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ROYAL GOLD INC (RGLD) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:RGLD - Nasdaq - US7802871084 - Common Stock

138.68  -2.05 (-1.46%)

After market: 138.4 -0.28 (-0.2%)

Fundamental Rating

7

We assign a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10 to RGLD. RGLD was compared to 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making RGLD a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. RGLD has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate. This makes RGLD very considerable for quality investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year RGLD was profitable.
RGLD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
RGLD had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years RGLD always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
RGLD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFRGLD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -500M -1B

1.2 Ratios

RGLD has a better Return On Assets (8.70%) than 85.71% of its industry peers.
RGLD's Return On Equity of 9.46% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. RGLD outperforms 75.51% of its industry peers.
RGLD has a better Return On Invested Capital (10.12%) than 85.03% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for RGLD is in line with the industry average of 8.76%.
The 3 year average ROIC (8.42%) for RGLD is below the current ROIC(10.12%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.7%
ROE 9.46%
ROIC 10.12%
ROA(3y)8.43%
ROA(5y)7.24%
ROE(3y)9.72%
ROE(5y)8.46%
ROIC(3y)8.42%
ROIC(5y)7.3%
RGLD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICRGLD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 10

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 42.93%, RGLD belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.28% of the companies in the same industry.
RGLD's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
RGLD has a Operating Margin of 56.18%. This is amongst the best in the industry. RGLD outperforms 97.96% of its industry peers.
RGLD's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
RGLD has a Gross Margin of 84.94%. This is amongst the best in the industry. RGLD outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
RGLD's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 56.18%
PM (TTM) 42.93%
GM 84.94%
OM growth 3Y7.64%
OM growth 5Y6.86%
PM growth 3Y-0.36%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.58%
GM growth 5Y0.63%
RGLD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsRGLD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40 60 80

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), RGLD is destroying value.
RGLD has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, RGLD has more shares outstanding
RGLD has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
RGLD Yearly Shares OutstandingRGLD Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M
RGLD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsRGLD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 21.77 indicates that RGLD is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of RGLD (21.77) is better than 87.07% of its industry peers.
There is no outstanding debt for RGLD. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 21.77
ROIC/WACC0.91
WACC11.17%
RGLD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFRGLD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.34 indicates that RGLD has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.34, RGLD is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.74% of the companies in the same industry.
RGLD has a Quick Ratio of 2.21. This indicates that RGLD is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 2.21, RGLD is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.31% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.34
Quick Ratio 2.21
RGLD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesRGLD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

RGLD shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 30.48%, which is quite impressive.
RGLD shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 15.06% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 8.69% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.70% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.48%
EPS 3Y13.94%
EPS 5Y15.06%
EPS Q2Q%93.42%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.69%
Revenue growth 3Y6.69%
Revenue growth 5Y5.7%
Sales Q2Q%39.84%

3.2 Future

RGLD is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.78% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 10.08% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y46.97%
EPS Next 2Y39.02%
EPS Next 3Y25.46%
EPS Next 5Y8.78%
Revenue Next Year20.11%
Revenue Next 2Y22.29%
Revenue Next 3Y15.54%
Revenue Next 5Y10.08%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
RGLD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesRGLD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 200M 400M 600M 800M
RGLD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesRGLD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2 4 6

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

RGLD is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 30.28.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of RGLD is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.19. RGLD is around the same levels.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.21 indicates a rather expensive valuation of RGLD.
RGLD's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
RGLD's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 24.37.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 30.28
Fwd PE 20.21
RGLD Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsRGLD Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of RGLD is on the same level as its industry peers.
76.19% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than RGLD, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 21.02
EV/EBITDA 17.06
RGLD Per share dataRGLD EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

RGLD's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
RGLD has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
RGLD's earnings are expected to grow with 25.46% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.64
PEG (5Y)2.01
EPS Next 2Y39.02%
EPS Next 3Y25.46%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

RGLD has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.30%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.21, RGLD pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 1.30, RGLD pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.28.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.3%

5.2 History

The dividend of RGLD is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.88%!
RGLD has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
As RGLD did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.88%
Div Incr Years9
Div Non Decr Years9
RGLD Yearly Dividends per shareRGLD Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

