WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:HCC - US93627C1018 - Common Stock
87.12 USD
-0.31 (-0.35%)
87.12 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, HCC scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. HCC was compared to 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. HCC has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. HCC is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
HCC had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year HCC had a positive cash flow from operations.
HCC had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years HCC always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.31%, HCC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.26% of the companies in the same industry.
HCC has a Return On Equity (1.66%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
HCC has a Return On Invested Capital (0.25%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HCC is significantly above the industry average of 13.25%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (0.25%) for HCC is well below the 3 year average (23.37%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that HCC had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.31% | ||
| ROE | 1.66% | ||
| ROIC | 0.25% |
ROA(3y)20.53%
ROA(5y)13.87%
ROE(3y)27.27%
ROE(5y)18.84%
ROIC(3y)23.37%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 2.87%, HCC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.46% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HCC has declined.
HCC has a Operating Margin (0.57%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HCC has declined.
With a Gross Margin value of 19.90%, HCC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.69% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HCC has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 0.57% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.87% | ||
| GM | 19.9% |
OM growth 3Y-15.98%
OM growth 5Y-11.14%
PM growth 3Y4.87%
PM growth 5Y-7.13%
GM growth 3Y-11.66%
GM growth 5Y-5.37%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
HCC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for HCC has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, HCC has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for HCC has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.58 indicates that HCC is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
HCC has a Altman-Z score of 6.58. This is in the better half of the industry: HCC outperforms 70.51% of its industry peers.
HCC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.10. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.10, HCC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.90% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.58 |
ROIC/WACC0.02
WACC10.22%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 4.13 indicates that HCC has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 4.13, HCC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.72% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 3.00 indicates that HCC has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 3.00, HCC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.23% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for HCC have decreased strongly by -89.00% in the last year.
HCC shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -2.09% yearly.
Looking at the last year, HCC shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -23.12% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.76% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-89%
EPS 3Y5.15%
EPS 5Y-2.09%
EPS Q2Q%-12.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.12%
Revenue growth 3Y12.92%
Revenue growth 5Y3.76%
Sales Q2Q%0.27%
3.2 Future
HCC is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.78% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, HCC will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.52% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-77.53%
EPS Next 2Y4.74%
EPS Next 3Y5.78%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-16.07%
Revenue Next 2Y11.04%
Revenue Next 3Y10.55%
Revenue Next 5Y8.52%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 108.90, HCC can be considered very expensive at the moment.
HCC's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HCC to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.61), we can say HCC is valued expensively.
HCC is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.11.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HCC indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: HCC is cheaper than 65.38% of the companies listed in the same industry.
HCC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 24.01.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 108.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.11 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as HCC.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 24.5 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y4.74%
EPS Next 3Y5.78%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
HCC has a yearly dividend return of 0.37%, which is pretty low.
HCC's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.02.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.87, HCC's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.37% |
5.2 History
The dividend of HCC decreases each year by -28.78%.
HCC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-28.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
48.24% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HCC. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP48.24%
EPS Next 2Y4.74%
EPS Next 3Y5.78%
87.12
-0.31 (-0.35%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners113.21%
Inst Owner Change-3.2%
Ins Owners2.01%
Ins Owner Change-1.14%
Market Cap4.58B
Revenue(TTM)1.22B
Net Income(TTM)35.17M
Analysts76.67
Price Target83.79 (-3.82%)
Short Float %9.57%
Short Ratio6.33
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.37% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)-28.78%
DP48.24%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)224.63%
Min EPS beat(2)140.31%
Max EPS beat(2)308.94%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-721.23%
Min EPS beat(4)-3268.32%
Max EPS beat(4)308.94%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-358.8%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-237.75%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-174.1%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.98%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.9%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.63%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.9%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.71%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.84%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.11%
PT rev (1m)10.79%
PT rev (3m)25.09%
EPS NQ rev (1m)56.28%
EPS NQ rev (3m)642.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)323.79%
EPS NY rev (3m)1270.71%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.63%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)10.9%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.09%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.17%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 108.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.11 | ||
| P/S | 3.74 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 22.09 | ||
| P/B | 2.16 | ||
| P/tB | 2.16 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 24.5 |
EPS(TTM)0.8
EY0.92%
EPS(NY)5.41
Fwd EY6.21%
FCF(TTM)-4.43
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.94
OCFY4.53%
SpS23.27
BVpS40.29
TBVpS40.29
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number26.93
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.31% | ||
| ROE | 1.66% | ||
| ROCE | 0.28% | ||
| ROIC | 0.25% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.29% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.29% | ||
| OM | 0.57% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.87% | ||
| GM | 19.9% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)20.53%
ROA(5y)13.87%
ROE(3y)27.27%
ROE(5y)18.84%
ROIC(3y)23.37%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)38.43%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)38.43%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)26.69%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.32%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-18.92%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.32%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.92%
OM growth 3Y-15.98%
OM growth 5Y-11.14%
PM growth 3Y4.87%
PM growth 5Y-7.13%
GM growth 3Y-11.66%
GM growth 5Y-5.37%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.19 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 256.88% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 35.96% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 116.33% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 4.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.58 |
F-Score3
WACC10.22%
ROIC/WACC0.02
Cap/Depr(3y)316.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)219.43%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)19.86%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-89%
EPS 3Y5.15%
EPS 5Y-2.09%
EPS Q2Q%-12.5%
EPS Next Y-77.53%
EPS Next 2Y4.74%
EPS Next 3Y5.78%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.12%
Revenue growth 3Y12.92%
Revenue growth 5Y3.76%
Sales Q2Q%0.27%
Revenue Next Year-16.07%
Revenue Next 2Y11.04%
Revenue Next 3Y10.55%
Revenue Next 5Y8.52%
EBIT growth 1Y-98.23%
EBIT growth 3Y-5.12%
EBIT growth 5Y-7.8%
EBIT Next Year-14.84%
EBIT Next 3Y37.51%
EBIT Next 5Y31.98%
FCF growth 1Y-210.69%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-68.15%
OCF growth 3Y1.49%
OCF growth 5Y-7.16%
WARRIOR MET COAL INC / HCC FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to HCC.
What is the valuation status of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of HCC stock?
WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) is 108.9 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.16.
Can you provide the financial health for HCC stock?
The financial health rating of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) is 6 / 10.