EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:EXPE - US30212P3038 - Common Stock
220 USD
-0.47 (-0.21%)
220 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to EXPE. EXPE was compared to 132 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While EXPE belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. EXPE has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year EXPE was profitable.
In the past year EXPE had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years EXPE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Of the past 5 years EXPE 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
EXPE has a Return On Assets of 4.10%. This is in the better half of the industry: EXPE outperforms 60.15% of its industry peers.
EXPE has a better Return On Equity (132.42%) than 97.74% of its industry peers.
EXPE has a better Return On Invested Capital (17.00%) than 85.71% of its industry peers.
EXPE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.99%. This is in line with the industry average of 10.72%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (17.00%) for EXPE is above the 3 year average (10.99%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.1% | ||
| ROE | 132.42% | ||
| ROIC | 17% |
ROA(3y)3.61%
ROA(5y)-0.96%
ROE(3y)48.88%
ROE(5y)5.49%
ROIC(3y)10.99%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
EXPE's Profit Margin of 7.90% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXPE outperforms 66.92% of its industry peers.
EXPE's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 12.15%, EXPE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.66% of the companies in the same industry.
EXPE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 89.58%, EXPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 98.50% of the companies in the same industry.
EXPE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.9% | ||
| GM | 89.58% |
OM growth 3Y58.59%
OM growth 5Y8.82%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y14%
GM growth 3Y2.82%
GM growth 5Y1.74%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EXPE is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for EXPE has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for EXPE has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, EXPE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
EXPE has an Altman-Z score of 1.17. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.17, EXPE is not doing good in the industry: 61.65% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
EXPE has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.11. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EXPE would need 3.11 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of EXPE (3.11) is better than 81.20% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 5.34 is on the high side and indicates that EXPE has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 5.34, EXPE is doing worse than 60.90% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.17 |
ROIC/WACC2.23
WACC7.62%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.75 indicates that EXPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
EXPE's Current ratio of 0.75 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EXPE is outperformed by 60.90% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.75 indicates that EXPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
EXPE's Quick ratio of 0.75 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXPE outperforms 43.61% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.75 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.75 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
EXPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 21.29%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 14.87% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EXPE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.69%.
EXPE shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.56% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.29%
EPS 3Y104.08%
EPS 5Y14.87%
EPS Q2Q%20.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y16.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.56%
Sales Q2Q%6.41%
3.2 Future
EXPE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 15.50% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, EXPE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.25% on average per year.
EPS Next Y16.21%
EPS Next 2Y18.27%
EPS Next 3Y18.05%
EPS Next 5Y15.5%
Revenue Next Year5.5%
Revenue Next 2Y5.96%
Revenue Next 3Y6.45%
Revenue Next 5Y6.25%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 16.72 indicates a correct valuation of EXPE.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, EXPE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 72.93% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of EXPE to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.11), we can say EXPE is valued slightly cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.85, EXPE is valued correctly.
76.69% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EXPE, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
EXPE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.55.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.72 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.85 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, EXPE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 63.16% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, EXPE is valued cheaply inside the industry as 84.21% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.63 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.28 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
EXPE's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of EXPE may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXPE's earnings are expected to grow with 18.05% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.03
PEG (5Y)1.12
EPS Next 2Y18.27%
EPS Next 3Y18.05%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.73%, EXPE is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
EXPE's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 4.12.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.73, EXPE pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.37.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
5.2 History
EXPE has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y18.27%
EPS Next 3Y18.05%
220
-0.47 (-0.21%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners102.64%
Inst Owner Change-0.51%
Ins Owners0.51%
Ins Owner Change0.26%
Market Cap27.22B
Revenue(TTM)14.02B
Net Income(TTM)1.11B
Analysts72.09
Price Target229.99 (4.54%)
Short Float %5.7%
Short Ratio4.1
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)11.21%
Min EPS beat(2)1.46%
Max EPS beat(2)20.96%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)9.14%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.95%
Max EPS beat(4)20.96%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)30.51%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-12.48%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)3.75%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.36%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.83%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.11%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.22%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.66%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.81%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.4%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.63%
PT rev (1m)1.09%
PT rev (3m)19.03%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.39%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.97%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.47%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.54%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.89%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.04%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.72 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.85 | ||
| P/S | 1.94 | ||
| P/FCF | 13.63 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.8 | ||
| P/B | 32.56 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.28 |
EPS(TTM)13.16
EY5.98%
EPS(NY)17.12
Fwd EY7.78%
FCF(TTM)16.14
FCFY7.34%
OCF(TTM)22.45
OCFY10.21%
SpS113.3
BVpS6.76
TBVpS-55.12
PEG (NY)1.03
PEG (5Y)1.12
Graham Number44.73
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.1% | ||
| ROE | 132.42% | ||
| ROCE | 23.13% | ||
| ROIC | 17% | ||
| ROICexc | 181.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.9% | ||
| GM | 89.58% | ||
| FCFM | 14.25% |
ROA(3y)3.61%
ROA(5y)-0.96%
ROE(3y)48.88%
ROE(5y)5.49%
ROIC(3y)10.99%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)20.29%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)14.96%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y125.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y22.57%
OM growth 3Y58.59%
OM growth 5Y8.82%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y14%
GM growth 3Y2.82%
GM growth 5Y1.74%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.11 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.74 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.29% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.57% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 7.92 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 108.18% | ||
| Profit Quality | 180.4% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.75 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.75 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.17 |
F-Score8
WACC7.62%
ROIC/WACC2.23
Cap/Depr(3y)92.88%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.19%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.93%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.19%
Profit Quality(3y)403.1%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.29%
EPS 3Y104.08%
EPS 5Y14.87%
EPS Q2Q%20.8%
EPS Next Y16.21%
EPS Next 2Y18.27%
EPS Next 3Y18.05%
EPS Next 5Y15.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y16.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.56%
Sales Q2Q%6.41%
Revenue Next Year5.5%
Revenue Next 2Y5.96%
Revenue Next 3Y6.45%
Revenue Next 5Y6.25%
EBIT growth 1Y7.31%
EBIT growth 3Y85.19%
EBIT growth 5Y11.61%
EBIT Next Year138.56%
EBIT Next 3Y42.43%
EBIT Next 5Y27.05%
FCF growth 1Y-13.96%
FCF growth 3Y-8.85%
FCF growth 5Y7.7%
OCF growth 1Y-11.08%
OCF growth 3Y-6.28%
OCF growth 5Y2.2%
EXPEDIA GROUP INC / EXPE FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to EXPE.
Can you provide the valuation status for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of EXPE stock?
EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What is the financial health of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?
The financial health rating of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 4 / 10.