TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:TPX - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US88023U1016 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, TPX scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. TPX was compared to 64 industry peers in the Household Durables industry. TPX scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. TPX is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
TPX had positive earnings in the past year.
TPX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years TPX has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years TPX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
TPX's Return On Assets of 8.53% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TPX outperforms 64.62% of its industry peers.
TPX has a better Return On Equity (69.00%) than 98.46% of its industry peers.
TPX has a Return On Invested Capital of 13.89%. This is in the better half of the industry: TPX outperforms 78.46% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TPX is significantly above the industry average of 10.33%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.53% | ||
| ROE | 69% | ||
| ROIC | 13.89% |
ROA(3y)10.99%
ROA(5y)9.94%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.57%
ROIC(5y)15.91%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of TPX (7.96%) is better than 64.62% of its industry peers.
TPX's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
TPX has a Operating Margin of 12.81%. This is in the better half of the industry: TPX outperforms 72.31% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TPX has grown nicely.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 44.51%, TPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.62% of the companies in the same industry.
TPX's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.96% | ||
| GM | 44.51% |
OM growth 3Y-4.89%
OM growth 5Y3.81%
PM growth 3Y-7.64%
PM growth 5Y14.98%
GM growth 3Y-0.86%
GM growth 5Y0.37%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
TPX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
TPX has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
TPX has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, TPX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
TPX has an Altman-Z score of 4.78. This indicates that TPX is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of TPX (4.78) is better than 75.38% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TPX is 4.37, which is a neutral value as it means it would take TPX, 4.37 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
TPX's Debt to FCF ratio of 4.37 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TPX outperforms 61.54% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.95 is on the high side and indicates that TPX has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 3.95, TPX is doing worse than 95.38% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.95 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.37 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.78 |
ROIC/WACC1.55
WACC8.99%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.14 indicates that TPX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.14, TPX is doing worse than 87.69% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.65 indicates that TPX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
TPX has a Quick ratio of 0.65. This is in the lower half of the industry: TPX underperforms 67.69% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.65 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
TPX shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 2.48%.
Measured over the past years, TPX shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 27.51% on average per year.
TPX shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.99%.
Measured over the past years, TPX shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 12.75% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.48%
EPS 3Y8.06%
EPS 5Y27.51%
EPS Q2Q%6.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.99%
Revenue growth 3Y10.24%
Revenue growth 5Y12.75%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 10.18% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, TPX will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.48% on average per year.
EPS Next Y5.53%
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%
EPS Next 5Y10.18%
Revenue Next Year-0.52%
Revenue Next 2Y1.88%
Revenue Next 3Y2.85%
Revenue Next 5Y3.48%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 27.73 indicates a quite expensive valuation of TPX.
TPX's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. TPX is more expensive than 61.54% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.31. TPX is around the same levels.
TPX is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.74.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TPX is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 70.77% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
TPX is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.13, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.73 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.74 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of TPX indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: TPX is more expensive than 64.62% of the companies listed in the same industry.
TPX's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 27.49 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 20.99 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
TPX has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)5.02
PEG (5Y)1.01
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.76%, TPX is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.52, TPX pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, TPX's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.76% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of TPX grows each year by 43.15%, which is quite nice.
TPX has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
TPX has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.15%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
22.85% of the earnings are spent on dividend by TPX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
TPX's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.85%
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%
68.78
+0.34 (+0.5%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryHousehold Durables
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners81.34%
Inst Owner Change32.17%
Ins Owners2.78%
Ins Owner Change7.86%
Market Cap14.30B
Analysts78.57
Price Target75.99 (10.48%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.76% |
Yearly Dividend0.45
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.15%
DP22.85%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.83%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.2%
Max EPS beat(2)0.54%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.68%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.54%
Max EPS beat(4)2.49%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.12%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)0.28%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)5.84%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.26%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.45%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.17%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.99%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.35%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.12%
PT rev (1m)20.65%
PT rev (3m)20.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.53%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.53%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.42%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.42%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.9%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.73 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.74 | ||
| P/S | 2.92 | ||
| P/FCF | 27.49 | ||
| P/OCF | 22.75 | ||
| P/B | 25.32 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 20.99 |
EPS(TTM)2.48
EY3.61%
EPS(NY)2.9
Fwd EY4.21%
FCF(TTM)2.5
FCFY3.64%
OCF(TTM)3.02
OCFY4.4%
SpS23.54
BVpS2.72
TBVpS-6
PEG (NY)5.02
PEG (5Y)1.01
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.53% | ||
| ROE | 69% | ||
| ROCE | 17.63% | ||
| ROIC | 13.89% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.31% | ||
| ROICexgc | 30.12% | ||
| OM | 12.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.96% | ||
| GM | 44.51% | ||
| FCFM | 10.63% |
ROA(3y)10.99%
ROA(5y)9.94%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.57%
ROIC(5y)15.91%
ROICexc(3y)17.49%
ROICexc(5y)16.63%
ROICexgc(3y)41.15%
ROICexgc(5y)40.69%
ROCE(3y)21.04%
ROCE(5y)20.19%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-17.23%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-4.88%
ROICexc growth 3Y-9.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.24%
OM growth 3Y-4.89%
OM growth 5Y3.81%
PM growth 3Y-7.64%
PM growth 5Y14.98%
GM growth 3Y-0.86%
GM growth 5Y0.37%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.95 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.37 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.84 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 68.85% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.22% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.41 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 80.1% | ||
| Profit Quality | 133.5% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.65 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.78 |
F-Score6
WACC8.99%
ROIC/WACC1.55
Cap/Depr(3y)162.37%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.8%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.67%
Profit Quality(3y)72.09%
Profit Quality(5y)98.13%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.48%
EPS 3Y8.06%
EPS 5Y27.51%
EPS Q2Q%6.49%
EPS Next Y5.53%
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%
EPS Next 5Y10.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.99%
Revenue growth 3Y10.24%
Revenue growth 5Y12.75%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%
Revenue Next Year-0.52%
Revenue Next 2Y1.88%
Revenue Next 3Y2.85%
Revenue Next 5Y3.48%
EBIT growth 1Y0.82%
EBIT growth 3Y4.84%
EBIT growth 5Y17.05%
EBIT Next Year30.06%
EBIT Next 3Y15%
EBIT Next 5Y11.43%
FCF growth 1Y244.37%
FCF growth 3Y-10.88%
FCF growth 5Y28.58%
OCF growth 1Y53.97%
OCF growth 3Y-4.51%
OCF growth 5Y25.51%