MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:MOS - US61945C1036 - Common Stock
27.45 USD
-0.26 (-0.94%)
27.7 USD
+0.25 (+0.91%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to MOS. MOS was compared to 82 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of MOS get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. MOS may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year MOS was profitable.
MOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years MOS has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years MOS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 3.87%, MOS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.17% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 7.56%, MOS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.51% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS has a Return On Invested Capital of 2.43%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MOS underperforms 65.85% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MOS is above the industry average of 6.28%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (2.43%) for MOS is well below the 3 year average (8.76%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that MOS had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.87% | ||
| ROE | 7.56% | ||
| ROIC | 2.43% |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
1.3 Margins
MOS has a better Profit Margin (8.35%) than 79.27% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MOS has declined.
With a Operating Margin value of 7.09%, MOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.46% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 15.33%, MOS is not doing good in the industry: 74.39% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MOS has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.09% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.35% | ||
| GM | 15.33% |
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MOS is creating some value.
MOS has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
MOS has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
MOS has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
MOS has an Altman-Z score of 1.88. This is not the best score and indicates that MOS is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of MOS (1.88) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
MOS has a debt to FCF ratio of 1025.86. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as MOS would need 1025.86 years to pay back of all of its debts.
MOS's Debt to FCF ratio of 1025.86 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 43.90% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35 indicates that MOS is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.35, MOS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.61% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1025.86 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.88 |
ROIC/WACC0.32
WACC7.68%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.14 indicates that MOS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.14, MOS is doing worse than 87.80% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.44 indicates that MOS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.44, MOS is doing worse than 93.90% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.44 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
MOS shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -30.62%.
Measured over the past years, MOS shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 47.88% on average per year.
MOS shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -7.71%.
MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 4.55% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-30.62%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%-5.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.71%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%6.71%
3.2 Future
MOS is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 11.97% yearly.
MOS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.89% yearly.
EPS Next Y56.72%
EPS Next 2Y25.84%
EPS Next 3Y13.12%
EPS Next 5Y11.97%
Revenue Next Year14.07%
Revenue Next 2Y7.27%
Revenue Next 3Y4.2%
Revenue Next 5Y2.89%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.34, MOS is valued correctly.
MOS's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. MOS is cheaper than 67.07% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.10, MOS is valued a bit cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.76, the valuation of MOS can be described as very reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MOS indicates a rather cheap valuation: MOS is cheaper than 87.80% of the companies listed in the same industry.
MOS is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.52, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.34 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.76 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MOS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 84.15% of the companies are valued more expensively.
MOS's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 2026.07 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.47 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of MOS may justify a higher PE ratio.
MOS's earnings are expected to grow with 13.12% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.27
PEG (5Y)0.32
EPS Next 2Y25.84%
EPS Next 3Y13.12%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MOS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.18%.
In the last 3 months the price of MOS has falen by -22.28%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.99, MOS pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.37, MOS pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.18% |
5.2 History
The dividend of MOS is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 36.86%!
MOS has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
29.18% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MOS. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of MOS is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP29.18%
EPS Next 2Y25.84%
EPS Next 3Y13.12%
27.45
-0.26 (-0.94%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners95.57%
Inst Owner Change0.33%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change-5.66%
Market Cap8.71B
Revenue(TTM)11.25B
Net Income(TTM)940.00M
Analysts77.5
Price Target38.56 (40.47%)
Short Float %3.92%
Short Ratio2.69
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.18% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
DP29.18%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-11.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(2)8.48%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.43%
Min EPS beat(4)-37.77%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-16.57%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-15.24%
EPS beat(16)1
Avg EPS beat(16)-13.19%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.28%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.09%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.46%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.71%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.41%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.3%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.25%
PT rev (1m)-7.07%
PT rev (3m)-4.73%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-12.95%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5.55%
EPS NY rev (3m)5%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.86%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.39%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.82%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.73%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.34 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.76 | ||
| P/S | 0.77 | ||
| P/FCF | 2026.07 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.35 | ||
| P/B | 0.7 | ||
| P/tB | 0.77 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.47 |
EPS(TTM)1.79
EY6.52%
EPS(NY)3.14
Fwd EY11.42%
FCF(TTM)0.01
FCFY0.05%
OCF(TTM)3.73
OCFY13.6%
SpS35.46
BVpS39.18
TBVpS35.69
PEG (NY)0.27
PEG (5Y)0.32
Graham Number39.72
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.87% | ||
| ROE | 7.56% | ||
| ROCE | 4.01% | ||
| ROIC | 2.43% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.46% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.6% | ||
| OM | 7.09% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.35% | ||
| GM | 15.33% | ||
| FCFM | 0.04% |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)8.11%
ROICexgc(3y)9.66%
ROICexgc(5y)8.67%
ROCE(3y)13.98%
ROCE(5y)12.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.45%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.81%
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1025.86 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.4 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 115.19% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.28 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 64.98% | ||
| Profit Quality | 0.46% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.44 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.88 |
F-Score7
WACC7.68%
ROIC/WACC0.32
Cap/Depr(3y)133.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.39%
Profit Quality(3y)62.8%
Profit Quality(5y)61.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-30.62%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%-5.56%
EPS Next Y56.72%
EPS Next 2Y25.84%
EPS Next 3Y13.12%
EPS Next 5Y11.97%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.71%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%6.71%
Revenue Next Year14.07%
Revenue Next 2Y7.27%
Revenue Next 3Y4.2%
Revenue Next 5Y2.89%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.89%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.84%
EBIT growth 5Y7.5%
EBIT Next Year168.94%
EBIT Next 3Y34.43%
EBIT Next 5Y17.05%
FCF growth 1Y-99.75%
FCF growth 3Y-62.49%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-61.37%
OCF growth 3Y-15.94%
OCF growth 5Y3.47%
MOSAIC CO/THE / MOS FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MOS.
Can you provide the valuation status for MOSAIC CO/THE?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MOS stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 15.34 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.7.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MOS stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is expected to grow by 56.72% in the next year.