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CSX CORP (CSX) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:CSX - US1264081035 - Common Stock

36.5 USD
-0.11 (-0.3%)
Last: 12/19/2025, 8:00:00 PM
36.5 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 12/19/2025, 8:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Overall CSX gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated CSX against 43 industry peers in the Ground Transportation industry. While CSX has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. CSX has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

CSX had positive earnings in the past year.
CSX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
CSX had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
CSX had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
CSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 6.71%, CSX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.07% of the companies in the same industry.
CSX has a better Return On Equity (22.76%) than 88.37% of its industry peers.
CSX's Return On Invested Capital of 9.01% is amongst the best of the industry. CSX outperforms 86.05% of its industry peers.
CSX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.70%. This is above the industry average of 6.83%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.71%
ROE 22.76%
ROIC 9.01%
ROA(3y)8.91%
ROA(5y)8.6%
ROE(3y)30.47%
ROE(5y)28.11%
ROIC(3y)10.7%
ROIC(5y)10.22%
CSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 20.55%, CSX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.05% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CSX has declined.
CSX's Operating Margin of 33.82% is amongst the best of the industry. CSX outperforms 90.70% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CSX has declined.
The Gross Margin of CSX (71.17%) is better than 83.72% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CSX has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 33.82%
PM (TTM) 20.55%
GM 71.17%
OM growth 3Y-3.63%
OM growth 5Y-2.08%
PM growth 3Y-7.54%
PM growth 5Y-3.07%
GM growth 3Y-1.48%
GM growth 5Y-1.36%
CSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

CSX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for CSX has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
CSX has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
CSX has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
CSX Yearly Shares OutstandingCSX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
CSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.35 indicates that CSX is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of CSX (2.35) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CSX is 12.35, which is on the high side as it means it would take CSX, 12.35 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CSX has a Debt to FCF ratio of 12.35. This is in the better half of the industry: CSX outperforms 67.44% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.45 is on the high side and indicates that CSX has dependencies on debt financing.
CSX has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.45) than 76.74% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.45
Debt/FCF 12.35
Altman-Z 2.35
ROIC/WACC0.94
WACC9.59%
CSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.85 indicates that CSX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
CSX has a Current ratio of 0.85. This is in the lower half of the industry: CSX underperforms 72.09% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.71 indicates that CSX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of CSX (0.71) is worse than 79.07% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.71
CSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

CSX shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -11.83%.
CSX shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 5.65% yearly.
Looking at the last year, CSX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.80% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, CSX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 4.02% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.83%
EPS 3Y5.69%
EPS 5Y5.65%
EPS Q2Q%-4.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.8%
Revenue growth 3Y5.11%
Revenue growth 5Y4.02%
Sales Q2Q%-0.88%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 7.27% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.86% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-8.34%
EPS Next 2Y2.75%
EPS Next 3Y5.55%
EPS Next 5Y7.27%
Revenue Next Year-2.72%
Revenue Next 2Y0.69%
Revenue Next 3Y1.93%
Revenue Next 5Y2.86%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B
CSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 22.26 indicates a rather expensive valuation of CSX.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CSX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 74.42% of the companies are valued more expensively.
CSX's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 26.38.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.89 indicates a rather expensive valuation of CSX.
74.42% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CSX, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
CSX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.26
Fwd PE 18.89
CSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

CSX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
67.44% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CSX, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 43.79
EV/EBITDA 13.39
CSX Per share dataCSX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The decent profitability rating of CSX may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)3.94
EPS Next 2Y2.75%
EPS Next 3Y5.55%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CSX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.40%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.72, CSX pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.87, CSX is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.4%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of CSX grows each year by 8.56%, which is quite nice.
CSX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
CSX has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.56%
Div Incr Years20
Div Non Decr Years22
CSX Yearly Dividends per shareCSX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

CSX pays out 33.08% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
CSX's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP33.08%
EPS Next 2Y2.75%
EPS Next 3Y5.55%
CSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
CSX Dividend Payout.CSX Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CSX Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CSX CORP

NASDAQ:CSX (12/19/2025, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 36.5 0 (0%)

