ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR (EC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:EC • US2791581091

Current stock price

14.1 USD
+0.19 (+1.37%)
At close:
14 USD
-0.1 (-0.71%)
After Hours:

This EC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. EC Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • EC had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years EC 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
EC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20T 40T 60T

1.2 Ratios

  • EC has a Return On Assets of 3.91%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EC outperforms 55.02% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of EC (14.12%) is better than 74.64% of its industry peers.
  • EC's Return On Invested Capital of 7.32% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EC outperforms 66.99% of its industry peers.
  • EC had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 11.97%. This is significantly below the industry average of 23.10%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (11.97%) for EC is well above the current ROIC(7.32%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.91%
ROE 14.12%
ROIC 7.32%
ROA(3y)7.54%
ROA(5y)6.13%
ROE(3y)26.29%
ROE(5y)21.07%
ROIC(3y)11.97%
ROIC(5y)9.64%
EC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • EC has a Profit Margin (9.07%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • EC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • EC has a Operating Margin of 23.14%. This is in the better half of the industry: EC outperforms 64.59% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EC has declined.
  • EC has a Gross Margin (31.62%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EC has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 23.14%
PM (TTM) 9.07%
GM 31.62%
OM growth 3Y-5.74%
OM growth 5Y-2.03%
PM growth 3Y-14.93%
PM growth 5Y-9.75%
GM growth 3Y-3.76%
GM growth 5Y-0.78%
EC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40

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3

2. EC Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • EC has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
EC Yearly Shares OutstandingEC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
EC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100T 200T 300T

2.2 Solvency

  • EC has a debt to FCF ratio of 8.34. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as EC would need 8.34 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • EC has a Debt to FCF ratio (8.34) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • EC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.26. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • EC has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.26. This is in the lower half of the industry: EC underperforms 69.86% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.26
Debt/FCF 8.34
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
EC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20T 40T 60T 80T 100T

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.53 indicates that EC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • EC's Current ratio of 1.53 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EC outperforms 64.11% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.26 indicates that EC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • EC has a Quick ratio of 1.26. This is in the better half of the industry: EC outperforms 64.11% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.53
Quick Ratio 1.26
EC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20T 40T 60T

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1

3. EC Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for EC have decreased strongly by -39.54% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, EC shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 39.80% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-39.54%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y39.8%
EPS Q2Q%-60.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-17.17%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, EC will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -3.74% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -55.45% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y17.19%
EPS Next 2Y6.39%
EPS Next 3Y-3.74%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-3.59%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.08%
Revenue Next 3Y-55.45%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
EC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 50T 100T 150T
EC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 5K 10K 15K

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0

4. EC Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
EC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 0 0 0 0

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EC Per share dataEC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • EC's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.74% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y6.39%
EPS Next 3Y-3.74%

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5

5. EC Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • EC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.74%, which is a nice return.
  • EC's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.24.
  • EC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.74%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of EC has a limited annual growth rate of 2.34%.
  • EC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.34%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
EC Yearly Dividends per shareEC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100 200 300 400 500

5.3 Sustainability

  • 102.25% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EC. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • EC's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP102.25%
EPS Next 2Y6.39%
EPS Next 3Y-3.74%
EC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10T 20T 30T
EC Dividend Payout.EC Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EC Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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EC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR

NYSE:EC (4/10/2026, 8:18:39 PM)

After market: 14 -0.1 (-0.71%)

14.1

+0.19 (+1.37%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)03-05
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners6.2%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.05%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap28.99B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)11.40T
Analysts51.67
Price Target14.31 (1.49%)
Short Float %6.22%
Short Ratio3.97
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.74%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.34%
DP102.25%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date04-29
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.83%
Min EPS beat(2)-44.1%
Max EPS beat(2)53.77%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)27.8%
Min EPS beat(4)-44.1%
Max EPS beat(4)58.98%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)9.78%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)6.86%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.36%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.25%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.36%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.2%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-5.48%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-21%
PT rev (1m)4.65%
PT rev (3m)4.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)13.96%
EPS NY rev (1m)-9.92%
EPS NY rev (3m)-23.84%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.71%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.79%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.88%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S N/A
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)N/A
EYN/A
EPS(NY)N/A
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpSN/A
BVpSN/A
TBVpSN/A
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.91%
ROE 14.12%
ROCE 11.5%
ROIC 7.32%
ROICexc 7.76%
ROICexgc 8.43%
OM 23.14%
PM (TTM) 9.07%
GM 31.62%
FCFM 10.9%
ROA(3y)7.54%
ROA(5y)6.13%
ROE(3y)26.29%
ROE(5y)21.07%
ROIC(3y)11.97%
ROIC(5y)9.64%
ROICexc(3y)12.79%
ROICexc(5y)10.33%
ROICexgc(3y)14.09%
ROICexgc(5y)11.33%
ROCE(3y)18.81%
ROCE(5y)15.16%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.23%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.82%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.27%
OM growth 3Y-5.74%
OM growth 5Y-2.03%
PM growth 3Y-14.93%
PM growth 5Y-9.75%
GM growth 3Y-3.76%
GM growth 5Y-0.78%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.26
Debt/FCF 8.34
Debt/EBITDA 2.24
Cap/Depr 127.94%
Cap/Sales 16.66%
Interest Coverage 3.49
Cash Conversion 76.21%
Profit Quality 120.13%
Current Ratio 1.53
Quick Ratio 1.26
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score5
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)164.17%
Cap/Depr(5y)148.55%
Cap/Sales(3y)15.42%
Cap/Sales(5y)16.59%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-39.54%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y39.8%
EPS Q2Q%-60.84%
EPS Next Y17.19%
EPS Next 2Y6.39%
EPS Next 3Y-3.74%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-17.17%
Revenue Next Year-3.59%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.08%
Revenue Next 3Y-55.45%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-20.85%
EBIT growth 3Y6.77%
EBIT growth 5Y11.17%
EBIT Next Year31.13%
EBIT Next 3Y9.06%
EBIT Next 5Y7.31%
FCF growth 1Y400.85%
FCF growth 3Y37.84%
FCF growth 5Y12%
OCF growth 1Y66.81%
OCF growth 3Y26.04%
OCF growth 5Y10.24%

ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR / EC Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR (EC) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to EC.


Can you provide the valuation status for ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR (EC). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of EC stock?

ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR (EC) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for EC stock?

The financial health rating of ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR (EC) is 3 / 10.