WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:HCC • US93627C1018

94 USD
+4.95 (+5.56%)
At close: Feb 9, 2026
94 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/9/2026, 8:05:34 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Analyst Ratings Earnings Estimates Financials Ownership News
Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, HCC scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. HCC was compared to 157 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of HCC get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. While showing a medium growth rate, HCC is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • HCC had positive earnings in the past year.
  • HCC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years HCC 4 years were profitable.
  • HCC had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
HCC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHCC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

  • HCC has a better Return On Assets (1.31%) than 61.15% of its industry peers.
  • HCC has a Return On Equity (1.66%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of HCC (0.25%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HCC is significantly above the industry average of 10.54%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (23.37%) for HCC is well above the current ROIC(0.25%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.31%
ROE 1.66%
ROIC 0.25%
ROA(3y)20.53%
ROA(5y)13.87%
ROE(3y)27.27%
ROE(5y)18.84%
ROIC(3y)23.37%
ROIC(5y)N/A
HCC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHCC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60 80 100

1.3 Margins

  • HCC's Profit Margin of 2.87% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HCC outperforms 63.06% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HCC has declined.
  • HCC has a Operating Margin of 0.57%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HCC outperforms 48.41% of its industry peers.
  • HCC's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 19.90%, HCC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.60% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HCC has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.57%
PM (TTM) 2.87%
GM 19.9%
OM growth 3Y-15.98%
OM growth 5Y-11.14%
PM growth 3Y4.87%
PM growth 5Y-7.13%
GM growth 3Y-11.66%
GM growth 5Y-5.37%
HCC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHCC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), HCC is creating value.
  • HCC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for HCC has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • HCC has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
HCC Yearly Shares OutstandingHCC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
HCC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHCC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 6.69 indicates that HCC is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • HCC has a better Altman-Z score (6.69) than 70.70% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.10 indicates that HCC is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of HCC (0.10) is better than 61.78% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.1
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 6.69
ROIC/WACC0.02
WACC11.2%
HCC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHCC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 4.13 indicates that HCC has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 4.13, HCC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.52% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HCC has a Quick Ratio of 3.00. This indicates that HCC is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • HCC's Quick ratio of 3.00 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HCC outperforms 69.43% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.13
Quick Ratio 3
HCC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHCC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for HCC have decreased strongly by -89.00% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -2.09% on average over the past years.
  • The Revenue for HCC has decreased by -23.12% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • Measured over the past years, HCC shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.76% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-89%
EPS 3Y5.15%
EPS 5Y-2.09%
EPS Q2Q%-12.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.12%
Revenue growth 3Y12.92%
Revenue growth 5Y3.76%
Sales Q2Q%0.27%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.17% on average over the next years.
  • HCC is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.52% yearly.
EPS Next Y-75.99%
EPS Next 2Y3.49%
EPS Next 3Y6.17%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-14.98%
Revenue Next 2Y12.46%
Revenue Next 3Y11.55%
Revenue Next 5Y8.52%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
HCC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHCC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
HCC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHCC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 5 10

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 117.50, the valuation of HCC can be described as expensive.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of HCC is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HCC to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.06), we can say HCC is valued expensively.
  • HCC is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.80.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HCC indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: HCC is cheaper than 66.24% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 27.86. HCC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 117.5
Fwd PE 17.8
HCC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHCC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100 150 200

4.2 Price Multiples

  • HCC's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 25.07
HCC Per share dataHCC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y3.49%
EPS Next 3Y6.17%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • HCC has a yearly dividend return of 0.37%, which is pretty low.
  • HCC's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.03.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.80, HCC's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.37%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of HCC decreases each year by -28.78%.
  • HCC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-28.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
HCC Yearly Dividends per shareHCC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8 10

5.3 Sustainability

  • HCC pays out 48.24% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP48.24%
EPS Next 2Y3.49%
EPS Next 3Y6.17%
HCC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHCC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M
HCC Dividend Payout.HCC Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HCC Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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WARRIOR MET COAL INC

NYSE:HCC (2/9/2026, 8:05:34 PM)

After market: 94 0 (0%)

94

+4.95 (+5.56%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-05
Earnings (Next)02-25
Inst Owners113.67%
Inst Owner Change-3.15%
Ins Owners2.01%
Ins Owner Change-7.84%
Market Cap4.94B
Revenue(TTM)1.22B
Net Income(TTM)35.17M
Analysts76.67
Price Target95.44 (1.53%)
Short Float %7.84%
Short Ratio5.11
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.37%
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)-28.78%
DP48.24%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)224.63%
Min EPS beat(2)140.31%
Max EPS beat(2)308.94%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-721.23%
Min EPS beat(4)-3268.32%
Max EPS beat(4)308.94%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-358.25%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-237.38%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-173.83%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.98%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.9%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.63%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.9%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.71%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.84%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.11%
PT rev (1m)10.46%
PT rev (3m)26.2%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.61%
EPS NQ rev (3m)256.2%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.46%
EPS NY rev (3m)339.16%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.54%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.54%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.44%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 117.5
Fwd PE 17.8
P/S 4.04
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 23.83
P/B 2.33
P/tB 2.33
EV/EBITDA 25.07
EPS(TTM)0.8
EY0.85%
EPS(NY)5.28
Fwd EY5.62%
FCF(TTM)-4.43
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.94
OCFY4.2%
SpS23.27
BVpS40.29
TBVpS40.29
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number26.93
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.31%
ROE 1.66%
ROCE 0.28%
ROIC 0.25%
ROICexc 0.29%
ROICexgc 0.29%
OM 0.57%
PM (TTM) 2.87%
GM 19.9%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)20.53%
ROA(5y)13.87%
ROE(3y)27.27%
ROE(5y)18.84%
ROIC(3y)23.37%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)38.43%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)38.43%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)26.69%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.32%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-18.92%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.32%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.92%
OM growth 3Y-15.98%
OM growth 5Y-11.14%
PM growth 3Y4.87%
PM growth 5Y-7.13%
GM growth 3Y-11.66%
GM growth 5Y-5.37%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.1
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.19
Cap/Depr 256.88%
Cap/Sales 35.96%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 116.33%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 4.13
Quick Ratio 3
Altman-Z 6.69
F-Score3
WACC11.2%
ROIC/WACC0.02
Cap/Depr(3y)316.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)219.43%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)19.86%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-89%
EPS 3Y5.15%
EPS 5Y-2.09%
EPS Q2Q%-12.5%
EPS Next Y-75.99%
EPS Next 2Y3.49%
EPS Next 3Y6.17%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.12%
Revenue growth 3Y12.92%
Revenue growth 5Y3.76%
Sales Q2Q%0.27%
Revenue Next Year-14.98%
Revenue Next 2Y12.46%
Revenue Next 3Y11.55%
Revenue Next 5Y8.52%
EBIT growth 1Y-98.23%
EBIT growth 3Y-5.12%
EBIT growth 5Y-7.8%
EBIT Next Year-15.35%
EBIT Next 3Y38.74%
EBIT Next 5Y31.98%
FCF growth 1Y-210.69%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-68.15%
OCF growth 3Y1.49%
OCF growth 5Y-7.16%

WARRIOR MET COAL INC / HCC FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to HCC.


Can you provide the valuation status for WARRIOR MET COAL INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of HCC stock?

WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for WARRIOR MET COAL INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) is expected to decline by -75.99% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for HCC stock?

The dividend rating of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 48.24%.