M D C Holdings Inc (MDC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:MDC - US5526761086 - Common Stock
62.98 USD
+0.03 (+0.05%)
62.98 USD
0 (0%)
Overall MDC gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated MDC against 63 industry peers in the Household Durables industry. MDC has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. MDC has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate. MDC also has an excellent dividend rating. This makes MDC very considerable for dividend investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year MDC was profitable.
MDC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years MDC has always been profitable.
In multiple years MDC reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of MDC (7.08%) is better than 62.69% of its industry peers.
MDC's Return On Equity of 11.81% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MDC outperforms 56.72% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of MDC (6.75%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MDC is in line with the industry average of 10.51%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (6.75%) for MDC is well below the 3 year average (11.24%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that MDC had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.08% | ||
| ROE | 11.81% | ||
| ROIC | 6.75% |
ROA(3y)9.67%
ROA(5y)9.11%
ROE(3y)17.29%
ROE(5y)16.48%
ROIC(3y)11.24%
ROIC(5y)10.2%
1.3 Margins
MDC has a Profit Margin of 8.59%. This is in the better half of the industry: MDC outperforms 68.66% of its industry peers.
MDC's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 10.03%, MDC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.19% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MDC has grown nicely.
With a Gross Margin value of 19.29%, MDC is not doing good in the industry: 82.09% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
MDC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.59% | ||
| GM | 19.29% |
OM growth 3Y-5.46%
OM growth 5Y1.73%
PM growth 3Y-2.84%
PM growth 5Y4.67%
GM growth 3Y-4.58%
GM growth 5Y-0.69%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MDC is still creating some value.
MDC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, MDC has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for MDC has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 3.68 indicates that MDC is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 3.68, MDC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.69% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of MDC is 3.28, which is a good value as it means it would take MDC, 3.28 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
MDC has a Debt to FCF ratio (3.28) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.50 indicates that MDC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
MDC has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.50) than 61.19% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.5 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.28 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.68 |
ROIC/WACC0.73
WACC9.28%
2.3 Liquidity
MDC has a Current Ratio of 7.70. This indicates that MDC is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With an excellent Current ratio value of 7.70, MDC belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.07% of the companies in the same industry.
MDC has a Quick Ratio of 2.69. This indicates that MDC is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 2.69, MDC belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 92.54% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 7.7 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.69 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
MDC shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -31.16%.
MDC shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 10.85% yearly.
Looking at the last year, MDC shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -18.80% in the last year.
MDC shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.66% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-31.16%
EPS 3Y0.91%
EPS 5Y10.85%
EPS Q2Q%44.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-18.8%
Revenue growth 3Y5.97%
Revenue growth 5Y8.66%
Sales Q2Q%-11.39%
3.2 Future
MDC is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 2.76% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.39% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-1.74%
EPS Next 2Y2.76%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.2%
Revenue Next 2Y7.39%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.93, the valuation of MDC can be described as very reasonable.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as MDC.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MDC to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.20), we can say MDC is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 12.14, which indicates a correct valuation of MDC.
MDC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.71, MDC is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.14 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MDC is on the same level as its industry peers.
68.66% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MDC, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.12 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.33 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
MDC has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.1
EPS Next 2Y2.76%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MDC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.49%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.02, MDC pays a better dividend. On top of this MDC pays more dividend than 88.06% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.38, MDC pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.49% |
5.2 History
The dividend of MDC is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 15.41%!
MDC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
MDC has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.41%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years6
5.3 Sustainability
MDC pays out 38.93% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of MDC is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP38.93%
EPS Next 2Y2.76%
EPS Next 3YN/A
62.98
+0.03 (+0.05%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryHousehold Durables
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners26.27%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.23%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap4.73B
Analysts48.33
Price Target58.14 (-7.68%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.49% |
Yearly Dividend2.11
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.41%
DP38.93%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)9.26%
Min EPS beat(2)3.38%
Max EPS beat(2)15.13%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)44.26%
Min EPS beat(4)3.38%
Max EPS beat(4)93.72%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)17.75%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)12.15%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)14.32%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.26%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.9%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.41%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)9.71%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)20.29%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)7.44%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.75%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.81%
PT rev (1m)-3.39%
PT rev (3m)8.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.76%
EPS NQ rev (3m)9.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)8.96%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)12.73%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.36%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.14 | ||
| P/S | 1.02 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.12 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.42 | ||
| P/B | 1.4 | ||
| P/tB | 1.4 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.33 |
EPS(TTM)5.28
EY8.38%
EPS(NY)5.19
Fwd EY8.24%
FCF(TTM)6.91
FCFY10.97%
OCF(TTM)7.48
OCFY11.88%
SpS61.86
BVpS45.01
TBVpS44.93
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.1
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.08% | ||
| ROE | 11.81% | ||
| ROCE | 9.36% | ||
| ROIC | 6.75% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.88% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.89% | ||
| OM | 10.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.59% | ||
| GM | 19.29% | ||
| FCFM | 11.17% |
ROA(3y)9.67%
ROA(5y)9.11%
ROE(3y)17.29%
ROE(5y)16.48%
ROIC(3y)11.24%
ROIC(5y)10.2%
ROICexc(3y)13.75%
ROICexc(5y)12.3%
ROICexgc(3y)15.03%
ROICexgc(5y)13.54%
ROCE(3y)15.67%
ROCE(5y)14.28%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-6.21%
ROICexcg growth 5Y1.48%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.69%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.3%
OM growth 3Y-5.46%
OM growth 5Y1.73%
PM growth 3Y-2.84%
PM growth 5Y4.67%
GM growth 3Y-4.58%
GM growth 5Y-0.69%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.82
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.5 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.28 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.46 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 168.85% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.93% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 507.7 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 114.36% | ||
| Profit Quality | 130.01% | ||
| Current Ratio | 7.7 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.68 |
F-Score5
WACC9.28%
ROIC/WACC0.73
Cap/Depr(3y)122.4%
Cap/Depr(5y)114.53%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.67%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-31.16%
EPS 3Y0.91%
EPS 5Y10.85%
EPS Q2Q%44.44%
EPS Next Y-1.74%
EPS Next 2Y2.76%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-18.8%
Revenue growth 3Y5.97%
Revenue growth 5Y8.66%
Sales Q2Q%-11.39%
Revenue Next Year6.2%
Revenue Next 2Y7.39%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-48.03%
EBIT growth 3Y0.19%
EBIT growth 5Y10.54%
EBIT Next Year47.13%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-40.85%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-37.98%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A