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CANADIAN TIRE CORP-CLASS A (CTC-A.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:CTC-A - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA1366812024 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

150.95  +0.18 (+0.12%)

Fundamental Rating

6

Taking everything into account, CTC-A scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CTC-A was compared to 3 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of CTC-A get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. CTC-A may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth Finally CTC-A also has an excellent dividend rating. These ratings could make CTC-A a good candidate for value and dividend investing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year CTC-A was profitable.
CTC-A had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
CTC-A had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years CTC-A always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CTC-A.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCTC-A.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of CTC-A (3.99%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
CTC-A has a better Return On Equity (14.42%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
CTC-A has a better Return On Invested Capital (6.53%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CTC-A is significantly below the industry average of 11.59%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.99%
ROE 14.42%
ROIC 6.53%
ROA(3y)3.23%
ROA(5y)3.71%
ROE(3y)12.28%
ROE(5y)15.11%
ROIC(3y)6.58%
ROIC(5y)6.89%
CTC-A.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCTC-A.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of CTC-A (5.43%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
CTC-A's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of CTC-A (9.75%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
CTC-A's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 34.35%, CTC-A is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
CTC-A's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.75%
PM (TTM) 5.43%
GM 34.35%
OM growth 3Y-6.1%
OM growth 5Y-0.42%
PM growth 3Y-7.79%
PM growth 5Y0.27%
GM growth 3Y-1.38%
GM growth 5Y0.48%
CTC-A.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCTC-A.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

CTC-A has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
CTC-A has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for CTC-A has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
CTC-A has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
CTC-A.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCTC-A.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
CTC-A.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCTC-A.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

CTC-A has an Altman-Z score of 1.91. This is not the best score and indicates that CTC-A is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
CTC-A's Altman-Z score of 1.91 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CTC-A is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CTC-A is 5.54, which is a neutral value as it means it would take CTC-A, 5.54 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CTC-A's Debt to FCF ratio of 5.54 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CTC-A outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
CTC-A has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.11. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
CTC-A has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.11. This is amongst the best in the industry. CTC-A outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.11
Debt/FCF 5.54
Altman-Z 1.91
ROIC/WACC0.84
WACC7.76%
CTC-A.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCTC-A.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.79 indicates that CTC-A should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
CTC-A has a Current ratio of 1.79. This is amongst the best in the industry. CTC-A outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.39 indicates that CTC-A should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
CTC-A's Quick ratio of 1.39 is amongst the best of the industry. CTC-A outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.79
Quick Ratio 1.39
CTC-A.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCTC-A.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 20.92% over the past year.
CTC-A shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -0.74% yearly.
Looking at the last year, CTC-A shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -1.79% in the last year.
CTC-A shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.39% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)20.92%
EPS 3Y-12.66%
EPS 5Y-0.74%
EPS Q2Q%20.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.79%
Revenue growth 3Y0.13%
Revenue growth 5Y2.39%
Sales Q2Q%1.45%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, CTC-A will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.02% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.84% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y4.67%
EPS Next 2Y8.5%
EPS Next 3Y9.02%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year0.42%
Revenue Next 2Y1.11%
Revenue Next 3Y0.84%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CTC-A.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCTC-A.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 5B 10B 15B
CTC-A.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCTC-A.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 5 10 15

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 11.98 indicates a reasonable valuation of CTC-A.
CTC-A's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CTC-A is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
CTC-A is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.22, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
CTC-A is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.45.
CTC-A's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CTC-A is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CTC-A to the average of the S&P500 Index (20.86), we can say CTC-A is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.98
Fwd PE 11.45
CTC-A.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCTC-A.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CTC-A indicates a rather cheap valuation: CTC-A is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
100.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CTC-A, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 5.83
EV/EBITDA 6.15
CTC-A.CA Per share dataCTC-A.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150 200 250

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates CTC-A does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
CTC-A has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.57
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.5%
EPS Next 3Y9.02%

