SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
TSX:SU • CA8672241079
Current stock price
81.83 CAD
+0.37 (+0.45%)
Last:
This SU.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SU.CA Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- SU had positive earnings in the past year.
- SU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years SU has always been profitable.
- In the past 5 years SU always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- SU has a Return On Assets of 6.58%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SU outperforms 89.95% of its industry peers.
- With an excellent Return On Equity value of 13.11%, SU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.95% of the companies in the same industry.
- SU has a Return On Invested Capital of 7.42%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SU outperforms 90.43% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SU is in line with the industry average of 6.63%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.58% | ||
| ROE | 13.11% | ||
| ROIC | 7.42% |
ROA(3y)7.55%
ROA(5y)7.66%
ROE(3y)15.27%
ROE(5y)16.02%
ROIC(3y)7.99%
ROIC(5y)8.77%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of SU (12.10%) is better than 76.56% of its industry peers.
- SU's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- SU has a better Operating Margin (16.35%) than 64.11% of its industry peers.
- SU's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Gross Margin value of 63.09%, SU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.34% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SU has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.35% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.1% | ||
| GM | 63.09% |
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
2. SU.CA Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- SU has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for SU has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- SU has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- SU has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.55 indicates that SU is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- SU's Altman-Z score of 2.55 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 74.64% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of SU is 2.09, which is a good value as it means it would take SU, 2.09 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- SU's Debt to FCF ratio of 2.09 is amongst the best of the industry. SU outperforms 89.47% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.29 indicates that SU is not too dependend on debt financing.
- SU has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.29) than 62.20% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.29 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.09 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.55 |
ROIC/WACC0.98
WACC7.59%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.39 indicates that SU should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a decent Current ratio value of 1.39, SU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.77% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.89 indicates that SU may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.89, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.68% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 |
3. SU.CA Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- SU shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -14.97%.
- Measured over the past years, SU shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -17.92% on average per year.
- The Revenue has decreased by -3.51% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 14.68% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, SU will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.38% on average per year.
- SU is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.13% yearly.
EPS Next Y-14.08%
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%
EPS Next 5Y12.38%
Revenue Next Year-5.36%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.95%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.13%
Revenue Next 5Y0.13%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. SU.CA Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 17.79, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of SU.
- 67.94% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SU, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of SU to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.71), we can say SU is valued slightly cheaper.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.70, the valuation of SU can be described as rather expensive.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SU is valued a bit cheaper than 67.46% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.83. SU is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.79 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.7 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 83.25% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SU, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SU is valued cheaper than 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.03 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.24 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The decent profitability rating of SU may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%
5. SU.CA Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- SU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.95%.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.73, SU pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, SU pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.95% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of SU is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 16.10%!
- SU has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- SU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.1%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- SU pays out 47.47% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- The dividend of SU is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP47.47%
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%
SU.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
TSX:SU (3/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM)
81.83
+0.37 (+0.45%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-03 2026-02-03/amc
Earnings (Next)05-04 2026-05-04/amc
Inst Owners72.32%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap97.12B
Revenue(TTM)48.91B
Net Income(TTM)5.92B
Analysts75.86
Price Target75.49 (-7.75%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.95% |
Yearly Dividend2.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.1%
DP47.47%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-04 2026-03-04 (0.6)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.57%
Min EPS beat(2)6.26%
Max EPS beat(2)32.87%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)11.14%
Min EPS beat(4)0.63%
Max EPS beat(4)32.87%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)13.43%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)11.91%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)10.38%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.56%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.37%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.14%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.32%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.31%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.78%
PT rev (1m)6.33%
PT rev (3m)10.86%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.93%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.26%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.85%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.94%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)9.54%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.79%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.5%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.45%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.79 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.7 | ||
| P/S | 1.99 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.03 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.6 | ||
| P/B | 2.15 | ||
| P/tB | 2.33 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.24 |
EPS(TTM)4.6
EY5.62%
EPS(NY)3.95
Fwd EY4.83%
FCF(TTM)5.83
FCFY7.13%
OCF(TTM)10.77
OCFY13.16%
SpS41.21
BVpS38.02
TBVpS35.11
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number62.73
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.58% | ||
| ROE | 13.11% | ||
| ROCE | 10.03% | ||
| ROIC | 7.42% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.78% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.15% | ||
| OM | 16.35% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.1% | ||
| GM | 63.09% | ||
| FCFM | 14.16% |
ROA(3y)7.55%
ROA(5y)7.66%
ROE(3y)15.27%
ROE(5y)16.02%
ROIC(3y)7.99%
ROIC(5y)8.77%
ROICexc(3y)8.29%
ROICexc(5y)9.07%
ROICexgc(3y)8.69%
ROICexgc(5y)9.52%
ROCE(3y)10.82%
ROCE(5y)12.04%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-18.29%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-18.17%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.29 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.09 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.86 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 84.67% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 11.97% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 8.9 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 85.72% | ||
| Profit Quality | 117.02% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.55 |
F-Score7
WACC7.59%
ROIC/WACC0.98
Cap/Depr(3y)90.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)81.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.28%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.45%
Profit Quality(3y)117.27%
Profit Quality(5y)128.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
EPS Next Y-14.08%
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%
EPS Next 5Y12.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%
Revenue Next Year-5.36%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.95%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.13%
Revenue Next 5Y0.13%
EBIT growth 1Y-11.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.89%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year85.56%
EBIT Next 3Y26.66%
EBIT Next 5Y17.08%
FCF growth 1Y-26.93%
FCF growth 3Y-13.12%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.92%
OCF growth 3Y-6.59%
OCF growth 5Y36.73%
SUNCOR ENERGY INC / SU.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SU.CA.
Can you provide the valuation status for SUNCOR ENERGY INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) stock?
SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the financial health of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) stock?
The financial health rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) is 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SU stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) is expected to decline by -14.08% in the next year.