SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:SMPL • US82900L1026

Current stock price

15.11 USD
+0.7 (+4.86%)
Last:

This SMPL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. SMPL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SMPL was profitable.
  • SMPL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years SMPL has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years SMPL had a positive operating cash flow.
SMPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSMPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a decent Return On Assets value of 3.70%, SMPL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.97% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SMPL has a Return On Equity (5.23%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • SMPL has a Return On Invested Capital of 7.20%. This is in the better half of the industry: SMPL outperforms 75.86% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SMPL is in line with the industry average of 7.12%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.7%
ROE 5.23%
ROIC 7.2%
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
SMPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSMPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • SMPL has a better Profit Margin (6.26%) than 80.46% of its industry peers.
  • SMPL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 15.43%, SMPL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SMPL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of SMPL (34.84%) is better than 83.91% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SMPL has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.43%
PM (TTM) 6.26%
GM 34.84%
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
SMPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSMPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

8

2. SMPL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SMPL is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for SMPL has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • SMPL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • SMPL has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
SMPL Yearly Shares OutstandingSMPL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
SMPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSMPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.56 indicates that SMPL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • SMPL has a Altman-Z score of 2.56. This is in the better half of the industry: SMPL outperforms 64.37% of its industry peers.
  • SMPL has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.30. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as SMPL would need 2.30 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • SMPL has a better Debt to FCF ratio (2.30) than 82.76% of its industry peers.
  • SMPL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.23. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • SMPL has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.23) than 67.82% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.23
Debt/FCF 2.3
Altman-Z 2.56
ROIC/WACC0.88
WACC8.18%
SMPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSMPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 5.01 indicates that SMPL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 5.01, SMPL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 3.24 indicates that SMPL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Quick ratio value of 3.24, SMPL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.10% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 5.01
Quick Ratio 3.24
SMPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSMPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M

4

3. SMPL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for SMPL have decreased by -3.70% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 15.60% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.30% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, SMPL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 12.18% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.7%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-20.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.3%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-0.31%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, SMPL will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.98% on average per year.
  • SMPL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.58% yearly.
EPS Next Y3.29%
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%
EPS Next 5Y5.98%
Revenue Next Year0.14%
Revenue Next 2Y1.91%
Revenue Next 3Y2.72%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
SMPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSMPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B
SMPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSMPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

8

4. SMPL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 8.30, which indicates a very decent valuation of SMPL.
  • SMPL's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SMPL is cheaper than 93.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of SMPL to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.71), we can say SMPL is valued rather cheaply.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.80, the valuation of SMPL can be described as very cheap.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SMPL indicates a rather cheap valuation: SMPL is cheaper than 97.70% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • SMPL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.3
Fwd PE 6.8
SMPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSMPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SMPL is valued cheaper than 83.91% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SMPL indicates a rather cheap valuation: SMPL is cheaper than 89.66% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.11
EV/EBITDA 6.24
SMPL Per share dataSMPL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • SMPL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.52
PEG (5Y)0.53
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%

0

5. SMPL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • SMPL does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

SMPL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE

NASDAQ:SMPL (3/16/2026, 1:21:56 PM)

15.11

+0.7 (+4.86%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)01-08
Earnings (Next)04-08
Inst Owners96.21%
Inst Owner Change-9.14%
Ins Owners8.88%
Ins Owner Change1.41%
Market Cap1.40B
Revenue(TTM)1.45B
Net Income(TTM)90.76M
Analysts78.89
Price Target28.69 (89.87%)
Short Float %5.45%
Short Ratio2.09
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.29%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(2)7.44%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(4)12.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.83%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.81%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)7.17%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.71%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.56%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.52%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.18%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.97%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.74%
PT rev (1m)-1.59%
PT rev (3m)-9.5%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.92%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.13%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.92%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.48%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.13%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.07%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.3
Fwd PE 6.8
P/S 0.96
P/FCF 8.11
P/OCF 7.12
P/B 0.81
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.24
EPS(TTM)1.82
EY12.05%
EPS(NY)2.22
Fwd EY14.71%
FCF(TTM)1.86
FCFY12.33%
OCF(TTM)2.12
OCFY14.05%
SpS15.66
BVpS18.73
TBVpS-1.23
PEG (NY)2.52
PEG (5Y)0.53
Graham Number27.7
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.7%
ROE 5.23%
ROCE 9.53%
ROIC 7.2%
ROICexc 7.85%
ROICexgc 55.17%
OM 15.43%
PM (TTM) 6.26%
GM 34.84%
FCFM 11.89%
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
ROICexc(3y)8.01%
ROICexc(5y)7.85%
ROICexgc(3y)58.92%
ROICexgc(5y)62.13%
ROCE(3y)10.09%
ROCE(5y)9.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.68%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.04%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.59%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.31%
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.59
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.23
Debt/FCF 2.3
Debt/EBITDA 1.61
Cap/Depr 106.57%
Cap/Sales 1.66%
Interest Coverage 12.05
Cash Conversion 79.81%
Profit Quality 190.01%
Current Ratio 5.01
Quick Ratio 3.24
Altman-Z 2.56
F-Score6
WACC8.18%
ROIC/WACC0.88
Cap/Depr(3y)65.53%
Cap/Depr(5y)52.69%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.84%
Profit Quality(3y)139.84%
Profit Quality(5y)164.52%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.7%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-20.41%
EPS Next Y3.29%
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%
EPS Next 5Y5.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.3%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-0.31%
Revenue Next Year0.14%
Revenue Next 2Y1.91%
Revenue Next 3Y2.72%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.36%
EBIT growth 3Y5.79%
EBIT growth 5Y16.09%
EBIT Next Year4.55%
EBIT Next 3Y5.85%
EBIT Next 5Y4.45%
FCF growth 1Y-12.95%
FCF growth 3Y14.13%
FCF growth 5Y22.62%
OCF growth 1Y-6.38%
OCF growth 3Y17.29%
OCF growth 5Y24.82%

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE / SMPL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SMPL.


Can you provide the valuation status for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of SMPL stock?

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for SMPL stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) is 8.3 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.81.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SMPL stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) is expected to grow by 3.29% in the next year.