VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV (VIST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:VIST - US92837L1098 - ADR
43.88 USD
-2.01 (-4.38%)
44.04 USD
+0.16 (+0.36%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to VIST. VIST was compared to 208 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. VIST scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. VIST is evaluated to be cheap and growing strongly. This does not happen too often!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year VIST was profitable.
VIST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years VIST 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years VIST always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of VIST (10.85%) is better than 90.87% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of VIST (30.36%) is better than 92.31% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of VIST (13.74%) is better than 91.35% of its industry peers.
VIST had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 20.83%. This is in line with the industry average of 21.28%.
The 3 year average ROIC (20.83%) for VIST is well above the current ROIC(13.74%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.85% | ||
| ROE | 30.36% | ||
| ROIC | 13.74% |
ROA(3y)13.26%
ROA(5y)7.06%
ROE(3y)31.07%
ROE(5y)16.4%
ROIC(3y)20.83%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
VIST has a Profit Margin of 32.83%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VIST outperforms 89.90% of its industry peers.
VIST's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 44.41%, VIST belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.38% of the companies in the same industry.
VIST's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of VIST (47.20%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VIST has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 44.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 32.83% | ||
| GM | 47.2% |
OM growth 3Y7.76%
OM growth 5Y60.73%
PM growth 3Y55.11%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.68%
GM growth 5Y18.64%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so VIST is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for VIST has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
VIST has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for VIST is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.73, we must say that VIST is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of VIST (1.73) is better than 62.50% of its industry peers.
VIST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of VIST (1.00) is worse than 67.31% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.73 |
ROIC/WACC1.16
WACC11.83%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.62 indicates that VIST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
VIST has a worse Current ratio (0.62) than 78.37% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.61 indicates that VIST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
VIST has a Quick ratio of 0.61. This is in the lower half of the industry: VIST underperforms 70.19% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.61 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
VIST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 30.57%, which is quite impressive.
VIST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 104.34% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 46.35% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
VIST shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 31.69% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.57%
EPS 3Y104.34%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%77.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)46.35%
Revenue growth 3Y36.2%
Revenue growth 5Y31.69%
Sales Q2Q%52.72%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 26.02% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, VIST will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 14.57% on average per year.
EPS Next Y37.74%
EPS Next 2Y7.17%
EPS Next 3Y26.02%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year44.09%
Revenue Next 2Y29.2%
Revenue Next 3Y26.91%
Revenue Next 5Y14.57%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 9.75, the valuation of VIST can be described as reasonable.
VIST's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. VIST is cheaper than 80.77% of the companies in the same industry.
VIST is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.92, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.49 indicates a reasonable valuation of VIST.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, VIST is valued cheaper than 82.69% of the companies in the same industry.
VIST is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.57, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.49 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of VIST indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: VIST is cheaper than 78.85% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.41 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
VIST's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of VIST may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as VIST's earnings are expected to grow with 26.02% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y7.17%
EPS Next 3Y26.02%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for VIST!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
43.88
-2.01 (-4.38%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners12.72%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners8.09%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap4.57B
Revenue(TTM)2.23B
Net Income(TTM)731.02M
Analysts82.22
Price Target74.25 (69.21%)
Short Float %3.1%
Short Ratio2.77
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)13.77%
PT rev (3m)7.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0.39%
EPS NY rev (3m)20.66%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.13%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.75%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.49 | ||
| P/S | 2.05 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 6.26 | ||
| P/B | 1.9 | ||
| P/tB | 1.93 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.41 |
EPS(TTM)4.5
EY10.26%
EPS(NY)5.17
Fwd EY11.78%
FCF(TTM)-6.74
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)7.01
OCFY15.97%
SpS21.36
BVpS23.09
TBVpS22.75
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number48.35
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.85% | ||
| ROE | 30.36% | ||
| ROCE | 17.89% | ||
| ROIC | 13.74% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.58% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.68% | ||
| OM | 44.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 32.83% | ||
| GM | 47.2% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)13.26%
ROA(5y)7.06%
ROE(3y)31.07%
ROE(5y)16.4%
ROIC(3y)20.83%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)23.46%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)23.92%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)27.11%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y1.27%
ROICexgc growth 5Y66.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.96%
ROICexc growth 5Y67.51%
OM growth 3Y7.76%
OM growth 5Y60.73%
PM growth 3Y55.11%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.68%
GM growth 5Y18.64%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.33
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.47 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 219.26% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 64.35% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 9.25 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 44.48% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.61 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.73 |
F-Score4
WACC11.83%
ROIC/WACC1.16
Cap/Depr(3y)253.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)206.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)59.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)57.1%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.57%
EPS 3Y104.34%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%77.15%
EPS Next Y37.74%
EPS Next 2Y7.17%
EPS Next 3Y26.02%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)46.35%
Revenue growth 3Y36.2%
Revenue growth 5Y31.69%
Sales Q2Q%52.72%
Revenue Next Year44.09%
Revenue Next 2Y29.2%
Revenue Next 3Y26.91%
Revenue Next 5Y14.57%
EBIT growth 1Y47.03%
EBIT growth 3Y46.76%
EBIT growth 5Y111.68%
EBIT Next Year328.04%
EBIT Next 3Y58.33%
EBIT Next 5Y28.61%
FCF growth 1Y-2071.77%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y25.78%
OCF growth 3Y33.69%
OCF growth 5Y48.18%
VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV / VIST FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for VIST stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to VIST.
What is the valuation status for VIST stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV (VIST). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of VIST stock?
VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV (VIST) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What is the financial health of VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV (VIST) stock?
The financial health rating of VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV (VIST) is 1 / 10.