WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:HCC - US93627C1018 - Common Stock
78.29 USD
-0.43 (-0.55%)
78.29 USD
0 (0%)
Overall HCC gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated HCC against 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of HCC get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. While showing a medium growth rate, HCC is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
HCC had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year HCC had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years HCC 4 years were profitable.
HCC had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
HCC's Return On Assets of 1.31% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HCC outperforms 60.39% of its industry peers.
HCC has a Return On Equity (1.66%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
HCC has a Return On Invested Capital (0.25%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HCC is significantly above the industry average of 13.20%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (0.25%) for HCC is well below the 3 year average (23.37%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that HCC had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.31% | ||
| ROE | 1.66% | ||
| ROIC | 0.25% |
ROA(3y)20.53%
ROA(5y)13.87%
ROE(3y)27.27%
ROE(5y)18.84%
ROIC(3y)23.37%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of HCC (2.87%) is better than 63.64% of its industry peers.
HCC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
HCC's Operating Margin of 0.57% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HCC outperforms 48.70% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HCC has declined.
The Gross Margin of HCC (19.90%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HCC has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 0.57% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.87% | ||
| GM | 19.9% |
OM growth 3Y-15.98%
OM growth 5Y-11.14%
PM growth 3Y4.87%
PM growth 5Y-7.13%
GM growth 3Y-11.66%
GM growth 5Y-5.37%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), HCC is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, HCC has more shares outstanding
HCC has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, HCC has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
HCC has an Altman-Z score of 6.09. This indicates that HCC is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
HCC has a better Altman-Z score (6.09) than 68.83% of its industry peers.
HCC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.10. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
HCC's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.10 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HCC outperforms 60.39% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.09 |
ROIC/WACC0.03
WACC9.71%
2.3 Liquidity
HCC has a Current Ratio of 4.13. This indicates that HCC is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
HCC's Current ratio of 4.13 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HCC outperforms 74.68% of its industry peers.
HCC has a Quick Ratio of 3.00. This indicates that HCC is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
HCC's Quick ratio of 3.00 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HCC outperforms 69.48% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
HCC shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -89.00%.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -2.09% on average over the past years.
The Revenue for HCC has decreased by -23.12% in the past year. This is quite bad
Measured over the past years, HCC shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.76% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-89%
EPS 3Y5.15%
EPS 5Y-2.09%
EPS Q2Q%-12.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.12%
Revenue growth 3Y12.92%
Revenue growth 5Y3.76%
Sales Q2Q%0.27%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.18% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.52% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-110.04%
EPS Next 2Y0.14%
EPS Next 3Y12.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-18.59%
Revenue Next 2Y7.65%
Revenue Next 3Y10.02%
Revenue Next 5Y8.52%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 97.86, HCC can be considered very expensive at the moment.
HCC's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
HCC's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.31.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.84, which indicates a correct valuation of HCC.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HCC indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: HCC is cheaper than 62.99% of the companies listed in the same industry.
HCC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 36.56.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 97.86 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.84 |
4.2 Price Multiples
HCC's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.9 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
HCC's earnings are expected to grow with 12.18% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y0.14%
EPS Next 3Y12.18%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.41%, HCC is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.60, HCC pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.41, HCC pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.32.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.41% |
5.2 History
The dividend of HCC decreases each year by -28.78%.
HCC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-28.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
HCC pays out 48.24% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP48.24%
EPS Next 2Y0.14%
EPS Next 3Y12.18%
78.29
-0.43 (-0.55%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners116.28%
Inst Owner Change-3.2%
Ins Owners2.05%
Ins Owner Change-1.14%
Market Cap4.12B
Revenue(TTM)1.22B
Net Income(TTM)35.17M
Analysts76.67
Price Target81.6 (4.23%)
Short Float %10.83%
Short Ratio6.63
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.41% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)-28.78%
DP48.24%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)224.63%
Min EPS beat(2)140.31%
Max EPS beat(2)308.94%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-721.23%
Min EPS beat(4)-3268.32%
Max EPS beat(4)308.94%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-358.8%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-237.75%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-174.1%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.98%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.9%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.63%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.9%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.71%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.84%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.11%
PT rev (1m)19.4%
PT rev (3m)21.83%
EPS NQ rev (1m)390.42%
EPS NQ rev (3m)114.2%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-712.5%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)7.65%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.45%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.08%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 97.86 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.84 | ||
| P/S | 3.36 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 19.85 | ||
| P/B | 1.94 | ||
| P/tB | 1.94 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.9 |
EPS(TTM)0.8
EY1.02%
EPS(NY)4.94
Fwd EY6.31%
FCF(TTM)-4.43
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.94
OCFY5.04%
SpS23.27
BVpS40.29
TBVpS40.29
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number26.93
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.31% | ||
| ROE | 1.66% | ||
| ROCE | 0.28% | ||
| ROIC | 0.25% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.29% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.29% | ||
| OM | 0.57% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.87% | ||
| GM | 19.9% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)20.53%
ROA(5y)13.87%
ROE(3y)27.27%
ROE(5y)18.84%
ROIC(3y)23.37%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)38.43%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)38.43%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)26.69%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.32%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-18.92%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.32%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.92%
OM growth 3Y-15.98%
OM growth 5Y-11.14%
PM growth 3Y4.87%
PM growth 5Y-7.13%
GM growth 3Y-11.66%
GM growth 5Y-5.37%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.19 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 256.88% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 35.96% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 116.33% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 4.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.09 |
F-Score3
WACC9.71%
ROIC/WACC0.03
Cap/Depr(3y)316.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)219.43%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)19.86%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-89%
EPS 3Y5.15%
EPS 5Y-2.09%
EPS Q2Q%-12.5%
EPS Next Y-110.04%
EPS Next 2Y0.14%
EPS Next 3Y12.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.12%
Revenue growth 3Y12.92%
Revenue growth 5Y3.76%
Sales Q2Q%0.27%
Revenue Next Year-18.59%
Revenue Next 2Y7.65%
Revenue Next 3Y10.02%
Revenue Next 5Y8.52%
EBIT growth 1Y-98.23%
EBIT growth 3Y-5.12%
EBIT growth 5Y-7.8%
EBIT Next Year-28.14%
EBIT Next 3Y35.14%
EBIT Next 5Y31.98%
FCF growth 1Y-210.69%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-68.15%
OCF growth 3Y1.49%
OCF growth 5Y-7.16%
WARRIOR MET COAL INC / HCC FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to HCC.
What is the valuation status of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of HCC stock?
WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) is 97.86 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.94.
Can you provide the financial health for HCC stock?
The financial health rating of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) is 6 / 10.