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POTBELLY CORP (PBPB) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:PBPB - US73754Y1001 - Common Stock

17.12 USD
+0.01 (+0.06%)
Last: 10/22/2025, 8:00:02 PM
17.15 USD
+0.03 (+0.18%)
After Hours: 10/22/2025, 8:00:02 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, PBPB scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. PBPB was compared to 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. PBPB has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. PBPB is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

PBPB had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year PBPB had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years PBPB reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: PBPB reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
PBPB Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPBPB Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M -20M 40M -40M -60M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of PBPB (4.06%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Return On Equity of PBPB (17.56%) is better than 75.19% of its industry peers.
PBPB has a Return On Invested Capital (6.48%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for PBPB is significantly below the industry average of 10.39%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (6.48%) for PBPB is above the 3 year average (4.13%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.06%
ROE 17.56%
ROIC 6.48%
ROA(3y)6.36%
ROA(5y)-2.68%
ROE(3y)66.47%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
PBPB Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPBPB Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500 -500 1K -1K

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of PBPB (2.30%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
PBPB's Operating Margin of 3.08% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PBPB is outperformed by 71.43% of its industry peers.
PBPB has a Gross Margin of 74.63%. This is amongst the best in the industry. PBPB outperforms 90.23% of its industry peers.
PBPB's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.08%
PM (TTM) 2.3%
GM 74.63%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.78%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
PBPB Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPBPB Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 60

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so PBPB is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, PBPB has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, PBPB has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for PBPB has been reduced compared to a year ago.
PBPB Yearly Shares OutstandingPBPB Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
PBPB Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPBPB Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.78, we must say that PBPB is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.78, PBPB perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.14% of the companies in the same industry.
There is no outstanding debt for PBPB. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 1.78
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC8.66%
PBPB Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPBPB Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M

2.3 Liquidity

PBPB has a Current Ratio of 0.50. This is a bad value and indicates that PBPB is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
PBPB's Current ratio of 0.50 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PBPB is outperformed by 74.44% of its industry peers.
PBPB has a Quick Ratio of 0.50. This is a bad value and indicates that PBPB is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
PBPB has a worse Quick ratio (0.45) than 75.19% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.5
Quick Ratio 0.45
PBPB Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPBPB Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 100.00% over the past year.
Looking at the last year, PBPB shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -1.73% in the last year.
PBPB shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.46% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)100%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%12.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.73%
Revenue growth 3Y6.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.46%
Sales Q2Q%3.35%

3.2 Future

PBPB is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 25.40% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.15% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-13.3%
EPS Next 2Y11.02%
EPS Next 3Y25.4%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.23%
Revenue Next 2Y3.96%
Revenue Next 3Y5.15%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
PBPB Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPBPB Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
PBPB Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPBPB Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 -0.5 -1 -1.5

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 57.07, which means the current valuation is very expensive for PBPB.
PBPB's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
PBPB's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.77.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 46.30, which means the current valuation is very expensive for PBPB.
PBPB's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. PBPB is more expensive than 61.65% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of PBPB to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.35), we can say PBPB is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 57.07
Fwd PE 46.3
PBPB Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPBPB Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, PBPB is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 63.16% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
PBPB's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 30.9
EV/EBITDA 17.45
PBPB Per share dataPBPB EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PBPB's earnings are expected to grow with 25.40% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y11.02%
EPS Next 3Y25.4%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

PBPB does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

POTBELLY CORP

NASDAQ:PBPB (10/22/2025, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 17.15 +0.03 (+0.18%)

17.12

+0.01 (+0.06%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)10-29 2025-10-29
Earnings (Next)03-04 2026-03-04/amc
Inst Owners82.89%
Inst Owner Change11.31%
Ins Owners10.07%
Ins Owner Change-132.98%
Market Cap517.88M
Revenue(TTM)469.14M
Net Income(TTM)10.78M
Analysts48.89
Price Target17.46 (1.99%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)49.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.96%
Max EPS beat(2)100%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)69.67%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.96%
Max EPS beat(4)100%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.87%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.45%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.84%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.3%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.32%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.6%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.06%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.71%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.6%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.38%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.41%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.48%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 57.07
Fwd PE 46.3
P/S 1.1
P/FCF 30.9
P/OCF 13.56
P/B 8.44
P/tB 9.26
EV/EBITDA 17.45
EPS(TTM)0.3
EY1.75%
EPS(NY)0.37
Fwd EY2.16%
FCF(TTM)0.55
FCFY3.24%
OCF(TTM)1.26
OCFY7.37%
SpS15.51
BVpS2.03
TBVpS1.85
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number3.7
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.06%
ROE 17.56%
ROCE 7.54%
ROIC 6.48%
ROICexc 7.08%
ROICexgc 7.31%
OM 3.08%
PM (TTM) 2.3%
GM 74.63%
FCFM 3.57%
ROA(3y)6.36%
ROA(5y)-2.68%
ROE(3y)66.47%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)4.69%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)4.85%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)4.81%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.78%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.77
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 149.89%
Cap/Sales 4.57%
Interest Coverage 33.55
Cash Conversion 132.79%
Profit Quality 155.54%
Current Ratio 0.5
Quick Ratio 0.45
Altman-Z 1.78
F-Score7
WACC8.66%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)121.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)95.11%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.17%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.13%
Profit Quality(3y)47.56%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)100%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%12.5%
EPS Next Y-13.3%
EPS Next 2Y11.02%
EPS Next 3Y25.4%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.73%
Revenue growth 3Y6.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.46%
Sales Q2Q%3.35%
Revenue Next Year3.23%
Revenue Next 2Y3.96%
Revenue Next 3Y5.15%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y35.52%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year180.39%
EBIT Next 3Y66.01%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y68.77%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-36.94%
OCF growth 1Y69.53%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y1.59%

POTBELLY CORP / PBPB FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for POTBELLY CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to PBPB.


Can you provide the valuation status for POTBELLY CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to POTBELLY CORP (PBPB). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is POTBELLY CORP (PBPB) stock?

POTBELLY CORP (PBPB) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for PBPB stock?

The financial health rating of POTBELLY CORP (PBPB) is 4 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for PBPB stock?

The dividend rating of POTBELLY CORP (PBPB) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.