CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:COP • US20825C1045

Current stock price

121.32 USD
-0.57 (-0.47%)
At close:
121.48 USD
+0.16 (+0.13%)
After Hours:

This COP fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. COP Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year COP was profitable.
  • In the past year COP had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years COP has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years COP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
COP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCOP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • COP's Return On Assets of 6.53% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 72.95% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of COP (12.35%) is better than 68.12% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 6.88%, COP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • COP had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.46%. This is significantly below the industry average of 22.49%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.53%
ROE 12.35%
ROIC 6.88%
ROA(3y)8.47%
ROA(5y)10.83%
ROE(3y)16.25%
ROE(5y)21.06%
ROIC(3y)8.46%
ROIC(5y)11.22%
COP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCOP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • COP's Profit Margin of 13.51% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 63.77% of its industry peers.
  • COP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • COP has a Operating Margin (19.63%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of COP has declined.
  • COP has a Gross Margin (44.60%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • COP's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 19.63%
PM (TTM) 13.51%
GM 44.6%
OM growth 3Y-16.11%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-17.12%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.28%
GM growth 5Y5.66%
COP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCOP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

More info and screens

ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

6

2. COP Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), COP is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, COP has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, COP has more shares outstanding
  • COP has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
COP Yearly Shares OutstandingCOP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
COP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCOP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

  • COP has an Altman-Z score of 3.18. This indicates that COP is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • COP's Altman-Z score of 3.18 is amongst the best of the industry. COP outperforms 80.68% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of COP is 3.24, which is a good value as it means it would take COP, 3.24 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of COP (3.24) is better than 74.40% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35 indicates that COP is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • COP has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.35. This is in the better half of the industry: COP outperforms 61.35% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF 3.24
Altman-Z 3.18
ROIC/WACC0.86
WACC7.97%
COP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCOP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20B 40B 60B

2.3 Liquidity

  • COP has a Current Ratio of 1.30. This is a normal value and indicates that COP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • COP has a Current ratio (1.30) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.14 indicates that COP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 1.14, COP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.90% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.3
Quick Ratio 1.14
COP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCOP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. COP Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for COP have decreased strongly by -20.98% in the last year.
  • COP shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -23.08% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, COP shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 7.67% in the last year.
  • COP shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 25.70% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.98%
EPS 3Y-23.08%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-48.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.67%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.11%
Revenue growth 5Y25.7%
Sales Q2Q%-3.75%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, COP will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 14.15% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, COP will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.70% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-19.7%
EPS Next 2Y3.68%
EPS Next 3Y10.63%
EPS Next 5Y14.15%
Revenue Next Year-8.6%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.36%
Revenue Next 3Y2.69%
Revenue Next 5Y4.7%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
COP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCOP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B
COP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCOP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 5 10

More info and screens

Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

2

4. COP Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 19.76 indicates a rather expensive valuation of COP.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of COP is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of COP to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.96), we can say COP is valued slightly cheaper.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.61, COP is valued on the expensive side.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as COP.
  • COP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 24.04.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.76
Fwd PE 24.61
COP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCOP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, COP is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.18% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as COP.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 20.47
EV/EBITDA 7.15
COP Per share dataCOP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y3.68%
EPS Next 3Y10.63%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. COP Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • COP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.79%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • COP's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.47.
  • COP's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.91.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.79%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of COP grows each year by 13.43%, which is quite nice.
  • COP has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.43%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
COP Yearly Dividends per shareCOP Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

  • 50.18% of the earnings are spent on dividend by COP. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of COP is growing around the same rate as the earnings are growing. If this keeps up the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP50.18%
EPS Next 2Y3.68%
EPS Next 3Y10.63%
COP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCOP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B
COP Dividend Payout.COP Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.COP Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

COP Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CONOCOPHILLIPS

NYSE:COP (3/16/2026, 8:16:26 PM)

After market: 121.48 +0.16 (+0.13%)

121.32

-0.57 (-0.47%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners84.6%
Inst Owner Change-0.49%
Ins Owners0.1%
Ins Owner Change21.4%
Market Cap148.29B
Revenue(TTM)58.94B
Net Income(TTM)7.96B
Analysts78.79
Price Target119.02 (-1.9%)
Short Float %1.63%
Short Ratio2.11
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.79%
Yearly Dividend3.19
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.43%
DP50.18%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date02-18
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.15%
Min EPS beat(2)-9.14%
Max EPS beat(2)11.45%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.14%
Max EPS beat(4)11.45%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.2%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.54%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)3.1%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.38%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.36%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.28%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.38%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.71%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.84%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.39%
PT rev (1m)2.77%
PT rev (3m)3.87%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.86%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-20.1%
EPS NY rev (1m)-9.34%
EPS NY rev (3m)-22.18%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.15%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.33%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.73%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.93%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.76
Fwd PE 24.61
P/S 2.52
P/FCF 20.47
P/OCF 7.49
P/B 2.3
P/tB 2.3
EV/EBITDA 7.15
EPS(TTM)6.14
EY5.06%
EPS(NY)4.93
Fwd EY4.06%
FCF(TTM)5.93
FCFY4.88%
OCF(TTM)16.2
OCFY13.35%
SpS48.22
BVpS52.76
TBVpS52.76
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number85.37
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.53%
ROE 12.35%
ROCE 10.52%
ROIC 6.88%
ROICexc 7.35%
ROICexgc 7.35%
OM 19.63%
PM (TTM) 13.51%
GM 44.6%
FCFM 12.29%
ROA(3y)8.47%
ROA(5y)10.83%
ROE(3y)16.25%
ROE(5y)21.06%
ROIC(3y)8.46%
ROIC(5y)11.22%
ROICexc(3y)9.07%
ROICexc(5y)12.26%
ROICexgc(3y)9.07%
ROICexgc(5y)12.26%
ROCE(3y)12.95%
ROCE(5y)17.16%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-32.41%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-32.41%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-16.11%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-17.12%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.28%
GM growth 5Y5.66%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF 3.24
Debt/EBITDA 0.97
Cap/Depr 109.16%
Cap/Sales 21.3%
Interest Coverage 15.29
Cash Conversion 85.8%
Profit Quality 90.98%
Current Ratio 1.3
Quick Ratio 1.14
Altman-Z 3.18
F-Score7
WACC7.97%
ROIC/WACC0.86
Cap/Depr(3y)123.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)116.13%
Cap/Sales(3y)21.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.61%
Profit Quality(3y)85.88%
Profit Quality(5y)99.99%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.98%
EPS 3Y-23.08%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-48.48%
EPS Next Y-19.7%
EPS Next 2Y3.68%
EPS Next 3Y10.63%
EPS Next 5Y14.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.67%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.11%
Revenue growth 5Y25.7%
Sales Q2Q%-3.75%
Revenue Next Year-8.6%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.36%
Revenue Next 3Y2.69%
Revenue Next 5Y4.7%
EBIT growth 1Y-10.34%
EBIT growth 3Y-23.75%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year67.81%
EBIT Next 3Y26.14%
EBIT Next 5Y18.2%
FCF growth 1Y-9.53%
FCF growth 3Y-26.38%
FCF growth 5Y142.15%
OCF growth 1Y-1.63%
OCF growth 3Y-11.25%
OCF growth 5Y32.75%

CONOCOPHILLIPS / COP Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to COP.


Can you provide the valuation status for CONOCOPHILLIPS?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?

CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for CONOCOPHILLIPS?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) is expected to decline by -19.7% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for COP stock?

The dividend rating of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 50.18%.