POTBELLY CORP (PBPB) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:PBPB - US73754Y1001 - Common Stock
17.12 USD
+0.01 (+0.06%)
17.15 USD
+0.03 (+0.18%)
Overall PBPB gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated PBPB against 132 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. PBPB has an average financial health and profitability rating. PBPB is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
PBPB had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year PBPB had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years PBPB reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In multiple years PBPB reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
PBPB's Return On Assets of 4.06% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. PBPB outperforms 59.40% of its industry peers.
PBPB has a better Return On Equity (17.56%) than 75.19% of its industry peers.
PBPB's Return On Invested Capital of 6.48% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. PBPB outperforms 57.14% of its industry peers.
PBPB had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.13%. This is significantly below the industry average of 10.94%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.13%) for PBPB is below the current ROIC(6.48%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.06% | ||
| ROE | 17.56% | ||
| ROIC | 6.48% |
ROA(3y)6.36%
ROA(5y)-2.68%
ROE(3y)66.47%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
PBPB has a Profit Margin of 2.30%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PBPB outperforms 44.36% of its industry peers.
PBPB's Operating Margin of 3.08% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PBPB is outperformed by 71.43% of its industry peers.
PBPB has a better Gross Margin (74.63%) than 90.23% of its industry peers.
PBPB's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.08% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.3% | ||
| GM | 74.63% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.78%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so PBPB is destroying value.
PBPB has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, PBPB has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for PBPB has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
PBPB has an Altman-Z score of 1.78. This is a bad value and indicates that PBPB is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.78, PBPB perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.14% of the companies in the same industry.
There is no outstanding debt for PBPB. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.78 |
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC8.66%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.50 indicates that PBPB may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of PBPB (0.50) is worse than 74.44% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.45 indicates that PBPB may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
PBPB has a Quick ratio of 0.45. This is in the lower half of the industry: PBPB underperforms 75.19% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.45 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
PBPB shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 100.00%, which is quite impressive.
Looking at the last year, PBPB shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -1.73% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, PBPB shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.46% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)100%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%12.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.73%
Revenue growth 3Y6.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.46%
Sales Q2Q%3.35%
3.2 Future
PBPB is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 25.40% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, PBPB will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.15% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-13.3%
EPS Next 2Y11.02%
EPS Next 3Y25.4%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.23%
Revenue Next 2Y3.96%
Revenue Next 3Y5.15%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 57.07, PBPB can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of PBPB is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.06, PBPB is valued quite expensively.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 46.30 indicates a quite expensive valuation of PBPB.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, PBPB is valued a bit more expensive than 61.65% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 32.73. PBPB is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 57.07 | ||
| Fwd PE | 46.3 |
4.2 Price Multiples
63.16% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than PBPB, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as PBPB.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 30.9 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.45 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A more expensive valuation may be justified as PBPB's earnings are expected to grow with 25.40% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y11.02%
EPS Next 3Y25.4%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
PBPB does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
17.12
+0.01 (+0.06%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners82.89%
Inst Owner Change5.47%
Ins Owners10.07%
Ins Owner Change-128.6%
Market Cap517.88M
Revenue(TTM)469.14M
Net Income(TTM)10.78M
Analysts48.89
Price Target17.46 (1.99%)
Short Float %3.12%
Short Ratio0.8
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)49.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.96%
Max EPS beat(2)100%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)69.67%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.96%
Max EPS beat(4)100%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.87%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.45%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.84%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.3%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.32%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.6%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.06%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.71%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.6%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.38%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.41%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.48%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 57.07 | ||
| Fwd PE | 46.3 | ||
| P/S | 1.1 | ||
| P/FCF | 30.9 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.56 | ||
| P/B | 8.44 | ||
| P/tB | 9.26 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.45 |
EPS(TTM)0.3
EY1.75%
EPS(NY)0.37
Fwd EY2.16%
FCF(TTM)0.55
FCFY3.24%
OCF(TTM)1.26
OCFY7.37%
SpS15.51
BVpS2.03
TBVpS1.85
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number3.7
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.06% | ||
| ROE | 17.56% | ||
| ROCE | 7.54% | ||
| ROIC | 6.48% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.08% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.31% | ||
| OM | 3.08% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.3% | ||
| GM | 74.63% | ||
| FCFM | 3.57% |
ROA(3y)6.36%
ROA(5y)-2.68%
ROE(3y)66.47%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)4.69%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)4.85%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)4.81%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.78%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.77
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 149.89% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.57% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 33.55 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 132.79% | ||
| Profit Quality | 155.54% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.45 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.78 |
F-Score7
WACC8.66%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)121.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)95.11%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.17%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.13%
Profit Quality(3y)47.56%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)100%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%12.5%
EPS Next Y-13.3%
EPS Next 2Y11.02%
EPS Next 3Y25.4%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.73%
Revenue growth 3Y6.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.46%
Sales Q2Q%3.35%
Revenue Next Year3.23%
Revenue Next 2Y3.96%
Revenue Next 3Y5.15%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y35.52%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year180.39%
EBIT Next 3Y66.01%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y68.77%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-36.94%
OCF growth 1Y69.53%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y1.59%
POTBELLY CORP / PBPB FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for POTBELLY CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to PBPB.
Can you provide the valuation status for POTBELLY CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to POTBELLY CORP (PBPB). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is POTBELLY CORP (PBPB) stock?
POTBELLY CORP (PBPB) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for PBPB stock?
The financial health rating of POTBELLY CORP (PBPB) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for PBPB stock?
The dividend rating of POTBELLY CORP (PBPB) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.