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VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV (VIST) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:VIST - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US92837L1098 - ADR - Currency: USD

50.11  -0.98 (-1.92%)

After market: 49.45 -0.66 (-1.32%)

Fundamental Rating

6

Overall VIST gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated VIST against 213 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While VIST has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. VIST is not overvalued while it is showing excellent growth. This is an interesting combination.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

VIST had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year VIST had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years VIST 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years VIST always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
VIST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVIST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

VIST has a Return On Assets of 10.74%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VIST outperforms 84.04% of its industry peers.
VIST's Return On Equity of 29.33% is amongst the best of the industry. VIST outperforms 91.08% of its industry peers.
VIST's Return On Invested Capital of 14.56% is amongst the best of the industry. VIST outperforms 89.20% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for VIST is below the industry average of 23.54%.
The 3 year average ROIC (20.83%) for VIST is well above the current ROIC(14.56%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.74%
ROE 29.33%
ROIC 14.56%
ROA(3y)13.26%
ROA(5y)7.06%
ROE(3y)31.07%
ROE(5y)16.4%
ROIC(3y)20.83%
ROIC(5y)N/A
VIST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVIST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

VIST has a Profit Margin of 27.23%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VIST outperforms 80.28% of its industry peers.
VIST's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
VIST has a Operating Margin of 36.10%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VIST outperforms 80.75% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VIST has grown nicely.
With a Gross Margin value of 49.13%, VIST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.81% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VIST has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 36.1%
PM (TTM) 27.23%
GM 49.13%
OM growth 3Y7.76%
OM growth 5Y60.73%
PM growth 3Y55.11%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.68%
GM growth 5Y18.64%
VIST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVIST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), VIST is creating some value.
VIST has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for VIST has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for VIST is higher compared to a year ago.
VIST Yearly Shares OutstandingVIST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M
VIST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVIST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

VIST has an Altman-Z score of 2.34. This is not the best score and indicates that VIST is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.34, VIST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.77% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.95 indicates that VIST is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
VIST's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.95 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VIST is outperformed by 67.14% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.95
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.34
ROIC/WACC1.11
WACC13.12%
VIST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVIST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.91 indicates that VIST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.91, VIST is not doing good in the industry: 61.97% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.90 indicates that VIST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of VIST (0.90) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.91
Quick Ratio 0.9
VIST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVIST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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9

3. Growth

3.1 Past

VIST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 35.75%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 104.34% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, VIST shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 49.54%.
VIST shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 31.69% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)35.75%
EPS 3Y104.34%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%61.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)49.54%
Revenue growth 3Y36.2%
Revenue growth 5Y31.69%
Sales Q2Q%38.16%

3.2 Future

VIST is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 28.78% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, VIST will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 14.57% on average per year.
EPS Next Y1.65%
EPS Next 2Y28.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year27.13%
Revenue Next 2Y23.46%
Revenue Next 3Y15.02%
Revenue Next 5Y14.57%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
VIST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVIST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 1B 2B 3B
VIST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVIST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 2 4 6

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6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

VIST is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.31.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, VIST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 68.08% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of VIST to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.65), we can say VIST is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.30 indicates a rather cheap valuation of VIST.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of VIST indicates a rather cheap valuation: VIST is cheaper than 84.04% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of VIST to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.27), we can say VIST is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.31
Fwd PE 7.3
VIST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVIST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, VIST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 68.08% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.64
VIST Per share dataVIST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates VIST does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The excellent profitability rating of VIST may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as VIST's earnings are expected to grow with 28.78% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)6.85
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y28.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

VIST does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV

NYSE:VIST (6/23/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 49.45 -0.66 (-1.32%)

50.11

-0.98 (-1.92%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)04-23 2025-04-23/amc
Earnings (Next)07-09 2025-07-09
Inst Owners14.35%
Inst Owner Change-2.48%
Ins Owners8.09%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap5.28B
Analysts82.22
Price Target71.81 (43.3%)
Short Float %2.14%
Short Ratio1.88
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)9.21%
PT rev (3m)-4.7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-5.04%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.35%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.31
Fwd PE 7.3
P/S 2.99
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 5.44
P/B 3.22
P/tB 3.29
EV/EBITDA 5.64
EPS(TTM)4.43
EY8.84%
EPS(NY)6.87
Fwd EY13.7%
FCF(TTM)-2.19
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)9.22
OCFY18.4%
SpS16.77
BVpS15.57
TBVpS15.21
PEG (NY)6.85
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.74%
ROE 29.33%
ROCE 18.96%
ROIC 14.56%
ROICexc 18.66%
ROICexgc 18.94%
OM 36.1%
PM (TTM) 27.23%
GM 49.13%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)13.26%
ROA(5y)7.06%
ROE(3y)31.07%
ROE(5y)16.4%
ROIC(3y)20.83%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)23.46%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)23.92%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)27.11%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y1.27%
ROICexcg growth 5Y66.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.96%
ROICexc growth 5Y67.51%
OM growth 3Y7.76%
OM growth 5Y60.73%
PM growth 3Y55.11%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.68%
GM growth 5Y18.64%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.95
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.39
Cap/Depr 250.05%
Cap/Sales 68.04%
Interest Coverage 10.86
Cash Conversion 86.82%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.91
Quick Ratio 0.9
Altman-Z 2.34
F-Score4
WACC13.12%
ROIC/WACC1.11
Cap/Depr(3y)253.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)206.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)59.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)57.1%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)35.75%
EPS 3Y104.34%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%61.22%
EPS Next Y1.65%
EPS Next 2Y28.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)49.54%
Revenue growth 3Y36.2%
Revenue growth 5Y31.69%
Sales Q2Q%38.16%
Revenue Next Year27.13%
Revenue Next 2Y23.46%
Revenue Next 3Y15.02%
Revenue Next 5Y14.57%
EBIT growth 1Y19.47%
EBIT growth 3Y46.76%
EBIT growth 5Y111.68%
EBIT Next Year144.46%
EBIT Next 3Y47.44%
EBIT Next 5Y28.61%
FCF growth 1Y-217.78%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y32.15%
OCF growth 3Y33.69%
OCF growth 5Y48.18%