POTBELLY CORP (PBPB) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:PBPB - US73754Y1001 - Common Stock
17.12 USD
+0.01 (+0.06%)
17.15 USD
+0.03 (+0.18%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to PBPB. PBPB was compared to 132 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. PBPB has an average financial health and profitability rating. PBPB is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
PBPB had positive earnings in the past year.
PBPB had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years PBPB reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In multiple years PBPB reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
PBPB has a Return On Assets (4.06%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Return On Equity of PBPB (17.56%) is better than 75.19% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 6.48%, PBPB is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.14% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for PBPB is significantly below the industry average of 10.82%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.13%) for PBPB is below the current ROIC(6.48%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.06% | ||
| ROE | 17.56% | ||
| ROIC | 6.48% |
ROA(3y)6.36%
ROA(5y)-2.68%
ROE(3y)66.47%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 2.30%, PBPB perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.36% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 3.08%, PBPB is doing worse than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
The Gross Margin of PBPB (74.63%) is better than 90.23% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PBPB has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.08% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.3% | ||
| GM | 74.63% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.78%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), PBPB is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, PBPB has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for PBPB has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, PBPB has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
PBPB has an Altman-Z score of 1.78. This is a bad value and indicates that PBPB is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
PBPB has a Altman-Z score (1.78) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
PBPB has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.78 |
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC8.66%
2.3 Liquidity
PBPB has a Current Ratio of 0.50. This is a bad value and indicates that PBPB is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of PBPB (0.50) is worse than 74.44% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.45 indicates that PBPB may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
PBPB has a worse Quick ratio (0.45) than 75.19% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.45 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
PBPB shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 100.00%, which is quite impressive.
The Revenue has decreased by -1.73% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.46% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)100%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%12.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.73%
Revenue growth 3Y6.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.46%
Sales Q2Q%3.35%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, PBPB will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 25.40% on average per year.
PBPB is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.15% yearly.
EPS Next Y-13.3%
EPS Next 2Y11.02%
EPS Next 3Y25.4%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.23%
Revenue Next 2Y3.96%
Revenue Next 3Y5.15%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 57.07 indicates a quite expensive valuation of PBPB.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as PBPB.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of PBPB to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.35), we can say PBPB is valued expensively.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 46.30, PBPB can be considered very expensive at the moment.
61.65% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than PBPB, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
PBPB's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 33.72.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 57.07 | ||
| Fwd PE | 46.3 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of PBPB indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: PBPB is more expensive than 63.16% of the companies listed in the same industry.
PBPB's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 30.9 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.45 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PBPB's earnings are expected to grow with 25.40% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y11.02%
EPS Next 3Y25.4%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for PBPB!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
17.12
+0.01 (+0.06%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners82.89%
Inst Owner Change5.47%
Ins Owners10.07%
Ins Owner Change-128.6%
Market Cap517.88M
Revenue(TTM)469.14M
Net Income(TTM)10.78M
Analysts48.89
Price Target17.46 (1.99%)
Short Float %3.12%
Short Ratio0.8
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)49.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.96%
Max EPS beat(2)100%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)69.67%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.96%
Max EPS beat(4)100%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.87%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.45%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.84%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.3%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.32%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.6%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.06%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.71%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.6%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.38%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.41%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.48%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 57.07 | ||
| Fwd PE | 46.3 | ||
| P/S | 1.1 | ||
| P/FCF | 30.9 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.56 | ||
| P/B | 8.44 | ||
| P/tB | 9.26 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.45 |
EPS(TTM)0.3
EY1.75%
EPS(NY)0.37
Fwd EY2.16%
FCF(TTM)0.55
FCFY3.24%
OCF(TTM)1.26
OCFY7.37%
SpS15.51
BVpS2.03
TBVpS1.85
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number3.7
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.06% | ||
| ROE | 17.56% | ||
| ROCE | 7.54% | ||
| ROIC | 6.48% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.08% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.31% | ||
| OM | 3.08% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.3% | ||
| GM | 74.63% | ||
| FCFM | 3.57% |
ROA(3y)6.36%
ROA(5y)-2.68%
ROE(3y)66.47%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)4.69%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)4.85%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)4.81%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.78%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.77
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 149.89% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.57% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 33.55 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 132.79% | ||
| Profit Quality | 155.54% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.45 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.78 |
F-Score7
WACC8.66%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)121.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)95.11%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.17%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.13%
Profit Quality(3y)47.56%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)100%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%12.5%
EPS Next Y-13.3%
EPS Next 2Y11.02%
EPS Next 3Y25.4%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.73%
Revenue growth 3Y6.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.46%
Sales Q2Q%3.35%
Revenue Next Year3.23%
Revenue Next 2Y3.96%
Revenue Next 3Y5.15%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y35.52%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year180.39%
EBIT Next 3Y66.01%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y68.77%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-36.94%
OCF growth 1Y69.53%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y1.59%
POTBELLY CORP / PBPB FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for POTBELLY CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to PBPB.
Can you provide the valuation status for POTBELLY CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to POTBELLY CORP (PBPB). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is POTBELLY CORP (PBPB) stock?
POTBELLY CORP (PBPB) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for PBPB stock?
The financial health rating of POTBELLY CORP (PBPB) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for PBPB stock?
The dividend rating of POTBELLY CORP (PBPB) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.