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PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:PARR - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US69888T2078 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

23.81  +0.2 (+0.85%)

Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to PARR. PARR was compared to 213 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and financial health of PARR have multiple concerns. PARR does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year PARR has reported negative net income.
PARR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: PARR reported negative net income in multiple years.
In multiple years PARR reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
PARR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPARR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

PARR has a Return On Assets of -1.60%. This is in the lower half of the industry: PARR underperforms 72.30% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -5.39%, PARR is doing worse than 70.89% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of PARR (0.69%) is worse than 74.18% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for PARR is significantly below the industry average of 23.55%.
The 3 year average ROIC (16.13%) for PARR is well above the current ROIC(0.69%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.6%
ROE -5.39%
ROIC 0.69%
ROA(3y)9.7%
ROA(5y)1.35%
ROE(3y)36.09%
ROE(5y)-17.68%
ROIC(3y)16.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
PARR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPARR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

With a Operating Margin value of 0.30%, PARR is not doing good in the industry: 75.59% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PARR has declined.
The Gross Margin of PARR (3.24%) is worse than 76.06% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PARR has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.3%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 3.24%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-23.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y33.41%
GM growth 5Y-5.53%
PARR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPARR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 10 -10

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so PARR is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for PARR has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
PARR has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, PARR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
PARR Yearly Shares OutstandingPARR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
PARR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPARR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.63 indicates that PARR is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.63, PARR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.46% of the companies in the same industry.
PARR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.04. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
PARR has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.04. This is in the lower half of the industry: PARR underperforms 69.48% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.04
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.63
ROIC/WACC0.07
WACC9.58%
PARR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPARR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.56 indicates that PARR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
PARR's Current ratio of 1.56 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PARR outperforms 68.08% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.54 indicates that PARR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
PARR's Quick ratio of 0.54 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PARR is outperformed by 78.40% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.56
Quick Ratio 0.54
PARR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPARR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for PARR have decreased strongly by -120.15% in the last year.
The earnings per share for PARR have been decreasing by -30.04% on average. This is quite bad
Looking at the last year, PARR shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -9.25% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 8.10% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-120.15%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-30.04%
EPS Q2Q%-236.23%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.25%
Revenue growth 3Y19.19%
Revenue growth 5Y8.1%
Sales Q2Q%-11.9%

3.2 Future

PARR is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 89.03% yearly.
PARR is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -5.20% yearly.
EPS Next Y-70.03%
EPS Next 2Y208.31%
EPS Next 3Y110.98%
EPS Next 5Y89.03%
Revenue Next Year-15.74%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.2%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.2%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
PARR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPARR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2B 4B 6B 8B
PARR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPARR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 -2 4 -4 6 8

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for PARR. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.64 indicates a reasonable valuation of PARR.
PARR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. PARR is cheaper than 73.24% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of PARR to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.40), we can say PARR is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 8.64
PARR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPARR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 -10 20

4.2 Price Multiples

63.38% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than PARR, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 14.15
PARR Per share dataPARR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PARR's earnings are expected to grow with 110.98% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y208.31%
EPS Next 3Y110.98%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for PARR!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:PARR (6/12/2025, 12:51:12 PM)

23.81

+0.2 (+0.85%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-06 2025-05-06/amc
Earnings (Next)08-04 2025-08-04/amc
Inst Owners96.3%
Inst Owner Change-1.24%
Ins Owners2.44%
Ins Owner Change0.81%
Market Cap1.23B
Analysts77.14
Price Target21.21 (-10.92%)
Short Float %7.67%
Short Ratio2.57
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.87%
Min EPS beat(2)-26.18%
Max EPS beat(2)22.44%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)31.1%
Min EPS beat(4)-54.22%
Max EPS beat(4)182.35%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)17.35%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)22.7%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)10.23%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)7.9%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.34%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)8.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)6.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.32%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)7.16%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)9.42%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)8.54%
PT rev (1m)13.67%
PT rev (3m)-2.54%
EPS NQ rev (1m)227.94%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-15.07%
EPS NY rev (1m)-81.57%
EPS NY rev (3m)-93.19%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-7.36%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.25%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.23%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.94%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 8.64
P/S 0.16
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 21.57
P/B 1.1
P/tB 1.26
EV/EBITDA 14.15
EPS(TTM)-1.34
EYN/A
EPS(NY)2.76
Fwd EY11.58%
FCF(TTM)-1.88
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.1
OCFY4.64%
SpS150.03
BVpS21.56
TBVpS18.87
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.6%
ROE -5.39%
ROCE 0.87%
ROIC 0.69%
ROICexc 0.72%
ROICexgc 0.76%
OM 0.3%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 3.24%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)9.7%
ROA(5y)1.35%
ROE(3y)36.09%
ROE(5y)-17.68%
ROIC(3y)16.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)21.09%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)23.72%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.42%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-26.87%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-25.45%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-23.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y33.41%
GM growth 5Y-5.53%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover2.06
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.04
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 7.29
Cap/Depr 113.51%
Cap/Sales 1.99%
Interest Coverage 0.33
Cash Conversion 35.79%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.56
Quick Ratio 0.54
Altman-Z 2.63
F-Score4
WACC9.58%
ROIC/WACC0.07
Cap/Depr(3y)74.92%
Cap/Depr(5y)65.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.22%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-120.15%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-30.04%
EPS Q2Q%-236.23%
EPS Next Y-70.03%
EPS Next 2Y208.31%
EPS Next 3Y110.98%
EPS Next 5Y89.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.25%
Revenue growth 3Y19.19%
Revenue growth 5Y8.1%
Sales Q2Q%-11.9%
Revenue Next Year-15.74%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.2%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.2%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-94.48%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-17.6%
EBIT Next Year158.95%
EBIT Next 3Y46.5%
EBIT Next 5Y42.84%
FCF growth 1Y-117.63%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-90.5%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-4.52%