WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:HCC - US93627C1018 - Common Stock
64.44 USD
+0.22 (+0.34%)
65.72 USD
+1.28 (+1.99%)
Taking everything into account, HCC scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. HCC was compared to 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of HCC get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. While showing a medium growth rate, HCC is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
HCC had positive earnings in the past year.
HCC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years HCC 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years HCC had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of HCC (1.52%) is better than 64.29% of its industry peers.
HCC has a Return On Equity of 1.94%. This is in the better half of the industry: HCC outperforms 61.69% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 0.91%, HCC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.95% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HCC is significantly above the industry average of 12.40%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (0.91%) for HCC is well below the 3 year average (23.37%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that HCC had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.52% | ||
| ROE | 1.94% | ||
| ROIC | 0.91% |
ROA(3y)20.53%
ROA(5y)13.87%
ROE(3y)27.27%
ROE(5y)18.84%
ROIC(3y)23.37%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 3.30%, HCC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.88% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HCC has declined.
With a Operating Margin value of 2.08%, HCC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.60% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HCC has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 20.38%, HCC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.39% of the companies in the same industry.
HCC's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.08% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.3% | ||
| GM | 20.38% |
OM growth 3Y-15.98%
OM growth 5Y-11.14%
PM growth 3Y4.87%
PM growth 5Y-7.13%
GM growth 3Y-11.66%
GM growth 5Y-5.37%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
HCC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, HCC has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for HCC has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for HCC has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 5.37 indicates that HCC is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
HCC has a better Altman-Z score (5.37) than 67.53% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.10 indicates that HCC is not too dependend on debt financing.
HCC's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.10 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HCC outperforms 59.09% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.37 |
ROIC/WACC0.1
WACC9.05%
2.3 Liquidity
HCC has a Current Ratio of 4.59. This indicates that HCC is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
HCC's Current ratio of 4.59 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HCC outperforms 77.92% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 3.44 indicates that HCC has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 3.44, HCC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.59 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.44 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
HCC shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -89.18%.
HCC shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -2.09% yearly.
Looking at the last year, HCC shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -27.54% in the last year.
HCC shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.76% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-89.18%
EPS 3Y5.15%
EPS 5Y-2.09%
EPS Q2Q%-91.85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.54%
Revenue growth 3Y12.92%
Revenue growth 5Y3.76%
Sales Q2Q%-24.97%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.18% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.17% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-110.04%
EPS Next 2Y0.14%
EPS Next 3Y12.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-18.59%
Revenue Next 2Y7.65%
Revenue Next 3Y10.02%
Revenue Next 5Y8.17%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 71.60, which means the current valuation is very expensive for HCC.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HCC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 60.39% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.19. HCC is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.03, the valuation of HCC can be described as correct.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HCC is valued a bit cheaper than 72.08% of the companies in the same industry.
HCC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.50.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 71.6 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.03 |
4.2 Price Multiples
HCC's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.57 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of HCC may justify a higher PE ratio.
HCC's earnings are expected to grow with 12.18% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y0.14%
EPS Next 3Y12.18%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.51%, HCC is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
HCC's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.52.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.33, HCC's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.51% |
5.2 History
The dividend of HCC decreases each year by -28.78%.
HCC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-28.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
42.14% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HCC. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP42.14%
EPS Next 2Y0.14%
EPS Next 3Y12.18%
64.44
+0.22 (+0.34%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners116.28%
Inst Owner Change0.03%
Ins Owners2.05%
Ins Owner Change0.15%
Market Cap3.39B
Revenue(TTM)1.22B
Net Income(TTM)40.34M
Analysts76.67
Price Target68.34 (6.05%)
Short Float %11.59%
Short Ratio7.85
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.51% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)-28.78%
DP42.14%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1564%
Min EPS beat(2)-3268.32%
Max EPS beat(2)140.31%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-793.51%
Min EPS beat(4)-3268.32%
Max EPS beat(4)140.31%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-393.55%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-260.73%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-193.59%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.8%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.98%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.62%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.06%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.62%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.64%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.7%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.04%
PT rev (1m)2.03%
PT rev (3m)8.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-136.26%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-157.94%
EPS NY rev (1m)-216.13%
EPS NY rev (3m)-163.43%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.27%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-7.45%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.08%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.47%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 71.6 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.03 | ||
| P/S | 2.77 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 20.55 | ||
| P/B | 1.63 | ||
| P/tB | 1.63 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.57 |
EPS(TTM)0.9
EY1.4%
EPS(NY)4.94
Fwd EY7.67%
FCF(TTM)-5.21
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.14
OCFY4.87%
SpS23.26
BVpS39.57
TBVpS39.57
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number28.31
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.52% | ||
| ROE | 1.94% | ||
| ROCE | 1.04% | ||
| ROIC | 0.91% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.1% | ||
| OM | 2.08% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.3% | ||
| GM | 20.38% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)20.53%
ROA(5y)13.87%
ROE(3y)27.27%
ROE(5y)18.84%
ROIC(3y)23.37%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)38.43%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)38.43%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)26.69%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.32%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-18.92%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.32%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.92%
OM growth 3Y-15.98%
OM growth 5Y-11.14%
PM growth 3Y4.87%
PM growth 5Y-7.13%
GM growth 3Y-11.66%
GM growth 5Y-5.37%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.11 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 266.87% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 35.87% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 86.87% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 4.59 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.44 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.37 |
F-Score3
WACC9.05%
ROIC/WACC0.1
Cap/Depr(3y)316.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)219.43%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)19.86%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-89.18%
EPS 3Y5.15%
EPS 5Y-2.09%
EPS Q2Q%-91.85%
EPS Next Y-110.04%
EPS Next 2Y0.14%
EPS Next 3Y12.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.54%
Revenue growth 3Y12.92%
Revenue growth 5Y3.76%
Sales Q2Q%-24.97%
Revenue Next Year-18.59%
Revenue Next 2Y7.65%
Revenue Next 3Y10.02%
Revenue Next 5Y8.17%
EBIT growth 1Y-94.49%
EBIT growth 3Y-5.12%
EBIT growth 5Y-7.8%
EBIT Next Year-28.14%
EBIT Next 3Y35.14%
EBIT Next 5Y28.18%
FCF growth 1Y-172.95%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-78.29%
OCF growth 3Y1.49%
OCF growth 5Y-7.16%
WARRIOR MET COAL INC / HCC FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to HCC.
What is the valuation status of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of HCC stock?
WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) is 71.6 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.63.
Can you provide the financial health for HCC stock?
The financial health rating of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) is 6 / 10.