ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR (EC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:EC • US2791581091

Current stock price

14.1 USD
+0.19 (+1.37%)
At close:
14 USD
-0.1 (-0.71%)
After Hours:

This EC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. EC Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • Of the past 5 years EC 4 years were profitable.
  • EC had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
EC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20T 40T 60T

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 3.91%, EC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.02% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Equity of EC (14.12%) is better than 75.12% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.32%, EC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.94% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for EC is significantly below the industry average of 23.10%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (11.97%) for EC is well above the current ROIC(7.32%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.91%
ROE 14.12%
ROIC 7.32%
ROA(3y)7.54%
ROA(5y)6.13%
ROE(3y)26.29%
ROE(5y)21.07%
ROIC(3y)11.97%
ROIC(5y)9.64%
EC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • EC has a Profit Margin (9.07%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • EC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • EC has a Operating Margin of 23.14%. This is in the better half of the industry: EC outperforms 64.59% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EC has declined.
  • EC has a Gross Margin (31.62%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EC has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 23.14%
PM (TTM) 9.07%
GM 31.62%
OM growth 3Y-5.74%
OM growth 5Y-2.03%
PM growth 3Y-14.93%
PM growth 5Y-9.75%
GM growth 3Y-3.76%
GM growth 5Y-0.78%
EC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40

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3

2. EC Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • There is no outstanding debt for EC. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
EC Yearly Shares OutstandingEC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
EC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100T 200T 300T

2.2 Solvency

  • The Debt to FCF ratio of EC is 8.34, which is on the high side as it means it would take EC, 8.34 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • EC has a Debt to FCF ratio of 8.34. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EC outperforms 57.89% of its industry peers.
  • EC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.26. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.26, EC is not doing good in the industry: 69.38% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.26
Debt/FCF 8.34
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
EC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20T 40T 60T 80T 100T

2.3 Liquidity

  • EC has a Current Ratio of 1.53. This is a normal value and indicates that EC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • EC's Current ratio of 1.53 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EC outperforms 64.59% of its industry peers.
  • EC has a Quick Ratio of 1.26. This is a normal value and indicates that EC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.26, EC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.11% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.53
Quick Ratio 1.26
EC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20T 40T 60T

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1

3. EC Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • EC shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -39.54%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 39.80% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-39.54%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y39.8%
EPS Q2Q%-60.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-17.17%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 3.10% on average over the next years.
  • EC is expected to show a very negative growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -55.45% yearly.
EPS Next Y13.19%
EPS Next 2Y3.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-3.59%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.08%
Revenue Next 3Y-55.45%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
EC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 50T 100T 150T
EC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 5K 10K 15K

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0

4. EC Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
EC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 0 0 0 0

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EC Per share dataEC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y3.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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5

5. EC Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • EC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.98%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • EC's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.24.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.83, EC pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.98%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of EC has a limited annual growth rate of 2.34%.
  • EC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.34%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
EC Yearly Dividends per shareEC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100 200 300 400 500

5.3 Sustainability

  • EC pays out 102.25% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of EC is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP102.25%
EPS Next 2Y3.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10T 20T 30T
EC Dividend Payout.EC Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EC Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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EC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR

NYSE:EC (4/10/2026, 8:18:39 PM)

After market: 14 -0.1 (-0.71%)

14.1

+0.19 (+1.37%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)03-05
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners6.16%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.05%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap28.99B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)11.40T
Analysts51.67
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %6.22%
Short Ratio3.97
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.98%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.34%
DP102.25%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date04-29
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.83%
Min EPS beat(2)-44.1%
Max EPS beat(2)53.77%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)27.8%
Min EPS beat(4)-44.1%
Max EPS beat(4)58.98%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)9.78%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)6.86%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.36%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.25%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.36%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.2%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-5.48%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-21%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.15%
EPS NQ rev (3m)13.96%
EPS NY rev (1m)-22.8%
EPS NY rev (3m)-15.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)5.09%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.71%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.08%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.88%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S N/A
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)N/A
EYN/A
EPS(NY)N/A
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpSN/A
BVpSN/A
TBVpSN/A
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.91%
ROE 14.12%
ROCE 11.5%
ROIC 7.32%
ROICexc 7.76%
ROICexgc 8.43%
OM 23.14%
PM (TTM) 9.07%
GM 31.62%
FCFM 10.9%
ROA(3y)7.54%
ROA(5y)6.13%
ROE(3y)26.29%
ROE(5y)21.07%
ROIC(3y)11.97%
ROIC(5y)9.64%
ROICexc(3y)12.79%
ROICexc(5y)10.33%
ROICexgc(3y)14.09%
ROICexgc(5y)11.33%
ROCE(3y)18.81%
ROCE(5y)15.16%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.23%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.82%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.27%
OM growth 3Y-5.74%
OM growth 5Y-2.03%
PM growth 3Y-14.93%
PM growth 5Y-9.75%
GM growth 3Y-3.76%
GM growth 5Y-0.78%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.26
Debt/FCF 8.34
Debt/EBITDA 2.24
Cap/Depr 127.94%
Cap/Sales 16.66%
Interest Coverage 3.49
Cash Conversion 76.21%
Profit Quality 120.13%
Current Ratio 1.53
Quick Ratio 1.26
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score5
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)164.17%
Cap/Depr(5y)148.55%
Cap/Sales(3y)15.42%
Cap/Sales(5y)16.59%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-39.54%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y39.8%
EPS Q2Q%-60.84%
EPS Next Y13.19%
EPS Next 2Y3.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-17.17%
Revenue Next Year-3.59%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.08%
Revenue Next 3Y-55.45%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-20.85%
EBIT growth 3Y6.77%
EBIT growth 5Y11.17%
EBIT Next Year32.75%
EBIT Next 3Y8.63%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y400.85%
FCF growth 3Y37.84%
FCF growth 5Y12%
OCF growth 1Y66.81%
OCF growth 3Y26.04%
OCF growth 5Y10.24%

ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR / EC Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR (EC) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to EC.


Can you provide the valuation status for ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR (EC). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of EC stock?

ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR (EC) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for EC stock?

The financial health rating of ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR (EC) is 3 / 10.