ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR (EC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:EC • US2791581091

Current stock price

13.92 USD
-0.24 (-1.69%)
At close:
14 USD
+0.08 (+0.57%)
Pre-Market:

This EC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. EC Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past 5 years EC has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years EC had a positive operating cash flow.
EC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20T 40T 60T

1.2 Ratios

  • EC has a Return On Assets of 3.18%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EC outperforms 50.48% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 10.78%, EC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EC has a better Return On Invested Capital (7.20%) than 65.71% of its industry peers.
  • EC had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 9.50%. This is significantly below the industry average of 22.51%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.18%
ROE 10.78%
ROIC 7.2%
ROA(3y)4.96%
ROA(5y)6.53%
ROE(3y)17.65%
ROE(5y)22.58%
ROIC(3y)9.5%
ROIC(5y)10.76%
EC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • With a Profit Margin value of 7.54%, EC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.90% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EC has grown nicely.
  • EC has a better Operating Margin (22.66%) than 63.81% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EC has grown nicely.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 31.44%, EC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EC has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.66%
PM (TTM) 7.54%
GM 31.44%
OM growth 3Y-15.82%
OM growth 5Y11.56%
PM growth 3Y-28.86%
PM growth 5Y17.46%
GM growth 3Y-10.53%
GM growth 5Y4.75%
EC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40

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3

2. EC Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The number of shares outstanding for EC remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, EC has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • The debt/assets ratio for EC has been reduced compared to a year ago.
EC Yearly Shares OutstandingEC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
EC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100T 200T 300T

2.2 Solvency

  • EC has a debt to FCF ratio of 8.73. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as EC would need 8.73 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • EC has a Debt to FCF ratio of 8.73. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EC outperforms 59.05% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.18 is on the high side and indicates that EC has dependencies on debt financing.
  • EC has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.18. This is in the lower half of the industry: EC underperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.18
Debt/FCF 8.73
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
EC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20T 40T 60T 80T 100T

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.55 indicates that EC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 1.55, EC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.24% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.30 indicates that EC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.30, EC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.29% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.55
Quick Ratio 1.3
EC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20T 40T 60T

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3

3. EC Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for EC have decreased strongly by -39.54% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 39.80% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue for EC has decreased by -10.23% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • Measured over the past years, EC shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 19.06% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-39.54%
EPS 3Y-35.34%
EPS 5Y39.8%
EPS Q2Q%-60.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.23%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.12%
Revenue growth 5Y19.06%
Sales Q2Q%-17.17%

3.2 Future

  • EC is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -3.74% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -55.45% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y17.19%
EPS Next 2Y6.39%
EPS Next 3Y-3.74%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-3.59%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.08%
Revenue Next 3Y-55.45%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
EC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 50T 100T 150T
EC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 5K 10K 15K

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1

4. EC Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
EC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 0 0 0 0

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EC Per share dataEC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • EC has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • EC's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.74% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y6.39%
EPS Next 3Y-3.74%

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5

5. EC Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.65%, EC is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.50, EC pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • EC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.80.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.65%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of EC is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 6.05%!
  • EC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.05%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
EC Yearly Dividends per shareEC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100 200 300 400 500

5.3 Sustainability

  • 129.78% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EC. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The Dividend Rate of EC has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP129.78%
EPS Next 2Y6.39%
EPS Next 3Y-3.74%
EC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10T 20T 30T
EC Dividend Payout.EC Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EC Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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EC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR

NYSE:EC (5/1/2026, 8:23:07 PM)

Premarket: 14 +0.08 (+0.57%)

13.92

-0.24 (-1.69%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Industry StrengthN/A
Industry GrowthN/A
Earnings (Last)03-05
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners6.2%
Inst Owner Change1.45%
Ins Owners0.05%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap28.62B
Revenue(TTM)119.69T
Net Income(TTM)9.03T
Analysts51.67
Price Target12.93 (-7.11%)
Short Float %3.73%
Short Ratio2.48
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.65%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.05%
DP129.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date04-29
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)20.88%
Min EPS beat(2)-12.01%
Max EPS beat(2)53.77%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)10.06%
Min EPS beat(4)-44.1%
Max EPS beat(4)53.77%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)8.09%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)7.82%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)5.46%
Min Revenue beat(2)4.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.55%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.25%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.55%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.15%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.58%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-22.42%
PT rev (1m)-5.44%
PT rev (3m)-5.44%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.15%
EPS NQ rev (3m)81.63%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.38%
EPS NY rev (3m)-10.63%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)11.95%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.29%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S N/A
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)N/A
EYN/A
EPS(NY)N/A
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpSN/A
BVpSN/A
TBVpSN/A
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.18%
ROE 10.78%
ROCE 10.87%
ROIC 7.2%
ROICexc 7.59%
ROICexgc 8.24%
OM 22.66%
PM (TTM) 7.54%
GM 31.44%
FCFM 10.46%
ROA(3y)4.96%
ROA(5y)6.53%
ROE(3y)17.65%
ROE(5y)22.58%
ROIC(3y)9.5%
ROIC(5y)10.76%
ROICexc(3y)10.09%
ROICexc(5y)11.51%
ROICexgc(3y)11.02%
ROICexgc(5y)12.67%
ROCE(3y)14.35%
ROCE(5y)16.25%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-24.52%
ROICexgc growth 5Y16.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y-23.93%
ROICexc growth 5Y14.71%
OM growth 3Y-15.82%
OM growth 5Y11.56%
PM growth 3Y-28.86%
PM growth 5Y17.46%
GM growth 3Y-10.53%
GM growth 5Y4.75%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.42
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.18
Debt/FCF 8.73
Debt/EBITDA 2.29
Cap/Depr 129.3%
Cap/Sales 17.4%
Interest Coverage 3.31
Cash Conversion 77.13%
Profit Quality 138.62%
Current Ratio 1.55
Quick Ratio 1.3
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score6
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)147.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)150.53%
Cap/Sales(3y)16.64%
Cap/Sales(5y)15.63%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-39.54%
EPS 3Y-35.34%
EPS 5Y39.8%
EPS Q2Q%-60.84%
EPS Next Y17.19%
EPS Next 2Y6.39%
EPS Next 3Y-3.74%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.23%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.12%
Revenue growth 5Y19.06%
Sales Q2Q%-17.17%
Revenue Next Year-3.59%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.08%
Revenue Next 3Y-55.45%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-25.23%
EBIT growth 3Y-23.49%
EBIT growth 5Y32.82%
EBIT Next Year65.99%
EBIT Next 3Y19.46%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-48.28%
FCF growth 3Y-4.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-26.12%
OCF growth 3Y-2.74%
OCF growth 5Y29.41%

ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR / EC Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR (EC) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EC.


Can you provide the valuation status for ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR (EC). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of EC stock?

ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR (EC) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for EC stock?

The financial health rating of ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR (EC) is 3 / 10.