EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:EXPE • US30212P3038

227.65 USD
-2.7 (-1.17%)
At close: Mar 12, 2026
227.65 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 3/12/2026, 8:00:02 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Forecast Earnings Financials Ownership News

This EXPE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

7

EXPE gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 126 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While EXPE has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. EXPE is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination! With these ratings, EXPE could be worth investigating further for value investing!.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. EXPE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year EXPE was profitable.
  • EXPE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • EXPE had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years EXPE had a positive operating cash flow.
EXPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEXPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B -4B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 5.29%, EXPE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.02% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EXPE has a Return On Equity of 100.78%. This is amongst the best in the industry. EXPE outperforms 96.83% of its industry peers.
  • EXPE has a Return On Invested Capital of 22.36%. This is amongst the best in the industry. EXPE outperforms 92.86% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for EXPE is significantly above the industry average of 10.48%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (22.36%) for EXPE is above the 3 year average (16.54%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.29%
ROE 100.78%
ROIC 22.36%
ROA(3y)4.83%
ROA(5y)2.97%
ROE(3y)77.33%
ROE(5y)46.87%
ROIC(3y)16.54%
ROIC(5y)12.05%
EXPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEXPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 100 -100

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Profit Margin value of 8.78%, EXPE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.02% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EXPE has grown nicely.
  • EXPE's Operating Margin of 14.68% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXPE outperforms 65.87% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EXPE has grown nicely.
  • EXPE has a Gross Margin of 90.12%. This is amongst the best in the industry. EXPE outperforms 98.41% of its industry peers.
  • EXPE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 14.68%
PM (TTM) 8.78%
GM 90.12%
OM growth 3Y12.94%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y42.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
EXPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEXPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

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5

2. EXPE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), EXPE is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, EXPE has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for EXPE has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, EXPE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
EXPE Yearly Shares OutstandingEXPE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
EXPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEXPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.50, we must say that EXPE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of EXPE (1.50) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • EXPE has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.98. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.98 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • EXPE has a better Debt to FCF ratio (1.98) than 84.92% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.48 is on the high side and indicates that EXPE has dependencies on debt financing.
  • EXPE has a Debt to Equity ratio (3.48) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • Although EXPE's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.48
Debt/FCF 1.98
Altman-Z 1.5
ROIC/WACC2.89
WACC7.74%
EXPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEXPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • EXPE has a Current Ratio of 0.73. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • EXPE's Current ratio of 0.73 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EXPE is outperformed by 68.25% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.73 indicates that EXPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.73, EXPE is not doing good in the industry: 64.29% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.73
Quick Ratio 0.73
EXPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEXPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. EXPE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • EXPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 30.64%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, EXPE shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 32.98% on average per year.
  • EXPE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.61%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 23.16% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.61%
Revenue growth 3Y8.09%
Revenue growth 5Y23.16%
Sales Q2Q%11.4%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.93% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, EXPE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.78% on average per year.
EPS Next Y22.78%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EPS Next 5Y15.93%
Revenue Next Year9.13%
Revenue Next 2Y8.05%
Revenue Next 3Y7.81%
Revenue Next 5Y6.78%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
EXPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEXPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B 20B
EXPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEXPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 10 20 30 40

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8

4. EXPE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 14.24, which indicates a correct valuation of EXPE.
  • 78.57% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EXPE, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.71. EXPE is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • EXPE is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.60.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, EXPE is valued cheaply inside the industry as 80.95% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • EXPE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.24
Fwd PE 11.6
EXPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEXPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • EXPE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EXPE is cheaper than 69.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 92.06% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EXPE, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.97
EV/EBITDA 9.29
EXPE Per share dataEXPE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 -50 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • EXPE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of EXPE may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • EXPE's earnings are expected to grow with 19.10% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.63
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. EXPE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.76%, EXPE is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.11, EXPE pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, EXPE's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.76%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of EXPE has a limited annual growth rate of 3.43%.
  • EXPE has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
EXPE Yearly Dividends per shareEXPE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • EXPE pays out 15.46% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • EXPE's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP15.46%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EXPE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEXPE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B -4B
EXPE Dividend Payout.EXPE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EXPE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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EXPE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

EXPEDIA GROUP INC

NASDAQ:EXPE (3/12/2026, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 227.65 0 (0%)

227.65

-2.7 (-1.17%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-12
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners103.02%
Inst Owner Change-4.54%
Ins Owners0.59%
Ins Owner Change0.48%
Market Cap27.89B
Revenue(TTM)14.73B
Net Income(TTM)1.29B
Analysts72.73
Price Target287.13 (26.13%)
Short Float %6.02%
Short Ratio2.7
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.76%
Yearly Dividend1.59
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
DP15.46%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-05
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.86%
Min EPS beat(2)7.27%
Max EPS beat(2)10.44%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)10.03%
Min EPS beat(4)1.46%
Max EPS beat(4)20.96%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)31.73%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)-8.54%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.19%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.72%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.83%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.72%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.24%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.65%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.67%
PT rev (1m)-1.54%
PT rev (3m)5.23%
EPS NQ rev (1m)62.85%
EPS NQ rev (3m)74.57%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.98%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.17%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.9%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.09%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.72%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.83%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.24
Fwd PE 11.6
P/S 1.89
P/FCF 8.97
P/OCF 7.19
P/B 21.72
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.29
EPS(TTM)15.99
EY7.02%
EPS(NY)19.63
Fwd EY8.62%
FCF(TTM)25.38
FCFY11.15%
OCF(TTM)31.67
OCFY13.91%
SpS120.24
BVpS10.48
TBVpS-52.29
PEG (NY)0.63
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number61.4
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.29%
ROE 100.78%
ROCE 27.75%
ROIC 22.36%
ROICexc 84.52%
ROICexgc N/A
OM 14.68%
PM (TTM) 8.78%
GM 90.12%
FCFM 21.11%
ROA(3y)4.83%
ROA(5y)2.97%
ROE(3y)77.33%
ROE(5y)46.87%
ROIC(3y)16.54%
ROIC(5y)12.05%
ROICexc(3y)45.61%
ROICexc(5y)30.79%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.53%
ROCE(5y)14.96%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y80.26%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y12.94%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y42.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.6
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.48
Debt/FCF 1.98
Debt/EBITDA 1.47
Cap/Depr 86.81%
Cap/Sales 5.23%
Interest Coverage 10.15
Cash Conversion 127.21%
Profit Quality 240.34%
Current Ratio 0.73
Quick Ratio 0.73
Altman-Z 1.5
F-Score7
WACC7.74%
ROIC/WACC2.89
Cap/Depr(3y)93.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)89.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.17%
Profit Quality(3y)220.15%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
EPS Next Y22.78%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EPS Next 5Y15.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.61%
Revenue growth 3Y8.09%
Revenue growth 5Y23.16%
Sales Q2Q%11.4%
Revenue Next Year9.13%
Revenue Next 2Y8.05%
Revenue Next 3Y7.81%
Revenue Next 5Y6.78%
EBIT growth 1Y29.99%
EBIT growth 3Y22.07%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year111.36%
EBIT Next 3Y36.5%
EBIT Next 5Y24.27%
FCF growth 1Y33.53%
FCF growth 3Y3.83%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y25.77%
OCF growth 3Y4.09%
OCF growth 5YN/A

EXPEDIA GROUP INC / EXPE FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to EXPE.


What is the valuation status of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?

EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


What is the financial health of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?

The financial health rating of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 5 / 10.


Is the dividend of EXPEDIA GROUP INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 15.46%.