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Greenfire Resources Ltd (GFR-RT.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:GFR-RT -

0.84 CAD
-0.1 (-10.64%)
Last: 12/11/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

GFR-RT gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 218 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. GFR-RT has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. GFR-RT has a bad growth rate and is valued cheaply. These ratings would make GFR-RT suitable for value investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year GFR-RT was profitable.
In the past year GFR-RT had a positive cash flow from operations.
GFR-RT had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: GFR-RT reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
GFR-RT.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFR-RT.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M 100M -100M 150M

1.2 Ratios

GFR-RT has a Return On Assets of 15.80%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFR-RT outperforms 95.87% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of GFR-RT (22.89%) is better than 96.79% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.15%, GFR-RT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.32% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 15.8%
ROE 22.89%
ROIC 7.15%
ROA(3y)-0.75%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-1.71%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFR-RT.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFR-RT.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Profit Margin value of 28.80%, GFR-RT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.58% of the companies in the same industry.
The Operating Margin of GFR-RT (17.17%) is better than 73.39% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 78.50%, GFR-RT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.04% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 17.17%
PM (TTM) 28.8%
GM 78.5%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
GFR-RT.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFR-RT.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 60 80

6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GFR-RT is destroying value.
GFR-RT has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
GFR-RT has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
GFR-RT.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingGFR-RT.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
GFR-RT.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFR-RT.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

GFR-RT has an Altman-Z score of 1.84. This is not the best score and indicates that GFR-RT is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
GFR-RT has a better Altman-Z score (1.84) than 69.72% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GFR-RT is 24.85, which is on the high side as it means it would take GFR-RT, 24.85 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GFR-RT (24.85) is better than 71.56% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35 indicates that GFR-RT is not too dependend on debt financing.
GFR-RT has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.35) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF 24.85
Altman-Z 1.84
ROIC/WACC0.68
WACC10.56%
GFR-RT.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFR-RT.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.81 indicates that GFR-RT has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
GFR-RT's Current ratio of 2.81 is amongst the best of the industry. GFR-RT outperforms 83.03% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.52 indicates that GFR-RT has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
GFR-RT's Quick ratio of 2.52 is amongst the best of the industry. GFR-RT outperforms 83.49% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.81
Quick Ratio 2.52
GFR-RT.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFR-RT.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 185.86% over the past year.
GFR-RT shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 21.26%.
EPS 1Y (TTM)185.86%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%53.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)21.26%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-32.7%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 37.20% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, GFR-RT will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -45.57% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-8.33%
EPS Next 2Y-52.13%
EPS Next 3Y4.32%
EPS Next 5Y37.2%
Revenue Next Year-30.05%
Revenue Next 2Y-17.26%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5Y-45.57%

3.3 Evolution

GFR-RT.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFR-RT.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2023 2024 2025 2026 2028 200M 400M 600M 800M
GFR-RT.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFR-RT.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1 2 3

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 0.30, the valuation of GFR-RT can be described as very cheap.
100.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GFR-RT, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
GFR-RT's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.54.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 4.26, the valuation of GFR-RT can be described as very cheap.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GFR-RT indicates a rather cheap valuation: GFR-RT is cheaper than 95.87% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.78, GFR-RT is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 0.3
Fwd PE 4.26
GFR-RT.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFR-RT.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GFR-RT is valued cheaper than 97.25% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GFR-RT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 97.71% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 4.52
EV/EBITDA 1.83
GFR-RT.CA Per share dataGFR-RT.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-52.13%
EPS Next 3Y4.32%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for GFR-RT!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

Greenfire Resources Ltd

TSX:GFR-RT (12/11/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

0.84

-0.1 (-10.64%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-03 2025-11-03/amc
Earnings (Next)03-16 2026-03-16
Inst Owners30.06%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners5.1%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap58.73M
Revenue(TTM)704.75M
Net Income(TTM)203.00M
Analysts45
Price Target1.76 (109.52%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 0.3
Fwd PE 4.26
P/S 0.08
P/FCF 4.52
P/OCF 0.62
P/B 0.07
P/tB 0.07
EV/EBITDA 1.83
EPS(TTM)2.78
EY330.95%
EPS(NY)0.2
Fwd EY23.5%
FCF(TTM)0.19
FCFY22.13%
OCF(TTM)1.36
OCFY161.75%
SpS10.08
BVpS12.69
TBVpS12.69
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number28.17
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 15.8%
ROE 22.89%
ROCE 9.93%
ROIC 7.15%
ROICexc 7.15%
ROICexgc 7.15%
OM 17.17%
PM (TTM) 28.8%
GM 78.5%
FCFM 1.84%
ROA(3y)-0.75%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-1.71%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.55
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF 24.85
Debt/EBITDA 1.5
Cap/Depr 93.18%
Cap/Sales 11.64%
Interest Coverage 2.69
Cash Conversion 45.45%
Profit Quality 6.4%
Current Ratio 2.81
Quick Ratio 2.52
Altman-Z 1.84
F-Score6
WACC10.56%
ROIC/WACC0.68
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)185.86%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%53.33%
EPS Next Y-8.33%
EPS Next 2Y-52.13%
EPS Next 3Y4.32%
EPS Next 5Y37.2%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)21.26%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-32.7%
Revenue Next Year-30.05%
Revenue Next 2Y-17.26%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5Y-45.57%
EBIT growth 1Y72.73%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year236.54%
EBIT Next 3Y67.19%
EBIT Next 5Y64.52%
FCF growth 1Y1165.57%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y7886.89%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

Greenfire Resources Ltd / GFR-RT.CA FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for GFR-RT stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GFR-RT.CA.


What is the valuation status for GFR-RT stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to Greenfire Resources Ltd (GFR-RT.CA). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of GFR-RT stock?

Greenfire Resources Ltd (GFR-RT.CA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for Greenfire Resources Ltd?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of Greenfire Resources Ltd (GFR-RT.CA) is expected to decline by -8.33% in the next year.