MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:MOS - US61945C1036 - Common Stock
25.89 USD
+0.31 (+1.21%)
25.89 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to MOS. MOS was compared to 82 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of MOS get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. MOS is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
MOS had positive earnings in the past year.
MOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years MOS has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years MOS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of MOS (3.87%) is better than 73.17% of its industry peers.
MOS has a Return On Equity of 7.56%. This is in the better half of the industry: MOS outperforms 69.51% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 2.43%, MOS is doing worse than 63.41% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.76%. This is above the industry average of 6.14%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (2.43%) for MOS is well below the 3 year average (8.76%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that MOS had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.87% | ||
| ROE | 7.56% | ||
| ROIC | 2.43% |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
1.3 Margins
MOS has a better Profit Margin (8.35%) than 79.27% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MOS has declined.
With a Operating Margin value of 7.09%, MOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.12% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MOS has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of MOS (15.33%) is worse than 73.17% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MOS has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.09% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.35% | ||
| GM | 15.33% |
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
MOS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for MOS has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for MOS has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for MOS is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 1.85 indicates that MOS is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.85, MOS is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.22% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of MOS is 1025.86, which is on the high side as it means it would take MOS, 1025.86 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 1025.86, MOS is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.90% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
MOS has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.35. This is in the better half of the industry: MOS outperforms 74.39% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1025.86 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.85 |
ROIC/WACC0.32
WACC7.56%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.14 indicates that MOS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.14, MOS is not doing good in the industry: 87.80% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.44 indicates that MOS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of MOS (0.44) is worse than 93.90% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.44 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
MOS shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 11.16%, which is quite good.
MOS shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 47.88% yearly.
MOS shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -18.79%.
MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 4.55% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-18.79%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
3.2 Future
MOS is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 11.38% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, MOS will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.11% on average per year.
EPS Next Y55.86%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y12.97%
EPS Next 5Y11.38%
Revenue Next Year14.02%
Revenue Next 2Y7.33%
Revenue Next 3Y4.24%
Revenue Next 5Y2.11%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
MOS is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.40.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MOS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 81.71% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MOS to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.28), we can say MOS is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 8.26, which indicates a very decent valuation of MOS.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MOS is valued cheaper than 89.02% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 33.61. MOS is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.4 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.26 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MOS is valued cheaper than 86.59% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 1910.93 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.15 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
MOS's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of MOS may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as MOS's earnings are expected to grow with 12.97% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.19
PEG (5Y)0.22
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y12.97%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MOS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.44%.
The stock price of MOS dropped by -20.26% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.99, MOS pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.36, MOS pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.44% |
5.2 History
The dividend of MOS is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 36.86%!
MOS has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
MOS pays out 29.18% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
MOS's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP29.18%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y12.97%
25.89
+0.31 (+1.21%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners95.57%
Inst Owner Change3.26%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change1.47%
Market Cap8.22B
Revenue(TTM)11.12B
Net Income(TTM)940.00M
Analysts75.83
Price Target38.56 (48.94%)
Short Float %3.92%
Short Ratio2.69
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.44% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
DP29.18%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-11.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(2)8.48%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.43%
Min EPS beat(4)-37.77%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-16.57%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-15.24%
EPS beat(16)1
Avg EPS beat(16)-13.19%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.28%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.09%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.46%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.71%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.41%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.3%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.25%
PT rev (1m)-6.35%
PT rev (3m)-9.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-12.95%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.42%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.86%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.39%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.86%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.78%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.4 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.26 | ||
| P/S | 0.73 | ||
| P/FCF | 1910.93 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.94 | ||
| P/B | 0.66 | ||
| P/tB | 0.73 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.15 |
EPS(TTM)2.49
EY9.62%
EPS(NY)3.13
Fwd EY12.11%
FCF(TTM)0.01
FCFY0.05%
OCF(TTM)3.73
OCFY14.42%
SpS35.46
BVpS39.18
TBVpS35.69
PEG (NY)0.19
PEG (5Y)0.22
Graham Number46.85
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.87% | ||
| ROE | 7.56% | ||
| ROCE | 4.01% | ||
| ROIC | 2.43% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.46% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.6% | ||
| OM | 7.09% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.35% | ||
| GM | 15.33% | ||
| FCFM | 0.04% |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)8.11%
ROICexgc(3y)9.66%
ROICexgc(5y)8.67%
ROCE(3y)13.98%
ROCE(5y)12.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.45%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.81%
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1025.86 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.4 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 115.19% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.28 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 64.98% | ||
| Profit Quality | 0.46% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.44 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.85 |
F-Score7
WACC7.56%
ROIC/WACC0.32
Cap/Depr(3y)133.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.39%
Profit Quality(3y)62.8%
Profit Quality(5y)61.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
EPS Next Y55.86%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y12.97%
EPS Next 5Y11.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-18.79%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
Revenue Next Year14.02%
Revenue Next 2Y7.33%
Revenue Next 3Y4.24%
Revenue Next 5Y2.11%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.89%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.84%
EBIT growth 5Y7.5%
EBIT Next Year168.94%
EBIT Next 3Y34.43%
EBIT Next 5Y16.25%
FCF growth 1Y-99.75%
FCF growth 3Y-62.49%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-61.37%
OCF growth 3Y-15.94%
OCF growth 5Y3.47%
MOSAIC CO/THE / MOS FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MOS.
Can you provide the valuation status for MOSAIC CO/THE?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MOS stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 10.4 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.66.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MOS stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is expected to grow by 55.86% in the next year.