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CONOCOPHILLIPS (1COP.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:1COP - Euronext Milan - US20825C1045 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

76.87  -6.1 (-7.35%)

Fundamental Rating

5

1COP gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 61 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. 1COP has an average financial health and profitability rating. 1COP is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year 1COP was profitable.
In the past year 1COP had a positive cash flow from operations.
1COP had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years 1COP had a positive operating cash flow.
1COP.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1COP.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 7.66%, 1COP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.85% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of 1COP (14.58%) is better than 65.57% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 8.30%, 1COP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.30% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for 1COP is in line with the industry average of 14.55%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (8.30%) for 1COP is well below the 3 year average (13.48%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that 1COP had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.66%
ROE 14.58%
ROIC 8.3%
ROA(3y)12.91%
ROA(5y)8.66%
ROE(3y)25.06%
ROE(5y)16.77%
ROIC(3y)13.48%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1COP.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1COP.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 30

1.3 Margins

1COP has a Profit Margin of 16.57%. This is in the better half of the industry: 1COP outperforms 70.49% of its industry peers.
1COP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of 1COP (23.79%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
1COP's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
1COP has a Gross Margin of 47.56%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1COP outperforms 52.46% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1COP has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 23.79%
PM (TTM) 16.57%
GM 47.56%
OM growth 3Y-5.12%
OM growth 5Y1.4%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y-5.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.54%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
1COP.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1COP.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

1COP has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, 1COP has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, 1COP has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, 1COP has a worse debt to assets ratio.
1COP.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1COP.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
1COP.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1COP.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.75 indicates that 1COP is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.75, 1COP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.49% of the companies in the same industry.
1COP has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.74. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as 1COP would need 2.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.74, 1COP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.77% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.36 indicates that 1COP is not too dependend on debt financing.
1COP has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.36. This is in the better half of the industry: 1COP outperforms 67.21% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.36
Debt/FCF 2.74
Altman-Z 2.75
ROIC/WACC1.06
WACC7.83%
1COP.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1COP.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20B 40B 60B

2.3 Liquidity

1COP has a Current Ratio of 1.27. This is a normal value and indicates that 1COP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
1COP's Current ratio of 1.27 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. 1COP outperforms 40.98% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.13 indicates that 1COP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
1COP has a Quick ratio of 1.13. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1COP outperforms 50.82% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.27
Quick Ratio 1.13
1COP.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1COP.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

1COP shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -7.12%.
1COP shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 16.70% yearly.
Looking at the last year, 1COP shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.05% in the last year.
1COP shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.04% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.12%
EPS 3Y9%
EPS 5Y16.7%
EPS Q2Q%2.96%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.05%
Revenue growth 3Y6.11%
Revenue growth 5Y11.04%
Sales Q2Q%23.49%

3.2 Future

1COP is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.93% yearly.
1COP is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -3.28% yearly.
EPS Next Y-15.19%
EPS Next 2Y-4.01%
EPS Next 3Y6.76%
EPS Next 5Y8.93%
Revenue Next Year6.6%
Revenue Next 2Y4.19%
Revenue Next 3Y2.96%
Revenue Next 5Y-3.28%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
1COP.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1COP.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 20B 40B 60B
1COP.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1COP.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 5 10

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.30, the valuation of 1COP can be described as very reasonable.
1COP's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
1COP is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.34, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.36, 1COP is valued correctly.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as 1COP.
1COP is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.19, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.3
Fwd PE 12.36
1COP.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1COP.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as 1COP.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of 1COP is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 12.87
EV/EBITDA 5.35
1COP.MI Per share data1COP.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

1COP has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.68
EPS Next 2Y-4.01%
EPS Next 3Y6.76%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

1COP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.58%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 57.35, 1COP has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.40, 1COP pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.58%

5.2 History

The dividend of 1COP is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 17.10%!
Dividend Growth(5Y)17.1%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A

5.3 Sustainability

1COP pays out 39.10% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of 1COP is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP39.1%
EPS Next 2Y-4.01%
EPS Next 3Y6.76%
1COP.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1COP.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B
1COP.MI Dividend Payout.1COP.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1COP.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CONOCOPHILLIPS

BIT:1COP (6/9/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

76.87

-6.1 (-7.35%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-08 2025-05-08/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-30 2025-07-30/amc
Inst Owners82.74%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.08%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap97.04B
Analysts81.82
Price Target111.48 (45.02%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.58%
Yearly Dividend2.63
Dividend Growth(5Y)17.1%
DP39.1%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.71%
Min EPS beat(2)0.59%
Max EPS beat(2)6.82%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.7%
Min EPS beat(4)0%
Max EPS beat(4)7.4%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.92%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.21%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)4.94%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.2%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.01%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.38%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.28%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.61%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.38%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.73%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.91%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.67%
PT rev (1m)-6.98%
PT rev (3m)-13.32%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-28%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-29.47%
EPS NY rev (1m)-19.43%
EPS NY rev (3m)-20.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-6.84%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.96%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.39%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.3
Fwd PE 12.36
P/S 1.95
P/FCF 12.87
P/OCF 5.25
P/B 1.71
P/tB 1.71
EV/EBITDA 5.35
EPS(TTM)6.8
EY8.85%
EPS(NY)6.22
Fwd EY8.09%
FCF(TTM)5.97
FCFY7.77%
OCF(TTM)14.63
OCFY19.03%
SpS39.52
BVpS44.91
TBVpS44.91
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.68
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.66%
ROE 14.58%
ROCE 12.31%
ROIC 8.3%
ROICexc 8.88%
ROICexgc 8.88%
OM 23.79%
PM (TTM) 16.57%
GM 47.56%
FCFM 15.11%
ROA(3y)12.91%
ROA(5y)8.66%
ROE(3y)25.06%
ROE(5y)16.77%
ROIC(3y)13.48%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)14.87%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)14.87%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)19.99%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-10.62%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-0.85%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.62%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.85%
OM growth 3Y-5.12%
OM growth 5Y1.4%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y-5.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.54%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.36
Debt/FCF 2.74
Debt/EBITDA 0.97
Cap/Depr 124.14%
Cap/Sales 21.91%
Interest Coverage 17.83
Cash Conversion 89.33%
Profit Quality 91.17%
Current Ratio 1.27
Quick Ratio 1.13
Altman-Z 2.75
F-Score5
WACC7.83%
ROIC/WACC1.06
Cap/Depr(3y)132.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.37%
Profit Quality(3y)88.06%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.12%
EPS 3Y9%
EPS 5Y16.7%
EPS Q2Q%2.96%
EPS Next Y-15.19%
EPS Next 2Y-4.01%
EPS Next 3Y6.76%
EPS Next 5Y8.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.05%
Revenue growth 3Y6.11%
Revenue growth 5Y11.04%
Sales Q2Q%23.49%
Revenue Next Year6.6%
Revenue Next 2Y4.19%
Revenue Next 3Y2.96%
Revenue Next 5Y-3.28%
EBIT growth 1Y-6.62%
EBIT growth 3Y0.67%
EBIT growth 5Y12.6%
EBIT Next Year66.63%
EBIT Next 3Y22.97%
EBIT Next 5Y23.45%
FCF growth 1Y-53.75%
FCF growth 3Y-11.81%
FCF growth 5Y12.37%
OCF growth 1Y-25.81%
OCF growth 3Y5.79%
OCF growth 5Y12.63%