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VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV (VIST) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:VIST - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US92837L1098 - ADR - Currency: USD

47.27  +0.7 (+1.5%)

After market: 46.5348 -0.74 (-1.56%)

Fundamental Rating

6

VIST gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 214 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While VIST has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. VIST is growing strongly while it is still valued neutral. This is a good combination!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

VIST had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year VIST had a positive cash flow from operations.
VIST had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years VIST had a positive operating cash flow.
VIST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVIST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 10.74%, VIST belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.18% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of VIST (29.33%) is better than 89.72% of its industry peers.
VIST's Return On Invested Capital of 14.56% is amongst the best of the industry. VIST outperforms 88.32% of its industry peers.
VIST had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 20.86%. This is below the industry average of 25.70%.
The 3 year average ROIC (20.86%) for VIST is well above the current ROIC(14.56%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.74%
ROE 29.33%
ROIC 14.56%
ROA(3y)13.26%
ROA(5y)7.06%
ROE(3y)31.07%
ROE(5y)16.4%
ROIC(3y)20.86%
ROIC(5y)N/A
VIST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVIST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

VIST has a better Profit Margin (27.23%) than 79.44% of its industry peers.
VIST's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
VIST has a Operating Margin of 36.10%. This is in the better half of the industry: VIST outperforms 77.57% of its industry peers.
VIST's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 49.13%, VIST is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.21% of the companies in the same industry.
VIST's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 36.1%
PM (TTM) 27.23%
GM 49.13%
OM growth 3Y8%
OM growth 5Y60.95%
PM growth 3Y55.11%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.68%
GM growth 5Y18.64%
VIST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVIST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so VIST is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for VIST has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
VIST has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for VIST is higher compared to a year ago.
VIST Yearly Shares OutstandingVIST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M
VIST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVIST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

VIST has an Altman-Z score of 2.27. This is not the best score and indicates that VIST is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.27, VIST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.23% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.95 indicates that VIST is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
VIST has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.95) than 69.16% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.95
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.27
ROIC/WACC1
WACC14.63%
VIST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVIST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.91 indicates that VIST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.91, VIST is not doing good in the industry: 62.62% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.90 indicates that VIST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of VIST (0.90) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.91
Quick Ratio 0.9
VIST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVIST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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9

3. Growth

3.1 Past

VIST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 38.24%, which is quite impressive.
VIST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 104.33% yearly.
VIST shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 49.54%.
VIST shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 31.69% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)38.24%
EPS 3Y104.33%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%61.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)49.54%
Revenue growth 3Y36.2%
Revenue growth 5Y31.69%
Sales Q2Q%38.16%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 28.78% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
VIST is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 14.57% yearly.
EPS Next Y1.65%
EPS Next 2Y28.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year27.13%
Revenue Next 2Y23.46%
Revenue Next 3Y15.02%
Revenue Next 5Y14.57%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
VIST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVIST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 1B 2B 3B
VIST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVIST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 2 4 6

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6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 10.67, the valuation of VIST can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, VIST is valued a bit cheaper than 66.36% of the companies in the same industry.
VIST's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.21.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 6.88, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of VIST.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of VIST indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: VIST is cheaper than 78.50% of the companies listed in the same industry.
VIST is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 20.44, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.67
Fwd PE 6.88
VIST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVIST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20

4.2 Price Multiples

VIST's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. VIST is cheaper than 67.76% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.37
VIST Per share dataVIST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates VIST does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The excellent profitability rating of VIST may justify a higher PE ratio.
VIST's earnings are expected to grow with 28.78% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)6.46
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y28.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for VIST!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV

NYSE:VIST (5/9/2025, 8:26:25 PM)

After market: 46.5348 -0.74 (-1.56%)

47.27

+0.7 (+1.5%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)04-23 2025-04-23/amc
Earnings (Next)07-09 2025-07-09
Inst Owners14.32%
Inst Owner Change0.34%
Ins Owners8.09%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap4.98B
Analysts82.5
Price Target65.75 (39.09%)
Short Float %2.39%
Short Ratio1.81
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-12.96%
PT rev (3m)-8.25%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.67%
EPS NY rev (3m)-5.04%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.35%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.4%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.67
Fwd PE 6.88
P/S 2.82
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 5.13
P/B 3.04
P/tB 3.11
EV/EBITDA 5.37
EPS(TTM)4.43
EY9.37%
EPS(NY)6.87
Fwd EY14.53%
FCF(TTM)-2.19
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)9.22
OCFY19.5%
SpS16.77
BVpS15.57
TBVpS15.21
PEG (NY)6.46
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.74%
ROE 29.33%
ROCE 18.96%
ROIC 14.56%
ROICexc 18.66%
ROICexgc 18.94%
OM 36.1%
PM (TTM) 27.23%
GM 49.13%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)13.26%
ROA(5y)7.06%
ROE(3y)31.07%
ROE(5y)16.4%
ROIC(3y)20.86%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)24.66%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)25.15%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)27.16%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y8.3%
ROICexcg growth 5Y73.08%
ROICexc growth 3Y8.94%
ROICexc growth 5Y74.3%
OM growth 3Y8%
OM growth 5Y60.95%
PM growth 3Y55.11%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.68%
GM growth 5Y18.64%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.95
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.39
Cap/Depr 250.05%
Cap/Sales 68.04%
Interest Coverage 10.86
Cash Conversion 86.82%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.91
Quick Ratio 0.9
Altman-Z 2.27
F-Score4
WACC14.63%
ROIC/WACC1
Cap/Depr(3y)253.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)206.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)59.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)57.1%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)38.24%
EPS 3Y104.33%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%61.22%
EPS Next Y1.65%
EPS Next 2Y28.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)49.54%
Revenue growth 3Y36.2%
Revenue growth 5Y31.69%
Sales Q2Q%38.16%
Revenue Next Year27.13%
Revenue Next 2Y23.46%
Revenue Next 3Y15.02%
Revenue Next 5Y14.57%
EBIT growth 1Y19.47%
EBIT growth 3Y47.09%
EBIT growth 5Y111.96%
EBIT Next Year198.97%
EBIT Next 3Y41.53%
EBIT Next 5Y28.61%
FCF growth 1Y-217.78%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y32.15%
OCF growth 3Y33.69%
OCF growth 5Y48.18%