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CHINA YUCHAI INTL LTD (CYD) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:CYD - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - BMG210821051 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

16.49  +1.19 (+7.78%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to CYD. CYD was compared to 128 industry peers in the Machinery industry. Both the profitability and financial health of CYD have multiple concerns. CYD is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

CYD had positive earnings in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years CYD has been profitable.
In multiple years CYD reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
CYD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCYD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.18%, CYD is doing worse than 64.84% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Equity value of 3.17%, CYD is not doing good in the industry: 62.50% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 3.75%, CYD is not doing good in the industry: 65.63% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.18%
ROE 3.17%
ROIC 3.75%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CYD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCYD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of CYD (1.58%) is worse than 63.28% of its industry peers.
CYD's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 3.38%, CYD is doing worse than 66.41% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CYD has declined.
With a Gross Margin value of 16.16%, CYD is not doing good in the industry: 79.69% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CYD has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.38%
PM (TTM) 1.58%
GM 16.16%
OM growth 3Y-11.8%
OM growth 5Y-13.33%
PM growth 3Y-15.98%
PM growth 5Y-18.02%
GM growth 3Y1.39%
GM growth 5Y-3.2%
CYD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCYD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5 10 15 20

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

CYD has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
CYD has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
CYD Yearly Shares OutstandingCYD Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10M 20M 30M 40M
CYD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCYD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.67, we must say that CYD is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.67, CYD is not doing good in the industry: 68.75% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
CYD has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.03. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
CYD has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.03. This is in the better half of the industry: CYD outperforms 79.69% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.03
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.67
ROIC/WACC0.4
WACC9.46%
CYD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCYD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.52 indicates that CYD should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
CYD's Current ratio of 1.52 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CYD is outperformed by 73.44% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.08 indicates that CYD should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
CYD has a worse Quick ratio (1.08) than 63.28% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.52
Quick Ratio 1.08
CYD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCYD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 5B 10B 15B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

CYD shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 30.62%, which is quite impressive.
The earnings per share for CYD have been decreasing by -16.24% on average. This is quite bad
Looking at the last year, CYD shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 12.57% in the last year.
CYD shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.10% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.62%
EPS 3Y-19.49%
EPS 5Y-16.24%
EPS Q2Q%-14.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.57%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y2.1%
Sales Q2Q%18.94%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, CYD will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 4.39% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, CYD will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.73% on average per year.
EPS Next Y7.16%
EPS Next 2Y11.7%
EPS Next 3Y4.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.21%
Revenue Next 2Y4.56%
Revenue Next 3Y6.73%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
CYD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCYD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5B 10B 15B 20B
CYD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCYD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5 10 15

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 17.18, CYD is valued on the expensive side.
71.09% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CYD, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
CYD is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.75, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.19 indicates a correct valuation of CYD.
CYD's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CYD is cheaper than 82.81% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.49, CYD is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.18
Fwd PE 12.19
CYD Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCYD Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
CYD Per share dataCYD EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)2.4
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y11.7%
EPS Next 3Y4.39%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CYD has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.49%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.06, CYD pays a better dividend. On top of this CYD pays more dividend than 88.28% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.44, CYD has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.49%

5.2 History

CYD has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
The dividend of CYD decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
CYD Yearly Dividends per shareCYD Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y11.7%
EPS Next 3Y4.39%
CYD Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCYD Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

CHINA YUCHAI INTL LTD

NYSE:CYD (5/2/2025, 1:07:01 PM)

16.49

+1.19 (+7.78%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-25 2025-02-25/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners13.2%
Inst Owner Change-0.24%
Ins Owners0.16%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap618.70M
Analysts45
Price Target17.95 (8.85%)
Short Float %2.91%
Short Ratio0.66
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.49%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)24.82%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.18
Fwd PE 12.19
P/S 0.25
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.5
P/tB 0.63
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)0.96
EY5.82%
EPS(NY)1.35
Fwd EY8.2%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS66.2
BVpS33.05
TBVpS26.17
PEG (NY)2.4
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.18%
ROE 3.17%
ROCE 4.72%
ROIC 3.75%
ROICexc 5.97%
ROICexgc 7.77%
OM 3.38%
PM (TTM) 1.58%
GM 16.16%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.8%
OM growth 5Y-13.33%
PM growth 3Y-15.98%
PM growth 5Y-18.02%
GM growth 3Y1.39%
GM growth 5Y-3.2%
F-ScoreN/A
Asset Turnover0.75
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.03
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.52
Quick Ratio 1.08
Altman-Z 1.67
F-ScoreN/A
WACC9.46%
ROIC/WACC0.4
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.62%
EPS 3Y-19.49%
EPS 5Y-16.24%
EPS Q2Q%-14.3%
EPS Next Y7.16%
EPS Next 2Y11.7%
EPS Next 3Y4.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.57%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y2.1%
Sales Q2Q%18.94%
Revenue Next Year8.21%
Revenue Next 2Y4.56%
Revenue Next 3Y6.73%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y17.36%
EBIT growth 3Y-15.58%
EBIT growth 5Y-11.51%
EBIT Next Year71.55%
EBIT Next 3Y25.12%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A