MODIVCARE INC (MODV) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:MODV - US60783X1046 - Common Stock
0.4319 USD
-0.15 (-25.23%)
0.4569 USD
+0.02 (+5.79%)
MODV gets a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 100 industry peers in the Health Care Providers & Services industry. MODV has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. MODV is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
MODV had negative earnings in the past year.
MODV had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
MODV had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: MODV reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
MODV has a Return On Assets of -13.68%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MODV underperforms 78.43% of its industry peers.
MODV has a Return On Invested Capital (0.67%) which is in line with its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MODV is significantly below the industry average of 9.42%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -13.68% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 0.67% |
ROA(3y)-8.46%
ROA(5y)-4.68%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)1.96%
ROIC(5y)3.81%
1.3 Margins
MODV has a Operating Margin (0.42%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MODV has declined.
MODV's Gross Margin of 15.15% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MODV is outperformed by 63.73% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MODV has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 0.42% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 15.15% |
OM growth 3Y-52.57%
OM growth 5Y-22.79%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-10.08%
GM growth 5Y14.43%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), MODV is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, MODV has more shares outstanding
MODV has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for MODV is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.34, we must say that MODV is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.34, MODV is not doing good in the industry: 63.73% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.34 |
ROIC/WACC0.13
WACC5.2%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.80 indicates that MODV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
MODV's Current ratio of 0.80 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MODV is outperformed by 83.33% of its industry peers.
MODV has a Quick Ratio of 0.80. This is a bad value and indicates that MODV is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
MODV's Quick ratio of 0.80 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MODV is outperformed by 76.47% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.8 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for MODV have decreased strongly by -126.76% in the last year.
The earnings per share for MODV have been decreasing by -21.09% on average. This is quite bad
MODV shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.70%.
The Revenue has been growing by 13.05% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-126.76%
EPS 3Y-59.43%
EPS 5Y-21.09%
EPS Q2Q%-1800%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.7%
Revenue growth 3Y11.76%
Revenue growth 5Y13.05%
Sales Q2Q%-4.94%
3.2 Future
MODV is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 19.50% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.26% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-647.27%
EPS Next 2Y-100.18%
EPS Next 3Y19.5%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-5.24%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.3%
Revenue Next 3Y0.26%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
MODV reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Also next year MODV is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MODV indicates a rather cheap valuation: MODV is cheaper than 81.37% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.73 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
MODV's earnings are expected to grow with 19.50% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-100.18%
EPS Next 3Y19.5%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MODV does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
0.4319
-0.15 (-25.23%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupHealth Care Equipment & Services
GICS IndustryHealth Care Providers & Services
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners97.01%
Inst Owner Change-0.02%
Ins Owners0.87%
Ins Owner Change-0.02%
Market Cap6.20M
Revenue(TTM)2.75B
Net Income(TTM)-229.35M
Analysts43.33
Price Target2.01 (365.39%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-114.73%
Min EPS beat(2)-235.29%
Max EPS beat(2)5.84%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-94.09%
Min EPS beat(4)-235.29%
Max EPS beat(4)5.84%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-63.41%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-37.21%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-21.06%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.63%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.03%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.23%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.33%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.23%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.03%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.97%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.31%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-66.74%
EPS NQ rev (1m)41.67%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-887.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-18.47%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.59%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | 0 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.73 |
EPS(TTM)-1.1
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-1.04
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-8.49
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-6.83
OCFYN/A
SpS191.9
BVpS-6.11
TBVpS-72.06
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -13.68% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 1.14% | ||
| ROIC | 0.67% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.73% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.11% | ||
| OM | 0.42% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 15.15% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-8.46%
ROA(5y)-4.68%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)1.96%
ROIC(5y)3.81%
ROICexc(3y)2.01%
ROICexc(5y)4.28%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)2.56%
ROCE(5y)4.87%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-39.44%
ROICexc growth 5Y-26.6%
OM growth 3Y-52.57%
OM growth 5Y-22.79%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-10.08%
GM growth 5Y14.43%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover1.64
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 11.6 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 22.51% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.87% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.11 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.8 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.34 |
F-Score3
WACC5.2%
ROIC/WACC0.13
Cap/Depr(3y)32.88%
Cap/Depr(5y)36.51%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.28%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.16%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-126.76%
EPS 3Y-59.43%
EPS 5Y-21.09%
EPS Q2Q%-1800%
EPS Next Y-647.27%
EPS Next 2Y-100.18%
EPS Next 3Y19.5%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.7%
Revenue growth 3Y11.76%
Revenue growth 5Y13.05%
Sales Q2Q%-4.94%
Revenue Next Year-5.24%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.3%
Revenue Next 3Y0.26%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-59.03%
EBIT growth 3Y-46.99%
EBIT growth 5Y-12.71%
EBIT Next Year217.45%
EBIT Next 3Y52.19%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y0.33%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-15.91%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
MODIVCARE INC / MODV FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MODIVCARE INC (MODV) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 1 / 10 to MODV.
Can you provide the valuation status for MODIVCARE INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to MODIVCARE INC (MODV). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is MODIVCARE INC (MODV) stock?
MODIVCARE INC (MODV) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for MODV stock?
The financial health rating of MODIVCARE INC (MODV) is 0 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for MODIVCARE INC (MODV) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MODIVCARE INC (MODV) is expected to decline by -647.27% in the next year.