FORD MOTOR CO (F) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:F - US3453708600 - Common Stock
11.74 USD
-0.18 (-1.51%)
11.74 USD
0 (0%)
F gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 37 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. There are concerns on the financial health of F while its profitability can be described as average. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on F.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
F had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year F had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: F reported negative net income in multiple years.
F had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of F (1.08%) is better than 78.38% of its industry peers.
F has a Return On Equity of 6.99%. This is amongst the best in the industry. F outperforms 83.78% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 1.22%, F is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.68% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for F is below the industry average of 5.68%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.08% | ||
| ROE | 6.99% | ||
| ROIC | 1.22% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
F has a Profit Margin of 1.70%. This is in the better half of the industry: F outperforms 78.38% of its industry peers.
F's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 1.59%, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.68% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 7.19%, F is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.24% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of F has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.59% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.7% | ||
| GM | 7.19% |
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), F is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for F has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, F has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, F has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
F has an Altman-Z score of 0.98. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
F's Altman-Z score of 0.98 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 59.46% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of F is 15.57, which is on the high side as it means it would take F, 15.57 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 15.57, F belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.08% of the companies in the same industry.
F has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.64. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
F has a Debt to Equity ratio of 2.64. This is in the lower half of the industry: F underperforms 64.86% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 15.57 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.98 |
ROIC/WACC0.18
WACC6.95%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.10 indicates that F should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
F has a Current ratio of 1.10. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: F outperforms 45.95% of its industry peers.
F has a Quick Ratio of 1.10. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.95, F perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.46% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.1 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.95 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for F have decreased strongly by -15.24% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 9.29% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
F shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.72%.
F shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.48% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.24%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-21.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.72%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%4.76%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.66% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
F is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.85% yearly.
EPS Next Y-35.41%
EPS Next 2Y-12.01%
EPS Next 3Y-3.99%
EPS Next 5Y9.66%
Revenue Next Year-0.12%
Revenue Next 2Y0.08%
Revenue Next 3Y1.03%
Revenue Next 5Y2.85%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 8.45, which indicates a very decent valuation of F.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 97.30% of the companies are valued more expensively.
F's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.91.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.24, the valuation of F can be described as reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of F indicates a rather cheap valuation: F is cheaper than 89.19% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.30. F is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.45 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.24 |
4.2 Price Multiples
F's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. F is cheaper than 83.78% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 97.30% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.61 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.86 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of F may justify a higher PE ratio.
F's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.99% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.91
EPS Next 2Y-12.01%
EPS Next 3Y-3.99%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.91%, F is a good candidate for dividend investing.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.23. F pays more dividend than 97.30% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.44.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.91% |
5.2 History
The dividend of F has a limited annual growth rate of 5.56%.
F has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
F pays out 94.76% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
F's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP94.76%
EPS Next 2Y-12.01%
EPS Next 3Y-3.99%
11.74
-0.18 (-1.51%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners63.98%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change-1.96%
Market Cap46.72B
Analysts55.48
Price Target11.14 (-5.11%)
Short Float %4.52%
Short Ratio2.97
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.91% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
DP94.76%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)348.35%
Min EPS beat(2)9.68%
Max EPS beat(2)687.01%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)178.43%
Min EPS beat(4)2.21%
Max EPS beat(4)687.01%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)98.6%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)71.35%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)59.26%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.52%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.57%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.52%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.39%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.81%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.29%
PT rev (1m)2.25%
PT rev (3m)8.27%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.49%
EPS NQ rev (3m)8.56%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.61%
EPS NY rev (3m)10.96%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.52%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.57%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.14%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.45 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.24 | ||
| P/S | 0.25 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.61 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.52 | ||
| P/B | 1.04 | ||
| P/tB | 1.04 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.86 |
EPS(TTM)1.39
EY11.84%
EPS(NY)1.42
Fwd EY12.13%
FCF(TTM)2.55
FCFY21.68%
OCF(TTM)4.65
OCFY39.65%
SpS46.55
BVpS11.32
TBVpS11.32
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.91
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.08% | ||
| ROE | 6.99% | ||
| ROCE | 1.65% | ||
| ROIC | 1.22% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.52% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.52% | ||
| OM | 1.59% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.7% | ||
| GM | 7.19% | ||
| FCFM | 5.47% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.36%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexcg growth 5Y28.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.18%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.63
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 15.57 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 11.36 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.66% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.53% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 177.11% | ||
| Profit Quality | 321.49% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.1 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.95 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.98 |
F-Score5
WACC6.95%
ROIC/WACC0.18
Cap/Depr(3y)103.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.24%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-21.28%
EPS Next Y-35.41%
EPS Next 2Y-12.01%
EPS Next 3Y-3.99%
EPS Next 5Y9.66%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.72%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%4.76%
Revenue Next Year-0.12%
Revenue Next 2Y0.08%
Revenue Next 3Y1.03%
Revenue Next 5Y2.85%
EBIT growth 1Y-26.33%
EBIT growth 3Y4.89%
EBIT growth 5Y31.37%
EBIT Next Year15.86%
EBIT Next 3Y11.13%
EBIT Next 5Y10.44%
FCF growth 1Y91.17%
FCF growth 3Y-11%
FCF growth 5Y-7.6%
OCF growth 1Y44.45%
OCF growth 3Y-0.77%
OCF growth 5Y-2.65%