SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:SMPL • US82900L1026
Current stock price
15.22 USD
+0.81 (+5.58%)
At close:
15.3 USD
+0.08 (+0.53%)
After Hours:
This SMPL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SMPL Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- SMPL had positive earnings in the past year.
- SMPL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years SMPL has been profitable.
- SMPL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- SMPL's Return On Assets of 3.70% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SMPL outperforms 68.97% of its industry peers.
- SMPL has a Return On Equity (5.23%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- SMPL's Return On Invested Capital of 7.20% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SMPL outperforms 75.86% of its industry peers.
- SMPL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.63%. This is in line with the industry average of 7.17%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.7% | ||
| ROE | 5.23% | ||
| ROIC | 7.2% |
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
1.3 Margins
- SMPL's Profit Margin of 6.26% is amongst the best of the industry. SMPL outperforms 80.46% of its industry peers.
- SMPL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- SMPL's Operating Margin of 15.43% is amongst the best of the industry. SMPL outperforms 93.10% of its industry peers.
- SMPL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Gross Margin value of 34.84%, SMPL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.91% of the companies in the same industry.
- SMPL's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.43% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.26% | ||
| GM | 34.84% |
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
2. SMPL Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SMPL is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, SMPL has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 5 years ago, SMPL has more shares outstanding
- SMPL has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- SMPL has an Altman-Z score of 2.56. This is not the best score and indicates that SMPL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- The Altman-Z score of SMPL (2.56) is better than 64.37% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of SMPL is 2.30, which is a good value as it means it would take SMPL, 2.30 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of SMPL (2.30) is better than 82.76% of its industry peers.
- SMPL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.23. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- SMPL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.23. This is in the better half of the industry: SMPL outperforms 67.82% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.23 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.56 |
ROIC/WACC0.88
WACC8.21%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 5.01 indicates that SMPL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- With an excellent Current ratio value of 5.01, SMPL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.10% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 3.24 indicates that SMPL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 3.24, SMPL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.10% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 5.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.24 |
3. SMPL Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for SMPL have decreased by -3.70% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, SMPL shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 15.60% on average per year.
- SMPL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.30%.
- Measured over the past years, SMPL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 12.18% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.7%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-20.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.3%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-0.31%
3.2 Future
- SMPL is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.98% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, SMPL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.58% on average per year.
EPS Next Y3.29%
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%
EPS Next 5Y5.98%
Revenue Next Year0.14%
Revenue Next 2Y1.91%
Revenue Next 3Y2.72%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. SMPL Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 8.36 indicates a reasonable valuation of SMPL.
- SMPL's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SMPL is cheaper than 93.10% of the companies in the same industry.
- SMPL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.96, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.85, the valuation of SMPL can be described as very cheap.
- SMPL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SMPL is cheaper than 97.70% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SMPL to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.04), we can say SMPL is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.85 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SMPL is valued cheaper than 83.91% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SMPL indicates a rather cheap valuation: SMPL is cheaper than 89.66% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.17 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.24 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- SMPL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.54
PEG (5Y)0.54
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%
5. SMPL Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- SMPL does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
SMPL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
15.22
+0.81 (+5.58%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)01-08 2026-01-08/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-08 2026-04-08/bmo
Inst Owners96.21%
Inst Owner Change-9.14%
Ins Owners8.88%
Ins Owner Change1.41%
Market Cap1.41B
Revenue(TTM)1.45B
Net Income(TTM)90.76M
Analysts78.89
Price Target28.69 (88.5%)
Short Float %5.45%
Short Ratio2.09
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.29%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(2)7.44%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(4)12.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.83%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.81%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)7.17%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.71%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.56%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.52%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.18%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.97%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.74%
PT rev (1m)-1.59%
PT rev (3m)-9.5%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.92%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.13%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.92%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.48%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.13%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.07%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.85 | ||
| P/S | 0.97 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.17 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.17 | ||
| P/B | 0.81 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.24 |
EPS(TTM)1.82
EY11.96%
EPS(NY)2.22
Fwd EY14.6%
FCF(TTM)1.86
FCFY12.24%
OCF(TTM)2.12
OCFY13.95%
SpS15.66
BVpS18.73
TBVpS-1.23
PEG (NY)2.54
PEG (5Y)0.54
Graham Number27.7
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.7% | ||
| ROE | 5.23% | ||
| ROCE | 9.53% | ||
| ROIC | 7.2% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.85% | ||
| ROICexgc | 55.17% | ||
| OM | 15.43% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.26% | ||
| GM | 34.84% | ||
| FCFM | 11.89% |
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
ROICexc(3y)8.01%
ROICexc(5y)7.85%
ROICexgc(3y)58.92%
ROICexgc(5y)62.13%
ROCE(3y)10.09%
ROCE(5y)9.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.68%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.04%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.59%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.31%
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.59
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.23 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.3 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.61 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 106.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.66% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 12.05 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.81% | ||
| Profit Quality | 190.01% | ||
| Current Ratio | 5.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.24 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.56 |
F-Score6
WACC8.21%
ROIC/WACC0.88
Cap/Depr(3y)65.53%
Cap/Depr(5y)52.69%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.84%
Profit Quality(3y)139.84%
Profit Quality(5y)164.52%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.7%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-20.41%
EPS Next Y3.29%
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%
EPS Next 5Y5.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.3%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-0.31%
Revenue Next Year0.14%
Revenue Next 2Y1.91%
Revenue Next 3Y2.72%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.36%
EBIT growth 3Y5.79%
EBIT growth 5Y16.09%
EBIT Next Year4.55%
EBIT Next 3Y5.85%
EBIT Next 5Y4.45%
FCF growth 1Y-12.95%
FCF growth 3Y14.13%
FCF growth 5Y22.62%
OCF growth 1Y-6.38%
OCF growth 3Y17.29%
OCF growth 5Y24.82%
SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE / SMPL Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SMPL.
Can you provide the valuation status for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of SMPL stock?
SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for SMPL stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) is 8.36 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.81.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SMPL stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) is expected to grow by 3.29% in the next year.