VERMILION ENERGY INC (VET.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada • Toronto Stock Exchange • TSX:VET • CA9237251058

13.32 CAD
+0.17 (+1.29%)
Last: Jan 29, 2026, 07:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to VET. VET was compared to 206 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While VET is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. VET has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • VET had negative earnings in the past year.
  • VET had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: VET reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • VET had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
VET.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVET.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of -3.93%, VET perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 49.51% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VET has a Return On Equity (-8.65%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 3.20%, VET perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.28% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for VET is above the industry average of 6.62%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (3.20%) for VET is well below the 3 year average (9.77%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that VET had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -3.93%
ROE -8.65%
ROIC 3.2%
ROA(3y)4.74%
ROA(5y)-0.65%
ROE(3y)9.7%
ROE(5y)-15.85%
ROIC(3y)9.77%
ROIC(5y)N/A
VET.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVET.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

  • The Operating Margin of VET (12.83%) is better than 60.19% of its industry peers.
  • VET's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • VET has a better Gross Margin (67.54%) than 82.52% of its industry peers.
  • VET's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.83%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 67.54%
OM growth 3Y-29.16%
OM growth 5Y2.82%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.52%
GM growth 5Y0.95%
VET.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVET.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 -100

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), VET is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for VET has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, VET has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, VET has a worse debt to assets ratio.
VET.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingVET.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
VET.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVET.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.45, we must say that VET is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.45, VET is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.29% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VET has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.49. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • VET has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.49) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.49
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.45
ROIC/WACC0.39
WACC8.23%
VET.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVET.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that VET may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • VET has a Current ratio of 0.81. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VET outperforms 57.28% of its industry peers.
  • VET has a Quick Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that VET is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • VET's Quick ratio of 0.71 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VET outperforms 55.83% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.71
VET.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVET.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • VET shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 70.33%, which is quite impressive.
  • Looking at the last year, VET shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -2.34% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.65% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)70.33%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-93.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.34%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.42%
Revenue growth 5Y1.65%
Sales Q2Q%-5.34%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 70.83% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, VET will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -0.29% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-275.38%
EPS Next 2Y100.78%
EPS Next 3Y70.83%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-3.04%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.44%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.84%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.29%

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
VET.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVET.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1B 2B 3B
VET.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVET.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 5 -5

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • VET reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 21.86, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of VET.
  • VET's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • VET is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 25.57, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 21.86
VET.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVET.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 91.26% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VET, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 3.53
VET.CA Per share dataVET.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • VET's earnings are expected to grow with 70.83% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y100.78%
EPS Next 3Y70.83%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • VET has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.17%, which is a nice return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.29, VET pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • VET's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.17%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of VET decreases each year by -28.87%.
  • VET has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • The dividend of VET decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-28.87%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
VET.CA Yearly Dividends per shareVET.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • The earnings of VET are negative and hence is the payout ratio. VET will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-32.97%
EPS Next 2Y100.78%
EPS Next 3Y70.83%
VET.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendVET.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B -1B -1.5B

VERMILION ENERGY INC / VET.CA FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for VET stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to VET.CA.


Can you provide the valuation status for VERMILION ENERGY INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to VERMILION ENERGY INC (VET.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is VERMILION ENERGY INC (VET.CA) stock?

VERMILION ENERGY INC (VET.CA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for VERMILION ENERGY INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VERMILION ENERGY INC (VET.CA) is expected to decline by -275.38% in the next year.