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PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:PARR - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US69888T2078 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

14.34  +0.02 (+0.14%)

After market: 14.34 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Taking everything into account, PARR scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. PARR was compared to 212 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and financial health of PARR have multiple concerns. PARR has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

PARR had positive earnings in the past year.
PARR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years PARR reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In multiple years PARR reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
PARR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPARR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -0.87%, PARR is doing worse than 72.17% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Equity value of -2.80%, PARR is not doing good in the industry: 70.75% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
PARR's Return On Invested Capital of 1.40% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PARR is outperformed by 73.58% of its industry peers.
PARR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.13%. This is significantly below the industry average of 25.74%.
The 3 year average ROIC (16.13%) for PARR is well above the current ROIC(1.40%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.87%
ROE -2.8%
ROIC 1.4%
ROA(3y)9.7%
ROA(5y)1.35%
ROE(3y)36.09%
ROE(5y)-17.68%
ROIC(3y)16.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
PARR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPARR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

With a Operating Margin value of 0.61%, PARR is not doing good in the industry: 76.89% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
PARR's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
PARR's Gross Margin of 3.62% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PARR is outperformed by 77.83% of its industry peers.
PARR's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.61%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 3.62%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-23.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y33.41%
GM growth 5Y-5.53%
PARR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPARR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 10 -10

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3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so PARR is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for PARR has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for PARR has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for PARR is higher compared to a year ago.
PARR Yearly Shares OutstandingPARR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
PARR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPARR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

PARR has an Altman-Z score of 2.62. This is not the best score and indicates that PARR is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.62, PARR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.30% of the companies in the same industry.
PARR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.94. This is a neutral value indicating PARR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of PARR (0.94) is worse than 68.87% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.94
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.62
ROIC/WACC0.13
WACC10.51%
PARR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPARR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

PARR has a Current Ratio of 1.62. This is a normal value and indicates that PARR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.62, PARR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.34% of the companies in the same industry.
PARR has a Quick Ratio of 1.62. This is a bad value and indicates that PARR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of PARR (0.62) is worse than 74.06% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 0.62
PARR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPARR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

PARR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -96.47%.
PARR shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -30.04% yearly.
The Revenue has decreased by -3.13% in the past year.
PARR shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.10% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-96.47%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-30.04%
EPS Q2Q%-173.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.13%
Revenue growth 3Y19.19%
Revenue growth 5Y8.1%
Sales Q2Q%-16.09%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, PARR will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 89.03% on average per year.
PARR is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -3.00% yearly.
EPS Next Y62.6%
EPS Next 2Y200.87%
EPS Next 3Y107.22%
EPS Next 5Y89.03%
Revenue Next Year-15.56%
Revenue Next 2Y-8.14%
Revenue Next 3Y-3%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
PARR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPARR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2B 4B 6B 8B
PARR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPARR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 -2 4 -4 6 8

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2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 49.45, the valuation of PARR can be described as expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, PARR is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 68.40% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.85, PARR is valued quite expensively.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 30.41, the valuation of PARR can be described as expensive.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, PARR is valued a bit more expensive than 63.21% of the companies in the same industry.
PARR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 20.77.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 49.45
Fwd PE 30.41
PARR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPARR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of PARR is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.51
PARR Per share dataPARR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as PARR's earnings are expected to grow with 107.22% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.79
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y200.87%
EPS Next 3Y107.22%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

PARR does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:PARR (5/1/2025, 9:23:59 PM)

After market: 14.34 0 (0%)

14.34

+0.02 (+0.14%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-25 2025-02-25/amc
Earnings (Next)05-06 2025-05-06/amc
Inst Owners96.3%
Inst Owner Change0.26%
Ins Owners2.44%
Ins Owner Change0.82%
Market Cap779.38M
Analysts77.14
Price Target18.66 (30.13%)
Short Float %9.85%
Short Ratio3.16
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-15.89%
Min EPS beat(2)-54.22%
Max EPS beat(2)22.44%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)31.38%
Min EPS beat(4)-54.22%
Max EPS beat(4)182.35%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)22.3%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)21.15%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)11.48%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)8.89%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)11.32%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)7.17%
Min Revenue beat(4)2.32%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.32%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)7.5%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)8.7%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.76%
PT rev (1m)-14.26%
PT rev (3m)-16.22%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-27.24%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-115%
EPS NY rev (1m)-46.76%
EPS NY rev (3m)-78.95%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)4.96%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)12.01%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.15%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.75%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 49.45
Fwd PE 30.41
P/S 0.1
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 9.3
P/B 0.65
P/tB 0.74
EV/EBITDA 9.51
EPS(TTM)0.29
EY2.02%
EPS(NY)0.47
Fwd EY3.29%
FCF(TTM)-0.95
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.54
OCFY10.75%
SpS146.72
BVpS21.92
TBVpS19.37
PEG (NY)0.79
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.87%
ROE -2.8%
ROCE 1.78%
ROIC 1.4%
ROICexc 1.51%
ROICexgc 1.6%
OM 0.61%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 3.62%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)9.7%
ROA(5y)1.35%
ROE(3y)36.09%
ROE(5y)-17.68%
ROIC(3y)16.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)21.09%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)23.72%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.42%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-26.87%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-25.45%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-23.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y33.41%
GM growth 5Y-5.53%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover2.08
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.94
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 6.21
Cap/Depr 103%
Cap/Sales 1.7%
Interest Coverage 0.72
Cash Conversion 46.5%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 0.62
Altman-Z 2.62
F-Score4
WACC10.51%
ROIC/WACC0.13
Cap/Depr(3y)74.92%
Cap/Depr(5y)65.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.22%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-96.47%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-30.04%
EPS Q2Q%-173.15%
EPS Next Y62.6%
EPS Next 2Y200.87%
EPS Next 3Y107.22%
EPS Next 5Y89.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.13%
Revenue growth 3Y19.19%
Revenue growth 5Y8.1%
Sales Q2Q%-16.09%
Revenue Next Year-15.56%
Revenue Next 2Y-8.14%
Revenue Next 3Y-3%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-92.94%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-17.6%
EBIT Next Year134.46%
EBIT Next 3Y50.79%
EBIT Next 5Y42.84%
FCF growth 1Y-110.42%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-85.53%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-4.52%