PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:PARR - US69888T2078 - Common Stock
43.8 USD
+2.67 (+6.49%)
44 USD
+0.2 (+0.46%)
PARR gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. PARR may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on PARR.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
PARR had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year PARR had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: PARR reported negative net income in multiple years.
In multiple years PARR reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
PARR has a worse Return On Assets (-0.49%) than 69.52% of its industry peers.
PARR has a Return On Equity of -1.67%. This is in the lower half of the industry: PARR underperforms 69.05% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 2.02%, PARR is not doing good in the industry: 68.57% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for PARR is significantly below the industry average of 21.85%.
The 3 year average ROIC (16.13%) for PARR is well above the current ROIC(2.02%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.49% | ||
| ROE | -1.67% | ||
| ROIC | 2.02% |
ROA(3y)9.7%
ROA(5y)1.35%
ROE(3y)36.09%
ROE(5y)-17.68%
ROIC(3y)16.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
PARR's Operating Margin of 0.90% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PARR is outperformed by 73.33% of its industry peers.
PARR's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 3.92%, PARR is doing worse than 74.76% of the companies in the same industry.
PARR's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 0.9% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 3.92% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-23.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y33.41%
GM growth 5Y-5.53%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so PARR is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, PARR has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for PARR has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, PARR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.72 indicates that PARR is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
PARR has a better Altman-Z score (2.72) than 78.10% of its industry peers.
PARR has a debt to FCF ratio of 37.36. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as PARR would need 37.36 years to pay back of all of its debts.
PARR's Debt to FCF ratio of 37.36 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. PARR outperforms 40.95% of its industry peers.
PARR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.97. This is a neutral value indicating PARR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
PARR has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.97) than 67.14% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.97 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 37.36 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.72 |
ROIC/WACC0.24
WACC8.43%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.42 indicates that PARR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
PARR has a better Current ratio (1.42) than 65.24% of its industry peers.
PARR has a Quick Ratio of 1.42. This is a bad value and indicates that PARR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
PARR has a Quick ratio of 0.56. This is in the lower half of the industry: PARR underperforms 78.57% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.42 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.56 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
PARR shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 166.67%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, PARR shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -30.04% on average per year.
The Revenue for PARR has decreased by -10.11% in the past year. This is quite bad
Measured over the past years, PARR shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 8.10% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)166.67%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-30.04%
EPS Q2Q%6050%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.11%
Revenue growth 3Y19.19%
Revenue growth 5Y8.1%
Sales Q2Q%-6.11%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 96.51% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -2.25% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y1120.48%
EPS Next 2Y277.84%
EPS Next 3Y145.87%
EPS Next 5Y96.51%
Revenue Next Year-7.75%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.72%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.25%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.60, the valuation of PARR can be described as very cheap.
89.05% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PARR, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.89, PARR is valued rather cheaply.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.58, the valuation of PARR can be described as reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of PARR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: PARR is cheaper than 76.19% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 34.59. PARR is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.6 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.58 |
4.2 Price Multiples
PARR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. PARR is more expensive than 64.76% of the companies in the same industry.
PARR's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 73.86 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.74 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as PARR's earnings are expected to grow with 145.87% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.01
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y277.84%
EPS Next 3Y145.87%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
PARR does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
43.8
+2.67 (+6.49%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners101.1%
Inst Owner Change2.39%
Ins Owners2.91%
Ins Owner Change-0.15%
Market Cap2.23B
Revenue(TTM)7.48B
Net Income(TTM)-19.15M
Analysts75.71
Price Target40.22 (-8.17%)
Short Float %7.23%
Short Ratio2.47
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)35.13%
Min EPS beat(2)-26.18%
Max EPS beat(2)96.44%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)9.62%
Min EPS beat(4)-54.22%
Max EPS beat(4)96.44%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)24.35%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)25.25%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)17.08%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)12.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)9.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)16.23%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)10.84%
Min Revenue beat(4)6.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.23%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)8.12%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)9.72%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)8.73%
PT rev (1m)2.41%
PT rev (3m)25.17%
EPS NQ rev (1m)22.09%
EPS NQ rev (3m)93.59%
EPS NY rev (1m)22.88%
EPS NY rev (3m)131.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.89%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.35%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.52%
Revenue NY rev (3m)9.24%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.6 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.58 | ||
| P/S | 0.29 | ||
| P/FCF | 73.86 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.4 | ||
| P/B | 1.94 | ||
| P/tB | 2.2 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.74 |
EPS(TTM)5.76
EY13.15%
EPS(NY)4.14
Fwd EY9.45%
FCF(TTM)0.59
FCFY1.35%
OCF(TTM)3.84
OCFY8.77%
SpS149.86
BVpS22.6
TBVpS19.88
PEG (NY)0.01
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number54.12
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.49% | ||
| ROE | -1.67% | ||
| ROCE | 2.55% | ||
| ROIC | 2.02% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.15% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.28% | ||
| OM | 0.9% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 3.92% | ||
| FCFM | 0.4% |
ROA(3y)9.7%
ROA(5y)1.35%
ROE(3y)36.09%
ROE(5y)-17.68%
ROIC(3y)16.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)21.09%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)23.72%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.42%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-26.87%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-25.45%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-23.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y33.41%
GM growth 5Y-5.53%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover1.95
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.97 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 37.36 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.41 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 119.54% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.17% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.87 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 94.42% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.42 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.56 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.72 |
F-Score3
WACC8.43%
ROIC/WACC0.24
Cap/Depr(3y)74.92%
Cap/Depr(5y)65.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.22%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)166.67%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-30.04%
EPS Q2Q%6050%
EPS Next Y1120.48%
EPS Next 2Y277.84%
EPS Next 3Y145.87%
EPS Next 5Y96.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.11%
Revenue growth 3Y19.19%
Revenue growth 5Y8.1%
Sales Q2Q%-6.11%
Revenue Next Year-7.75%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.72%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.25%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-83.74%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-17.6%
EBIT Next Year210.91%
EBIT Next 3Y55.7%
EBIT Next 5Y41.19%
FCF growth 1Y-95.58%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-73.52%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-4.52%
PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC / PARR FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to PARR.
What is the valuation status for PARR stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) stock?
PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the financial health of PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) stock?
The financial health rating of PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) is 3 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for PARR stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) is expected to grow by 1120.48% in the next year.