SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:SU - CA8672241079 - Common Stock
39.83 USD
+0.21 (+0.53%)
39.83 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, SU scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. SU was compared to 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of SU get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. SU is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing. SU also has an excellent dividend rating. These ratings would make SU suitable for dividend investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year SU was profitable.
In the past year SU had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years SU 4 years were profitable.
SU had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
SU's Return On Assets of 6.39% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 70.33% of its industry peers.
SU has a better Return On Equity (12.70%) than 69.38% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of SU (7.92%) is better than 70.81% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SU is significantly below the industry average of 21.70%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.39% | ||
| ROE | 12.7% | ||
| ROIC | 7.92% |
ROA(3y)8.93%
ROA(5y)5.32%
ROE(3y)18.58%
ROE(5y)10.98%
ROIC(3y)10.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of SU (11.38%) is better than 60.29% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SU has grown nicely.
SU has a Operating Margin (16.36%) which is in line with its industry peers.
SU's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of SU (61.80%) is better than 69.38% of its industry peers.
SU's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.36% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.38% | ||
| GM | 61.8% |
OM growth 3Y4.42%
OM growth 5Y1.85%
PM growth 3Y4.08%
PM growth 5Y9.44%
GM growth 3Y-1.29%
GM growth 5Y-1.52%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
SU has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
SU has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for SU has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, SU has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.18 indicates that SU is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
SU's Altman-Z score of 2.18 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 70.33% of its industry peers.
SU has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.69. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.69 years to pay back of all of its debts.
SU has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.69. This is amongst the best in the industry. SU outperforms 84.21% of its industry peers.
SU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.28, SU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.18 |
ROIC/WACC1.05
WACC7.53%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.26 indicates that SU should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
SU has a Current ratio of 1.26. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: SU outperforms 57.42% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.77 indicates that SU may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of SU (0.77) is worse than 60.77% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.26 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.77 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for SU have decreased strongly by -13.00% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, SU shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 14.08% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, SU shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -1.96% in the last year.
SU shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.74% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13%
EPS 3Y28.33%
EPS 5Y14.08%
EPS Q2Q%-44.09%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.96%
Revenue growth 3Y9.01%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%-8.04%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, SU will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.98% on average per year.
SU is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -0.17% yearly.
EPS Next Y-24.86%
EPS Next 2Y-17.56%
EPS Next 3Y5.62%
EPS Next 5Y9.98%
Revenue Next Year-3.12%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.69%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.43%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.17%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 11.75, the valuation of SU can be described as reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of SU indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: SU is cheaper than 67.46% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.89, SU is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.19 indicates a correct valuation of SU.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SU is on the same level as its industry peers.
SU is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.99, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.19 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SU is valued a bit cheaper than 74.64% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SU is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.25% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.03 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.27 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of SU may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.83
EPS Next 2Y-17.56%
EPS Next 3Y5.62%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.11%, SU is a good candidate for dividend investing.
SU's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 6.15.
SU's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.31.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.11% |
5.2 History
The dividend of SU has a limited annual growth rate of 5.68%.
SU has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
SU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.68%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
49.55% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SU. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of SU is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP49.55%
EPS Next 2Y-17.56%
EPS Next 3Y5.62%
39.83
+0.21 (+0.53%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners72.88%
Inst Owner Change0.16%
Ins Owners0.02%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap48.32B
Revenue(TTM)49.73B
Net Income(TTM)5.66B
Analysts76.43
Price Target45.62 (14.54%)
Short Float %0.68%
Short Ratio2.05
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.11% |
Yearly Dividend1.58
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.68%
DP49.55%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)2.72%
Min EPS beat(2)0.63%
Max EPS beat(2)4.81%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)11.88%
Min EPS beat(4)0.63%
Max EPS beat(4)32.04%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)11.35%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)8.62%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)7.45%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.75%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.14%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.67%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.14%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.33%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.71%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.47%
PT rev (1m)-0.78%
PT rev (3m)0.73%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)21.14%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-12.35%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.86%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.24%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.19 | ||
| P/S | 1.36 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.03 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.7 | ||
| P/B | 1.52 | ||
| P/tB | 1.65 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.27 |
EPS(TTM)3.39
EY8.51%
EPS(NY)2.62
Fwd EY6.58%
FCF(TTM)4.96
FCFY12.45%
OCF(TTM)8.47
OCFY21.27%
SpS29.23
BVpS26.2
TBVpS24.16
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.83
Graham Number44.7
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.39% | ||
| ROE | 12.7% | ||
| ROCE | 10.43% | ||
| ROIC | 7.92% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.55% | ||
| OM | 16.36% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.38% | ||
| GM | 61.8% | ||
| FCFM | 16.97% |
ROA(3y)8.93%
ROA(5y)5.32%
ROE(3y)18.58%
ROE(5y)10.98%
ROIC(3y)10.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.71%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)11.24%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)13.94%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y12.14%
ROICexgc growth 5Y8.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y12.23%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.69%
OM growth 3Y4.42%
OM growth 5Y1.85%
PM growth 3Y4.08%
PM growth 5Y9.44%
GM growth 3Y-1.29%
GM growth 5Y-1.52%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.56
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.69 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.81 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 85.23% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 12.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 9.01 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 95.17% | ||
| Profit Quality | 149.11% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.26 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.77 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.18 |
F-Score5
WACC7.53%
ROIC/WACC1.05
Cap/Depr(3y)81.25%
Cap/Depr(5y)72.56%
Cap/Sales(3y)11.22%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.24%
Profit Quality(3y)117.04%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13%
EPS 3Y28.33%
EPS 5Y14.08%
EPS Q2Q%-44.09%
EPS Next Y-24.86%
EPS Next 2Y-17.56%
EPS Next 3Y5.62%
EPS Next 5Y9.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.96%
Revenue growth 3Y9.01%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%-8.04%
Revenue Next Year-3.12%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.69%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.43%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.17%
EBIT growth 1Y-11.79%
EBIT growth 3Y13.82%
EBIT growth 5Y7.7%
EBIT Next Year57.21%
EBIT Next 3Y15.71%
EBIT Next 5Y10.82%
FCF growth 1Y26.95%
FCF growth 3Y9.55%
FCF growth 5Y14.28%
OCF growth 1Y18.04%
OCF growth 3Y10.7%
OCF growth 5Y8.9%
SUNCOR ENERGY INC / SU FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SU.
What is the valuation status for SU stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for SUNCOR ENERGY INC?
SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is SUNCOR ENERGY INC?
The financial health rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) is 6 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) is expected to decline by -24.86% in the next year.