MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:MOS - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US61945C1036 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to MOS. MOS was compared to 85 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of MOS get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. MOS is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year MOS was profitable.
In the past year MOS had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years MOS has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years MOS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
MOS's Return On Assets of 1.59% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 51.76% of its industry peers.
MOS has a Return On Equity (3.12%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
MOS has a Return On Invested Capital of 2.47%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MOS underperforms 67.06% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MOS is in line with the industry average of 7.01%.
The 3 year average ROIC (8.76%) for MOS is well above the current ROIC(2.47%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.59% | ||
| ROE | 3.12% | ||
| ROIC | 2.47% |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
1.3 Margins
MOS has a Profit Margin (3.32%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MOS has declined.
MOS's Operating Margin of 7.11% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 41.18% of its industry peers.
MOS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 14.47%, MOS is not doing good in the industry: 74.12% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MOS has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.11% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.32% | ||
| GM | 14.47% |
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
MOS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
MOS has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for MOS has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
MOS has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.06 indicates that MOS is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 2.06, MOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.12% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of MOS is 21.64, which is on the high side as it means it would take MOS, 21.64 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
MOS has a Debt to FCF ratio (21.64) which is in line with its industry peers.
MOS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.39. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
MOS's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.39 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 70.59% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.39 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 21.64 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.06 |
ROIC/WACC0.3
WACC8.16%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.12 indicates that MOS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
MOS's Current ratio of 1.12 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MOS is outperformed by 83.53% of its industry peers.
MOS has a Quick Ratio of 1.12. This is a bad value and indicates that MOS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
MOS's Quick ratio of 0.44 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MOS is outperformed by 90.59% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.44 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for MOS have decreased strongly by -40.91% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, MOS shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 47.88% on average per year.
The Revenue for MOS has decreased by -13.37% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.55% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-40.91%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%-24.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%-2.18%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, MOS will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 13.24% on average per year.
MOS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.66% yearly.
EPS Next Y45.81%
EPS Next 2Y17.66%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
EPS Next 5Y13.24%
Revenue Next Year15.28%
Revenue Next 2Y6.37%
Revenue Next 3Y3.64%
Revenue Next 5Y2.66%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.54, MOS is valued on the expensive side.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MOS is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.60, MOS is valued a bit cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.98, the valuation of MOS can be described as correct.
MOS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. MOS is cheaper than 62.35% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.43.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.54 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.98 |
4.2 Price Multiples
67.06% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MOS, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as MOS.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 53.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.92 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
MOS's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)0.43
PEG (5Y)0.41
EPS Next 2Y17.66%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.54%, MOS has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
MOS's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.70.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.36, MOS has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.54% |
5.2 History
The dividend of MOS is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 36.86%!
MOS has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
As MOS did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
MOS pays out 73.93% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
MOS's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP73.93%
EPS Next 2Y17.66%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
NYSE:MOS (5/21/2025, 3:10:10 PM)
35.57
+0.04 (+0.11%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners89.93%
Inst Owner Change1.66%
Ins Owners0.34%
Ins Owner Change-5.41%
Market Cap11.28B
Analysts75
Price Target33.93 (-4.61%)
Short Float %3.09%
Short Ratio1.61
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.54% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
DP73.93%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-6.72%
Min EPS beat(2)-21.92%
Max EPS beat(2)8.48%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-17.62%
Min EPS beat(4)-37.77%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-13.77%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-13.6%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-10.11%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.34%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.22%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.46%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.93%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.42%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.15%
PT rev (1m)2.47%
PT rev (3m)2.06%
EPS NQ rev (1m)16.26%
EPS NQ rev (3m)19.09%
EPS NY rev (1m)16.87%
EPS NY rev (3m)22.8%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)5.39%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.29%
Revenue NY rev (1m)6.42%
Revenue NY rev (3m)10.49%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.54 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.98 | ||
| P/S | 1.02 | ||
| P/FCF | 53.1 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.93 | ||
| P/B | 0.96 | ||
| P/tB | 1.05 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.92 |
EPS(TTM)1.82
EY5.12%
EPS(NY)2.74
Fwd EY7.71%
FCF(TTM)0.67
FCFY1.88%
OCF(TTM)4.48
OCFY12.6%
SpS34.88
BVpS37.11
TBVpS33.75
PEG (NY)0.43
PEG (5Y)0.41
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.59% | ||
| ROE | 3.12% | ||
| ROCE | 4.13% | ||
| ROIC | 2.47% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.5% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.64% | ||
| OM | 7.11% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.32% | ||
| GM | 14.47% | ||
| FCFM | 1.92% |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)8.11%
ROICexgc(3y)9.66%
ROICexgc(5y)8.67%
ROCE(3y)13.98%
ROCE(5y)12.46%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-39.11%
ROICexcg growth 5Y3.45%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.81%
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.39 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 21.64 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.52 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 117.73% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.93% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.34 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 78.37% | ||
| Profit Quality | 57.78% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.44 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.06 |
F-Score4
WACC8.16%
ROIC/WACC0.3
Cap/Depr(3y)133.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.39%
Profit Quality(3y)62.8%
Profit Quality(5y)61.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-40.91%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%-24.62%
EPS Next Y45.81%
EPS Next 2Y17.66%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
EPS Next 5Y13.24%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%-2.18%
Revenue Next Year15.28%
Revenue Next 2Y6.37%
Revenue Next 3Y3.64%
Revenue Next 5Y2.66%
EBIT growth 1Y-18.55%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.84%
EBIT growth 5Y7.5%
EBIT Next Year115.58%
EBIT Next 3Y28.66%
EBIT Next 5Y17.47%
FCF growth 1Y-90.76%
FCF growth 3Y-62.49%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-60.26%
OCF growth 3Y-15.94%
OCF growth 5Y3.47%