MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MOS - US61945C1036 - Common Stock
24.21 USD
-0.17 (-0.7%)
24.2975 USD
+0.09 (+0.36%)
Overall MOS gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated MOS against 81 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. While MOS has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on MOS.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
MOS had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year MOS had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years MOS has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years MOS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of MOS (4.98%) is better than 80.25% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 9.62%, MOS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.01% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 3.05%, MOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.68% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MOS is above the industry average of 6.15%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (3.05%) for MOS is well below the 3 year average (8.76%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that MOS had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.98% | ||
| ROE | 9.62% | ||
| ROIC | 3.05% |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
1.3 Margins
MOS's Profit Margin of 10.33% is amongst the best of the industry. MOS outperforms 86.42% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MOS has declined.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 8.60%, MOS is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.38% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MOS has grown nicely.
MOS has a worse Gross Margin (15.65%) than 74.07% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MOS has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.33% | ||
| GM | 15.65% |
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MOS is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for MOS has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
MOS has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, MOS has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
MOS has an Altman-Z score of 1.88. This is not the best score and indicates that MOS is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
MOS has a Altman-Z score (1.88) which is in line with its industry peers.
MOS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.35, MOS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.07% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.88 |
ROIC/WACC0.39
WACC7.72%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.14 indicates that MOS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
MOS has a worse Current ratio (1.14) than 87.65% of its industry peers.
MOS has a Quick Ratio of 1.14. This is a bad value and indicates that MOS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.40, MOS is not doing good in the industry: 93.83% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.4 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 11.16% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 47.88% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.82% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.55% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
3.2 Future
MOS is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.25% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, MOS will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.87% on average per year.
EPS Next Y55.86%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y12.97%
EPS Next 5Y6.25%
Revenue Next Year14.02%
Revenue Next 2Y7.33%
Revenue Next 3Y4.24%
Revenue Next 5Y1.87%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
MOS is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.72.
83.95% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MOS, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
MOS is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.37, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.72, the valuation of MOS can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MOS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.12% of the companies are valued more expensively.
MOS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 36.20.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.72 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.72 |
4.2 Price Multiples
90.12% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MOS, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.27 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
MOS's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of MOS may justify a higher PE ratio.
MOS's earnings are expected to grow with 12.97% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.17
PEG (5Y)0.2
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y12.97%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MOS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.63%.
In the last 3 months the price of MOS has falen by -25.39%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.88, MOS pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
MOS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.32.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.63% |
5.2 History
The dividend of MOS is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 36.86%!
MOS has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
22.53% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MOS. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of MOS is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.53%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y12.97%
24.21
-0.17 (-0.7%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners95.57%
Inst Owner Change3.68%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change0.03%
Market Cap7.68B
Revenue(TTM)11.89B
Net Income(TTM)1.23B
Analysts75.83
Price Target35.94 (48.45%)
Short Float %4.54%
Short Ratio2.35
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.63% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
DP22.53%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(2)4.49%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-9.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-14.7%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-14.35%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-12.01%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.09%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.66%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.38%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.37%
PT rev (1m)-12.71%
PT rev (3m)-13.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-25.38%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-33.27%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.55%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.5%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.54%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.2%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.72 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.72 | ||
| P/S | 0.65 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 6.98 | ||
| P/B | 0.6 | ||
| P/tB | 0.66 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.27 |
EPS(TTM)2.49
EY10.29%
EPS(NY)3.13
Fwd EY12.95%
FCF(TTM)-0.64
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.47
OCFY14.32%
SpS37.47
BVpS40.27
TBVpS36.83
PEG (NY)0.17
PEG (5Y)0.2
Graham Number47.5
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.98% | ||
| ROE | 9.62% | ||
| ROCE | 5.06% | ||
| ROIC | 3.05% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.07% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.24% | ||
| OM | 8.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.33% | ||
| GM | 15.65% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)8.11%
ROICexgc(3y)9.66%
ROICexgc(5y)8.67%
ROCE(3y)13.98%
ROCE(5y)12.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.45%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.81%
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.17 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 122.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.96% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.49 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 52.73% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.4 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.88 |
F-Score6
WACC7.72%
ROIC/WACC0.39
Cap/Depr(3y)133.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.39%
Profit Quality(3y)62.8%
Profit Quality(5y)61.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
EPS Next Y55.86%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y12.97%
EPS Next 5Y6.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
Revenue Next Year14.02%
Revenue Next 2Y7.33%
Revenue Next 3Y4.24%
Revenue Next 5Y1.87%
EBIT growth 1Y27.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.84%
EBIT growth 5Y7.5%
EBIT Next Year168.94%
EBIT Next 3Y34.43%
EBIT Next 5Y15.88%
FCF growth 1Y-114.14%
FCF growth 3Y-62.49%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-61.05%
OCF growth 3Y-15.94%
OCF growth 5Y3.47%
MOSAIC CO/THE / MOS FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MOS.
Can you provide the valuation status for MOSAIC CO/THE?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MOS stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 9.72 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.6.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MOS stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is expected to grow by 55.86% in the next year.