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MATTEL INC (MAT) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:MAT - Nasdaq - US5770811025 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

16.085  +0.22 (+1.35%)

Fundamental Rating

6

Taking everything into account, MAT scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. MAT was compared to 31 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. MAT has an excellent profitability rating, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. MAT scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. These ratings would make MAT suitable for value investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

MAT had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year MAT had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years MAT has been profitable.
In the past 5 years MAT always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
MAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M -1B

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 8.28%, MAT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.55% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 23.93%, MAT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.55% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 8.90%, MAT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.87% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MAT is in line with the industry average of 7.96%.
The 3 year average ROIC (8.34%) for MAT is below the current ROIC(8.90%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.28%
ROE 23.93%
ROIC 8.9%
ROA(3y)6%
ROA(5y)6.87%
ROE(3y)17.69%
ROE(5y)26.18%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)8.16%
MAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of MAT (10.07%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
MAT's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of MAT (13.82%) is better than 96.77% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MAT has grown nicely.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 50.90%, MAT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.87% of the companies in the same industry.
MAT's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 13.82%
PM (TTM) 10.07%
GM 50.9%
OM growth 3Y-0.64%
OM growth 5Y52.65%
PM growth 3Y-15.25%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.85%
GM growth 5Y2.81%
MAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40

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6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MAT is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for MAT has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for MAT has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for MAT has been reduced compared to a year ago.
MAT Yearly Shares OutstandingMAT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
MAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

MAT has an Altman-Z score of 3.02. This indicates that MAT is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
MAT has a Altman-Z score of 3.02. This is in the better half of the industry: MAT outperforms 67.74% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of MAT is 3.90, which is a good value as it means it would take MAT, 3.90 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of MAT (3.90) is better than 64.52% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.03 is on the high side and indicates that MAT has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of MAT (1.03) is worse than 70.97% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.03
Debt/FCF 3.9
Altman-Z 3.02
ROIC/WACC1.1
WACC8.07%
MAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.38 indicates that MAT has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
MAT has a Current ratio of 2.38. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MAT outperforms 54.84% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.00 indicates that MAT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of MAT (2.00) is better than 74.19% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.38
Quick Ratio 2
MAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

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4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

MAT shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 32.52%, which is quite impressive.
MAT shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 7.83% yearly.
Looking at the last year, MAT shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -1.13% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, MAT shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.61% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)32.52%
EPS 3Y7.83%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%20.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.13%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.48%
Revenue growth 5Y3.61%
Sales Q2Q%1.59%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, MAT will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.30% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, MAT will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.11% on average per year.
EPS Next Y3.62%
EPS Next 2Y3.97%
EPS Next 3Y5.27%
EPS Next 5Y6.3%
Revenue Next Year1.35%
Revenue Next 2Y1.75%
Revenue Next 3Y1.69%
Revenue Next 5Y2.11%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2B 4B 6B
MAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 0 1 -1 2

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8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 9.87 indicates a reasonable valuation of MAT.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MAT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 93.55% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MAT to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.75), we can say MAT is valued rather cheaply.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.52, the valuation of MAT can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MAT is valued cheaper than 87.10% of the companies in the same industry.
MAT's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 20.49.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.87
Fwd PE 9.52
MAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MAT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.10% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MAT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.10% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.69
EV/EBITDA 6.66
MAT Per share dataMAT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates MAT does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The excellent profitability rating of MAT may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.72
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y3.97%
EPS Next 3Y5.27%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for MAT!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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MATTEL INC

NASDAQ:MAT (5/2/2025, 10:35:42 AM)

16.085

+0.22 (+1.35%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)02-04 2025-02-04/amc
Earnings (Next)05-05 2025-05-05/amc
Inst Owners99.45%
Inst Owner Change-0.14%
Ins Owners0.62%
Ins Owner Change2.12%
Market Cap5.19B
Analysts84.44
Price Target24.18 (50.33%)
Short Float %4.43%
Short Ratio3.09
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)45.14%
Min EPS beat(2)18.88%
Max EPS beat(2)71.4%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)40.34%
Min EPS beat(4)10.82%
Max EPS beat(4)71.4%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)95.04%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)102.53%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)96.5%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.76%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.15%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.95%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.64%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.15%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.1%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.07%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.12%
PT rev (1m)-7.48%
PT rev (3m)-0.74%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.9%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-24.06%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.42%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.14%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.11%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.4%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.44%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.87
Fwd PE 9.52
P/S 0.97
P/FCF 8.69
P/OCF 6.49
P/B 2.29
P/tB 9.95
EV/EBITDA 6.66
EPS(TTM)1.63
EY10.13%
EPS(NY)1.69
Fwd EY10.5%
FCF(TTM)1.85
FCFY11.51%
OCF(TTM)2.48
OCFY15.41%
SpS16.66
BVpS7.01
TBVpS1.62
PEG (NY)2.72
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.28%
ROE 23.93%
ROCE 14.22%
ROIC 8.9%
ROICexc 12.11%
ROICexgc 22.17%
OM 13.82%
PM (TTM) 10.07%
GM 50.9%
FCFM 11.12%
ROA(3y)6%
ROA(5y)6.87%
ROE(3y)17.69%
ROE(5y)26.18%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)8.16%
ROICexc(3y)10.74%
ROICexc(5y)10.22%
ROICexgc(3y)19.47%
ROICexgc(5y)19.26%
ROCE(3y)13.33%
ROCE(5y)13.05%
ROICexcg growth 3Y0.41%
ROICexcg growth 5Y47.39%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.77%
ROICexc growth 5Y54.53%
OM growth 3Y-0.64%
OM growth 5Y52.65%
PM growth 3Y-15.25%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.85%
GM growth 5Y2.81%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.82
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.03
Debt/FCF 3.9
Debt/EBITDA 2.56
Cap/Depr 120.63%
Cap/Sales 3.77%
Interest Coverage 6.51
Cash Conversion 87.84%
Profit Quality 110.36%
Current Ratio 2.38
Quick Ratio 2
Altman-Z 3.02
F-Score8
WACC8.07%
ROIC/WACC1.1
Cap/Depr(3y)104.46%
Cap/Depr(5y)91.39%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.38%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.1%
Profit Quality(3y)168.81%
Profit Quality(5y)135.69%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)32.52%
EPS 3Y7.83%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%20.69%
EPS Next Y3.62%
EPS Next 2Y3.97%
EPS Next 3Y5.27%
EPS Next 5Y6.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.13%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.48%
Revenue growth 5Y3.61%
Sales Q2Q%1.59%
Revenue Next Year1.35%
Revenue Next 2Y1.75%
Revenue Next 3Y1.69%
Revenue Next 5Y2.11%
EBIT growth 1Y25.91%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.12%
EBIT growth 5Y58.17%
EBIT Next Year54.35%
EBIT Next 3Y16.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-15.72%
FCF growth 3Y21.41%
FCF growth 5Y56.06%
OCF growth 1Y-7.96%
OCF growth 3Y18.14%
OCF growth 5Y36.59%