SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:SU • CA8672241079

57.82 USD
+0.42 (+0.73%)
Last: Mar 10, 2026, 10:45 AM
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This SU fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

5

Overall SU gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated SU against 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of SU get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. SU has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. SU Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SU was profitable.
  • SU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years SU has always been profitable.
  • SU had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
SU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B

1.2 Ratios

  • SU's Return On Assets of 6.58% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 73.91% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Equity value of 13.11%, SU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.01% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 7.42%, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.08% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.58%
ROE 13.11%
ROIC 7.42%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
SU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • SU's Profit Margin of 12.10% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 61.35% of its industry peers.
  • SU's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • SU has a Operating Margin (16.35%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SU has declined.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 63.09%, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.46% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SU's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.35%
PM (TTM) 12.1%
GM 63.09%
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
SU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

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5

2. SU Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SU is destroying value.
  • There is no outstanding debt for SU. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
SU Yearly Shares OutstandingSU Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B
SU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • SU has an Altman-Z score of 2.49. This is not the best score and indicates that SU is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.49, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SU is 2.09, which is a good value as it means it would take SU, 2.09 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • SU has a Debt to FCF ratio of 2.09. This is amongst the best in the industry. SU outperforms 84.54% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.29 indicates that SU is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • SU has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.29) than 65.22% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 2.09
Altman-Z 2.49
ROIC/WACC0.91
WACC8.14%
SU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

  • SU has a Current Ratio of 1.39. This is a normal value and indicates that SU is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.39, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.32% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.89 indicates that SU may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.89, SU is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.96% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.39
Quick Ratio 0.89
SU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. SU Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for SU have decreased strongly by -14.97% in the last year.
  • SU shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -17.92% yearly.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -3.51% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 14.68% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%

3.2 Future

  • SU is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 12.20% yearly.
  • SU is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -0.03% yearly.
EPS Next Y-15.64%
EPS Next 2Y-4.3%
EPS Next 3Y21.83%
EPS Next 5Y12.2%
Revenue Next Year-5.93%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.13%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.03%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
SU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B
SU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 4 6 8

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4

4. SU Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 17.06, the valuation of SU can be described as rather expensive.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of SU is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • SU is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.45, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • SU is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.22.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SU is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.65. SU is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.06
Fwd PE 20.22
SU Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSU Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 68.12% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SU, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • 74.40% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SU, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.48
EV/EBITDA 6.94
SU Per share dataSU EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • SU's earnings are expected to grow with 21.83% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-4.3%
EPS Next 3Y21.83%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. SU Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • SU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.16%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.45, SU pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, SU pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.16%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of SU has a limited annual growth rate of 5.68%.
  • SU has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • SU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.68%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
SU Yearly Dividends per shareSU Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • SU pays out 47.47% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • SU's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP47.47%
EPS Next 2Y-4.3%
EPS Next 3Y21.83%
SU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B
SU Dividend Payout.SU Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SU Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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SU Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SUNCOR ENERGY INC

NYSE:SU (3/10/2026, 10:45:09 AM)

57.82

+0.42 (+0.73%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners72.21%
Inst Owner Change0.1%
Ins Owners0.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap68.80B
Revenue(TTM)48.91B
Net Income(TTM)5.92B
Analysts77.24
Price Target55.11 (-4.69%)
Short Float %1.61%
Short Ratio4.07
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.16%
Yearly Dividend1.62
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.68%
DP47.47%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-04
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.57%
Min EPS beat(2)6.26%
Max EPS beat(2)32.87%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)11.14%
Min EPS beat(4)0.63%
Max EPS beat(4)32.87%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)13.43%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)11.91%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)10.38%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.56%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.37%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.14%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.32%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.56%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.96%
PT rev (1m)6.12%
PT rev (3m)12.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.26%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.26%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)5.6%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.79%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.16%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.06
Fwd PE 20.22
P/S 1.91
P/FCF 13.48
P/OCF 7.3
P/B 2.07
P/tB 2.24
EV/EBITDA 6.94
EPS(TTM)3.39
EY5.86%
EPS(NY)2.86
Fwd EY4.95%
FCF(TTM)4.29
FCFY7.42%
OCF(TTM)7.92
OCFY13.69%
SpS30.29
BVpS27.95
TBVpS25.81
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number46.17
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.58%
ROE 13.11%
ROCE 10.03%
ROIC 7.42%
ROICexc 7.78%
ROICexgc 8.15%
OM 16.35%
PM (TTM) 12.1%
GM 63.09%
FCFM 14.16%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 2.09
Debt/EBITDA 0.86
Cap/Depr 84.67%
Cap/Sales 11.97%
Interest Coverage 8.9
Cash Conversion 85.72%
Profit Quality 117.02%
Current Ratio 1.39
Quick Ratio 0.89
Altman-Z 2.49
F-Score7
WACC8.14%
ROIC/WACC0.91
Cap/Depr(3y)90.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)81.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.28%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.45%
Profit Quality(3y)117.27%
Profit Quality(5y)128.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
EPS Next Y-15.64%
EPS Next 2Y-4.3%
EPS Next 3Y21.83%
EPS Next 5Y12.2%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%
Revenue Next Year-5.93%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.13%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.03%
EBIT growth 1Y-11.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.89%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year82.3%
EBIT Next 3Y26.66%
EBIT Next 5Y16.89%
FCF growth 1Y-26.93%
FCF growth 3Y-13.12%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.92%
OCF growth 3Y-6.59%
OCF growth 5Y36.73%

SUNCOR ENERGY INC / SU FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SU.


Can you provide the valuation status for SUNCOR ENERGY INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?

SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?

The financial health rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) is 5 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SU stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) is expected to decline by -15.64% in the next year.