WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:HCC - US93627C1018 - Common Stock
67.84 USD
+3.4 (+5.28%)
67.84 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to HCC. HCC was compared to 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. HCC has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. HCC is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year HCC was profitable.
In the past year HCC had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years HCC 4 years were profitable.
HCC had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
HCC has a Return On Assets of 1.52%. This is in the better half of the industry: HCC outperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 1.94%, HCC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.69% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of HCC (0.91%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HCC is significantly above the industry average of 12.51%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (0.91%) for HCC is well below the 3 year average (23.37%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that HCC had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.52% | ||
| ROE | 1.94% | ||
| ROIC | 0.91% |
ROA(3y)20.53%
ROA(5y)13.87%
ROE(3y)27.27%
ROE(5y)18.84%
ROIC(3y)23.37%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of HCC (3.30%) is better than 66.88% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HCC has declined.
HCC has a Operating Margin of 2.08%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HCC outperforms 52.60% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HCC has declined.
HCC's Gross Margin of 20.38% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HCC outperforms 60.39% of its industry peers.
HCC's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.08% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.3% | ||
| GM | 20.38% |
OM growth 3Y-15.98%
OM growth 5Y-11.14%
PM growth 3Y4.87%
PM growth 5Y-7.13%
GM growth 3Y-11.66%
GM growth 5Y-5.37%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HCC is creating value.
HCC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, HCC has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for HCC has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
HCC has an Altman-Z score of 5.37. This indicates that HCC is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
HCC's Altman-Z score of 5.37 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HCC outperforms 67.53% of its industry peers.
HCC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.10. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
HCC has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.10) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.37 |
ROIC/WACC0.1
WACC9.08%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 4.59 indicates that HCC has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
HCC has a better Current ratio (4.59) than 77.92% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 3.44 indicates that HCC has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 3.44, HCC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.59 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.44 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for HCC have decreased strongly by -89.18% in the last year.
HCC shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -2.09% yearly.
HCC shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -27.54%.
HCC shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.76% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-89.18%
EPS 3Y5.15%
EPS 5Y-2.09%
EPS Q2Q%-91.85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.54%
Revenue growth 3Y12.92%
Revenue growth 5Y3.76%
Sales Q2Q%-24.97%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.18% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
HCC is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.17% yearly.
EPS Next Y-110.04%
EPS Next 2Y0.14%
EPS Next 3Y12.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-18.59%
Revenue Next 2Y7.65%
Revenue Next 3Y10.02%
Revenue Next 5Y8.17%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 75.38 indicates a quite expensive valuation of HCC.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HCC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 60.39% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.10, HCC is valued quite expensively.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.72, HCC is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HCC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 72.08% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.52, HCC is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 75.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.72 |
4.2 Price Multiples
HCC's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.57 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
HCC has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
HCC's earnings are expected to grow with 12.18% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y0.14%
EPS Next 3Y12.18%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.51%, HCC is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
HCC's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.55.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.35, HCC's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.51% |
5.2 History
The dividend of HCC decreases each year by -28.78%.
HCC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-28.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
HCC pays out 42.14% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP42.14%
EPS Next 2Y0.14%
EPS Next 3Y12.18%
67.84
+3.4 (+5.28%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners116.28%
Inst Owner Change0.03%
Ins Owners2.05%
Ins Owner Change0.15%
Market Cap3.57B
Revenue(TTM)1.22B
Net Income(TTM)40.34M
Analysts76.67
Price Target68.34 (0.74%)
Short Float %11.59%
Short Ratio7.85
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.51% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)-28.78%
DP42.14%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1564%
Min EPS beat(2)-3268.32%
Max EPS beat(2)140.31%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-793.51%
Min EPS beat(4)-3268.32%
Max EPS beat(4)140.31%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-393.55%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-260.73%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-193.59%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.8%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.98%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.62%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.06%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.62%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.64%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.7%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.04%
PT rev (1m)2.03%
PT rev (3m)8.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-136.26%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-157.94%
EPS NY rev (1m)-216.13%
EPS NY rev (3m)-163.43%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.27%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-7.45%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.08%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.47%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 75.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.72 | ||
| P/S | 2.92 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 21.63 | ||
| P/B | 1.71 | ||
| P/tB | 1.71 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.57 |
EPS(TTM)0.9
EY1.33%
EPS(NY)4.94
Fwd EY7.29%
FCF(TTM)-5.21
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.14
OCFY4.62%
SpS23.26
BVpS39.57
TBVpS39.57
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number28.31
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.52% | ||
| ROE | 1.94% | ||
| ROCE | 1.04% | ||
| ROIC | 0.91% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.1% | ||
| OM | 2.08% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.3% | ||
| GM | 20.38% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)20.53%
ROA(5y)13.87%
ROE(3y)27.27%
ROE(5y)18.84%
ROIC(3y)23.37%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)38.43%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)38.43%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)26.69%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.32%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-18.92%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.32%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.92%
OM growth 3Y-15.98%
OM growth 5Y-11.14%
PM growth 3Y4.87%
PM growth 5Y-7.13%
GM growth 3Y-11.66%
GM growth 5Y-5.37%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.11 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 266.87% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 35.87% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 86.87% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 4.59 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.44 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.37 |
F-Score3
WACC9.08%
ROIC/WACC0.1
Cap/Depr(3y)316.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)219.43%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)19.86%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-89.18%
EPS 3Y5.15%
EPS 5Y-2.09%
EPS Q2Q%-91.85%
EPS Next Y-110.04%
EPS Next 2Y0.14%
EPS Next 3Y12.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.54%
Revenue growth 3Y12.92%
Revenue growth 5Y3.76%
Sales Q2Q%-24.97%
Revenue Next Year-18.59%
Revenue Next 2Y7.65%
Revenue Next 3Y10.02%
Revenue Next 5Y8.17%
EBIT growth 1Y-94.49%
EBIT growth 3Y-5.12%
EBIT growth 5Y-7.8%
EBIT Next Year-28.14%
EBIT Next 3Y35.14%
EBIT Next 5Y28.18%
FCF growth 1Y-172.95%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-78.29%
OCF growth 3Y1.49%
OCF growth 5Y-7.16%
WARRIOR MET COAL INC / HCC FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to HCC.
What is the valuation status of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of HCC stock?
WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) is 75.38 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.71.
Can you provide the financial health for HCC stock?
The financial health rating of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) is 6 / 10.