MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:MOS - US61945C1036 - Common Stock
34.53 USD
-0.23 (-0.66%)
34.46 USD
-0.07 (-0.2%)
MOS gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 83 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of MOS get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. MOS is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
MOS had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year MOS had a positive cash flow from operations.
MOS had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years MOS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
MOS has a Return On Assets of 3.87%. This is in the better half of the industry: MOS outperforms 74.70% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 7.56%, MOS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.08% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 2.43%, MOS is doing worse than 62.65% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.76%. This is above the industry average of 6.34%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (2.43%) for MOS is well below the 3 year average (8.76%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that MOS had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.87% | ||
| ROE | 7.56% | ||
| ROIC | 2.43% |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
1.3 Margins
MOS's Profit Margin of 8.35% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 79.52% of its industry peers.
MOS's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
MOS has a Operating Margin of 7.09%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MOS outperforms 42.17% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MOS has grown nicely.
MOS has a Gross Margin of 15.33%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MOS underperforms 74.70% of its industry peers.
MOS's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.09% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.35% | ||
| GM | 15.33% |
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MOS is still creating some value.
MOS has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for MOS has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for MOS is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
MOS has an Altman-Z score of 1.99. This is not the best score and indicates that MOS is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
MOS has a Altman-Z score (1.99) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
MOS has a debt to FCF ratio of 1025.86. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as MOS would need 1025.86 years to pay back of all of its debts.
MOS has a Debt to FCF ratio (1025.86) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35 indicates that MOS is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of MOS (0.35) is better than 74.70% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1025.86 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.99 |
ROIC/WACC0.3
WACC8.14%
2.3 Liquidity
MOS has a Current Ratio of 1.14. This is a normal value and indicates that MOS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.14, MOS is not doing good in the industry: 86.75% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.44 indicates that MOS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
MOS has a Quick ratio of 0.44. This is amonst the worse of the industry: MOS underperforms 92.77% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.44 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
MOS shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -30.62%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 47.88% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, MOS shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -7.71% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.55% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-30.62%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%-5.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.71%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%6.71%
3.2 Future
MOS is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 11.97% yearly.
MOS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.89% yearly.
EPS Next Y65.92%
EPS Next 2Y28.59%
EPS Next 3Y13.34%
EPS Next 5Y11.97%
Revenue Next Year16.95%
Revenue Next 2Y7.7%
Revenue Next 3Y4.38%
Revenue Next 5Y2.89%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 19.29, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of MOS.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as MOS.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.86. MOS is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
MOS is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.55.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MOS is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.52% of the companies are valued more expensively.
MOS is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.32, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.55 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MOS is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.49% of the companies are valued more expensively.
MOS's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 2548.64 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.74 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
MOS has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as MOS's earnings are expected to grow with 13.34% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.29
PEG (5Y)0.4
EPS Next 2Y28.59%
EPS Next 3Y13.34%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MOS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.53%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.59, MOS pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.41, MOS has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.53% |
5.2 History
The dividend of MOS is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 36.86%!
MOS has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
29.18% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MOS. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of MOS is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP29.18%
EPS Next 2Y28.59%
EPS Next 3Y13.34%
34.53
-0.23 (-0.66%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners95.57%
Inst Owner Change3.59%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change-5.66%
Market Cap10.96B
Analysts77.5
Price Target41.17 (19.23%)
Short Float %4.28%
Short Ratio2.88
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.53% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
DP29.18%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-11.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(2)8.48%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.43%
Min EPS beat(4)-37.77%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-16.57%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-15.24%
EPS beat(16)1
Avg EPS beat(16)-13.19%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.28%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.09%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.46%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.71%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.41%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.3%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.25%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)5.98%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.9%
EPS NQ rev (3m)38.93%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.67%
EPS NY rev (3m)14.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.51%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)11.31%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.32%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.17%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.55 | ||
| P/S | 0.97 | ||
| P/FCF | 2548.64 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.25 | ||
| P/B | 0.88 | ||
| P/tB | 0.97 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.74 |
EPS(TTM)1.79
EY5.18%
EPS(NY)3.27
Fwd EY9.48%
FCF(TTM)0.01
FCFY0.04%
OCF(TTM)3.73
OCFY10.81%
SpS35.46
BVpS39.18
TBVpS35.69
PEG (NY)0.29
PEG (5Y)0.4
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.87% | ||
| ROE | 7.56% | ||
| ROCE | 4.01% | ||
| ROIC | 2.43% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.46% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.6% | ||
| OM | 7.09% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.35% | ||
| GM | 15.33% | ||
| FCFM | 0.04% |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)8.11%
ROICexgc(3y)9.66%
ROICexgc(5y)8.67%
ROCE(3y)13.98%
ROCE(5y)12.46%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-39.11%
ROICexcg growth 5Y3.45%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.81%
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1025.86 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.4 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 115.19% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.28 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 64.98% | ||
| Profit Quality | 0.46% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.44 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.99 |
F-Score7
WACC8.14%
ROIC/WACC0.3
Cap/Depr(3y)133.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.39%
Profit Quality(3y)62.8%
Profit Quality(5y)61.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-30.62%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%-5.56%
EPS Next Y65.92%
EPS Next 2Y28.59%
EPS Next 3Y13.34%
EPS Next 5Y11.97%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.71%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%6.71%
Revenue Next Year16.95%
Revenue Next 2Y7.7%
Revenue Next 3Y4.38%
Revenue Next 5Y2.89%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.89%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.84%
EBIT growth 5Y7.5%
EBIT Next Year168.94%
EBIT Next 3Y34.43%
EBIT Next 5Y17.05%
FCF growth 1Y-99.75%
FCF growth 3Y-62.49%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-61.37%
OCF growth 3Y-15.94%
OCF growth 5Y3.47%