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HEINEKEN NV (HEIA.AS) Stock Fundamental Analysis

AMS:HEIA - Euronext Amsterdam - NL0000009165 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

75.36  -0.08 (-0.11%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to HEIA. HEIA was compared to 23 industry peers in the Beverages industry. The financial health of HEIA is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. HEIA has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year HEIA was profitable.
In the past year HEIA had a positive cash flow from operations.
HEIA had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years HEIA always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
HEIA.AS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHEIA.AS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

1.2 Ratios

HEIA has a worse Return On Assets (1.82%) than 78.26% of its industry peers.
HEIA has a Return On Equity of 4.99%. This is in the lower half of the industry: HEIA underperforms 78.26% of its industry peers.
HEIA's Return On Invested Capital of 7.20% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HEIA outperforms 60.87% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HEIA is in line with the industry average of 7.90%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.82%
ROE 4.99%
ROIC 7.2%
ROA(3y)3.7%
ROA(5y)3.49%
ROE(3y)10.07%
ROE(5y)9.57%
ROIC(3y)7.43%
ROIC(5y)6.62%
HEIA.AS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHEIA.AS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

With a Profit Margin value of 3.28%, HEIA is not doing good in the industry: 73.91% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
HEIA's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a Operating Margin value of 12.82%, HEIA is not doing good in the industry: 60.87% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
HEIA's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
HEIA has a worse Gross Margin (20.26%) than 95.65% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HEIA has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.82%
PM (TTM) 3.28%
GM 20.26%
OM growth 3Y-1.92%
OM growth 5Y-3.32%
PM growth 3Y-40.01%
PM growth 5Y-18.4%
GM growth 3Y-0.45%
GM growth 5Y-1.01%
HEIA.AS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHEIA.AS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30 40 50

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), HEIA is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for HEIA remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, HEIA has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for HEIA has been reduced compared to a year ago.
HEIA.AS Yearly Shares OutstandingHEIA.AS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
HEIA.AS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHEIA.AS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.03 indicates that HEIA is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.03, HEIA is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.83% of the companies in the same industry.
HEIA has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.61. This is a neutral value as HEIA would need 5.61 years to pay back of all of its debts.
HEIA has a better Debt to FCF ratio (5.61) than 82.61% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.76 indicates that HEIA is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
HEIA has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.76. This is in the better half of the industry: HEIA outperforms 65.22% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.76
Debt/FCF 5.61
Altman-Z 2.03
ROIC/WACC1.17
WACC6.13%
HEIA.AS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHEIA.AS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

HEIA has a Current Ratio of 0.77. This is a bad value and indicates that HEIA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.77, HEIA is not doing good in the industry: 82.61% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.51 indicates that HEIA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.51, HEIA is not doing good in the industry: 73.91% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.51
HEIA.AS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHEIA.AS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

HEIA shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 4.60%.
HEIA shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 2.21% yearly.
HEIA shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -1.78%.
Measured over the past years, HEIA shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 4.53% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.6%
EPS 3Y11.33%
EPS 5Y2.21%
EPS Q2Q%3.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.78%
Revenue growth 3Y10.88%
Revenue growth 5Y4.53%
Sales Q2Q%-23.13%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, HEIA will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.29% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, HEIA will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.52% on average per year.
EPS Next Y3.44%
EPS Next 2Y6.31%
EPS Next 3Y6.96%
EPS Next 5Y8.29%
Revenue Next Year-1.45%
Revenue Next 2Y1.05%
Revenue Next 3Y2.16%
Revenue Next 5Y3.52%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
HEIA.AS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHEIA.AS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 10B 20B 30B
HEIA.AS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHEIA.AS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2 4 6

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

HEIA is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.41.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HEIA is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 78.26% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.51, HEIA is valued a bit cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.91, the valuation of HEIA can be described as correct.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HEIA is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 35.58, HEIA is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.41
Fwd PE 14.91
HEIA.AS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHEIA.AS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HEIA is valued a bit cheaper than 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
69.57% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HEIA, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.29
EV/EBITDA 8.88
HEIA.AS Per share dataHEIA.AS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)4.48
PEG (5Y)6.98
EPS Next 2Y6.31%
EPS Next 3Y6.96%

