VECTOR GROUP LTD (VGR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:VGR - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US92240M1080 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to VGR. VGR was compared to 8 industry peers in the Tobacco industry. While VGR has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. VGR has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year VGR was profitable.
VGR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
VGR had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years VGR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
VGR has a Return On Assets of 17.97%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VGR outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
VGR has a better Return On Invested Capital (32.14%) than 77.78% of its industry peers.
VGR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 33.49%. This is significantly above the industry average of 14.03%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 17.97% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 32.14% |
ROA(3y)20.18%
ROA(5y)14.68%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)33.49%
ROIC(5y)27.54%
1.3 Margins
VGR has a Profit Margin of 13.84%. This is in the better half of the industry: VGR outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of VGR has grown nicely.
With a Operating Margin value of 25.26%, VGR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.56% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VGR has grown nicely.
VGR has a Gross Margin (33.43%) which is in line with its industry peers.
VGR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 25.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.84% | ||
| GM | 33.43% |
OM growth 3Y16.89%
OM growth 5Y15.47%
PM growth 3Y40.56%
PM growth 5Y35.62%
GM growth 3Y0.56%
GM growth 5Y0.88%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), VGR is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for VGR has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, VGR has more shares outstanding
VGR has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.67 indicates that VGR is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of VGR (2.67) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of VGR is 6.84, which is on the high side as it means it would take VGR, 6.84 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of VGR (6.84) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.84 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.67 |
ROIC/WACC4.22
WACC7.62%
2.3 Liquidity
VGR has a Current Ratio of 2.43. This indicates that VGR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of VGR (2.43) is better than 77.78% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.06 indicates that VGR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 2.06, VGR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.43 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.06 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 15.60% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, VGR shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 17.59% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, VGR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -19.98% in the last year.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -5.30% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.6%
EPS 3Y11.27%
EPS 5Y17.59%
EPS Q2Q%6.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-19.98%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.74%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.3%
Sales Q2Q%1.71%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 10.80% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, VGR will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -10.29% on average per year.
EPS Next Y5.32%
EPS Next 2Y6.98%
EPS Next 3Y10.8%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-15.64%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.51%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.29%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 11.90 indicates a reasonable valuation of VGR.
VGR's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. VGR is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.19. VGR is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.56, the valuation of VGR can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, VGR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.78% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.13. VGR is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.56 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of VGR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: VGR is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, VGR is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 11.74 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.37 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates VGR does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The decent profitability rating of VGR may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.24
PEG (5Y)0.68
EPS Next 2Y6.98%
EPS Next 3Y10.8%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
VGR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.34%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.92, VGR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.40, VGR pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.34% |
5.2 History
The dividend of VGR decreases each year by -11.81%.
VGR has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
VGR has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-11.81%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
VGR pays out 64.32% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP64.32%
EPS Next 2Y6.98%
EPS Next 3Y10.8%
14.99
+0.03 (+0.2%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryTobacco
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners64.19%
Inst Owner Change-46.8%
Ins Owners0.08%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.36B
Analysts83.33
Price Target16.32 (8.87%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.34% |
Yearly Dividend0.81
Dividend Growth(5Y)-11.81%
DP64.32%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.33%
Min EPS beat(2)-12.87%
Max EPS beat(2)12.21%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.14%
Min EPS beat(4)-12.87%
Max EPS beat(4)14.48%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.62%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-11.57%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)6.07%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.06%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.58%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.47%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-10.18%
Min Revenue beat(4)-38.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.47%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.06%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.33%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.99%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)3.23%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)18.06%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.9%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.74%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-15.69%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.56 | ||
| P/S | 1.66 | ||
| P/FCF | 11.74 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.39 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.37 |
EPS(TTM)1.26
EY8.41%
EPS(NY)1.42
Fwd EY9.47%
FCF(TTM)1.28
FCFY8.52%
OCF(TTM)1.32
OCFY8.78%
SpS9.03
BVpS-4.53
TBVpS-5.22
PEG (NY)2.24
PEG (5Y)0.68
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 17.97% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 44.08% | ||
| ROIC | 32.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 92.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 149.57% | ||
| OM | 25.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.84% | ||
| GM | 33.43% | ||
| FCFM | 14.14% |
ROA(3y)20.18%
ROA(5y)14.68%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)33.49%
ROIC(5y)27.54%
ROICexc(3y)63.91%
ROICexc(5y)52.39%
ROICexgc(3y)88.47%
ROICexgc(5y)77.55%
ROCE(3y)45.93%
ROCE(5y)37.78%
ROICexcg growth 3Y11.03%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-15.8%
ROICexc growth 3Y16.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.87%
OM growth 3Y16.89%
OM growth 5Y15.47%
PM growth 3Y40.56%
PM growth 5Y35.62%
GM growth 3Y0.56%
GM growth 5Y0.88%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.3
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.84 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.76 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.77% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.43% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 56.62% | ||
| Profit Quality | 102.18% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.43 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.06 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.67 |
F-Score6
WACC7.62%
ROIC/WACC4.22
Cap/Depr(3y)124.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)110.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.85%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.83%
Profit Quality(3y)112.11%
Profit Quality(5y)146.38%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.6%
EPS 3Y11.27%
EPS 5Y17.59%
EPS Q2Q%6.25%
EPS Next Y5.32%
EPS Next 2Y6.98%
EPS Next 3Y10.8%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-19.98%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.74%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.3%
Sales Q2Q%1.71%
Revenue Next Year-15.64%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.51%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.29%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-13.04%
EBIT growth 3Y4.34%
EBIT growth 5Y9.35%
EBIT Next Year20.36%
EBIT Next 3Y10.31%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-13.3%
FCF growth 3Y-7.06%
FCF growth 5Y3.98%
OCF growth 1Y-15.52%
OCF growth 3Y-7.75%
OCF growth 5Y2.92%