CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:COP - US20825C1045 - Common Stock
94.1 USD
+1.47 (+1.59%)
93.87 USD
-0.23 (-0.24%)
COP gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. COP has an average financial health and profitability rating. COP is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
COP had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year COP had a positive cash flow from operations.
COP had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years COP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 7.20%, COP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.47% of the companies in the same industry.
COP's Return On Equity of 13.59% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 75.12% of its industry peers.
COP's Return On Invested Capital of 7.70% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 71.77% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for COP is significantly below the industry average of 21.18%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.70%) for COP is well below the 3 year average (13.48%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that COP had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.2% | ||
| ROE | 13.59% | ||
| ROIC | 7.7% |
ROA(3y)12.91%
ROA(5y)8.66%
ROE(3y)25.06%
ROE(5y)16.77%
ROIC(3y)13.48%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
COP has a better Profit Margin (14.76%) than 65.07% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of COP has declined.
COP has a Operating Margin (21.10%) which is in line with its industry peers.
COP's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
COP has a Gross Margin (46.10%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
COP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 21.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.76% | ||
| GM | 46.1% |
OM growth 3Y-5.12%
OM growth 5Y1.4%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y-5.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.54%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
COP has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, COP has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for COP has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
COP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
COP has an Altman-Z score of 2.86. This is not the best score and indicates that COP is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
COP has a Altman-Z score of 2.86. This is amongst the best in the industry. COP outperforms 81.34% of its industry peers.
COP has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.31. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as COP would need 3.31 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of COP (3.31) is better than 74.64% of its industry peers.
COP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.35, COP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.85% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.86 |
ROIC/WACC0.97
WACC7.96%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.32 indicates that COP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
COP has a Current ratio (1.32) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.18 indicates that COP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.18, COP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.24% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for COP have decreased strongly by -13.31% in the last year.
COP shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 16.70% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 8.24% in the past year. This is quite good.
Measured over the past years, COP shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.04% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.31%
EPS 3Y9%
EPS 5Y16.7%
EPS Q2Q%-9.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.24%
Revenue growth 3Y6.11%
Revenue growth 5Y11.04%
Sales Q2Q%14.1%
3.2 Future
COP is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.65% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, COP will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.33% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-15.41%
EPS Next 2Y-10.47%
EPS Next 3Y0.91%
EPS Next 5Y8.65%
Revenue Next Year8.89%
Revenue Next 2Y1.78%
Revenue Next 3Y3.57%
Revenue Next 5Y4.33%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 13.25, the valuation of COP can be described as correct.
COP's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. COP is cheaper than 62.20% of the companies in the same industry.
COP's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.77.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.11, which indicates a correct valuation of COP.
COP's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.35. COP is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.25 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.11 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, COP is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.77% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of COP is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16.41 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.57 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
COP has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.79
EPS Next 2Y-10.47%
EPS Next 3Y0.91%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
COP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.66%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.93, COP has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.00, COP pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.66% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of COP grows each year by 17.10%, which is quite nice.
COP has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)17.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
43.68% of the earnings are spent on dividend by COP. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
COP's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP43.68%
EPS Next 2Y-10.47%
EPS Next 3Y0.91%
94.1
+1.47 (+1.59%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners83.96%
Inst Owner Change3.25%
Ins Owners0.07%
Ins Owner Change20.95%
Market Cap116.28B
Revenue(TTM)59.79B
Net Income(TTM)8.82B
Analysts80.59
Price Target114.36 (21.53%)
Short Float %1.37%
Short Ratio2.45
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.66% |
Yearly Dividend2.97
Dividend Growth(5Y)17.1%
DP43.68%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)6.69%
Min EPS beat(2)1.92%
Max EPS beat(2)11.45%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)5.2%
Min EPS beat(4)0.59%
Max EPS beat(4)11.45%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.07%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.93%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)3.85%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.28%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.38%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.12%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.28%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.38%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.19%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.59%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)1%
PT rev (1m)-0.99%
PT rev (3m)-3.95%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.13%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.92%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.91%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.11%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.83%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.36%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.25 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.11 | ||
| P/S | 1.94 | ||
| P/FCF | 16.41 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.83 | ||
| P/B | 1.79 | ||
| P/tB | 1.79 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.57 |
EPS(TTM)7.1
EY7.55%
EPS(NY)6.23
Fwd EY6.62%
FCF(TTM)5.74
FCFY6.1%
OCF(TTM)16.13
OCFY17.14%
SpS48.38
BVpS52.54
TBVpS52.54
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.79
Graham Number91.61
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.2% | ||
| ROE | 13.59% | ||
| ROCE | 11.42% | ||
| ROIC | 7.7% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.17% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.17% | ||
| OM | 21.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.76% | ||
| GM | 46.1% | ||
| FCFM | 11.86% |
ROA(3y)12.91%
ROA(5y)8.66%
ROE(3y)25.06%
ROE(5y)16.77%
ROIC(3y)13.48%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)14.87%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)14.87%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)19.99%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-10.62%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-0.85%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.62%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.85%
OM growth 3Y-5.12%
OM growth 5Y1.4%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y-5.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.54%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.31 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.94 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 115.07% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 21.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 14.47 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 83.82% | ||
| Profit Quality | 80.33% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.86 |
F-Score5
WACC7.96%
ROIC/WACC0.97
Cap/Depr(3y)132.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.37%
Profit Quality(3y)88.06%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.31%
EPS 3Y9%
EPS 5Y16.7%
EPS Q2Q%-9.55%
EPS Next Y-15.41%
EPS Next 2Y-10.47%
EPS Next 3Y0.91%
EPS Next 5Y8.65%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.24%
Revenue growth 3Y6.11%
Revenue growth 5Y11.04%
Sales Q2Q%14.1%
Revenue Next Year8.89%
Revenue Next 2Y1.78%
Revenue Next 3Y3.57%
Revenue Next 5Y4.33%
EBIT growth 1Y-10.43%
EBIT growth 3Y0.67%
EBIT growth 5Y12.6%
EBIT Next Year69.32%
EBIT Next 3Y21.2%
EBIT Next 5Y13.71%
FCF growth 1Y-31.82%
FCF growth 3Y-11.81%
FCF growth 5Y12.37%
OCF growth 1Y-6.38%
OCF growth 3Y5.79%
OCF growth 5Y12.63%
CONOCOPHILLIPS / COP FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to COP.
What is the valuation status of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?
CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the valuation of CONOCOPHILLIPS based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) is 13.25 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.79.
What is the financial health of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?
The financial health rating of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) is 5 / 10.