HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC (HTLD) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:HTLD • US4223471040

Current stock price

10.22 USD
-0.13 (-1.26%)
At close:
10.22 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This HTLD fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

1

1. HTLD Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • HTLD had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year HTLD had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: HTLD reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • HTLD had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
HTLD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHTLD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of -4.40%, HTLD is not doing good in the industry: 71.43% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • HTLD has a worse Return On Equity (-6.94%) than 69.05% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.4%
ROE -6.94%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-1.88%
ROA(5y)2.18%
ROE(3y)-2.95%
ROE(5y)3.53%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
HTLD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHTLD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • HTLD does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
HTLD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHTLD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10

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5

2. HTLD Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • HTLD does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • The number of shares outstanding for HTLD has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for HTLD has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • HTLD has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
HTLD Yearly Shares OutstandingHTLD Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
HTLD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHTLD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.75 indicates that HTLD is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • HTLD's Altman-Z score of 2.75 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HTLD outperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20 indicates that HTLD is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • HTLD has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.20. This is in the better half of the industry: HTLD outperforms 61.90% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.75
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.7%
HTLD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHTLD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.04 indicates that HTLD should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • HTLD has a Current ratio (1.04) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • HTLD has a Quick Ratio of 1.04. This is a normal value and indicates that HTLD is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 1.04, HTLD perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.86% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.04
Quick Ratio 1.04
HTLD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHTLD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. HTLD Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • HTLD shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -18.92%.
  • Looking at the last year, HTLD shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -23.08% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, HTLD shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 4.54% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-18.92%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%50%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.08%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.93%
Revenue growth 5Y4.54%
Sales Q2Q%-26.06%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, HTLD will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 51.42% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, HTLD will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.35% on average per year.
EPS Next Y42.97%
EPS Next 2Y66.56%
EPS Next 3Y51.42%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-10.13%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.2%
Revenue Next 3Y0.35%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
HTLD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHTLD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
HTLD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHTLD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 1

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1

4. HTLD Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for HTLD. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for HTLD. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
HTLD Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHTLD Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 50 100

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of HTLD indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: HTLD is cheaper than 69.05% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.69
HTLD Per share dataHTLD EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as HTLD's earnings are expected to grow with 51.42% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y66.56%
EPS Next 3Y51.42%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

3

5. HTLD Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • HTLD has a yearly dividend return of 0.84%, which is pretty low.
  • HTLD's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 0.75.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.90, HTLD's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.84%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of HTLD has a limited annual growth rate of 0.05%.
  • HTLD has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • HTLD has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.05%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
HTLD Yearly Dividends per shareHTLD Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • The earnings of HTLD are negative and hence is the payout ratio. HTLD will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
  • HTLD's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP-11.9%
EPS Next 2Y66.56%
EPS Next 3Y51.42%
HTLD Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHTLD Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M -50M 100M

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HTLD Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC

NASDAQ:HTLD (3/27/2026, 8:23:59 PM)

After market: 10.22 0 (0%)

10.22

-0.13 (-1.26%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)04-16
Inst Owners49.73%
Inst Owner Change-3.2%
Ins Owners25.78%
Ins Owner Change-174.45%
Market Cap791.54M
Revenue(TTM)805.71M
Net Income(TTM)-52.45M
Analysts50.91
Price Target10 (-2.15%)
Short Float %4.67%
Short Ratio3.79
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.84%
Yearly Dividend0.08
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.05%
DP-11.9%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)50.97%
Min EPS beat(2)14.75%
Max EPS beat(2)87.2%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-13.94%
Min EPS beat(4)-86.15%
Max EPS beat(4)87.2%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-100.87%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-76.83%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-59.38%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.45%
Min Revenue beat(2)-8.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)-8.38%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-9.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)-10.87%
Max Revenue beat(4)-8.38%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.31%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-5.79%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.94%
PT rev (1m)5.38%
PT rev (3m)12.64%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.76%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.18%
EPS NY rev (1m)-101.31%
EPS NY rev (3m)-34.87%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-19.76%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.52%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-12.59%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.98
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 8.86
P/B 1.05
P/tB 2.18
EV/EBITDA 9.69
EPS(TTM)-0.44
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.25
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.86
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.15
OCFY11.28%
SpS10.4
BVpS9.75
TBVpS4.69
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.4%
ROE -6.94%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-1.88%
ROA(5y)2.18%
ROE(3y)-2.95%
ROE(5y)3.53%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.68
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.58
Cap/Depr 98.1%
Cap/Sales 19.38%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 91.76%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.04
Quick Ratio 1.04
Altman-Z 2.75
F-Score4
WACC10.7%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)87.75%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.25%
Cap/Sales(3y)15.71%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.11%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-18.92%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%50%
EPS Next Y42.97%
EPS Next 2Y66.56%
EPS Next 3Y51.42%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.08%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.93%
Revenue growth 5Y4.54%
Sales Q2Q%-26.06%
Revenue Next Year-10.13%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.2%
Revenue Next 3Y0.35%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-122.98%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year438.3%
EBIT Next 3Y95.3%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-292.04%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-38.13%
OCF growth 3Y-22.88%
OCF growth 5Y-12.97%

HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC / HTLD Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC (HTLD) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to HTLD.


Can you provide the valuation status for HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC (HTLD). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC?

HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC (HTLD) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for HTLD stock?

The financial health rating of HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC (HTLD) is 5 / 10.