GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GPK - US3886891015 - Common Stock
15.36 USD
-0.09 (-0.58%)
Taking everything into account, GPK scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GPK was compared to 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. While GPK has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. GPK is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing. Finally GPK also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GPK was profitable.
In the past year GPK had a positive cash flow from operations.
GPK had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years GPK always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 4.30%, GPK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
GPK's Return On Equity of 15.56% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GPK outperforms 77.27% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of GPK (7.42%) is better than 77.27% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GPK is above the industry average of 7.62%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.3% | ||
| ROE | 15.56% | ||
| ROIC | 7.42% |
ROA(3y)5.81%
ROA(5y)4.3%
ROE(3y)24.04%
ROE(5y)18.93%
ROIC(3y)10.05%
ROIC(5y)8.5%
1.3 Margins
GPK's Profit Margin of 5.94% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GPK outperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
GPK's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of GPK (11.31%) is better than 77.27% of its industry peers.
GPK's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
GPK has a Gross Margin of 20.49%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GPK outperforms 40.91% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GPK has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.31% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.94% | ||
| GM | 20.49% |
OM growth 3Y19.48%
OM growth 5Y6.94%
PM growth 3Y37.87%
PM growth 5Y17.35%
GM growth 3Y14.57%
GM growth 5Y4.88%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GPK is creating some value.
GPK has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
GPK has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, GPK has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
GPK has an Altman-Z score of 1.61. This is a bad value and indicates that GPK is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
GPK's Altman-Z score of 1.61 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GPK is outperformed by 63.64% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.67 is on the high side and indicates that GPK has dependencies on debt financing.
GPK has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.67. This is in the lower half of the industry: GPK underperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.67 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.61 |
ROIC/WACC0.98
WACC7.55%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.54 indicates that GPK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.54, GPK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.18% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.63 indicates that GPK may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GPK's Quick ratio of 0.63 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GPK is outperformed by 86.36% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.54 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.63 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GPK have decreased strongly by -20.75% in the last year.
GPK shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 23.12% yearly.
GPK shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -3.93%.
GPK shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.41% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.75%
EPS 3Y29.75%
EPS 5Y23.12%
EPS Q2Q%-9.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.93%
Revenue growth 3Y7.16%
Revenue growth 5Y7.41%
Sales Q2Q%-1.17%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 2.21% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, GPK will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.48% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-22.64%
EPS Next 2Y-12.16%
EPS Next 3Y-3.93%
EPS Next 5Y2.21%
Revenue Next Year-3.53%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.91%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.84%
Revenue Next 5Y0.48%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 7.31, the valuation of GPK can be described as very cheap.
100.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GPK, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.87. GPK is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 7.99, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of GPK.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GPK indicates a rather cheap valuation: GPK is cheaper than 90.91% of the companies listed in the same industry.
GPK is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.46, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.31 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.99 |
4.2 Price Multiples
GPK's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GPK is cheaper than 90.91% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.9 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
GPK has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
GPK's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.93% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.32
EPS Next 2Y-12.16%
EPS Next 3Y-3.93%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GPK has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.92%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
GPK's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.52.
GPK's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.94.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.92% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GPK has a limited annual growth rate of 1.05%.
GPK has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
GPK has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.05%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
5.3 Sustainability
24.85% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GPK. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of GPK is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP24.85%
EPS Next 2Y-12.16%
EPS Next 3Y-3.93%
NYSE:GPK (1/6/2026, 12:40:43 PM)
15.36
-0.09 (-0.58%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners112.04%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners0.42%
Ins Owner Change-24.94%
Market Cap4.53B
Revenue(TTM)8.61B
Net Income(TTM)511.00M
Analysts70.59
Price Target20.63 (34.31%)
Short Float %9.85%
Short Ratio5.33
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.92% |
Yearly Dividend0.4
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.05%
DP24.85%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)2.83%
Min EPS beat(2)2.82%
Max EPS beat(2)2.84%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.88%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.73%
Max EPS beat(4)2.84%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.77%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)0.79%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)4.63%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.85%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.99%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.24%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.91%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.67%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.99%
PT rev (1m)-3.96%
PT rev (3m)-20.71%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.69%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-24.7%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.83%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.38%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.25%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.18%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.31 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.99 | ||
| P/S | 0.53 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 5.6 | ||
| P/B | 1.38 | ||
| P/tB | 8.41 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.9 |
EPS(TTM)2.1
EY13.67%
EPS(NY)1.92
Fwd EY12.51%
FCF(TTM)-1.04
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.74
OCFY17.87%
SpS29.17
BVpS11.13
TBVpS1.83
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.32
Graham Number22.93
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.3% | ||
| ROE | 15.56% | ||
| ROCE | 9.81% | ||
| ROIC | 7.42% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.51% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.43% | ||
| OM | 11.31% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.94% | ||
| GM | 20.49% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)5.81%
ROA(5y)4.3%
ROE(3y)24.04%
ROE(5y)18.93%
ROIC(3y)10.05%
ROIC(5y)8.5%
ROICexc(3y)10.23%
ROICexc(5y)8.68%
ROICexgc(3y)15.13%
ROICexgc(5y)12.92%
ROCE(3y)13.28%
ROCE(5y)11.23%
ROICexgc growth 3Y20.44%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.39%
ROICexc growth 3Y23.89%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.5%
OM growth 3Y19.48%
OM growth 5Y6.94%
PM growth 3Y37.87%
PM growth 5Y17.35%
GM growth 3Y14.57%
GM growth 5Y4.88%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.72
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.67 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.67 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 213.36% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 12.99% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 54.07% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.54 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.63 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.61 |
F-Score5
WACC7.55%
ROIC/WACC0.98
Cap/Depr(3y)148.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)149%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.81%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.75%
EPS 3Y29.75%
EPS 5Y23.12%
EPS Q2Q%-9.38%
EPS Next Y-22.64%
EPS Next 2Y-12.16%
EPS Next 3Y-3.93%
EPS Next 5Y2.21%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.93%
Revenue growth 3Y7.16%
Revenue growth 5Y7.41%
Sales Q2Q%-1.17%
Revenue Next Year-3.53%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.91%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.84%
Revenue Next 5Y0.48%
EBIT growth 1Y-17.39%
EBIT growth 3Y28.04%
EBIT growth 5Y14.87%
EBIT Next Year20.03%
EBIT Next 3Y8.98%
EBIT Next 5Y6.69%
FCF growth 1Y-164.71%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-30.89%
OCF growth 3Y11.36%
OCF growth 5Y4.78%
GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO / GPK FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GPK stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GPK.
What is the valuation status for GPK stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO?
GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for GPK stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) is expected to decline by -22.64% in the next year.
Is the dividend of GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO sustainable?
The dividend rating of GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 24.85%.