VECTOR GROUP LTD (VGR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:VGR • US92240M1080
Current stock price
14.99 USD
+0.03 (+0.2%)
At close:
14.99 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This VGR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. VGR Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- VGR had positive earnings in the past year.
- VGR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years VGR has always been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years VGR had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- VGR's Return On Assets of 17.97% is amongst the best of the industry. VGR outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
- VGR's Return On Invested Capital of 32.14% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VGR outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for VGR is significantly above the industry average of 14.62%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 17.97% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 32.14% |
ROA(3y)20.18%
ROA(5y)14.68%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)33.49%
ROIC(5y)27.54%
1.3 Margins
- With a decent Profit Margin value of 13.84%, VGR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of VGR has grown nicely.
- VGR has a Operating Margin of 25.26%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VGR outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VGR has grown nicely.
- The Gross Margin of VGR (33.43%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VGR has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 25.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.84% | ||
| GM | 33.43% |
OM growth 3Y16.89%
OM growth 5Y15.47%
PM growth 3Y40.56%
PM growth 5Y35.62%
GM growth 3Y0.56%
GM growth 5Y0.88%
2. VGR Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so VGR is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, VGR has more shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for VGR has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.67 indicates that VGR is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- VGR has a Altman-Z score of 2.67. This is in the lower half of the industry: VGR underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of VGR is 6.84, which is on the high side as it means it would take VGR, 6.84 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- VGR has a Debt to FCF ratio (6.84) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.84 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.67 |
ROIC/WACC4.22
WACC7.62%
2.3 Liquidity
- VGR has a Current Ratio of 2.43. This indicates that VGR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- VGR has a better Current ratio (2.43) than 77.78% of its industry peers.
- VGR has a Quick Ratio of 2.06. This indicates that VGR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- VGR has a Quick ratio of 2.06. This is amongst the best in the industry. VGR outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.43 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.06 |
3. VGR Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 15.60% over the past year.
- VGR shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 17.59% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, VGR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -19.98% in the last year.
- VGR shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -5.30% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.6%
EPS 3Y11.27%
EPS 5Y17.59%
EPS Q2Q%6.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-19.98%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.74%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.3%
Sales Q2Q%1.71%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, VGR will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 10.80% on average per year.
- VGR is expected to show a very negative growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -10.29% yearly.
EPS Next Y5.32%
EPS Next 2Y6.98%
EPS Next 3Y10.8%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-15.64%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.51%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.29%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. VGR Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 11.90 indicates a reasonable valuation of VGR.
- 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VGR, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- VGR's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.95.
- VGR is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.56.
- 77.78% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VGR, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- VGR is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 38.68, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.56 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of VGR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: VGR is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VGR, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 11.74 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.37 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates VGR does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- VGR has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.24
PEG (5Y)0.68
EPS Next 2Y6.98%
EPS Next 3Y10.8%
5. VGR Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- VGR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.34%, which is a nice return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.49, VGR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- VGR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.34% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of VGR decreases each year by -11.81%.
- VGR has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- VGR has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-11.81%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- VGR pays out 64.32% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP64.32%
EPS Next 2Y6.98%
EPS Next 3Y10.8%
VGR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
14.99
+0.03 (+0.2%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryTobacco
Earnings (Last)07-31 2024-07-31/amc
Earnings (Next)11-06 2024-11-06/bmo
Inst Owners64.19%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.08%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.36B
Revenue(TTM)1.42B
Net Income(TTM)196.65M
Analysts83.33
Price Target16.32 (8.87%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.34% |
Yearly Dividend0.81
Dividend Growth(5Y)-11.81%
DP64.32%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.33%
Min EPS beat(2)-12.87%
Max EPS beat(2)12.21%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.14%
Min EPS beat(4)-12.87%
Max EPS beat(4)14.48%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.62%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-11.57%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)6.07%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.06%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.58%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.47%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-10.18%
Min Revenue beat(4)-38.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.47%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.06%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.33%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.99%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)3.23%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)18.06%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.9%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.74%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-15.69%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.56 | ||
| P/S | 1.66 | ||
| P/FCF | 11.74 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.39 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.37 |
EPS(TTM)1.26
EY8.41%
EPS(NY)1.42
Fwd EY9.47%
FCF(TTM)1.28
FCFY8.52%
OCF(TTM)1.32
OCFY8.78%
SpS9.03
BVpS-4.53
TBVpS-5.22
PEG (NY)2.24
PEG (5Y)0.68
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 17.97% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 44.08% | ||
| ROIC | 32.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 92.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 149.57% | ||
| OM | 25.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.84% | ||
| GM | 33.43% | ||
| FCFM | 14.14% |
ROA(3y)20.18%
ROA(5y)14.68%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)33.49%
ROIC(5y)27.54%
ROICexc(3y)63.91%
ROICexc(5y)52.39%
ROICexgc(3y)88.47%
ROICexgc(5y)77.55%
ROCE(3y)45.93%
ROCE(5y)37.78%
ROICexgc growth 3Y11.03%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-15.8%
ROICexc growth 3Y16.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.87%
OM growth 3Y16.89%
OM growth 5Y15.47%
PM growth 3Y40.56%
PM growth 5Y35.62%
GM growth 3Y0.56%
GM growth 5Y0.88%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.3
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.84 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.76 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.77% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.43% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 56.62% | ||
| Profit Quality | 102.18% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.43 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.06 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.67 |
F-Score6
WACC7.62%
ROIC/WACC4.22
Cap/Depr(3y)124.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)110.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.85%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.83%
Profit Quality(3y)112.11%
Profit Quality(5y)146.38%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.6%
EPS 3Y11.27%
EPS 5Y17.59%
EPS Q2Q%6.25%
EPS Next Y5.32%
EPS Next 2Y6.98%
EPS Next 3Y10.8%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-19.98%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.74%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.3%
Sales Q2Q%1.71%
Revenue Next Year-15.64%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.51%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.29%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-13.04%
EBIT growth 3Y4.34%
EBIT growth 5Y9.35%
EBIT Next Year20.36%
EBIT Next 3Y10.31%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-13.3%
FCF growth 3Y-7.06%
FCF growth 5Y3.98%
OCF growth 1Y-15.52%
OCF growth 3Y-7.75%
OCF growth 5Y2.92%
VECTOR GROUP LTD / VGR Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of VECTOR GROUP LTD (VGR) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to VGR.
Can you provide the valuation status for VECTOR GROUP LTD?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to VECTOR GROUP LTD (VGR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for VECTOR GROUP LTD?
VECTOR GROUP LTD (VGR) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of VECTOR GROUP LTD (VGR) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for VECTOR GROUP LTD (VGR) is 11.9 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is -3.31.
What is the financial health of VECTOR GROUP LTD (VGR) stock?
The financial health rating of VECTOR GROUP LTD (VGR) is 5 / 10.