2

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.46%, HEIA has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.94, HEIA has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
HEIA's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.35.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.46%

5.2 History

The dividend of HEIA decreases each year by -0.14%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-0.14%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
HEIA.AS Yearly Dividends per shareHEIA.AS Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

HEIA pays out 122.60% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP122.6%
EPS Next 2Y6.31%
EPS Next 3Y6.96%
HEIA.AS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHEIA.AS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B
HEIA.AS Dividend Payout.HEIA.AS Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HEIA.AS Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

HEINEKEN NV

AMS:HEIA (7/15/2025, 5:29:48 PM)

75.36

-0.08 (-0.11%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)04-16 2025-04-16
Earnings (Next)07-28 2025-07-28
Inst Owners21.77%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.05%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap43.41B
Analysts79.33
Price Target92.03 (22.12%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.46%
Yearly Dividend2.12
Dividend Growth(5Y)-0.14%
DP122.6%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-0.73%
PT rev (3m)-2.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.96%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.41
Fwd PE 14.91
P/S 1.46
P/FCF 14.29
P/OCF 7.89
P/B 2.22
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.88
EPS(TTM)4.89
EY6.49%
EPS(NY)5.05
Fwd EY6.71%
FCF(TTM)5.27
FCFY7%
OCF(TTM)9.55
OCFY12.68%
SpS51.77
BVpS33.99
TBVpS-3.68
PEG (NY)4.48
PEG (5Y)6.98
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.82%
ROE 4.99%
ROCE 9.67%
ROIC 7.2%
ROICexc 7.64%
ROICexgc 17.65%
OM 12.82%
PM (TTM) 3.28%
GM 20.26%
FCFM 10.19%
ROA(3y)3.7%
ROA(5y)3.49%
ROE(3y)10.07%
ROE(5y)9.57%
ROIC(3y)7.43%
ROIC(5y)6.62%
ROICexc(3y)7.92%
ROICexc(5y)7.16%
ROICexgc(3y)18.24%
ROICexgc(5y)16.63%
ROCE(3y)10.06%
ROCE(5y)8.96%
ROICexcg growth 3Y2.8%
ROICexcg growth 5Y0.89%
ROICexc growth 3Y5.31%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.19%
OM growth 3Y-1.92%
OM growth 5Y-3.32%
PM growth 3Y-40.01%
PM growth 5Y-18.4%
GM growth 3Y-0.45%
GM growth 5Y-1.01%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.55
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.76
Debt/FCF 5.61
Debt/EBITDA 2.31
Cap/Depr 94.63%
Cap/Sales 8.27%
Interest Coverage 5.72
Cash Conversion 85.62%
Profit Quality 310.63%
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.51
Altman-Z 2.03
F-Score6
WACC6.13%
ROIC/WACC1.17
Cap/Depr(3y)95.91%
Cap/Depr(5y)85.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.02%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.93%
Profit Quality(3y)159.79%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.6%
EPS 3Y11.33%
EPS 5Y2.21%
EPS Q2Q%3.67%
EPS Next Y3.44%
EPS Next 2Y6.31%
EPS Next 3Y6.96%
EPS Next 5Y8.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.78%
Revenue growth 3Y10.88%
Revenue growth 5Y4.53%
Sales Q2Q%-23.13%
Revenue Next Year-1.45%
Revenue Next 2Y1.05%
Revenue Next 3Y2.16%
Revenue Next 5Y3.52%
EBIT growth 1Y-9.15%
EBIT growth 3Y8.75%
EBIT growth 5Y1.06%
EBIT Next Year58.51%
EBIT Next 3Y20.67%
EBIT Next 5Y14.9%
FCF growth 1Y73.3%
FCF growth 3Y5.54%
FCF growth 5Y6.32%
OCF growth 1Y24.22%
OCF growth 3Y9.59%
OCF growth 5Y4.88%