FORD MOTOR CO (F) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:F - US3453708600 - Common Stock
13.28 USD
+0.09 (+0.68%)
13.27 USD
-0.01 (-0.08%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to F. F was compared to 36 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. While F is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on F. F also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year F was profitable.
In the past year F had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: F reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years F had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 1.56%, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
F has a Return On Equity of 9.93%. This is amongst the best in the industry. F outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
F has a Return On Invested Capital of 1.45%. This is in the better half of the industry: F outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for F is below the industry average of 5.83%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROIC | 1.45% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
F's Profit Margin of 2.48% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
F's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
F's Operating Margin of 1.91% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of F has grown nicely.
F has a Gross Margin (7.53%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of F has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.48% | ||
| GM | 7.53% |
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
F has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, F has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for F has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, F has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
F has an Altman-Z score of 1.01. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.01, F is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.56% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of F is 13.61, which is on the high side as it means it would take F, 13.61 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
F has a Debt to FCF ratio of 13.61. This is in the better half of the industry: F outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.59 is on the high side and indicates that F has dependencies on debt financing.
F's Debt to Equity ratio of 2.59 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. F is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.59 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.61 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
ROIC/WACC0.2
WACC7.18%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.12 indicates that F should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
F's Current ratio of 1.12 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 44.44% of its industry peers.
F has a Quick Ratio of 1.12. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of F (0.98) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
F shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -22.41%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 9.29% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
F shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.75%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.48% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.41%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-8.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
3.2 Future
F is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.27% yearly.
F is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.41% yearly.
EPS Next Y-41.46%
EPS Next 2Y-9.57%
EPS Next 3Y-4.31%
EPS Next 5Y9.27%
Revenue Next Year0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y0.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.15%
Revenue Next 5Y2.41%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 9.84 indicates a reasonable valuation of F.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, F is valued cheaper than 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of F to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.31), we can say F is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.82, the valuation of F can be described as very reasonable.
F's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. F is cheaper than 86.11% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of F to the average of the S&P500 Index (36.59), we can say F is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.84 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.82 |
4.2 Price Multiples
77.78% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than F, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 100.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.45 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.27 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
F has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
F's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.31% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.06
EPS Next 2Y-9.57%
EPS Next 3Y-4.31%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.83%, F is a good candidate for dividend investing.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.48. F pays more dividend than 97.22% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.40, F pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.83% |
5.2 History
The dividend of F has a limited annual growth rate of 5.56%.
F has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
F pays out 63.45% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
F's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP63.45%
EPS Next 2Y-9.57%
EPS Next 3Y-4.31%
13.28
+0.09 (+0.68%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners63.98%
Inst Owner Change2.96%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change-2.37%
Market Cap52.91B
Revenue(TTM)189.59B
Net Income(TTM)4.71B
Analysts56.77
Price Target12.27 (-7.61%)
Short Float %4.54%
Short Ratio1.73
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.83% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
DP63.45%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)15.43%
Min EPS beat(2)9.68%
Max EPS beat(2)21.18%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)183.17%
Min EPS beat(4)9.68%
Max EPS beat(4)687.01%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)103.19%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)72.43%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)55.21%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.52%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.39%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.39%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.57%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.88%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.29%
PT rev (1m)10.22%
PT rev (3m)13.48%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-74.32%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-76.33%
EPS NY rev (1m)-8.49%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.74%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.16%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.62%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.52%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.84 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.82 | ||
| P/S | 0.28 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.45 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.59 | ||
| P/B | 1.12 | ||
| P/tB | 1.12 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.27 |
EPS(TTM)1.35
EY10.17%
EPS(NY)1.5
Fwd EY11.33%
FCF(TTM)2.99
FCFY22.48%
OCF(TTM)5.13
OCFY38.6%
SpS47.58
BVpS11.89
TBVpS11.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.06
Graham Number19.01
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROCE | 1.96% | ||
| ROIC | 1.45% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.83% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.83% | ||
| OM | 1.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.48% | ||
| GM | 7.53% | ||
| FCFM | 6.28% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.36%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexgc growth 5Y28.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.18%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.63
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.59 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.61 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 10.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.45% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.5% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 181.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | 252.81% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
F-Score6
WACC7.18%
ROIC/WACC0.2
Cap/Depr(3y)103.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.41%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-8.16%
EPS Next Y-41.46%
EPS Next 2Y-9.57%
EPS Next 3Y-4.31%
EPS Next 5Y9.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
Revenue Next Year0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y0.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.15%
Revenue Next 5Y2.41%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.31%
EBIT growth 3Y4.89%
EBIT growth 5Y31.37%
EBIT Next Year15.86%
EBIT Next 3Y11.13%
EBIT Next 5Y10.44%
FCF growth 1Y112.52%
FCF growth 3Y-11%
FCF growth 5Y-7.6%
OCF growth 1Y50.15%
OCF growth 3Y-0.77%
OCF growth 5Y-2.65%
FORD MOTOR CO / F FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FORD MOTOR CO?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to F.
Can you provide the valuation status for FORD MOTOR CO?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to FORD MOTOR CO (F). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for FORD MOTOR CO?
FORD MOTOR CO (F) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of FORD MOTOR CO (F) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for FORD MOTOR CO (F) is 9.84 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.12.
Is the dividend of FORD MOTOR CO sustainable?
The dividend rating of FORD MOTOR CO (F) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 63.45%.