WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:HCC - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US93627C1018 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, HCC scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. HCC was compared to 157 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While HCC has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. HCC has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
HCC had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year HCC had a positive cash flow from operations.
HCC had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years HCC had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
HCC has a Return On Assets of 4.02%. This is in the better half of the industry: HCC outperforms 73.25% of its industry peers.
HCC has a Return On Equity of 5.08%. This is in the better half of the industry: HCC outperforms 69.43% of its industry peers.
HCC has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.17%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HCC outperforms 57.32% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HCC is significantly above the industry average of 11.67%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (3.17%) for HCC is well below the 3 year average (23.37%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that HCC had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.02% | ||
| ROE | 5.08% | ||
| ROIC | 3.17% |
ROA(3y)20.53%
ROA(5y)13.87%
ROE(3y)27.27%
ROE(5y)18.84%
ROIC(3y)23.37%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
HCC's Profit Margin of 7.98% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HCC outperforms 77.71% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HCC has declined.
The Operating Margin of HCC (6.72%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
HCC's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 23.52%, HCC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.06% of the companies in the same industry.
HCC's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.72% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.98% | ||
| GM | 23.52% |
OM growth 3Y-15.98%
OM growth 5Y-11.14%
PM growth 3Y4.87%
PM growth 5Y-7.13%
GM growth 3Y-11.66%
GM growth 5Y-5.37%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HCC is creating value.
HCC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for HCC has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, HCC has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
HCC has an Altman-Z score of 4.96. This indicates that HCC is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 4.96, HCC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.25% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.08 indicates that HCC is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.08, HCC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.06% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.96 |
ROIC/WACC0.34
WACC9.37%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 5.14 indicates that HCC has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
HCC has a better Current ratio (5.14) than 82.80% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 4.00 indicates that HCC has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 4.00, HCC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.71% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 5.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 4 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for HCC have decreased strongly by -75.12% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -2.09% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, HCC shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -20.88% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.76% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-75.12%
EPS 3Y5.15%
EPS 5Y-2.09%
EPS Q2Q%-106.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-20.88%
Revenue growth 3Y12.92%
Revenue growth 5Y3.76%
Sales Q2Q%-41.42%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, HCC will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 11.00% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 10.27% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-84.17%
EPS Next 2Y2.7%
EPS Next 3Y11%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-16.27%
Revenue Next 2Y5.99%
Revenue Next 3Y10.27%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 25.36, which means the current valuation is very expensive for HCC.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HCC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 69.43% of the companies are valued more expensively.
HCC is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.24, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 10.44, which indicates a very decent valuation of HCC.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HCC is valued cheaply inside the industry as 80.25% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HCC to the average of the S&P500 Index (36.42), we can say HCC is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.44 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HCC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 69.43% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.76 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
HCC has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y2.7%
EPS Next 3Y11%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
HCC has a yearly dividend return of 0.62%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.93, HCC pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.40, HCC's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.62% |
5.2 History
The dividend of HCC decreases each year by -28.78%.
HCC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-28.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
HCC pays out 17.42% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP17.42%
EPS Next 2Y2.7%
EPS Next 3Y11%
NYSE:HCC (8/5/2025, 1:00:09 PM)
54.28
+1.58 (+3%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners111.75%
Inst Owner Change-0.22%
Ins Owners2.05%
Ins Owner Change10.22%
Market Cap2.85B
Analysts78
Price Target62.73 (15.57%)
Short Float %16.33%
Short Ratio7.84
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.62% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)-28.78%
DP17.42%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-1667.09%
Min EPS beat(2)-3268.32%
Max EPS beat(2)-65.86%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-828.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-3268.32%
Max EPS beat(4)19.83%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-413.19%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-271.01%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-187.39%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.68%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.98%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.62%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.49%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.17%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.55%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.26%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)6.91%
PT rev (1m)-1.86%
PT rev (3m)-5.67%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-14.52%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-919.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)3%
EPS NY rev (3m)-64.94%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.73%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.29%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.44%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-10.06%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.44 | ||
| P/S | 2.16 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 10.4 | ||
| P/B | 1.37 | ||
| P/tB | 1.37 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.76 |
EPS(TTM)2.14
EY3.94%
EPS(NY)5.2
Fwd EY9.58%
FCF(TTM)-3.65
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)5.22
OCFY9.61%
SpS25.15
BVpS39.51
TBVpS39.51
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.02% | ||
| ROE | 5.08% | ||
| ROCE | 3.62% | ||
| ROIC | 3.17% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.96% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.96% | ||
| OM | 6.72% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.98% | ||
| GM | 23.52% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)20.53%
ROA(5y)13.87%
ROE(3y)27.27%
ROE(5y)18.84%
ROIC(3y)23.37%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)38.43%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)38.43%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)26.69%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-25.32%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-18.92%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.32%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.92%
OM growth 3Y-15.98%
OM growth 5Y-11.14%
PM growth 3Y4.87%
PM growth 5Y-7.13%
GM growth 3Y-11.66%
GM growth 5Y-5.37%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.5
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.64 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 292.61% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 35.25% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 110.61% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 5.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 4 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.96 |
F-Score4
WACC9.37%
ROIC/WACC0.34
Cap/Depr(3y)316.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)219.43%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)19.86%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-75.12%
EPS 3Y5.15%
EPS 5Y-2.09%
EPS Q2Q%-106.08%
EPS Next Y-84.17%
EPS Next 2Y2.7%
EPS Next 3Y11%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-20.88%
Revenue growth 3Y12.92%
Revenue growth 5Y3.76%
Sales Q2Q%-41.42%
Revenue Next Year-16.27%
Revenue Next 2Y5.99%
Revenue Next 3Y10.27%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-81.7%
EBIT growth 3Y-5.12%
EBIT growth 5Y-7.8%
EBIT Next Year-9.92%
EBIT Next 3Y34.29%
EBIT Next 5Y32.55%
FCF growth 1Y-129.56%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-71.57%
OCF growth 3Y1.49%
OCF growth 5Y-7.16%