FORD MOTOR CO (F) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:F - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US3453708600 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to F. F was compared to 37 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. F has an average financial health and profitability rating. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on F. Finally F also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year F was profitable.
In the past year F had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years F reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years F always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 1.76%, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.97% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 11.24%, F belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.49% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 1.56%, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.27% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for F is below the industry average of 6.67%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.76% | ||
| ROE | 11.24% | ||
| ROIC | 1.56% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
F's Profit Margin of 2.74% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 75.68% of its industry peers.
F's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
F has a better Operating Margin (2.36%) than 72.97% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of F has grown nicely.
With a Gross Margin value of 8.01%, F perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.95% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.36% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.74% | ||
| GM | 8.01% |
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so F is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, F has less shares outstanding
F has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
F has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
F has an Altman-Z score of 1.02. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of F (1.02) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of F is 16.68, which is on the high side as it means it would take F, 16.68 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 16.68, F belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.08% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.38 is on the high side and indicates that F has dependencies on debt financing.
F has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (3.38) than 67.57% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.38 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.68 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.02 |
ROIC/WACC0.23
WACC6.78%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.13 indicates that F should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
F's Current ratio of 1.13 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 43.24% of its industry peers.
F has a Quick Ratio of 1.13. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of F (0.97) is better than 62.16% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.97 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
F shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -21.16%.
Measured over the past years, F shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 9.29% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.03% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, F shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.48% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.16%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-71.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.03%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%-6.19%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, F will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.92% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, F will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.13% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-43.7%
EPS Next 2Y-14.74%
EPS Next 3Y-5.11%
EPS Next 5Y9.92%
Revenue Next Year-4.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.48%
Revenue Next 3Y0.01%
Revenue Next 5Y1.13%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
F is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 6.94.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of F indicates a rather cheap valuation: F is cheaper than 94.59% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.53. F is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.73 indicates a rather cheap valuation of F.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, F is valued cheaper than 86.49% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.27, F is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.94 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.73 |
4.2 Price Multiples
F's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. F is cheaper than 86.49% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of F indicates a rather cheap valuation: F is cheaper than 97.30% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.42 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.13 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
F has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
F's earnings are expected to decrease with -5.11% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.75
EPS Next 2Y-14.74%
EPS Next 3Y-5.11%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
F has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.94%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.77, F pays a better dividend. On top of this F pays more dividend than 97.30% of the companies listed in the same industry.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.39.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.94% |
5.2 History
The dividend of F has a limited annual growth rate of 5.56%.
F has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
F pays out 59.55% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
F's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP59.55%
EPS Next 2Y-14.74%
EPS Next 3Y-5.11%
10.34
+0.08 (+0.78%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners59.16%
Inst Owner Change6.08%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change8.16%
Market Cap41.12B
Analysts54.55
Price Target10.23 (-1.06%)
Short Float %3.96%
Short Ratio1.21
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.94% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
DP59.55%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)350.9%
Min EPS beat(2)14.79%
Max EPS beat(2)687.01%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)167.88%
Min EPS beat(4)-32.5%
Max EPS beat(4)687.01%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)101.02%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)74.63%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)89.35%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.47%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.41%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.89%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.41%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.95%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.51%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.39%
PT rev (1m)6.45%
PT rev (3m)-4.9%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.14%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.43%
EPS NY rev (1m)-15.73%
EPS NY rev (3m)-23.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.2%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.06%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.49%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.94 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.73 | ||
| P/S | 0.22 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.42 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.32 | ||
| P/B | 0.92 | ||
| P/tB | 0.92 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.13 |
EPS(TTM)1.49
EY14.41%
EPS(NY)1.34
Fwd EY12.94%
FCF(TTM)2.34
FCFY22.64%
OCF(TTM)4.46
OCFY43.09%
SpS45.99
BVpS11.22
TBVpS11.22
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.75
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.76% | ||
| ROE | 11.24% | ||
| ROCE | 2.45% | ||
| ROIC | 1.56% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.84% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.84% | ||
| OM | 2.36% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.74% | ||
| GM | 8.01% | ||
| FCFM | 5.09% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.36%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexcg growth 5Y28.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.18%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.64
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.38 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.68 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 12.74 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.6% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.6% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 149.55% | ||
| Profit Quality | 185.51% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.97 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.02 |
F-Score5
WACC6.78%
ROIC/WACC0.23
Cap/Depr(3y)103.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.16%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-71.43%
EPS Next Y-43.7%
EPS Next 2Y-14.74%
EPS Next 3Y-5.11%
EPS Next 5Y9.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.03%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%-6.19%
Revenue Next Year-4.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.48%
Revenue Next 3Y0.01%
Revenue Next 5Y1.13%
EBIT growth 1Y-5.62%
EBIT growth 3Y4.89%
EBIT growth 5Y31.37%
EBIT Next Year5.1%
EBIT Next 3Y10.77%
EBIT Next 5Y14.93%
FCF growth 1Y168.97%
FCF growth 3Y-11%
FCF growth 5Y-7.6%
OCF growth 1Y65.01%
OCF growth 3Y-0.77%
OCF growth 5Y-2.65%