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MATTEL INC (MAT) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:MAT - US5770811025 - Common Stock

19.84 USD
-0.15 (-0.75%)
Last: 12/31/2025, 8:13:08 PM
19.84 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 12/31/2025, 8:13:08 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Overall MAT gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated MAT against 31 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. MAT scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. MAT has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

MAT had positive earnings in the past year.
MAT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years MAT has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years MAT had a positive operating cash flow.
MAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M -1B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of MAT (6.56%) is better than 87.10% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of MAT (19.12%) is better than 93.55% of its industry peers.
MAT's Return On Invested Capital of 8.19% is amongst the best of the industry. MAT outperforms 80.65% of its industry peers.
MAT had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.34%. This is in line with the industry average of 7.16%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.56%
ROE 19.12%
ROIC 8.19%
ROA(3y)6%
ROA(5y)6.87%
ROE(3y)17.69%
ROE(5y)26.18%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)8.16%
MAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 8.27%, MAT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.55% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MAT has declined.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 11.57%, MAT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.10% of the companies in the same industry.
MAT's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
MAT has a better Gross Margin (50.47%) than 77.42% of its industry peers.
MAT's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.57%
PM (TTM) 8.27%
GM 50.47%
OM growth 3Y-0.64%
OM growth 5Y52.65%
PM growth 3Y-15.25%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.85%
GM growth 5Y2.81%
MAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

MAT has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, MAT has less shares outstanding
MAT has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, MAT has an improved debt to assets ratio.
MAT Yearly Shares OutstandingMAT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
MAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.99 indicates that MAT is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of MAT (2.99) is better than 64.52% of its industry peers.
MAT has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.79. This is a neutral value as MAT would need 4.79 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 4.79, MAT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.29% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.77 indicates that MAT is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of MAT (0.77) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.77
Debt/FCF 4.79
Altman-Z 2.99
ROIC/WACC0.84
WACC9.78%
MAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.60 indicates that MAT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of MAT (1.60) is worse than 70.97% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.18 indicates that MAT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
MAT has a Quick ratio (1.18) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.6
Quick Ratio 1.18
MAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

MAT shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -10.83%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.83% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, MAT shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -2.36% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, MAT shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.61% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.83%
EPS 3Y7.83%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-21.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.36%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.48%
Revenue growth 5Y3.61%
Sales Q2Q%-5.85%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 5.10% on average over the next years.
MAT is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.17% yearly.
EPS Next Y-2.68%
EPS Next 2Y4.01%
EPS Next 3Y5.33%
EPS Next 5Y5.1%
Revenue Next Year1.26%
Revenue Next 2Y2.39%
Revenue Next 3Y2.33%
Revenue Next 5Y2.17%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
MAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B
MAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 0 1 -1 2

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 14.17 indicates a correct valuation of MAT.
96.77% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MAT, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.51, MAT is valued a bit cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.25, the valuation of MAT can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MAT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.77% of the companies are valued more expensively.
MAT's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.13.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.17
Fwd PE 11.25
MAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

77.42% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MAT, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
MAT's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. MAT is cheaper than 74.19% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 12.63
EV/EBITDA 10.1
MAT Per share dataMAT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The excellent profitability rating of MAT may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y4.01%
EPS Next 3Y5.33%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

MAT does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

MATTEL INC

NASDAQ:MAT (12/31/2025, 8:13:08 PM)

After market: 19.84 0 (0%)

19.84

-0.15 (-0.75%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)10-21 2025-10-21/amc
Earnings (Next)02-02 2026-02-02/amc
Inst Owners101.82%
Inst Owner Change-0.76%
Ins Owners0.66%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap6.17B
Revenue(TTM)5.23B
Net Income(TTM)432.25M
Analysts81.05
Price Target24.42 (23.08%)
Short Float %4.51%
Short Ratio3.36
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.39%
Min EPS beat(2)-17.55%
Max EPS beat(2)26.33%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)37.54%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.55%
Max EPS beat(4)71.4%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)28.98%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)66.78%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)86.35%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.98%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.12%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.13%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.19%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.9%
PT rev (1m)0.01%
PT rev (3m)-3.98%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)41.37%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.66%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.67%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.58%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.17
Fwd PE 11.25
P/S 1.18
P/FCF 12.63
P/OCF 9.36
P/B 2.73
P/tB 11.71
EV/EBITDA 10.1
EPS(TTM)1.4
EY7.06%
EPS(NY)1.76
Fwd EY8.89%
FCF(TTM)1.57
FCFY7.92%
OCF(TTM)2.12
OCFY10.68%
SpS16.82
BVpS7.28
TBVpS1.69
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number15.14
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.56%
ROE 19.12%
ROCE 13.09%
ROIC 8.19%
ROICexc 9.63%
ROICexgc 17.26%
OM 11.57%
PM (TTM) 8.27%
GM 50.47%
FCFM 9.34%
ROA(3y)6%
ROA(5y)6.87%
ROE(3y)17.69%
ROE(5y)26.18%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)8.16%
ROICexc(3y)10.74%
ROICexc(5y)10.22%
ROICexgc(3y)19.47%
ROICexgc(5y)19.26%
ROCE(3y)13.33%
ROCE(5y)13.05%
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.41%
ROICexgc growth 5Y47.39%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.77%
ROICexc growth 5Y54.53%
OM growth 3Y-0.64%
OM growth 5Y52.65%
PM growth 3Y-15.25%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.85%
GM growth 5Y2.81%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.79
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.77
Debt/FCF 4.79
Debt/EBITDA 2.25
Cap/Depr 101.07%
Cap/Sales 3.26%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 85.19%
Profit Quality 112.97%
Current Ratio 1.6
Quick Ratio 1.18
Altman-Z 2.99
F-Score6
WACC9.78%
ROIC/WACC0.84
Cap/Depr(3y)104.46%
Cap/Depr(5y)91.39%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.38%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.1%
Profit Quality(3y)168.81%
Profit Quality(5y)135.69%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.83%
EPS 3Y7.83%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-21.93%
EPS Next Y-2.68%
EPS Next 2Y4.01%
EPS Next 3Y5.33%
EPS Next 5Y5.1%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.36%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.48%
Revenue growth 5Y3.61%
Sales Q2Q%-5.85%
Revenue Next Year1.26%
Revenue Next 2Y2.39%
Revenue Next 3Y2.33%
Revenue Next 5Y2.17%
EBIT growth 1Y-16.26%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.12%
EBIT growth 5Y58.17%
EBIT Next Year43.24%
EBIT Next 3Y16.1%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y5.86%
FCF growth 3Y21.41%
FCF growth 5Y56.06%
OCF growth 1Y3.27%
OCF growth 3Y18.14%
OCF growth 5Y36.59%

MATTEL INC / MAT FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MATTEL INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MAT.


Can you provide the valuation status for MATTEL INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to MATTEL INC (MAT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for MATTEL INC?

MATTEL INC (MAT) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MAT stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MATTEL INC (MAT) is 14.17 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.73.


Is the dividend of MATTEL INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of MATTEL INC (MAT) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.