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MATTEL INC (MTT.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:MTT - Deutsche Boerse Ag - US5770811025 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

17.05  +0.17 (+1.01%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to MTT. MTT was compared to 13 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. The financial health of MTT is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. MTT is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year MTT was profitable.
MTT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: MTT reported negative net income in multiple years.
MTT had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
MTT.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMTT.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 500M -500M -1B

1.2 Ratios

MTT has a Return On Assets of 1.33%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MTT underperforms 64.71% of its industry peers.
MTT has a worse Return On Equity (4.08%) than 64.71% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 8.26%, MTT perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.18% of the companies in the same industry.
MTT had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 9.60%. This is below the industry average of 12.23%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.33%
ROE 4.08%
ROIC 8.26%
ROA(3y)7.58%
ROA(5y)1.69%
ROE(3y)32.32%
ROE(5y)-5.74%
ROIC(3y)9.6%
ROIC(5y)N/A
MTT.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMTT.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50 -50

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of MTT (1.59%) is worse than 64.71% of its industry peers.
With a Operating Margin value of 10.70%, MTT perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.06% of the companies in the same industry.
MTT's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 46.25%, MTT perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.82% of the companies in the same industry.
MTT's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 10.7%
PM (TTM) 1.59%
GM 46.25%
OM growth 3Y98.96%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.15%
GM growth 5Y4.17%
MTT.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMTT.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20 -20 40

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6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MTT is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, MTT has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for MTT has been reduced compared to a year ago.
MTT.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingMTT.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 100M 200M 300M
MTT.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMTT.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

MTT has an Altman-Z score of 3.05. This indicates that MTT is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
MTT's Altman-Z score of 3.05 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MTT outperforms 70.59% of its industry peers.
MTT has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.05. This is a neutral value as MTT would need 5.05 years to pay back of all of its debts.
MTT has a Debt to FCF ratio of 5.05. This is in the better half of the industry: MTT outperforms 70.59% of its industry peers.
MTT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.14. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
MTT has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.14) than 76.47% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.14
Debt/FCF 5.05
Altman-Z 3.05
ROIC/WACC0.79
WACC10.4%
MTT.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMTT.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

MTT has a Current Ratio of 2.33. This indicates that MTT is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
MTT has a better Current ratio (2.33) than 82.35% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.73 indicates that MTT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.73, MTT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.12% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.33
Quick Ratio 1.73
MTT.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMTT.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1B 2B 3B

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2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

MTT shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -30.43%.
MTT shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -10.38%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.17% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-30.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%31.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.38%
Revenue growth 3Y6.46%
Revenue growth 5Y2.17%
Sales Q2Q%9.28%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.08% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, MTT will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.64% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-3.21%
EPS Next 2Y9.47%
EPS Next 3Y10.52%
EPS Next 5Y11.08%
Revenue Next Year-4.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.02%
Revenue Next 3Y1.2%
Revenue Next 5Y1.64%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
MTT.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMTT.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2B 4B 6B
MTT.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMTT.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 1 -1 2

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4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 16.55, which indicates a correct valuation of MTT.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MTT is on the same level as its industry peers.
MTT's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.82.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.28, MTT is valued correctly.
MTT's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MTT to the average of the S&P500 Index (36.21), we can say MTT is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.55
Fwd PE 12.28
MTT.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMTT.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as MTT.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MTT is valued cheaper than 88.24% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.2
EV/EBITDA 11.43
MTT.DE Per share dataMTT.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y9.47%
EPS Next 3Y10.52%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for MTT!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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MATTEL INC

FRA:MTT (11/24/2023, 7:00:00 PM)

17.05

+0.17 (+1.01%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)N/A N/A
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap6.02B
Analysts84.44
Price Target22.01 (29.09%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)314.93%
Min EPS beat(2)23.67%
Max EPS beat(2)606.19%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)142.36%
Min EPS beat(4)-37.76%
Max EPS beat(4)606.19%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)5.54%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.54%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.67%
Min Revenue beat(4)-17.29%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.88%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-8.15%
PT rev (3m)-4.36%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-7.35%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.73%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.41%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.73%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.27%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.55
Fwd PE 12.28
P/S 1.25
P/FCF 14.2
P/OCF 10.27
P/B 3.22
P/tB 25.42
EV/EBITDA 11.43
EPS(TTM)1.03
EY6.04%
EPS(NY)1.39
Fwd EY8.14%
FCF(TTM)1.2
FCFY7.04%
OCF(TTM)1.66
OCFY9.74%
SpS13.6
BVpS5.3
TBVpS0.67
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.33%
ROE 4.08%
ROCE 11.31%
ROIC 8.26%
ROICexc 9.1%
ROICexgc 15.08%
OM 10.7%
PM (TTM) 1.59%
GM 46.25%
FCFM 8.83%
ROA(3y)7.58%
ROA(5y)1.69%
ROE(3y)32.32%
ROE(5y)-5.74%
ROIC(3y)9.6%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)11.43%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)21.87%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)13.15%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y79.44%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y97.3%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y98.96%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.15%
GM growth 5Y4.17%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.84
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.14
Debt/FCF 5.05
Debt/EBITDA 3.16
Cap/Depr 99.27%
Cap/Sales 3.38%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 86.6%
Profit Quality 555.11%
Current Ratio 2.33
Quick Ratio 1.73
Altman-Z 3.05
F-Score5
WACC10.4%
ROIC/WACC0.79
Cap/Depr(3y)81.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)68.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.93%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.89%
Profit Quality(3y)79.03%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-30.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%31.71%
EPS Next Y-3.21%
EPS Next 2Y9.47%
EPS Next 3Y10.52%
EPS Next 5Y11.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.38%
Revenue growth 3Y6.46%
Revenue growth 5Y2.17%
Sales Q2Q%9.28%
Revenue Next Year-4.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.02%
Revenue Next 3Y1.2%
Revenue Next 5Y1.64%
EBIT growth 1Y-36.02%
EBIT growth 3Y111.81%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year14.36%
EBIT Next 3Y10.95%
EBIT Next 5Y12.12%
FCF growth 1Y44.07%
FCF growth 3Y58.31%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y35.23%
OCF growth 3Y38.02%
OCF growth 5YN/A