ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR (EC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:EC - US2791581091 - ADR
9.4 USD
+0.09 (+0.97%)
9.41 USD
+0.01 (+0.11%)
EC gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. EC has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. EC is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past 5 years EC has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years EC always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.68%, EC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.48% of the companies in the same industry.
EC has a better Return On Equity (18.13%) than 79.05% of its industry peers.
EC has a better Return On Invested Capital (8.78%) than 75.24% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for EC is significantly below the industry average of 23.42%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 18.13% | ||
| ROIC | 8.78% |
ROA(3y)7.54%
ROA(5y)6.13%
ROE(3y)26.29%
ROE(5y)21.07%
ROIC(3y)11.93%
ROIC(5y)9.62%
1.3 Margins
EC's Profit Margin of 10.53% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EC outperforms 56.19% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EC has declined.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 26.17%, EC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.95% of the companies in the same industry.
EC's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
EC has a Gross Margin (33.94%) which is in line with its industry peers.
EC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 26.17% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.53% | ||
| GM | 33.94% |
OM growth 3Y-5.74%
OM growth 5Y-2.03%
PM growth 3Y-14.93%
PM growth 5Y-9.75%
GM growth 3Y-3.76%
GM growth 5Y-0.78%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
Compared to 1 year ago, EC has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
Compared to 5 years ago, EC has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
The debt/assets ratio for EC is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
The Debt to FCF ratio of EC is 5.00, which is a neutral value as it means it would take EC, 5.00 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
EC has a Debt to FCF ratio of 5.00. This is in the better half of the industry: EC outperforms 63.81% of its industry peers.
EC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.37. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
EC's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.37 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EC is outperformed by 72.38% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.37 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
EC has a Current Ratio of 1.33. This is a normal value and indicates that EC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
EC's Current ratio of 1.33 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EC outperforms 62.38% of its industry peers.
EC has a Quick Ratio of 1.10. This is a normal value and indicates that EC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of EC (1.10) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.33 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.1 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
EC shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -21.66%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.42% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, EC shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -6.82% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 13.48% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.66%
EPS 3Y-3.65%
EPS 5Y2.42%
EPS Q2Q%N/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.82%
Revenue growth 3Y13.27%
Revenue growth 5Y13.48%
Sales Q2Q%-9.07%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -7.88% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -2.76% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-29.12%
EPS Next 2Y-10.43%
EPS Next 3Y-7.88%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-6.05%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.61%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.76%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
EC's earnings are expected to decrease with -7.88% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-10.43%
EPS Next 3Y-7.88%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
EC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 16.90%, which is a nice return.
EC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 6.11. EC pays more dividend than 98.10% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.35, EC pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 16.9% |
5.2 History
The dividend of EC has a limited annual growth rate of 2.34%.
EC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.34%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
116.14% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EC. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
EC's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP116.14%
EPS Next 2Y-10.43%
EPS Next 3Y-7.88%
9.4
+0.09 (+0.97%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners6.24%
Inst Owner Change21.31%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap19.32B
Analysts47.27
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %6.28%
Short Ratio6.16
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 16.9% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.34%
DP116.14%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)50.77%
Min EPS beat(2)42.57%
Max EPS beat(2)58.98%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)20.26%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.84%
Max EPS beat(4)58.98%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)10.26%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)6.77%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.25%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.62%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.25%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.39%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.59%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-22.38%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-21.23%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-7.14%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.14%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5.11%
EPS NY rev (3m)-5.11%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.61%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.37%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.05%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | N/A | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)N/A
EYN/A
EPS(NY)N/A
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpSN/A
BVpSN/A
TBVpSN/A
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 18.13% | ||
| ROCE | 13.84% | ||
| ROIC | 8.78% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.42% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.31% | ||
| OM | 26.17% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.53% | ||
| GM | 33.94% | ||
| FCFM | 17.8% |
ROA(3y)7.54%
ROA(5y)6.13%
ROE(3y)26.29%
ROE(5y)21.07%
ROIC(3y)11.93%
ROIC(5y)9.62%
ROICexc(3y)12.75%
ROICexc(5y)10.3%
ROICexgc(3y)14.04%
ROICexgc(5y)11.3%
ROCE(3y)18.81%
ROCE(5y)15.16%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-1.35%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-4.89%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.94%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.34%
OM growth 3Y-5.74%
OM growth 5Y-2.03%
PM growth 3Y-14.93%
PM growth 5Y-9.75%
GM growth 3Y-3.76%
GM growth 5Y-0.78%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.44
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.37 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.11 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 138.53% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 16.11% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.4 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 89.7% | ||
| Profit Quality | 168.99% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.33 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.1 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
F-Score5
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)166.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)149.71%
Cap/Sales(3y)15.64%
Cap/Sales(5y)16.73%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.66%
EPS 3Y-3.65%
EPS 5Y2.42%
EPS Q2Q%N/A
EPS Next Y-29.12%
EPS Next 2Y-10.43%
EPS Next 3Y-7.88%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.82%
Revenue growth 3Y13.27%
Revenue growth 5Y13.48%
Sales Q2Q%-9.07%
Revenue Next Year-6.05%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.61%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.76%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-12.35%
EBIT growth 3Y6.77%
EBIT growth 5Y11.17%
EBIT Next Year41.93%
EBIT Next 3Y9.46%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y118.99%
FCF growth 3Y36.14%
FCF growth 5Y11.17%
OCF growth 1Y31.04%
OCF growth 3Y26.04%
OCF growth 5Y10.24%