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MATTEL INC (MAT) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:MAT - Nasdaq - US5770811025 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

19.44  +0.12 (+0.62%)

After market: 19.43 -0.01 (-0.05%)

Fundamental Rating

6

MAT gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 30 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. MAT has an excellent profitability rating, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. MAT is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year MAT was profitable.
MAT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
MAT had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years MAT had a positive operating cash flow.
MAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M -1B

1.2 Ratios

MAT's Return On Assets of 8.54% is amongst the best of the industry. MAT outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 24.88%, MAT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 9.23%, MAT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MAT is in line with the industry average of 8.16%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (9.23%) for MAT is above the 3 year average (8.34%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.54%
ROE 24.88%
ROIC 9.23%
ROA(3y)6%
ROA(5y)6.87%
ROE(3y)17.69%
ROE(5y)26.18%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)8.16%
MAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50

1.3 Margins

MAT's Profit Margin of 9.82% is amongst the best of the industry. MAT outperforms 96.67% of its industry peers.
MAT's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
MAT has a better Operating Margin (13.82%) than 96.67% of its industry peers.
MAT's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
MAT has a better Gross Margin (51.09%) than 86.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MAT has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 13.82%
PM (TTM) 9.82%
GM 51.09%
OM growth 3Y-0.64%
OM growth 5Y52.65%
PM growth 3Y-15.25%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.85%
GM growth 5Y2.81%
MAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40

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6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MAT is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, MAT has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, MAT has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, MAT has an improved debt to assets ratio.
MAT Yearly Shares OutstandingMAT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
MAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 3.31 indicates that MAT is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
MAT's Altman-Z score of 3.31 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MAT outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of MAT is 4.02, which is a neutral value as it means it would take MAT, 4.02 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 4.02, MAT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.33% of the companies in the same industry.
MAT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.10. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.10, MAT is not doing good in the industry: 73.33% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.1
Debt/FCF 4.02
Altman-Z 3.31
ROIC/WACC1.11
WACC8.28%
MAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.43 indicates that MAT has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of MAT (2.43) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.86 indicates that MAT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
MAT has a Quick ratio of 1.86. This is in the better half of the industry: MAT outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.43
Quick Ratio 1.86
MAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 16.20% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.83% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has decreased by -0.73% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.61% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)16.2%
EPS 3Y7.83%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%40%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.73%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.48%
Revenue growth 5Y3.61%
Sales Q2Q%2.11%

3.2 Future

MAT is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.30% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, MAT will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.11% on average per year.
EPS Next Y1%
EPS Next 2Y4.33%
EPS Next 3Y4.34%
EPS Next 5Y6.3%
Revenue Next Year1.79%
Revenue Next 2Y1.83%
Revenue Next 3Y1.63%
Revenue Next 5Y2.11%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2B 4B 6B
MAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 0 1 -1 2

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6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.78, the valuation of MAT can be described as very reasonable.
MAT's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MAT is cheaper than 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MAT to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.91), we can say MAT is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.96 indicates a reasonable valuation of MAT.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MAT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.33% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MAT to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.85), we can say MAT is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.78
Fwd PE 10.96
MAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MAT indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MAT is cheaper than 76.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
80.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MAT, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.79
EV/EBITDA 8.07
MAT Per share dataMAT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates MAT does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The excellent profitability rating of MAT may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)11.78
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y4.33%
EPS Next 3Y4.34%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

MAT does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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MATTEL INC

NASDAQ:MAT (5/22/2025, 8:22:09 PM)

After market: 19.43 -0.01 (-0.05%)

19.44

+0.12 (+0.62%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)05-05 2025-05-05/amc
Earnings (Next)07-21 2025-07-21/amc
Inst Owners99.45%
Inst Owner Change-2.03%
Ins Owners0.62%
Ins Owner Change4.31%
Market Cap6.28B
Analysts84.44
Price Target24.01 (23.51%)
Short Float %3.82%
Short Ratio2.5
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)70.7%
Min EPS beat(2)70%
Max EPS beat(2)71.4%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)42.78%
Min EPS beat(4)10.82%
Max EPS beat(4)71.4%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)106.62%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)82.43%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)96.42%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.13%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.15%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.12%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.12%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.5%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.39%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.72%
PT rev (1m)-8.13%
PT rev (3m)-1.96%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-5.28%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.28%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.53%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.88%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.78%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.78%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.86%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.78
Fwd PE 10.96
P/S 1.16
P/FCF 10.79
P/OCF 7.95
P/B 2.95
P/tB 16.15
EV/EBITDA 8.07
EPS(TTM)1.65
EY8.49%
EPS(NY)1.77
Fwd EY9.13%
FCF(TTM)1.8
FCFY9.26%
OCF(TTM)2.45
OCFY12.58%
SpS16.71
BVpS6.59
TBVpS1.2
PEG (NY)11.78
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.54%
ROE 24.88%
ROCE 14.74%
ROIC 9.23%
ROICexc 12.23%
ROICexgc 22.49%
OM 13.82%
PM (TTM) 9.82%
GM 51.09%
FCFM 10.78%
ROA(3y)6%
ROA(5y)6.87%
ROE(3y)17.69%
ROE(5y)26.18%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)8.16%
ROICexc(3y)10.74%
ROICexc(5y)10.22%
ROICexgc(3y)19.47%
ROICexgc(5y)19.26%
ROCE(3y)13.33%
ROCE(5y)13.05%
ROICexcg growth 3Y0.41%
ROICexcg growth 5Y47.39%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.77%
ROICexc growth 5Y54.53%
OM growth 3Y-0.64%
OM growth 5Y52.65%
PM growth 3Y-15.25%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.85%
GM growth 5Y2.81%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.87
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.1
Debt/FCF 4.02
Debt/EBITDA 2.56
Cap/Depr 124.45%
Cap/Sales 3.86%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 86.47%
Profit Quality 109.77%
Current Ratio 2.43
Quick Ratio 1.86
Altman-Z 3.31
F-Score7
WACC8.28%
ROIC/WACC1.11
Cap/Depr(3y)104.46%
Cap/Depr(5y)91.39%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.38%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.1%
Profit Quality(3y)168.81%
Profit Quality(5y)135.69%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)16.2%
EPS 3Y7.83%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%40%
EPS Next Y1%
EPS Next 2Y4.33%
EPS Next 3Y4.34%
EPS Next 5Y6.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.73%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.48%
Revenue growth 5Y3.61%
Sales Q2Q%2.11%
Revenue Next Year1.79%
Revenue Next 2Y1.83%
Revenue Next 3Y1.63%
Revenue Next 5Y2.11%
EBIT growth 1Y13.21%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.12%
EBIT growth 5Y58.17%
EBIT Next Year54.35%
EBIT Next 3Y16.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y211.49%
FCF growth 3Y21.41%
FCF growth 5Y56.06%
OCF growth 1Y107.76%
OCF growth 3Y18.14%
OCF growth 5Y36.59%