VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV (VIST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:VIST - US92837L1098 - ADR
37.34 USD
+0.83 (+2.27%)
40.3 USD
+2.96 (+7.93%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to VIST. VIST was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While VIST has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. An interesting combination arises when we look at growth and value: VIST is growing strongly while it also seems undervalued.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
VIST had positive earnings in the past year.
VIST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years VIST 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years VIST had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
VIST has a better Return On Assets (9.52%) than 85.71% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 27.17%, VIST belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.48% of the companies in the same industry.
VIST has a better Return On Invested Capital (10.90%) than 82.86% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for VIST is in line with the industry average of 21.71%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (10.90%) for VIST is well below the 3 year average (20.83%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that VIST had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.52% | ||
| ROE | 27.17% | ||
| ROIC | 10.9% |
ROA(3y)13.26%
ROA(5y)7.06%
ROE(3y)31.07%
ROE(5y)16.4%
ROIC(3y)20.83%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of VIST (29.12%) is better than 85.71% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of VIST has grown nicely.
VIST has a better Operating Margin (32.31%) than 78.57% of its industry peers.
VIST's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
VIST has a Gross Margin (47.72%) which is in line with its industry peers.
VIST's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 32.31% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 29.12% | ||
| GM | 47.72% |
OM growth 3Y7.76%
OM growth 5Y60.73%
PM growth 3Y55.11%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.68%
GM growth 5Y18.64%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), VIST is creating some value.
VIST has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, VIST has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, VIST has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.41, we must say that VIST is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
VIST has a Altman-Z score of 1.41. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VIST outperforms 51.90% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.92 indicates that VIST is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.92, VIST is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.92 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.41 |
ROIC/WACC0.9
WACC12.17%
2.3 Liquidity
VIST has a Current Ratio of 0.41. This is a bad value and indicates that VIST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of VIST (0.41) is worse than 89.05% of its industry peers.
VIST has a Quick Ratio of 0.41. This is a bad value and indicates that VIST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
VIST has a Quick ratio of 0.41. This is amonst the worse of the industry: VIST underperforms 88.57% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.41 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
VIST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 26.33%, which is quite impressive.
VIST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 104.34% yearly.
Looking at the last year, VIST shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 47.01%.
The Revenue has been growing by 31.69% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.33%
EPS 3Y104.34%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-60.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)47.01%
Revenue growth 3Y36.2%
Revenue growth 5Y31.69%
Sales Q2Q%53.9%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 27.85% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 14.57% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y13.82%
EPS Next 2Y12.17%
EPS Next 3Y27.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year40.23%
Revenue Next 2Y28.66%
Revenue Next 3Y21.6%
Revenue Next 5Y14.57%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 9.45, the valuation of VIST can be described as reasonable.
78.10% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VIST, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of VIST to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.41), we can say VIST is valued rather cheaply.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.58, the valuation of VIST can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, VIST is valued cheaper than 89.52% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.87. VIST is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.45 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.58 |
4.2 Price Multiples
73.33% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VIST, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.35 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
VIST's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of VIST may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as VIST's earnings are expected to grow with 27.85% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.68
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.17%
EPS Next 3Y27.85%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
VIST does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
37.34
+0.83 (+2.27%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners14.35%
Inst Owner Change2.05%
Ins Owners8.09%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.90B
Analysts82.22
Price Target68.85 (84.39%)
Short Float %2.41%
Short Ratio2.16
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-0.28%
PT rev (3m)-4.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0.87%
EPS NY rev (3m)22.02%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)10.31%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.45 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.58 | ||
| P/S | 1.96 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 5.72 | ||
| P/B | 1.83 | ||
| P/tB | 1.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.35 |
EPS(TTM)3.95
EY10.58%
EPS(NY)5.68
Fwd EY15.21%
FCF(TTM)-7.14
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)6.53
OCFY17.49%
SpS19
BVpS20.36
TBVpS20.02
PEG (NY)0.68
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.52% | ||
| ROE | 27.17% | ||
| ROCE | 14.19% | ||
| ROIC | 10.9% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.29% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.38% | ||
| OM | 32.31% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 29.12% | ||
| GM | 47.72% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)13.26%
ROA(5y)7.06%
ROE(3y)31.07%
ROE(5y)16.4%
ROIC(3y)20.83%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)23.46%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)23.92%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)27.11%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y1.27%
ROICexcg growth 5Y66.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.96%
ROICexc growth 5Y67.51%
OM growth 3Y7.76%
OM growth 5Y60.73%
PM growth 3Y55.11%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.68%
GM growth 5Y18.64%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.33
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.92 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.63 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 255.93% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 71.93% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 6.54 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 56.88% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.41 |
F-Score4
WACC12.17%
ROIC/WACC0.9
Cap/Depr(3y)253.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)206.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)59.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)57.1%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.33%
EPS 3Y104.34%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-60.43%
EPS Next Y13.82%
EPS Next 2Y12.17%
EPS Next 3Y27.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)47.01%
Revenue growth 3Y36.2%
Revenue growth 5Y31.69%
Sales Q2Q%53.9%
Revenue Next Year40.23%
Revenue Next 2Y28.66%
Revenue Next 3Y21.6%
Revenue Next 5Y14.57%
EBIT growth 1Y1.55%
EBIT growth 3Y46.76%
EBIT growth 5Y111.68%
EBIT Next Year144.46%
EBIT Next 3Y47.44%
EBIT Next 5Y28.61%
FCF growth 1Y-1416.29%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y3.32%
OCF growth 3Y33.69%
OCF growth 5Y48.18%