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MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:MUR - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US6267171022 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

24.39  +0.07 (+0.29%)

Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to MUR. MUR was compared to 213 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. MUR has an average financial health and profitability rating. MUR has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. MUR also has an excellent dividend rating. This makes MUR very considerable for dividend investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

MUR had positive earnings in the past year.
MUR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years MUR reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years MUR had a positive operating cash flow.
MUR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMUR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 3.97%, MUR is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.46% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of MUR (7.62%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
MUR has a Return On Invested Capital (6.05%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MUR is significantly below the industry average of 23.55%.
The 3 year average ROIC (10.38%) for MUR is well above the current ROIC(6.05%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.97%
ROE 7.62%
ROIC 6.05%
ROA(3y)6.78%
ROA(5y)1.76%
ROE(3y)13.16%
ROE(5y)2.09%
ROIC(3y)10.39%
ROIC(5y)N/A
MUR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMUR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

With a decent Profit Margin value of 13.52%, MUR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.44% of the companies in the same industry.
MUR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
MUR has a Operating Margin (22.39%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MUR has grown nicely.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 68.43%, MUR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.46% of the companies in the same industry.
MUR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.39%
PM (TTM) 13.52%
GM 68.43%
OM growth 3Y1.83%
OM growth 5Y6.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.86%
GM growth 3Y-1.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
MUR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMUR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MUR is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for MUR has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
MUR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, MUR has an improved debt to assets ratio.
MUR Yearly Shares OutstandingMUR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
MUR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMUR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 1.89 indicates that MUR is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 1.89, MUR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.38% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of MUR is 2.45, which is a good value as it means it would take MUR, 2.45 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
MUR has a Debt to FCF ratio of 2.45. This is in the better half of the industry: MUR outperforms 79.81% of its industry peers.
MUR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.29. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of MUR (0.29) is better than 65.26% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 2.45
Altman-Z 1.89
ROIC/WACC0.67
WACC9.05%
MUR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMUR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

MUR has a Current Ratio of 0.76. This is a bad value and indicates that MUR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
MUR's Current ratio of 0.76 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MUR is outperformed by 72.30% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.69 indicates that MUR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.69, MUR is not doing good in the industry: 69.01% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.76
Quick Ratio 0.69
MUR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMUR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for MUR have decreased strongly by -40.44% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, MUR shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 25.59% on average per year.
The Revenue for MUR has decreased by -15.23% in the past year. This is quite bad
Measured over the past years, MUR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.39% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-40.44%
EPS 3Y28.7%
EPS 5Y25.59%
EPS Q2Q%-34.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.23%
Revenue growth 3Y9.87%
Revenue growth 5Y1.39%
Sales Q2Q%-15.36%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.31% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
MUR is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -1.34% yearly.
EPS Next Y-30.66%
EPS Next 2Y1.73%
EPS Next 3Y8%
EPS Next 5Y9.31%
Revenue Next Year-14.07%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.44%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.34%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
MUR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMUR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
MUR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMUR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 2 -2 4

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.91, the valuation of MUR can be described as very reasonable.
74.65% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MUR, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.55, MUR is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.57 indicates a reasonable valuation of MUR.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MUR is valued a bit cheaper than 73.71% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MUR to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.40), we can say MUR is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.91
Fwd PE 8.57
MUR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMUR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MUR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.79% of the companies are valued more expensively.
88.26% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MUR, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 5.77
EV/EBITDA 3.05
MUR Per share dataMUR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.39
EPS Next 2Y1.73%
EPS Next 3Y8%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.04%, MUR is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.74, MUR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, MUR pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.04%

5.2 History

The dividend of MUR has a limited annual growth rate of 3.72%.
MUR has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
MUR has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.72%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
MUR Yearly Dividends per shareMUR Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

46.44% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MUR. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of MUR is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP46.44%
EPS Next 2Y1.73%
EPS Next 3Y8%
MUR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMUR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B -2B -3B
MUR Dividend Payout.MUR Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MUR Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

MURPHY OIL CORP

NYSE:MUR (6/12/2025, 2:15:50 PM)

24.39

+0.07 (+0.29%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-07 2025-05-07/amc
Earnings (Next)08-06 2025-08-06/bmo
Inst Owners84.04%
Inst Owner Change8.55%
Ins Owners5.54%
Ins Owner Change6.02%
Market Cap3.48B
Analysts65.45
Price Target28.29 (15.99%)
Short Float %18.67%
Short Ratio7.4
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.04%
Yearly Dividend1.21
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.72%
DP46.44%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date05-16 2025-05-16 (0.325)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-14.72%
Min EPS beat(2)-38.67%
Max EPS beat(2)9.22%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-38.67%
Max EPS beat(4)9.22%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.54%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)3.77%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)12.55%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-10.44%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.22%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.91%
Min Revenue beat(4)-10.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.22%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.96%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.42%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.05%
PT rev (1m)-9.26%
PT rev (3m)-24.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-62.85%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-66.55%
EPS NY rev (1m)-25.66%
EPS NY rev (3m)-35.49%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-7.68%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-9.8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.52%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-8.74%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.91
Fwd PE 8.57
P/S 1.21
P/FCF 5.77
P/OCF 2.13
P/B 0.68
P/tB 0.68
EV/EBITDA 3.05
EPS(TTM)2.46
EY10.09%
EPS(NY)2.85
Fwd EY11.67%
FCF(TTM)4.23
FCFY17.33%
OCF(TTM)11.43
OCFY46.85%
SpS20.22
BVpS35.88
TBVpS35.88
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.39
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.97%
ROE 7.62%
ROCE 7.33%
ROIC 6.05%
ROICexc 6.33%
ROICexgc 6.33%
OM 22.39%
PM (TTM) 13.52%
GM 68.43%
FCFM 20.91%
ROA(3y)6.78%
ROA(5y)1.76%
ROE(3y)13.16%
ROE(5y)2.09%
ROIC(3y)10.39%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.9%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.9%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)12.59%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y13.29%
ROICexcg growth 5Y12.74%
ROICexc growth 3Y13.29%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.74%
OM growth 3Y1.83%
OM growth 5Y6.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.86%
GM growth 3Y-1.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.29
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 2.45
Debt/EBITDA 0.99
Cap/Depr 121.06%
Cap/Sales 35.61%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 109.1%
Profit Quality 154.63%
Current Ratio 0.76
Quick Ratio 0.69
Altman-Z 1.89
F-Score4
WACC9.05%
ROIC/WACC0.67
Cap/Depr(3y)118.5%
Cap/Depr(5y)106.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)28.76%
Cap/Sales(5y)32.24%
Profit Quality(3y)142.37%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-40.44%
EPS 3Y28.7%
EPS 5Y25.59%
EPS Q2Q%-34.12%
EPS Next Y-30.66%
EPS Next 2Y1.73%
EPS Next 3Y8%
EPS Next 5Y9.31%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.23%
Revenue growth 3Y9.87%
Revenue growth 5Y1.39%
Sales Q2Q%-15.36%
Revenue Next Year-14.07%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.44%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.34%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-32.99%
EBIT growth 3Y11.87%
EBIT growth 5Y7.62%
EBIT Next Year97.44%
EBIT Next 3Y35.11%
EBIT Next 5Y22.62%
FCF growth 1Y-40.92%
FCF growth 3Y3.8%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-22.6%
OCF growth 3Y6.73%
OCF growth 5YN/A