FORD MOTOR CO (F) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:F - US3453708600 - Common Stock
13.12 USD
-0.11 (-0.83%)
13.15 USD
+0.03 (+0.23%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to F. F was compared to 35 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. While F is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. F may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth F also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
F had positive earnings in the past year.
F had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years F reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
F had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
F has a Return On Assets of 1.56%. This is in the better half of the industry: F outperforms 77.14% of its industry peers.
F's Return On Equity of 9.93% is amongst the best of the industry. F outperforms 88.57% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 1.45%, F is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.29% of the companies in the same industry.
F had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.46%. This is below the industry average of 5.86%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROIC | 1.45% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
F's Profit Margin of 2.48% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 77.14% of its industry peers.
F's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 1.91%, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.29% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of F has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 7.53%, F is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.71% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of F has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.48% | ||
| GM | 7.53% |
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so F is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for F has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, F has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, F has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
F has an Altman-Z score of 1.01. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.01, F is in line with its industry, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
F has a debt to FCF ratio of 13.61. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as F would need 13.61 years to pay back of all of its debts.
F has a better Debt to FCF ratio (13.61) than 77.14% of its industry peers.
F has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.59. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 2.59, F is not doing good in the industry: 71.43% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.59 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.61 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
ROIC/WACC0.2
WACC7.2%
2.3 Liquidity
F has a Current Ratio of 1.12. This is a normal value and indicates that F is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of F (1.12) is worse than 60.00% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.98 indicates that F may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
F has a Quick ratio (0.98) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
F shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -22.41%.
Measured over the past years, F shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 9.29% on average per year.
F shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.75%.
Measured over the past years, F shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.48% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.41%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-8.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, F will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.27% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, F will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.41% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-40.78%
EPS Next 2Y-9.52%
EPS Next 3Y-3.25%
EPS Next 5Y9.27%
Revenue Next Year1.21%
Revenue Next 2Y0.69%
Revenue Next 3Y0.26%
Revenue Next 5Y2.41%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 9.72 indicates a reasonable valuation of F.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.57% of the companies are valued more expensively.
F is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.51, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.71, the valuation of F can be described as very reasonable.
85.71% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than F, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of F to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.13), we can say F is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.72 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.71 |
4.2 Price Multiples
80.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than F, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
F's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. F is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.39 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.25 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
F has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as F's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.25% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.05
EPS Next 2Y-9.52%
EPS Next 3Y-3.25%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
F has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.49%, which is a nice return.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.84. F pays more dividend than 97.14% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.00, F pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.49% |
5.2 History
The dividend of F has a limited annual growth rate of 5.56%.
F has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
F pays out 63.45% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of F is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP63.45%
EPS Next 2Y-9.52%
EPS Next 3Y-3.25%
13.12
-0.11 (-0.83%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners65.19%
Inst Owner Change3.09%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change0.75%
Market Cap52.28B
Revenue(TTM)189.59B
Net Income(TTM)4.71B
Analysts56.77
Price Target13.12 (0%)
Short Float %4.73%
Short Ratio2.1
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.49% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
DP63.45%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)15.43%
Min EPS beat(2)9.68%
Max EPS beat(2)21.18%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)183.17%
Min EPS beat(4)9.68%
Max EPS beat(4)687.01%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)103.19%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)72.43%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)55.21%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.52%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.39%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.39%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.57%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.88%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.29%
PT rev (1m)6.92%
PT rev (3m)19.82%
EPS NQ rev (1m)35.12%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-67.96%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.17%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.32%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.61%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.4%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.54%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.1%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.72 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.71 | ||
| P/S | 0.28 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.39 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.56 | ||
| P/B | 1.1 | ||
| P/tB | 1.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.25 |
EPS(TTM)1.35
EY10.29%
EPS(NY)1.51
Fwd EY11.48%
FCF(TTM)2.99
FCFY22.76%
OCF(TTM)5.13
OCFY39.07%
SpS47.58
BVpS11.89
TBVpS11.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.05
Graham Number19.01
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROCE | 1.96% | ||
| ROIC | 1.45% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.83% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.83% | ||
| OM | 1.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.48% | ||
| GM | 7.53% | ||
| FCFM | 6.28% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.36%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexgc growth 5Y28.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.18%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.63
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.59 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.61 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 10.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.45% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.5% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 181.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | 252.81% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
F-Score6
WACC7.2%
ROIC/WACC0.2
Cap/Depr(3y)103.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.41%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-8.16%
EPS Next Y-40.78%
EPS Next 2Y-9.52%
EPS Next 3Y-3.25%
EPS Next 5Y9.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
Revenue Next Year1.21%
Revenue Next 2Y0.69%
Revenue Next 3Y0.26%
Revenue Next 5Y2.41%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.31%
EBIT growth 3Y4.89%
EBIT growth 5Y31.37%
EBIT Next Year7.96%
EBIT Next 3Y11.67%
EBIT Next 5Y10.44%
FCF growth 1Y112.52%
FCF growth 3Y-11%
FCF growth 5Y-7.6%
OCF growth 1Y50.15%
OCF growth 3Y-0.77%
OCF growth 5Y-2.65%
FORD MOTOR CO / F FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FORD MOTOR CO?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to F.
What is the valuation status of FORD MOTOR CO (F) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to FORD MOTOR CO (F). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is FORD MOTOR CO (F) stock?
FORD MOTOR CO (F) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for F stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for FORD MOTOR CO (F) is 9.72 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.1.
How sustainable is the dividend of FORD MOTOR CO (F) stock?
The dividend rating of FORD MOTOR CO (F) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 63.45%.