (16.54%) for EXPE is below the current ROIC(22.36%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.29%
ROE 100.78%
ROIC 22.36%
ROA(3y)4.83%
ROA(5y)2.97%
ROE(3y)77.33%
ROE(5y)46.87%
ROIC(3y)16.54%
ROIC(5y)12.05%
EXPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEXPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 100 -100

1.3 Margins

  • EXPE has a Profit Margin of 8.78%. This is in the better half of the industry: EXPE outperforms 73.81% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EXPE has grown nicely.
  • EXPE has a better Operating Margin (14.68%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • EXPE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 90.12%, EXPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 98.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EXPE has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 14.68%
PM (TTM) 8.78%
GM 90.12%
OM growth 3Y12.94%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y42.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
EXPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEXPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

5

2. EXPE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • EXPE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for EXPE has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • EXPE has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for EXPE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
EXPE Yearly Shares OutstandingEXPE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
EXPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEXPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • EXPE has an Altman-Z score of 1.50. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • EXPE has a Altman-Z score of 1.50. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EXPE outperforms 47.62% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of EXPE is 1.98, which is an excellent value as it means it would take EXPE, only 1.98 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of EXPE (1.98) is better than 86.51% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.48 is on the high side and indicates that EXPE has dependencies on debt financing.
  • EXPE has a Debt to Equity ratio (3.48) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • Although EXPE's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.48
Debt/FCF 1.98
Altman-Z 1.5
ROIC/WACC2.86
WACC7.83%
EXPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEXPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.73 indicates that EXPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.73, EXPE is not doing good in the industry: 70.63% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.73 indicates that EXPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • EXPE's Quick ratio of 0.73 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EXPE is outperformed by 65.08% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.73
Quick Ratio 0.73
EXPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEXPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. EXPE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 30.64% over the past year.
  • EXPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 32.98% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, EXPE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 7.61% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 23.16% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.61%
Revenue growth 3Y8.09%
Revenue growth 5Y23.16%
Sales Q2Q%11.4%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.93% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.78% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y22.78%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EPS Next 5Y15.93%
Revenue Next Year9.21%
Revenue Next 2Y8.09%
Revenue Next 3Y7.85%
Revenue Next 5Y6.78%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
EXPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEXPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B 20B
EXPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEXPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 10 20 30 40

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8

4. EXPE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 14.03, the valuation of EXPE can be described as correct.
  • 80.95% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EXPE, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of EXPE to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.21), we can say EXPE is valued slightly cheaper.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.43 indicates a reasonable valuation of EXPE.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, EXPE is valued cheaply inside the industry as 82.54% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • EXPE is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.10, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.03
Fwd PE 11.43
EXPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEXPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, EXPE is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 92.06% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EXPE, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.84
EV/EBITDA 9.24
EXPE Per share dataEXPE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 -50 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • EXPE has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXPE's earnings are expected to grow with 19.10% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.62
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. EXPE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • EXPE has a yearly dividend return of 0.85%, which is pretty low.
  • The stock price of EXPE dropped by -24.31% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
  • EXPE's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.14.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.85, EXPE pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.85%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of EXPE has a limited annual growth rate of 3.43%.
  • EXPE has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
EXPE Yearly Dividends per shareEXPE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • EXPE pays out 15.46% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of EXPE is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP15.46%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EXPE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEXPE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B -4B
EXPE Dividend Payout.EXPE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EXPE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

More info and screens

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EXPE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

EXPEDIA GROUP INC

NASDAQ:EXPE (4/7/2026, 9:32:32 PM)

After market: 229.5 +5.2 (+2.32%)

224.3

-4.74 (-2.07%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-12
Earnings (Next)04-30
Inst Owners103.02%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners0.59%
Ins Owner Change0.52%
Market Cap27.48B
Revenue(TTM)14.73B
Net Income(TTM)1.29B
Analysts73.64
Price Target287.65 (28.24%)
Short Float %5.8%
Short Ratio2.27
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.85%
Yearly Dividend1.59
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
DP15.46%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-05
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.86%
Min EPS beat(2)7.27%
Max EPS beat(2)10.44%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)10.03%
Min EPS beat(4)1.46%
Max EPS beat(4)20.96%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)31.73%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)-8.54%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.19%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.72%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.83%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.72%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.24%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.65%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.67%
PT rev (1m)0.18%
PT rev (3m)4.06%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)63.78%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)7.68%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.02%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.92%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.03
Fwd PE 11.43
P/S 1.87
P/FCF 8.84
P/OCF 7.08
P/B 21.4
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.24
EPS(TTM)15.99
EY7.13%
EPS(NY)19.63
Fwd EY8.75%
FCF(TTM)25.38
FCFY11.32%
OCF(TTM)31.67
OCFY14.12%
SpS120.24
BVpS10.48
TBVpS-52.29
PEG (NY)0.62
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number61.4
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.29%
ROE 100.78%
ROCE 27.75%
ROIC 22.36%
ROICexc 84.52%
ROICexgc N/A
OM 14.68%
PM (TTM) 8.78%
GM 90.12%
FCFM 21.11%
ROA(3y)4.83%
ROA(5y)2.97%
ROE(3y)77.33%
ROE(5y)46.87%
ROIC(3y)16.54%
ROIC(5y)12.05%
ROICexc(3y)45.61%
ROICexc(5y)30.79%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.53%
ROCE(5y)14.96%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y80.26%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y12.94%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y42.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.6
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.48
Debt/FCF 1.98
Debt/EBITDA 1.47
Cap/Depr 86.81%
Cap/Sales 5.23%
Interest Coverage 10.15
Cash Conversion 127.21%
Profit Quality 240.34%
Current Ratio 0.73
Quick Ratio 0.73
Altman-Z 1.5
F-Score7
WACC7.83%
ROIC/WACC2.86
Cap/Depr(3y)93.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)89.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.17%
Profit Quality(3y)220.15%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
EPS Next Y22.78%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EPS Next 5Y15.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.61%
Revenue growth 3Y8.09%
Revenue growth 5Y23.16%
Sales Q2Q%11.4%
Revenue Next Year9.21%
Revenue Next 2Y8.09%
Revenue Next 3Y7.85%
Revenue Next 5Y6.78%
EBIT growth 1Y29.99%
EBIT growth 3Y22.07%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year111.36%
EBIT Next 3Y36.5%
EBIT Next 5Y24.27%
FCF growth 1Y33.53%
FCF growth 3Y3.83%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y25.77%
OCF growth 3Y4.09%
OCF growth 5YN/A

EXPEDIA GROUP INC / EXPE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to EXPE.


What is the valuation status of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?

EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 14.03 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 21.4.


What is the financial health of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?

The financial health rating of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 5 / 10.