HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC (HTLD) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:HTLD • US4223471040

Current stock price

12.02 USD
+0.44 (+3.8%)
At close:
12.1263 USD
+0.11 (+0.88%)
After Hours:

This HTLD fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

1

1. HTLD Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • HTLD had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year HTLD had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: HTLD reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • In the past 5 years HTLD always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
HTLD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHTLD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of -4.40%, HTLD is not doing good in the industry: 71.43% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • The Return On Equity of HTLD (-6.94%) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.4%
ROE -6.94%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-1.88%
ROA(5y)2.18%
ROE(3y)-2.95%
ROE(5y)3.53%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
HTLD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHTLD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin are not available for HTLD so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
HTLD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHTLD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10

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4

2. HTLD Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • HTLD does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HTLD has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for HTLD has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HTLD has an improved debt to assets ratio.
HTLD Yearly Shares OutstandingHTLD Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
HTLD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHTLD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • HTLD has an Altman-Z score of 2.88. This is not the best score and indicates that HTLD is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • HTLD has a Altman-Z score (2.88) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20 indicates that HTLD is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.20, HTLD is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.90% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.88
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.66%
HTLD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHTLD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.04 indicates that HTLD should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 1.04, HTLD perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HTLD has a Quick Ratio of 1.04. This is a normal value and indicates that HTLD is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • HTLD's Quick ratio of 1.04 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HTLD outperforms 42.86% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.04
Quick Ratio 1.04
HTLD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHTLD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. HTLD Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for HTLD have decreased strongly by -18.92% in the last year.
  • Looking at the last year, HTLD shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -23.08% in the last year.
  • HTLD shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 4.54% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-18.92%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%50%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.08%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.93%
Revenue growth 5Y4.54%
Sales Q2Q%-26.06%

3.2 Future

  • HTLD is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 51.03% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, HTLD will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.36% on average per year.
EPS Next Y47.84%
EPS Next 2Y67.12%
EPS Next 3Y51.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-9.68%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.07%
Revenue Next 3Y0.36%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
HTLD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHTLD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
HTLD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHTLD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 1

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1

4. HTLD Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for HTLD. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • Also next year HTLD is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
HTLD Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHTLD Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 50 -50 100 150

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HTLD is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 69.05% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.67
HTLD Per share dataHTLD EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as HTLD's earnings are expected to grow with 51.03% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y67.12%
EPS Next 3Y51.03%

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3

5. HTLD Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.71%, HTLD is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.65, HTLD has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.71, HTLD pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.71%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of HTLD has a limited annual growth rate of 0.05%.
  • HTLD has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.05%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
HTLD Yearly Dividends per shareHTLD Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • HTLD has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
  • The dividend of HTLD is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP-11.9%
EPS Next 2Y67.12%
EPS Next 3Y51.03%
HTLD Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHTLD Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M -50M 100M

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HTLD Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC

NASDAQ:HTLD (4/23/2026, 6:02:24 PM)

After market: 12.1263 +0.11 (+0.88%)

12.02

+0.44 (+3.8%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners50.07%
Inst Owner Change0.09%
Ins Owners25.78%
Ins Owner Change-174.45%
Market Cap931.07M
Revenue(TTM)805.71M
Net Income(TTM)-52.45M
Analysts50.91
Price Target10.2 (-15.14%)
Short Float %4.33%
Short Ratio3.97
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.71%
Yearly Dividend0.08
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.05%
DP-11.9%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-24
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)50.97%
Min EPS beat(2)14.75%
Max EPS beat(2)87.2%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-13.94%
Min EPS beat(4)-86.15%
Max EPS beat(4)87.2%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-100.87%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-76.83%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-59.38%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.45%
Min Revenue beat(2)-8.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)-8.38%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-9.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)-10.87%
Max Revenue beat(4)-8.38%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.31%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-5.79%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.94%
PT rev (1m)2.04%
PT rev (3m)9.89%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.82%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-21.64%
EPS NY rev (1m)8.54%
EPS NY rev (3m)-36.86%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.27%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-20.78%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.51%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.97%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 1.16
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 10.42
P/B 1.23
P/tB 2.56
EV/EBITDA 10.67
EPS(TTM)-0.44
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.23
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.86
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.15
OCFY9.59%
SpS10.4
BVpS9.75
TBVpS4.69
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.4%
ROE -6.94%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-1.88%
ROA(5y)2.18%
ROE(3y)-2.95%
ROE(5y)3.53%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.68
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.58
Cap/Depr 98.1%
Cap/Sales 19.38%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 91.76%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.04
Quick Ratio 1.04
Altman-Z 2.88
F-Score4
WACC10.66%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)87.75%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.25%
Cap/Sales(3y)15.71%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.11%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-18.92%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%50%
EPS Next Y47.84%
EPS Next 2Y67.12%
EPS Next 3Y51.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.08%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.93%
Revenue growth 5Y4.54%
Sales Q2Q%-26.06%
Revenue Next Year-9.68%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.07%
Revenue Next 3Y0.36%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-122.98%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year446.24%
EBIT Next 3Y95.55%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-292.04%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-38.13%
OCF growth 3Y-22.88%
OCF growth 5Y-12.97%

HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC / HTLD Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC (HTLD) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to HTLD.


Can you provide the valuation status for HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC (HTLD). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of HTLD stock?

HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC (HTLD) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC (HTLD) is expected to grow by 47.84% in the next year.


Is the dividend of HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC (HTLD) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -11.9%.