8

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CTC-A has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.75%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.25, CTC-A pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.44, CTC-A pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.75%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of CTC-A grows each year by 20.98%, which is quite nice.
CTC-A has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
CTC-A has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)20.98%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years34
CTC-A.CA Yearly Dividends per shareCTC-A.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

40.53% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CTC-A. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
CTC-A's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP40.53%
EPS Next 2Y8.5%
EPS Next 3Y9.02%
CTC-A.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCTC-A.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
CTC-A.CA Dividend Payout.CTC-A.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CTC-A.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CANADIAN TIRE CORP-CLASS A

TSX:CTC-A (5/2/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

150.95

+0.18 (+0.12%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)02-13 2025-02-13/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-08 2025-05-08
Inst Owners34.37%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.49%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap8.32B
Analysts72
Price Target163.29 (8.17%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.75%
Yearly Dividend6.47
Dividend Growth(5Y)20.98%
DP40.53%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date04-30 2025-04-30 (1.775)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.04%
Min EPS beat(2)-7.38%
Max EPS beat(2)15.47%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)38.04%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.38%
Max EPS beat(4)101.26%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)9.74%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)11.39%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)30%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.28%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.83%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.65%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.7%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.06%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.95%
PT rev (1m)-0.17%
PT rev (3m)-0.07%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.38%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.5%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.99%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.39%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.04%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.98
Fwd PE 11.45
P/S 0.51
P/FCF 5.83
P/OCF 4.03
P/B 1.35
P/tB 2.09
EV/EBITDA 6.15
EPS(TTM)12.6
EY8.35%
EPS(NY)13.19
Fwd EY8.74%
FCF(TTM)25.9
FCFY17.16%
OCF(TTM)37.46
OCFY24.82%
SpS296.93
BVpS111.73
TBVpS72.22
PEG (NY)2.57
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.99%
ROE 14.42%
ROCE 10.03%
ROIC 6.53%
ROICexc 6.76%
ROICexgc 7.81%
OM 9.75%
PM (TTM) 5.43%
GM 34.35%
FCFM 8.72%
ROA(3y)3.23%
ROA(5y)3.71%
ROE(3y)12.28%
ROE(5y)15.11%
ROIC(3y)6.58%
ROIC(5y)6.89%
ROICexc(3y)6.79%
ROICexc(5y)7.49%
ROICexgc(3y)7.91%
ROICexgc(5y)8.89%
ROCE(3y)10.28%
ROCE(5y)10.62%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-13.7%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-1.08%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.15%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.32%
OM growth 3Y-6.1%
OM growth 5Y-0.42%
PM growth 3Y-7.79%
PM growth 5Y0.27%
GM growth 3Y-1.38%
GM growth 5Y0.48%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.11
Debt/FCF 5.54
Debt/EBITDA 2.86
Cap/Depr 81.11%
Cap/Sales 3.89%
Interest Coverage 3.86
Cash Conversion 86.71%
Profit Quality 160.75%
Current Ratio 1.79
Quick Ratio 1.39
Altman-Z 1.91
F-Score8
WACC7.76%
ROIC/WACC0.84
Cap/Depr(3y)92.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)90.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.2%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.06%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)20.92%
EPS 3Y-12.66%
EPS 5Y-0.74%
EPS Q2Q%20.41%
EPS Next Y4.67%
EPS Next 2Y8.5%
EPS Next 3Y9.02%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.79%
Revenue growth 3Y0.13%
Revenue growth 5Y2.39%
Sales Q2Q%1.45%
Revenue Next Year0.42%
Revenue Next 2Y1.11%
Revenue Next 3Y0.84%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y34.32%
EBIT growth 3Y-5.98%
EBIT growth 5Y1.96%
EBIT Next Year55.25%
EBIT Next 3Y18.07%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y108.29%
FCF growth 3Y11.28%
FCF growth 5Y24.67%
OCF growth 1Y52.46%
OCF growth 3Y4.39%
OCF growth 5Y13.67%