SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:SMPL - US82900L1026 - Common Stock
19.75 USD
+0.18 (+0.92%)
19.75 USD
0 (0%)
Overall SMPL gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated SMPL against 86 industry peers in the Food Products industry. While SMPL has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. SMPL has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
SMPL had positive earnings in the past year.
SMPL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years SMPL has been profitable.
In the past 5 years SMPL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
SMPL has a Return On Assets of 4.32%. This is in the better half of the industry: SMPL outperforms 69.77% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of 5.73%, SMPL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.98% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of SMPL (7.27%) is better than 76.74% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SMPL is significantly below the industry average of 29.14%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.32% | ||
| ROE | 5.73% | ||
| ROIC | 7.27% |
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.39%
ROIC(5y)7.36%
1.3 Margins
SMPL has a Profit Margin of 7.14%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SMPL outperforms 80.23% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SMPL has declined.
SMPL has a Operating Margin of 15.07%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SMPL outperforms 88.37% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SMPL has grown nicely.
SMPL's Gross Margin of 36.24% is amongst the best of the industry. SMPL outperforms 83.72% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SMPL has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.07% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.14% | ||
| GM | 36.24% |
OM growth 3Y-4.61%
OM growth 5Y1.56%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), SMPL is destroying value.
SMPL has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for SMPL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, SMPL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 3.44 indicates that SMPL is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of SMPL (3.44) is better than 74.42% of its industry peers.
SMPL has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.60. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.60 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 1.60, SMPL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.21% of the companies in the same industry.
SMPL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.14. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of SMPL (0.14) is better than 69.77% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.6 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.44 |
ROIC/WACC0.88
WACC8.27%
2.3 Liquidity
SMPL has a Current Ratio of 3.64. This indicates that SMPL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
SMPL has a better Current ratio (3.64) than 88.37% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.30 indicates that SMPL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 2.30, SMPL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.53% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.64 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.3 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
SMPL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 4.92%.
SMPL shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 15.60% yearly.
SMPL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 8.98%.
The Revenue has been growing by 12.18% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.92%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.98%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-1.77%
3.2 Future
SMPL is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.88% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, SMPL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.08% on average per year.
EPS Next Y0.35%
EPS Next 2Y5.43%
EPS Next 3Y5.95%
EPS Next 5Y5.88%
Revenue Next Year0.2%
Revenue Next 2Y2.14%
Revenue Next 3Y2.91%
Revenue Next 5Y3.08%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 10.29, which indicates a very decent valuation of SMPL.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SMPL is valued cheaper than 84.88% of the companies in the same industry.
SMPL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.89.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.25, the valuation of SMPL can be described as reasonable.
SMPL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SMPL is cheaper than 88.37% of the companies in the same industry.
SMPL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 34.59.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.25 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SMPL is valued a bit cheaper than 67.44% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SMPL indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: SMPL is cheaper than 79.07% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 12.74 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.9 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of SMPL may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)29.13
PEG (5Y)0.66
EPS Next 2Y5.43%
EPS Next 3Y5.95%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
SMPL does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
19.75
+0.18 (+0.92%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners97.13%
Inst Owner Change-1.55%
Ins Owners8.21%
Ins Owner Change0.14%
Market Cap1.99B
Revenue(TTM)1.45B
Net Income(TTM)103.61M
Analysts78.89
Price Target32.39 (64%)
Short Float %4.95%
Short Ratio3.2
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-2.73%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.6%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)2.73%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(4)12.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.1%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.42%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)8.1%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.15%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.85%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.68%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.52%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.29%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.02%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.43%
PT rev (1m)-16.81%
PT rev (3m)-18.06%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-18.44%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-19.39%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.11%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.23%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.95%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.01%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.25 | ||
| P/S | 1.37 | ||
| P/FCF | 12.74 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.13 | ||
| P/B | 1.1 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.9 |
EPS(TTM)1.92
EY9.72%
EPS(NY)1.93
Fwd EY9.76%
FCF(TTM)1.55
FCFY7.85%
OCF(TTM)1.77
OCFY8.99%
SpS14.43
BVpS17.97
TBVpS-0.45
PEG (NY)29.13
PEG (5Y)0.66
Graham Number27.86
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.32% | ||
| ROE | 5.73% | ||
| ROCE | 9.63% | ||
| ROIC | 7.27% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.6% | ||
| ROICexgc | 51.39% | ||
| OM | 15.07% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.14% | ||
| GM | 36.24% | ||
| FCFM | 10.74% |
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.39%
ROIC(5y)7.36%
ROICexc(3y)7.76%
ROICexc(5y)7.7%
ROICexgc(3y)57.23%
ROICexgc(5y)61.11%
ROCE(3y)9.78%
ROCE(5y)9.74%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.71%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.55%
ROICexc growth 5Y10.22%
OM growth 3Y-4.61%
OM growth 5Y1.56%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.61
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.6 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.04 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 105.67% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.56% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 9.94 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 74.34% | ||
| Profit Quality | 150.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.64 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.44 |
F-Score6
WACC8.27%
ROIC/WACC0.88
Cap/Depr(3y)65.53%
Cap/Depr(5y)52.69%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.84%
Profit Quality(3y)139.84%
Profit Quality(5y)164.52%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.92%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-8%
EPS Next Y0.35%
EPS Next 2Y5.43%
EPS Next 3Y5.95%
EPS Next 5Y5.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.98%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-1.77%
Revenue Next Year0.2%
Revenue Next 2Y2.14%
Revenue Next 3Y2.91%
Revenue Next 5Y3.08%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.08%
EBIT growth 3Y2.52%
EBIT growth 5Y13.93%
EBIT Next Year10.21%
EBIT Next 3Y5.6%
EBIT Next 5Y4.6%
FCF growth 1Y-25.53%
FCF growth 3Y14.13%
FCF growth 5Y22.62%
OCF growth 1Y-17.27%
OCF growth 3Y17.29%
OCF growth 5Y24.82%
SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE / SMPL FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SMPL.
What is the valuation status for SMPL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) stock?
SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) is expected to grow by 0.35% in the next year.