GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:GPK • US3886891015
14.65 USD
+0.1 (+0.69%)
At close: Jan 30, 2026
14.65 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 1/30/2026, 8:04:00 PM
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to GPK. GPK was compared to 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. GPK has an excellent profitability rating, but there are concerns on its financial health. GPK is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing. Finally GPK also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- GPK had positive earnings in the past year.
- GPK had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- GPK had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years GPK always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- With a decent Return On Assets value of 4.30%, GPK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
- GPK has a Return On Equity of 15.56%. This is in the better half of the industry: GPK outperforms 77.27% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of GPK (7.42%) is better than 77.27% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GPK is above the industry average of 7.62%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.3% | ||
| ROE | 15.56% | ||
| ROIC | 7.42% |
ROA(3y)5.81%
ROA(5y)4.3%
ROE(3y)24.04%
ROE(5y)18.93%
ROIC(3y)10.05%
ROIC(5y)8.5%
1.3 Margins
- GPK has a better Profit Margin (5.94%) than 63.64% of its industry peers.
- GPK's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- GPK has a Operating Margin of 11.31%. This is in the better half of the industry: GPK outperforms 77.27% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GPK has grown nicely.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 20.49%, GPK is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.91% of the companies in the same industry.
- GPK's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.31% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.94% | ||
| GM | 20.49% |
OM growth 3Y19.48%
OM growth 5Y6.94%
PM growth 3Y37.87%
PM growth 5Y17.35%
GM growth 3Y14.57%
GM growth 5Y4.88%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GPK is still creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, GPK has less shares outstanding
- GPK has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- GPK has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- GPK has an Altman-Z score of 1.59. This is a bad value and indicates that GPK is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- GPK's Altman-Z score of 1.59 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GPK outperforms 40.91% of its industry peers.
- GPK has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.67. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.67, GPK is doing worse than 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.67 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.59 |
ROIC/WACC0.98
WACC7.6%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.54 indicates that GPK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of GPK (1.54) is better than 68.18% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.63 indicates that GPK may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.63, GPK is not doing good in the industry: 86.36% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.54 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.63 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- GPK shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -20.75%.
- Measured over the past years, GPK shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 23.12% on average per year.
- GPK shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -3.93%.
- Measured over the past years, GPK shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.41% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.75%
EPS 3Y29.75%
EPS 5Y23.12%
EPS Q2Q%-9.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.93%
Revenue growth 3Y7.16%
Revenue growth 5Y7.41%
Sales Q2Q%-1.17%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 1.84% on average over the next years.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.46% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-23.2%
EPS Next 2Y-13.33%
EPS Next 3Y-4.99%
EPS Next 5Y1.84%
Revenue Next Year-3.57%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.94%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.91%
Revenue Next 5Y0.46%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 6.98, the valuation of GPK can be described as very cheap.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GPK is valued cheaply inside the industry as 100.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- GPK is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.30, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.83 indicates a rather cheap valuation of GPK.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GPK is valued cheaper than 95.45% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.57, GPK is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.98 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.83 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GPK indicates a rather cheap valuation: GPK is cheaper than 86.36% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.72 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- GPK has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A cheap valuation may be justified as GPK's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.99% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.3
EPS Next 2Y-13.33%
EPS Next 3Y-4.99%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- GPK has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.86%.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.39, GPK pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, GPK pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.86% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of GPK has a limited annual growth rate of 1.05%.
- GPK has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- As GPK did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.05%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
5.3 Sustainability
- 24.85% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GPK. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of GPK is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP24.85%
EPS Next 2Y-13.33%
EPS Next 3Y-4.99%
GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO / GPK FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GPK stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GPK.
What is the valuation status for GPK stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO?
GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for GPK stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) is expected to decline by -23.2% in the next year.
Is the dividend of GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO sustainable?
The dividend rating of GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 24.85%.