CORECIVIC INC (CXW) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:CXW • US21871N1019

Current stock price

19 USD
+0.79 (+4.34%)
Last:

This CXW fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. CXW Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CXW had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year CXW had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • CXW had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CXW had a positive operating cash flow.
CXW Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCXW Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • CXW has a better Return On Assets (3.58%) than 68.29% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 8.29%, CXW is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.85% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 5.95%, CXW is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CXW is significantly below the industry average of 10.58%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (5.95%) for CXW is above the 3 year average (5.17%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.58%
ROE 8.29%
ROIC 5.95%
ROA(3y)2.7%
ROA(5y)2.08%
ROE(3y)5.83%
ROE(5y)4.45%
ROIC(3y)5.17%
ROIC(5y)5.24%
CXW Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCXW Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • CXW has a better Profit Margin (5.27%) than 68.29% of its industry peers.
  • CXW's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • CXW has a better Operating Margin (10.44%) than 71.95% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CXW has declined.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 23.83%, CXW is doing worse than 60.98% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CXW's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 10.44%
PM (TTM) 5.27%
GM 23.83%
OM growth 3Y1.46%
OM growth 5Y-3.26%
PM growth 3Y-7.37%
PM growth 5Y13.12%
GM growth 3Y0.1%
GM growth 5Y-2.18%
CXW Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCXW Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30

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4

2. CXW Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CXW has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CXW has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for CXW has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for CXW is higher compared to a year ago.
CXW Yearly Shares OutstandingCXW Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
CXW Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCXW Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.53, we must say that CXW is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.53, CXW perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.24% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CXW has a debt to FCF ratio of 22.62. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CXW would need 22.62 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 22.62, CXW perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.44% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CXW has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.86. This is a neutral value indicating CXW is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • CXW's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.86 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CXW outperforms 43.90% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.86
Debt/FCF 22.62
Altman-Z 1.53
ROIC/WACC0.74
WACC8.09%
CXW Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCXW Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.66 indicates that CXW should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of CXW (1.66) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • CXW has a Quick Ratio of 1.66. This is a normal value and indicates that CXW is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CXW's Quick ratio of 1.66 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CXW outperforms 68.29% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.66
Quick Ratio 1.66
CXW Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCXW Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

7

3. CXW Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 78.69% over the past year.
  • CXW shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 17.34% yearly.
  • CXW shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 12.72%.
  • Measured over the past years, CXW shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.02% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)78.69%
EPS 3Y1.58%
EPS 5Y17.34%
EPS Q2Q%52.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.72%
Revenue growth 3Y6.21%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%26.01%

3.2 Future

  • CXW is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 45.67% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CXW will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 13.32% on average per year.
EPS Next Y38.25%
EPS Next 2Y45.67%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year17.26%
Revenue Next 2Y13.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
CXW Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCXW Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
CXW Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCXW Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

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7

4. CXW Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 17.43, CXW is valued on the expensive side.
  • 79.27% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CXW, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • CXW is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.71, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.61 indicates a correct valuation of CXW.
  • 85.37% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CXW, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CXW to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.83), we can say CXW is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.43
Fwd PE 12.61
CXW Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCXW Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CXW indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CXW is cheaper than 79.27% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • CXW's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CXW is cheaper than 60.98% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 34.4
EV/EBITDA 8.07
CXW Per share dataCXW EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CXW's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of CXW may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as CXW's earnings are expected to grow with 45.67% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.46
PEG (5Y)1.01
EPS Next 2Y45.67%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. CXW Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CXW does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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CXW Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CORECIVIC INC

NYSE:CXW (3/16/2026, 2:25:02 PM)

19

+0.79 (+4.34%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)02-11
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners93.08%
Inst Owner Change-4.52%
Ins Owners1.82%
Ins Owner Change13.28%
Market Cap1.86B
Revenue(TTM)2.21B
Net Income(TTM)116.50M
Analysts80
Price Target30.09 (58.37%)
Short Float %2.91%
Short Ratio2.64
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)-78.58%
DP0.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)14.29%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.33%
Max EPS beat(2)39.91%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)47.83%
Min EPS beat(4)-11.33%
Max EPS beat(4)84.54%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)44.72%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)30.1%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)21%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.65%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)5.81%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.32%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.86%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.41%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.83%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.96%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.44%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.7%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.52%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.52%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.32%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.32%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.61%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.17%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.43
Fwd PE 12.61
P/S 0.84
P/FCF 34.4
P/OCF 9.54
P/B 1.32
P/tB 1.33
EV/EBITDA 8.07
EPS(TTM)1.09
EY5.74%
EPS(NY)1.51
Fwd EY7.93%
FCF(TTM)0.55
FCFY2.91%
OCF(TTM)1.99
OCFY10.48%
SpS22.63
BVpS14.38
TBVpS14.29
PEG (NY)0.46
PEG (5Y)1.01
Graham Number18.78
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.58%
ROE 8.29%
ROCE 7.99%
ROIC 5.95%
ROICexc 6.16%
ROICexgc 6.18%
OM 10.44%
PM (TTM) 5.27%
GM 23.83%
FCFM 2.44%
ROA(3y)2.7%
ROA(5y)2.08%
ROE(3y)5.83%
ROE(5y)4.45%
ROIC(3y)5.17%
ROIC(5y)5.24%
ROICexc(3y)5.38%
ROICexc(5y)5.55%
ROICexgc(3y)5.41%
ROICexgc(5y)5.58%
ROCE(3y)6.94%
ROCE(5y)7.04%
ROICexgc growth 3Y5.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y2.98%
ROICexc growth 3Y5.86%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.96%
OM growth 3Y1.46%
OM growth 5Y-3.26%
PM growth 3Y-7.37%
PM growth 5Y13.12%
GM growth 3Y0.1%
GM growth 5Y-2.18%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.68
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.86
Debt/FCF 22.62
Debt/EBITDA 3.35
Cap/Depr 109.09%
Cap/Sales 6.36%
Interest Coverage 3.21
Cash Conversion 54.1%
Profit Quality 46.32%
Current Ratio 1.66
Quick Ratio 1.66
Altman-Z 1.53
F-Score7
WACC8.09%
ROIC/WACC0.74
Cap/Depr(3y)73.29%
Cap/Depr(5y)68.71%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.56%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.49%
Profit Quality(3y)190.99%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)78.69%
EPS 3Y1.58%
EPS 5Y17.34%
EPS Q2Q%52.94%
EPS Next Y38.25%
EPS Next 2Y45.67%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.72%
Revenue growth 3Y6.21%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%26.01%
Revenue Next Year17.26%
Revenue Next 2Y13.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y22.62%
EBIT growth 3Y7.76%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.34%
EBIT Next Year115.6%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-72.74%
FCF growth 3Y-9.24%
FCF growth 5Y-27.62%
OCF growth 1Y-27.7%
OCF growth 3Y8.21%
OCF growth 5Y-11.35%

CORECIVIC INC / CXW Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CORECIVIC INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CXW.


Can you provide the valuation status for CORECIVIC INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to CORECIVIC INC (CXW). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of CXW stock?

CORECIVIC INC (CXW) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is CORECIVIC INC?

The financial health rating of CORECIVIC INC (CXW) is 4 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for CORECIVIC INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CORECIVIC INC (CXW) is expected to grow by 38.25% in the next year.