RGLD pays out 36.04% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of RGLD is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP36.04%
EPS Next 2Y39.02%
EPS Next 3Y25.46%
RGLD Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendRGLD Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -500M -1B
RGLD Dividend Payout.RGLD Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.RGLD Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

ROYAL GOLD INC

NASDAQ:RGLD (1/22/2025, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 138.4 -0.28 (-0.2%)

138.68

-2.05 (-1.46%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-06 2024-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)02-12 2025-02-12/amc
Inst Owners87.31%
Inst Owner Change-0.07%
Ins Owners0.31%
Ins Owner Change-0.43%
Market Cap9.12B
Analysts74.44
Price Target173.68 (25.24%)
Short Float %2.06%
Short Ratio3.29
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.3%
Yearly Dividend1.5
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.88%
DP36.04%
Div Incr Years9
Div Non Decr Years9
Ex-Date01-03 2025-01-03 (0.45)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)6.52%
Min EPS beat(2)4.3%
Max EPS beat(2)8.75%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)7.31%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.96%
Max EPS beat(4)21.15%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)3.18%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)2.17%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.48%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.11%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.4%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.62%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.61%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.79%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.57%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.5%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.4%
PT rev (1m)0.81%
PT rev (3m)7.27%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)11.19%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)7.81%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.55%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.92%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 30.28
Fwd PE 20.21
P/S 13.62
P/FCF 21.02
P/OCF 18.63
P/B 3
P/tB 3
EV/EBITDA 17.06
EPS(TTM)4.58
EY3.3%
EPS(NY)6.86
Fwd EY4.95%
FCF(TTM)6.6
FCFY4.76%
OCF(TTM)7.44
OCFY5.37%
SpS10.18
BVpS46.21
TBVpS46.21
PEG (NY)0.64
PEG (5Y)2.01
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.7%
ROE 9.46%
ROCE 11.7%
ROIC 10.12%
ROICexc 10.54%
ROICexgc 10.54%
OM 56.18%
PM (TTM) 42.93%
GM 84.94%
FCFM 64.81%
ROA(3y)8.43%
ROA(5y)7.24%
ROE(3y)9.72%
ROE(5y)8.46%
ROIC(3y)8.42%
ROIC(5y)7.3%
ROICexc(3y)8.91%
ROICexc(5y)7.81%
ROICexgc(3y)8.91%
ROICexgc(5y)7.81%
ROCE(3y)9.73%
ROCE(5y)8.43%
ROICexcg growth 3Y4.56%
ROICexcg growth 5Y7.97%
ROICexc growth 3Y4.56%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.97%
OM growth 3Y7.64%
OM growth 5Y6.86%
PM growth 3Y-0.36%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.58%
GM growth 5Y0.63%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.2
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 36.9%
Cap/Sales 8.31%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 92.9%
Profit Quality 150.97%
Current Ratio 2.34
Quick Ratio 2.21
Altman-Z 21.77
F-Score9
WACC11.17%
ROIC/WACC0.91
Cap/Depr(3y)202.89%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.66%
Cap/Sales(3y)60.21%
Cap/Sales(5y)42.43%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.48%
EPS 3Y13.94%
EPS 5Y15.06%
EPS Q2Q%93.42%
EPS Next Y46.97%
EPS Next 2Y39.02%
EPS Next 3Y25.46%
EPS Next 5Y8.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.69%
Revenue growth 3Y6.69%
Revenue growth 5Y5.7%
Sales Q2Q%39.84%
Revenue Next Year20.11%
Revenue Next 2Y22.29%
Revenue Next 3Y15.54%
Revenue Next 5Y10.08%
EBIT growth 1Y24.8%
EBIT growth 3Y14.84%
EBIT growth 5Y12.95%
EBIT Next Year91.96%
EBIT Next 3Y34.83%
EBIT Next 5Y14.72%
FCF growth 1Y246.24%
FCF growth 3Y30.75%
FCF growth 5Y5.44%
OCF growth 1Y12.49%
OCF growth 3Y6.85%
OCF growth 5Y4.81%