MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS)
US61945C1036 - Common Stock
MOS gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 84 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of MOS get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. MOS is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year MOS was profitable.
MOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
MOS had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
MOS had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
MOS's Return On Assets of 1.08% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 45.24% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 2.10%, MOS is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.05% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.44%, MOS is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.62% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 14.26%. This is significantly above the industry average of 6.33%.
The 3 year average ROIC (14.26%) for MOS is well above the current ROIC(3.44%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.08% | ||
| ROE | 2.1% | ||
| ROIC | 3.44% |
ROA(3y)9.26%
ROA(5y)5.12%
ROE(3y)18.19%
ROE(5y)9.98%
ROIC(3y)14.26%
ROIC(5y)9.72%
1.3 Margins
MOS's Profit Margin of 2.01% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 46.43% of its industry peers.
MOS's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
MOS's Operating Margin of 6.81% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 45.24% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MOS has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of MOS (14.45%) is worse than 73.81% of its industry peers.
MOS's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.01% | ||
| GM | 14.45% |
OM growth 3Y16.82%
OM growth 5Y2.51%
PM growth 3Y3.5%
PM growth 5Y11.65%
GM growth 3Y9.58%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
MOS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
MOS has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, MOS has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, MOS has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
MOS has an Altman-Z score of 2.01. This is not the best score and indicates that MOS is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
MOS has a Altman-Z score (2.01) which is in line with its industry peers.
MOS has a debt to FCF ratio of 9.03. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as MOS would need 9.03 years to pay back of all of its debts.
MOS has a Debt to FCF ratio of 9.03. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MOS outperforms 54.76% of its industry peers.
MOS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.35, MOS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.86% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9.03 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.01 |
ROIC/WACC0.49
WACC6.99%
2.3 Liquidity
MOS has a Current Ratio of 1.16. This is a normal value and indicates that MOS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.16, MOS is not doing good in the industry: 90.48% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.54 indicates that MOS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.54, MOS is not doing good in the industry: 92.86% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.54 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for MOS have decreased strongly by -63.87% in the last year.
MOS shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 10.99% yearly.
Looking at the last year, MOS shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -27.54% in the last year.
MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.39% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-63.87%
EPS 3Y61.34%
EPS 5Y10.99%
EPS Q2Q%-48.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.54%
Revenue growth 3Y16.41%
Revenue growth 5Y7.39%
Sales Q2Q%-17.01%
3.2 Future
MOS is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.18% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.97% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-27.35%
EPS Next 2Y-16.5%
EPS Next 3Y-11.8%
EPS Next 5Y6.18%
Revenue Next Year-14.12%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.51%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.47%
Revenue Next 5Y0.97%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 9.86, which indicates a very decent valuation of MOS.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MOS is valued cheaper than 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 30.71, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
MOS is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.22.
78.57% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MOS, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
MOS is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.09, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.86 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.22 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MOS is valued cheaper than 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MOS is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.86% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 17.43 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.06 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
MOS has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as MOS's earnings are expected to decrease with -11.80% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.9
EPS Next 2Y-16.5%
EPS Next 3Y-11.8%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MOS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.34%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
MOS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.01. MOS pays more dividend than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.26.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.34% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of MOS grows each year by 58.93%, which is quite nice.
MOS has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
As MOS did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)58.93%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
109.84% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MOS. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of MOS is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP109.84%
EPS Next 2Y-16.5%
EPS Next 3Y-11.8%
MOSAIC CO/THE
NYSE:MOS (9/16/2024, 8:04:00 PM)
After market: 25.61 +0.18 (+0.71%)25.43
-0.96 (-3.64%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners
Inst Owner Change
Ins Owners
Ins Owner Change
Market Cap8.10B
Analysts
Price Target
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.34% |
Dividend Growth(5Y)
DP
Div Incr Years
Div Non Decr Years
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)
Avg EPS beat(2)
Min EPS beat(2)
Max EPS beat(2)
EPS beat(4)
Avg EPS beat(4)
Min EPS beat(4)
Max EPS beat(4)
EPS beat(8)
Avg EPS beat(8)
EPS beat(12)
Avg EPS beat(12)
EPS beat(16)
Avg EPS beat(16)
Revenue beat(2)
Avg Revenue beat(2)
Min Revenue beat(2)
Max Revenue beat(2)
Revenue beat(4)
Avg Revenue beat(4)
Min Revenue beat(4)
Max Revenue beat(4)
Revenue beat(8)
Avg Revenue beat(8)
Revenue beat(12)
Avg Revenue beat(12)
Revenue beat(16)
Avg Revenue beat(16)
PT rev (1m)
PT rev (3m)
EPS NQ rev (1m)
EPS NQ rev (3m)
EPS NY rev (1m)
EPS NY rev (3m)
Revenue NQ rev (1m)
Revenue NQ rev (3m)
Revenue NY rev (1m)
Revenue NY rev (3m)
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.86 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.22 | ||
| P/S | |||
| P/FCF | |||
| P/OCF | |||
| P/B | |||
| P/tB | |||
| EV/EBITDA |
EPS(TTM)
EY
EPS(NY)
Fwd EY
FCF(TTM)
FCFY
OCF(TTM)
OCFY
SpS
BVpS
TBVpS
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.9
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.08% | ||
| ROE | 2.1% | ||
| ROCE | |||
| ROIC | |||
| ROICexc | |||
| ROICexgc | |||
| OM | 6.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.01% | ||
| GM | 14.45% | ||
| FCFM |
ROA(3y)
ROA(5y)
ROE(3y)
ROE(5y)
ROIC(3y)
ROIC(5y)
ROICexc(3y)
ROICexc(5y)
ROICexgc(3y)
ROICexgc(5y)
ROCE(3y)
ROCE(5y)
ROICexcg growth 3Y
ROICexcg growth 5Y
ROICexc growth 3Y
ROICexc growth 5Y
OM growth 3Y
OM growth 5Y
PM growth 3Y
PM growth 5Y
GM growth 3Y
GM growth 5Y
F-Score
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | |||
| Debt/EBITDA | |||
| Cap/Depr | |||
| Cap/Sales | |||
| Interest Coverage | |||
| Cash Conversion | |||
| Profit Quality | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.54 | ||
| Altman-Z |
F-Score
WACC
ROIC/WACC
Cap/Depr(3y)
Cap/Depr(5y)
Cap/Sales(3y)
Cap/Sales(5y)
Profit Quality(3y)
Profit Quality(5y)
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-63.87%
EPS 3Y61.34%
EPS 5Y
EPS Q2Q%
EPS Next Y-27.35%
EPS Next 2Y
EPS Next 3Y
EPS Next 5Y
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.54%
Revenue growth 3Y16.41%
Revenue growth 5Y
Sales Q2Q%
Revenue Next Year
Revenue Next 2Y
Revenue Next 3Y
Revenue Next 5Y
EBIT growth 1Y
EBIT growth 3Y
EBIT growth 5Y
EBIT Next Year
EBIT Next 3Y
EBIT Next 5Y
FCF growth 1Y
FCF growth 3Y
FCF growth 5Y
OCF growth 1Y
OCF growth 3Y
OCF growth 5Y