GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:GPK - US3886891015 - Common Stock
19.34 USD
-0.11 (-0.57%)
GPK gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. GPK scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. GPK has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GPK had positive earnings in the past year.
GPK had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
GPK had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years GPK had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of GPK (4.53%) is better than 81.82% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of GPK (16.59%) is better than 77.27% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of GPK (7.88%) is better than 77.27% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GPK is above the industry average of 7.26%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.53% | ||
| ROE | 16.59% | ||
| ROIC | 7.88% |
ROA(3y)5.81%
ROA(5y)4.3%
ROE(3y)24.04%
ROE(5y)18.93%
ROIC(3y)10.05%
ROIC(5y)8.5%
1.3 Margins
GPK has a Profit Margin of 6.18%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GPK outperforms 81.82% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GPK has grown nicely.
GPK has a better Operating Margin (11.73%) than 77.27% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GPK has grown nicely.
GPK's Gross Margin of 21.23% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GPK outperforms 45.45% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GPK has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.73% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.18% | ||
| GM | 21.23% |
OM growth 3Y19.48%
OM growth 5Y6.94%
PM growth 3Y37.87%
PM growth 5Y17.35%
GM growth 3Y14.57%
GM growth 5Y4.88%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GPK is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for GPK has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GPK has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, GPK has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
GPK has an Altman-Z score of 1.69. This is a bad value and indicates that GPK is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
GPK has a Altman-Z score (1.69) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GPK has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.68. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.68, GPK is doing worse than 68.18% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.68 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.69 |
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC7.94%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.43 indicates that GPK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
GPK's Current ratio of 1.43 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GPK outperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
GPK has a Quick Ratio of 1.43. This is a bad value and indicates that GPK is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GPK has a worse Quick ratio (0.56) than 81.82% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.43 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.56 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GPK have decreased strongly by -21.45% in the last year.
GPK shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 23.12% yearly.
GPK shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -5.05%.
Measured over the past years, GPK shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.41% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.45%
EPS 3Y29.75%
EPS 5Y23.12%
EPS Q2Q%-30%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.05%
Revenue growth 3Y7.16%
Revenue growth 5Y7.41%
Sales Q2Q%-1.48%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GPK will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.89% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.29% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-16.47%
EPS Next 2Y-4.44%
EPS Next 3Y1.55%
EPS Next 5Y6.89%
Revenue Next Year-3.26%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.81%
Revenue Next 3Y0.3%
Revenue Next 5Y1.29%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 8.95, the valuation of GPK can be described as very reasonable.
GPK's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GPK is cheaper than 95.45% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GPK to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.86), we can say GPK is valued rather cheaply.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.51, the valuation of GPK can be described as reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GPK indicates a rather cheap valuation: GPK is cheaper than 90.91% of the companies listed in the same industry.
GPK is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.29, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.95 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.51 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GPK indicates a rather cheap valuation: GPK is cheaper than 81.82% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.39 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of GPK may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.39
EPS Next 2Y-4.44%
EPS Next 3Y1.55%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GPK has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.28%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
GPK's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.28.
GPK's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.41.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.28% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GPK has a limited annual growth rate of 1.05%.
GPK has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
As GPK did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.05%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
5.3 Sustainability
GPK pays out 23.22% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
GPK's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP23.22%
EPS Next 2Y-4.44%
EPS Next 3Y1.55%
NYSE:GPK (10/3/2025, 3:33:49 PM)
19.34
-0.11 (-0.57%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners112.92%
Inst Owner Change0.65%
Ins Owners0.92%
Ins Owner Change-24.38%
Market Cap5.73B
Analysts75.29
Price Target26.25 (35.73%)
Short Float %8.5%
Short Ratio6.48
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.28% |
Yearly Dividend0.4
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.05%
DP23.22%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-5.44%
Min EPS beat(2)-13.73%
Max EPS beat(2)2.84%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-6.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.73%
Max EPS beat(4)2.84%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.68%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)1.92%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)4.95%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.28%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.99%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.24%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.7%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.31%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.24%
PT rev (1m)0.33%
PT rev (3m)-2.05%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.45%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.97%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.9%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.39%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.95 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.51 | ||
| P/S | 0.66 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 7.44 | ||
| P/B | 1.78 | ||
| P/tB | 12.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.39 |
EPS(TTM)2.16
EY11.17%
EPS(NY)2.27
Fwd EY11.76%
FCF(TTM)-1.33
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.6
OCFY13.44%
SpS29.15
BVpS10.86
TBVpS1.54
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.39
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.53% | ||
| ROE | 16.59% | ||
| ROCE | 10.42% | ||
| ROIC | 7.88% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.98% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.19% | ||
| OM | 11.73% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.18% | ||
| GM | 21.23% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)5.81%
ROA(5y)4.3%
ROE(3y)24.04%
ROE(5y)18.93%
ROIC(3y)10.05%
ROIC(5y)8.5%
ROICexc(3y)10.23%
ROICexc(5y)8.68%
ROICexgc(3y)15.13%
ROICexgc(5y)12.92%
ROCE(3y)13.28%
ROCE(5y)11.23%
ROICexcg growth 3Y20.44%
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.39%
ROICexc growth 3Y23.89%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.5%
OM growth 3Y19.48%
OM growth 5Y6.94%
PM growth 3Y37.87%
PM growth 5Y17.35%
GM growth 3Y14.57%
GM growth 5Y4.88%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.73
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.68 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.49 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 216.76% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 13.48% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 49.68% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.43 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.56 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.69 |
F-Score4
WACC7.94%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)148.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)149%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.81%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.45%
EPS 3Y29.75%
EPS 5Y23.12%
EPS Q2Q%-30%
EPS Next Y-16.47%
EPS Next 2Y-4.44%
EPS Next 3Y1.55%
EPS Next 5Y6.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.05%
Revenue growth 3Y7.16%
Revenue growth 5Y7.41%
Sales Q2Q%-1.48%
Revenue Next Year-3.26%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.81%
Revenue Next 3Y0.3%
Revenue Next 5Y1.29%
EBIT growth 1Y-15.93%
EBIT growth 3Y28.04%
EBIT growth 5Y14.87%
EBIT Next Year25.31%
EBIT Next 3Y11.48%
EBIT Next 5Y8.71%
FCF growth 1Y-175.77%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-29.55%
OCF growth 3Y11.36%
OCF growth 5Y4.78%