FORD MOTOR CO (F) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:F - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US3453708600 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to F. F was compared to 37 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. F has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. F may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year F was profitable.
In the past year F had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: F reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years F always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.08%, F is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.68% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 6.99%, F belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.08% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of F (1.22%) is better than 72.97% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for F is below the industry average of 6.72%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.08% | ||
| ROE | 6.99% | ||
| ROIC | 1.22% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 1.70%, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.68% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of F has grown nicely.
F has a better Operating Margin (1.59%) than 72.97% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of F has grown nicely.
F's Gross Margin of 7.19% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 43.24% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of F has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.59% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.7% | ||
| GM | 7.19% |
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so F is destroying value.
F has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, F has less shares outstanding
F has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.98, we must say that F is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 0.98, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.16% of the companies in the same industry.
F has a debt to FCF ratio of 15.57. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as F would need 15.57 years to pay back of all of its debts.
F has a Debt to FCF ratio of 15.57. This is amongst the best in the industry. F outperforms 83.78% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.64 is on the high side and indicates that F has dependencies on debt financing.
F has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (2.64) than 67.57% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 15.57 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.98 |
ROIC/WACC0.18
WACC6.88%
2.3 Liquidity
F has a Current Ratio of 1.10. This is a normal value and indicates that F is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.10, F perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.24% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.95 indicates that F may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
F's Quick ratio of 0.95 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 62.16% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.1 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.95 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for F have decreased strongly by -15.24% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 9.29% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, F shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.72% in the last year.
F shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.48% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.24%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-21.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.72%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%4.76%
3.2 Future
F is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.92% yearly.
F is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.13% yearly.
EPS Next Y-39.13%
EPS Next 2Y-12.61%
EPS Next 3Y-4.45%
EPS Next 5Y9.92%
Revenue Next Year-3.69%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.37%
Revenue Next 3Y0.34%
Revenue Next 5Y1.13%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 8.06, which indicates a very decent valuation of F.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 91.89% of the companies are valued more expensively.
F's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.99.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.98, the valuation of F can be described as very cheap.
86.49% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than F, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 36.36. F is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.06 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.98 |
4.2 Price Multiples
F's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. F is cheaper than 81.08% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, F is valued cheaper than 97.30% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.4 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.65 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of F may justify a higher PE ratio.
F's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.45% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.87
EPS Next 2Y-12.61%
EPS Next 3Y-4.45%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.85%, F is a good candidate for dividend investing.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.79. F pays more dividend than 97.30% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.40.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.85% |
5.2 History
The dividend of F has a limited annual growth rate of 5.56%.
F has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
94.76% of the earnings are spent on dividend by F. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
F's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP94.76%
EPS Next 2Y-12.61%
EPS Next 3Y-4.45%
11.21
+0.15 (+1.36%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners62.21%
Inst Owner Change-0.03%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change4.8%
Market Cap44.58B
Analysts54.38
Price Target10.82 (-3.48%)
Short Float %4.64%
Short Ratio2.03
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.85% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
DP94.76%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)348.35%
Min EPS beat(2)9.68%
Max EPS beat(2)687.01%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)178.43%
Min EPS beat(4)2.21%
Max EPS beat(4)687.01%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)98.6%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)71.35%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)59.26%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.52%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.57%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.52%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.39%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.81%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.29%
PT rev (1m)2.07%
PT rev (3m)10.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)15.88%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.71%
EPS NY rev (1m)4.55%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.9%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.14%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.78%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.41%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.99%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.06 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.98 | ||
| P/S | 0.24 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.4 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.41 | ||
| P/B | 0.99 | ||
| P/tB | 0.99 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.65 |
EPS(TTM)1.39
EY12.4%
EPS(NY)1.41
Fwd EY12.53%
FCF(TTM)2.55
FCFY22.72%
OCF(TTM)4.66
OCFY41.56%
SpS46.59
BVpS11.33
TBVpS11.33
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.87
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.08% | ||
| ROE | 6.99% | ||
| ROCE | 1.65% | ||
| ROIC | 1.22% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.52% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.52% | ||
| OM | 1.59% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.7% | ||
| GM | 7.19% | ||
| FCFM | 5.47% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.36%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexcg growth 5Y28.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.18%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.63
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 15.57 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 11.36 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.66% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.53% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 177.11% | ||
| Profit Quality | 321.49% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.1 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.95 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.98 |
F-Score5
WACC6.88%
ROIC/WACC0.18
Cap/Depr(3y)103.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.24%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-21.28%
EPS Next Y-39.13%
EPS Next 2Y-12.61%
EPS Next 3Y-4.45%
EPS Next 5Y9.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.72%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%4.76%
Revenue Next Year-3.69%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.37%
Revenue Next 3Y0.34%
Revenue Next 5Y1.13%
EBIT growth 1Y-26.33%
EBIT growth 3Y4.89%
EBIT growth 5Y31.37%
EBIT Next Year5.54%
EBIT Next 3Y9.94%
EBIT Next 5Y14.93%
FCF growth 1Y91.17%
FCF growth 3Y-11%
FCF growth 5Y-7.6%
OCF growth 1Y44.45%
OCF growth 3Y-0.77%
OCF growth 5Y-2.65%