FORD MOTOR CO (F) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:F - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US3453708600 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, F scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. F was compared to 37 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. F has an average financial health and profitability rating. F may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth Finally F also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
F had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year F had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years F reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years F had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 1.76%, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.97% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 11.24%, F belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.49% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of F (1.56%) is better than 70.27% of its industry peers.
F had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.46%. This is below the industry average of 6.62%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.76% | ||
| ROE | 11.24% | ||
| ROIC | 1.56% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 2.74%, F is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.68% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of F (2.36%) is better than 72.97% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of F has grown nicely.
F has a Gross Margin (8.01%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
F's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.36% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.74% | ||
| GM | 8.01% |
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so F is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, F has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, F has less shares outstanding
F has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.02, we must say that F is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
F has a Altman-Z score (1.02) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
F has a debt to FCF ratio of 16.68. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as F would need 16.68 years to pay back of all of its debts.
F has a better Debt to FCF ratio (16.68) than 83.78% of its industry peers.
F has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.38. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
F has a Debt to Equity ratio of 3.38. This is in the lower half of the industry: F underperforms 67.57% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.38 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.68 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.02 |
ROIC/WACC0.23
WACC6.82%
2.3 Liquidity
F has a Current Ratio of 1.13. This is a normal value and indicates that F is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
F has a Current ratio (1.13) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.97 indicates that F may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of F (0.97) is better than 62.16% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.97 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
F shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -21.16%.
Measured over the past years, F shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 9.29% on average per year.
F shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.03%.
Measured over the past years, F shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.48% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.16%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-71.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.03%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%-6.19%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.92% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.13% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-41.79%
EPS Next 2Y-14.1%
EPS Next 3Y-5.37%
EPS Next 5Y9.92%
Revenue Next Year-4.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.38%
Revenue Next 3Y0.07%
Revenue Next 5Y1.13%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
F is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.28.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of F indicates a rather cheap valuation: F is cheaper than 91.89% of the companies listed in the same industry.
F's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.15.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.99, the valuation of F can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, F is valued cheaper than 83.78% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of F to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.60), we can say F is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.28 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.99 |
4.2 Price Multiples
F's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. F is cheaper than 86.49% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 97.30% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.63 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.31 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of F may justify a higher PE ratio.
F's earnings are expected to decrease with -5.37% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.78
EPS Next 2Y-14.1%
EPS Next 3Y-5.37%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.21%, F is a good candidate for dividend investing.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.86. F pays more dividend than 97.30% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.42, F pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.21% |
5.2 History
The dividend of F has a limited annual growth rate of 5.56%.
F has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
F pays out 59.55% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
F's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP59.55%
EPS Next 2Y-14.1%
EPS Next 3Y-5.37%
10.85
+0.05 (+0.46%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners62.21%
Inst Owner Change6.09%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change5%
Market Cap43.15B
Analysts54.55
Price Target10.29 (-5.16%)
Short Float %3.78%
Short Ratio1.28
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.21% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
DP59.55%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)350.9%
Min EPS beat(2)14.79%
Max EPS beat(2)687.01%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)167.88%
Min EPS beat(4)-32.5%
Max EPS beat(4)687.01%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)101.02%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)74.63%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)89.35%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.47%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.41%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.89%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.41%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.95%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.51%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.39%
PT rev (1m)7.07%
PT rev (3m)-2.76%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.4%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.63%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.4%
EPS NY rev (3m)-20.8%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.9%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.43%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.29%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.56%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.28 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.99 | ||
| P/S | 0.24 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.63 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.44 | ||
| P/B | 0.97 | ||
| P/tB | 0.97 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.31 |
EPS(TTM)1.49
EY13.73%
EPS(NY)1.36
Fwd EY12.51%
FCF(TTM)2.34
FCFY21.58%
OCF(TTM)4.46
OCFY41.06%
SpS45.99
BVpS11.22
TBVpS11.22
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.78
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.76% | ||
| ROE | 11.24% | ||
| ROCE | 2.45% | ||
| ROIC | 1.56% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.84% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.84% | ||
| OM | 2.36% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.74% | ||
| GM | 8.01% | ||
| FCFM | 5.09% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.36%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexcg growth 5Y28.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.18%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.64
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.38 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.68 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 12.74 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.6% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.6% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 149.55% | ||
| Profit Quality | 185.51% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.97 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.02 |
F-Score5
WACC6.82%
ROIC/WACC0.23
Cap/Depr(3y)103.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.16%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-71.43%
EPS Next Y-41.79%
EPS Next 2Y-14.1%
EPS Next 3Y-5.37%
EPS Next 5Y9.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.03%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%-6.19%
Revenue Next Year-4.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.38%
Revenue Next 3Y0.07%
Revenue Next 5Y1.13%
EBIT growth 1Y-5.62%
EBIT growth 3Y4.89%
EBIT growth 5Y31.37%
EBIT Next Year5.1%
EBIT Next 3Y10.77%
EBIT Next 5Y14.93%
FCF growth 1Y168.97%
FCF growth 3Y-11%
FCF growth 5Y-7.6%
OCF growth 1Y65.01%
OCF growth 3Y-0.77%
OCF growth 5Y-2.65%