MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:MUR • US6267171022

Current stock price

40.4503 USD
-1.31 (-3.14%)
Last:

This MUR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. MUR Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MUR was profitable.
  • In the past year MUR had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years MUR 4 years were profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years MUR had a positive operating cash flow.
MUR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMUR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

  • MUR has a Return On Assets of 1.06%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MUR underperforms 61.72% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 2.04%, MUR is not doing good in the industry: 63.16% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 3.99%, MUR is not doing good in the industry: 61.72% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • MUR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.72%. This is significantly below the industry average of 22.53%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.06%
ROE 2.04%
ROIC 3.99%
ROA(3y)4.02%
ROA(5y)4.14%
ROE(3y)7.4%
ROE(5y)7.95%
ROIC(3y)6.72%
ROIC(5y)7.79%
MUR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMUR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 -20

1.3 Margins

  • MUR's Profit Margin of 3.87% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MUR outperforms 44.50% of its industry peers.
  • MUR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 16.04%, MUR is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.72% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MUR has declined.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 71.61%, MUR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.30% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MUR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.04%
PM (TTM) 3.87%
GM 71.61%
OM growth 3Y-27.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-46.14%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.24%
GM growth 5Y1.07%
MUR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMUR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. MUR Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • MUR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MUR has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for MUR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MUR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
MUR Yearly Shares OutstandingMUR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
MUR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMUR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • MUR has an Altman-Z score of 2.10. This is not the best score and indicates that MUR is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.10, MUR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MUR has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.10. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as MUR would need 6.10 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 6.10, MUR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.11% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MUR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • MUR has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.27) than 65.55% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 6.1
Altman-Z 2.1
ROIC/WACC0.49
WACC8.15%
MUR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMUR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • MUR has a Current Ratio of 0.77. This is a bad value and indicates that MUR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.77, MUR is doing worse than 70.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.71 indicates that MUR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.71, MUR is not doing good in the industry: 66.03% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.71
MUR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMUR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. MUR Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • MUR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -49.82%.
  • MUR shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -37.31% yearly.
  • The Revenue for MUR has decreased by -10.64% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.65% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.82%
EPS 3Y-37.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-60%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.58%
Revenue growth 5Y6.65%
Sales Q2Q%-8.44%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, MUR will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 23.34% on average per year.
  • MUR is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.92% yearly.
EPS Next Y119.76%
EPS Next 2Y52.41%
EPS Next 3Y40.3%
EPS Next 5Y23.34%
Revenue Next Year7.72%
Revenue Next 2Y5.81%
Revenue Next 3Y4.92%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
MUR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMUR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
MUR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMUR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 -2 4

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5

4. MUR Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 29.31, the valuation of MUR can be described as expensive.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as MUR.
  • MUR's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 26.77.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 13.34, which indicates a correct valuation of MUR.
  • 66.99% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MUR, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • MUR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 21.75.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 29.31
Fwd PE 13.34
MUR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMUR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 85.17% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MUR, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as MUR.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 25.52
EV/EBITDA 4.96
MUR Per share dataMUR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as MUR's earnings are expected to grow with 40.30% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y52.41%
EPS Next 3Y40.3%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. MUR Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.54%, MUR has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.21, MUR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, MUR pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.54%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of MUR is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 15.59%!
  • MUR has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • MUR has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.59%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
MUR Yearly Dividends per shareMUR Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • MUR pays out 178.64% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • MUR's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP178.64%
EPS Next 2Y52.41%
EPS Next 3Y40.3%
MUR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMUR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B -2B -3B
MUR Dividend Payout.MUR Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MUR Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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MUR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MURPHY OIL CORP

NYSE:MUR (5/1/2026, 11:33:49 AM)

40.4503

-1.31 (-3.14%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Industry Strength83.23
Industry Growth72.67
Earnings (Last)01-28
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners91.99%
Inst Owner Change-0.32%
Ins Owners5.58%
Ins Owner Change1.26%
Market Cap5.80B
Revenue(TTM)2.70B
Net Income(TTM)104.23M
Analysts64.35
Price Target39.26 (-2.94%)
Short Float %7.26%
Short Ratio3.84
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.54%
Yearly Dividend1.29
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.59%
DP178.64%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date05-18
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)351.54%
Min EPS beat(2)140.12%
Max EPS beat(2)562.97%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)186.6%
Min EPS beat(4)9.22%
Max EPS beat(4)562.97%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)90.62%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)62.54%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)50.42%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.35%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.15%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.86%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.63%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.86%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.36%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.58%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.66%
PT rev (1m)27.63%
PT rev (3m)31.77%
EPS NQ rev (1m)17812.5%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-34.07%
EPS NY rev (1m)281.08%
EPS NY rev (3m)95.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)9.86%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.62%
Revenue NY rev (1m)12.54%
Revenue NY rev (3m)10.93%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 29.31
Fwd PE 13.34
P/S 2.15
P/FCF 25.52
P/OCF 4.65
P/B 1.13
P/tB 1.13
EV/EBITDA 4.96
EPS(TTM)1.38
EY3.41%
EPS(NY)3.03
Fwd EY7.5%
FCF(TTM)1.58
FCFY3.92%
OCF(TTM)8.7
OCFY21.52%
SpS18.81
BVpS35.71
TBVpS35.71
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number33.2965 (-17.69%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.06%
ROE 2.04%
ROCE 4.93%
ROIC 3.99%
ROICexc 4.17%
ROICexgc 4.17%
OM 16.04%
PM (TTM) 3.87%
GM 71.61%
FCFM 8.43%
ROA(3y)4.02%
ROA(5y)4.14%
ROE(3y)7.4%
ROE(5y)7.95%
ROIC(3y)6.72%
ROIC(5y)7.79%
ROICexc(3y)7.01%
ROICexc(5y)8.18%
ROICexgc(3y)7.01%
ROICexgc(5y)8.18%
ROCE(3y)8.3%
ROCE(5y)9.62%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-35.07%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.07%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-27.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-46.14%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.24%
GM growth 5Y1.07%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.27
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 6.1
Debt/EBITDA 0.98
Cap/Depr 104.38%
Cap/Sales 37.86%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 88.49%
Profit Quality 217.97%
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.71
Altman-Z 2.1
F-Score5
WACC8.15%
ROIC/WACC0.49
Cap/Depr(3y)111%
Cap/Depr(5y)109.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)32.96%
Cap/Sales(5y)30.88%
Profit Quality(3y)174.25%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.82%
EPS 3Y-37.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-60%
EPS Next Y119.76%
EPS Next 2Y52.41%
EPS Next 3Y40.3%
EPS Next 5Y23.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.58%
Revenue growth 5Y6.65%
Sales Q2Q%-8.44%
Revenue Next Year7.72%
Revenue Next 2Y5.81%
Revenue Next 3Y4.92%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-37.61%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.49%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year434.29%
EBIT Next 3Y82.76%
EBIT Next 5Y44.33%
FCF growth 1Y-72.32%
FCF growth 3Y-42.26%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-27.83%
OCF growth 3Y-16.79%
OCF growth 5Y9.77%

MURPHY OIL CORP / MUR Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for MUR stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MUR.


What is the valuation status for MUR stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of MUR stock?

MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for MURPHY OIL CORP?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is expected to grow by 119.76% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for MUR stock?

The dividend rating of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 178.64%.