36.5

-0.11 (-0.3%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)10-16 2025-10-16/amc
Earnings (Next)01-21 2026-01-21/amc
Inst Owners79.98%
Inst Owner Change1.63%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change-0.05%
Market Cap67.97B
Revenue(TTM)14.12B
Net Income(TTM)2.90B
Analysts80.67
Price Target40.09 (9.84%)
Short Float %1.8%
Short Ratio2.54
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.4%
Yearly Dividend0.48
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.56%
DP33.08%
Div Incr Years20
Div Non Decr Years22
Ex-Date11-28 2025-11-28 (0.13)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.34%
Min EPS beat(2)2.41%
Max EPS beat(2)4.27%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.98%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.88%
Max EPS beat(4)4.27%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.66%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)0.18%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)1.39%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.24%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.66%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.23%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.66%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.22%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.87%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.02%
PT rev (1m)0.23%
PT rev (3m)2.95%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.3%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.99%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.47%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.55%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.35%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.26
Fwd PE 18.89
P/S 4.81
P/FCF 43.79
P/OCF 14.73
P/B 5.33
P/tB 5.44
EV/EBITDA 13.39
EPS(TTM)1.64
EY4.49%
EPS(NY)1.93
Fwd EY5.29%
FCF(TTM)0.83
FCFY2.28%
OCF(TTM)2.48
OCFY6.79%
SpS7.58
BVpS6.85
TBVpS6.7
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)3.94
Graham Number15.9
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.71%
ROE 22.76%
ROCE 11.85%
ROIC 9.01%
ROICexc 9.15%
ROICexgc 9.22%
OM 33.82%
PM (TTM) 20.55%
GM 71.17%
FCFM 10.99%
ROA(3y)8.91%
ROA(5y)8.6%
ROE(3y)30.47%
ROE(5y)28.11%
ROIC(3y)10.7%
ROIC(5y)10.22%
ROICexc(3y)11.14%
ROICexc(5y)10.77%
ROICexgc(3y)11.31%
ROICexgc(5y)10.9%
ROCE(3y)14.07%
ROCE(5y)13.44%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-0.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-0.33%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.95%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.55%
OM growth 3Y-3.63%
OM growth 5Y-2.08%
PM growth 3Y-7.54%
PM growth 5Y-3.07%
GM growth 3Y-1.48%
GM growth 5Y-1.36%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.33
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.45
Debt/FCF 12.35
Debt/EBITDA 2.87
Cap/Depr 180.39%
Cap/Sales 21.69%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 71.29%
Profit Quality 53.48%
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.71
Altman-Z 2.35
F-Score5
WACC9.59%
ROIC/WACC0.94
Cap/Depr(3y)145.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)135.78%
Cap/Sales(3y)15.72%
Cap/Sales(5y)15.36%
Profit Quality(3y)83.6%
Profit Quality(5y)86.73%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.83%
EPS 3Y5.69%
EPS 5Y5.65%
EPS Q2Q%-4.35%
EPS Next Y-8.34%
EPS Next 2Y2.75%
EPS Next 3Y5.55%
EPS Next 5Y7.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.8%
Revenue growth 3Y5.11%
Revenue growth 5Y4.02%
Sales Q2Q%-0.88%
Revenue Next Year-2.72%
Revenue Next 2Y0.69%
Revenue Next 3Y1.93%
Revenue Next 5Y2.86%
EBIT growth 1Y-12.17%
EBIT growth 3Y1.29%
EBIT growth 5Y1.85%
EBIT Next Year20.61%
EBIT Next 3Y11.64%
EBIT Next 5Y8.89%
FCF growth 1Y-50.29%
FCF growth 3Y-6.34%
FCF growth 5Y-3.17%
OCF growth 1Y-14.36%
OCF growth 3Y0.96%
OCF growth 5Y1.59%

CSX CORP / CSX FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CSX CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CSX.


What is the valuation status for CSX stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CSX CORP (CSX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CSX CORP?

CSX CORP (CSX) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CSX CORP (CSX) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CSX CORP (CSX) is 22.26 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 5.33.


How sustainable is the dividend of CSX CORP (CSX) stock?

The dividend rating of CSX CORP (CSX) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 33.08%.