POTBELLY CORP (PBPB) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:PBPB • US73754Y1001

Current stock price

17.12 USD
+0.01 (+0.06%)
At close:
17.15 USD
+0.03 (+0.18%)
After Hours:

This PBPB fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. PBPB Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • PBPB had positive earnings in the past year.
  • PBPB had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years PBPB reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: PBPB reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
PBPB Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPBPB Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M -20M 40M -40M -60M

1.2 Ratios

  • PBPB has a Return On Assets (4.06%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • PBPB's Return On Equity of 17.56% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PBPB outperforms 75.19% of its industry peers.
  • PBPB has a Return On Invested Capital (6.48%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for PBPB is significantly below the industry average of 10.55%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (4.13%) for PBPB is below the current ROIC(6.48%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.06%
ROE 17.56%
ROIC 6.48%
ROA(3y)6.36%
ROA(5y)-2.68%
ROE(3y)66.47%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
PBPB Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPBPB Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500 -500 1K -1K

1.3 Margins

  • PBPB has a Profit Margin of 2.30%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PBPB outperforms 44.36% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 3.08%, PBPB is doing worse than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • PBPB has a better Gross Margin (74.63%) than 90.23% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PBPB has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.08%
PM (TTM) 2.3%
GM 74.63%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.78%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
PBPB Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPBPB Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 60

More info and screens

ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. PBPB Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so PBPB is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for PBPB has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for PBPB has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, PBPB has an improved debt to assets ratio.
PBPB Yearly Shares OutstandingPBPB Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
PBPB Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPBPB Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.78, we must say that PBPB is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.78, PBPB is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.14% of the companies in the same industry.
  • PBPB has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 1.78
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC8.66%
PBPB Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPBPB Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M

2.3 Liquidity

  • PBPB has a Current Ratio of 0.50. This is a bad value and indicates that PBPB is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of PBPB (0.50) is worse than 74.44% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.45 indicates that PBPB may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.45, PBPB is doing worse than 75.19% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.5
Quick Ratio 0.45
PBPB Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPBPB Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. PBPB Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • PBPB shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 100.00%, which is quite impressive.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -1.73% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, PBPB shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.46% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)100%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%12.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.73%
Revenue growth 3Y6.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.46%
Sales Q2Q%3.35%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 25.40% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • PBPB is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.15% yearly.
EPS Next Y-13.3%
EPS Next 2Y11.02%
EPS Next 3Y25.4%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.23%
Revenue Next 2Y3.96%
Revenue Next 3Y5.15%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
PBPB Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPBPB Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
PBPB Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPBPB Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 -0.5 -1 -1.5

More info and screens

Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

2

4. PBPB Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • PBPB is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 57.07.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of PBPB is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.79. PBPB is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 46.30 indicates a quite expensive valuation of PBPB.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, PBPB is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 61.65% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 38.88, PBPB is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 57.07
Fwd PE 46.3
PBPB Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPBPB Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, PBPB is valued a bit more expensive than 63.16% of the companies in the same industry.
  • PBPB's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 30.9
EV/EBITDA 17.45
PBPB Per share dataPBPB EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • PBPB's earnings are expected to grow with 25.40% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y11.02%
EPS Next 3Y25.4%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. PBPB Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for PBPB!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

PBPB Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

POTBELLY CORP

NASDAQ:PBPB (10/22/2025, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 17.15 +0.03 (+0.18%)

17.12

+0.01 (+0.06%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)10-29
Earnings (Next)03-04
Inst Owners82.89%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners10.07%
Ins Owner Change-131.31%
Market Cap517.88M
Revenue(TTM)469.14M
Net Income(TTM)10.78M
Analysts48.89
Price Target17.46 (1.99%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)49.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.96%
Max EPS beat(2)100%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)69.67%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.96%
Max EPS beat(4)100%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.87%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.45%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.84%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.3%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.32%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.6%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.06%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.71%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.6%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.38%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.41%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.48%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 57.07
Fwd PE 46.3
P/S 1.1
P/FCF 30.9
P/OCF 13.56
P/B 8.44
P/tB 9.26
EV/EBITDA 17.45
EPS(TTM)0.3
EY1.75%
EPS(NY)0.37
Fwd EY2.16%
FCF(TTM)0.55
FCFY3.24%
OCF(TTM)1.26
OCFY7.37%
SpS15.51
BVpS2.03
TBVpS1.85
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number3.70011 (-78.39%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.06%
ROE 17.56%
ROCE 7.54%
ROIC 6.48%
ROICexc 7.08%
ROICexgc 7.31%
OM 3.08%
PM (TTM) 2.3%
GM 74.63%
FCFM 3.57%
ROA(3y)6.36%
ROA(5y)-2.68%
ROE(3y)66.47%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)4.69%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)4.85%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)4.81%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.78%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.77
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 149.89%
Cap/Sales 4.57%
Interest Coverage 33.55
Cash Conversion 132.79%
Profit Quality 155.54%
Current Ratio 0.5
Quick Ratio 0.45
Altman-Z 1.78
F-Score7
WACC8.66%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)121.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)95.11%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.17%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.13%
Profit Quality(3y)47.56%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)100%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%12.5%
EPS Next Y-13.3%
EPS Next 2Y11.02%
EPS Next 3Y25.4%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.73%
Revenue growth 3Y6.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.46%
Sales Q2Q%3.35%
Revenue Next Year3.23%
Revenue Next 2Y3.96%
Revenue Next 3Y5.15%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y35.52%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year180.39%
EBIT Next 3Y66.01%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y68.77%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-36.94%
OCF growth 1Y69.53%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y1.59%

POTBELLY CORP / PBPB Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for POTBELLY CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to PBPB.


What is the valuation status of POTBELLY CORP (PBPB) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to POTBELLY CORP (PBPB). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is POTBELLY CORP (PBPB) stock?

POTBELLY CORP (PBPB) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for POTBELLY CORP?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of POTBELLY CORP (PBPB) is expected to decline by -13.3% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of POTBELLY CORP (PBPB) stock?

The dividend rating of POTBELLY CORP (PBPB) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.