CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:COP - US20825C1045 - Common Stock
88.69 USD
+1.6 (+1.84%)
88.679 USD
-0.01 (-0.01%)
COP gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. COP has an average financial health and profitability rating. COP has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year COP was profitable.
In the past year COP had a positive cash flow from operations.
COP had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years COP had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
COP has a Return On Assets of 7.20%. This is in the better half of the industry: COP outperforms 78.10% of its industry peers.
COP's Return On Equity of 13.59% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 72.86% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 7.70%, COP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for COP is significantly below the industry average of 21.41%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.70%) for COP is well below the 3 year average (13.48%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that COP had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.2% | ||
| ROE | 13.59% | ||
| ROIC | 7.7% |
ROA(3y)12.91%
ROA(5y)8.66%
ROE(3y)25.06%
ROE(5y)16.77%
ROIC(3y)13.48%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
COP's Profit Margin of 14.76% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 63.81% of its industry peers.
COP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 21.10%, COP is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.14% of the companies in the same industry.
COP's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
COP's Gross Margin of 46.10% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 54.29% of its industry peers.
COP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 21.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.76% | ||
| GM | 46.1% |
OM growth 3Y-5.12%
OM growth 5Y1.4%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y-5.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.54%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), COP is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, COP has more shares outstanding
COP has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
COP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
COP has an Altman-Z score of 2.78. This is not the best score and indicates that COP is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.78, COP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.05% of the companies in the same industry.
COP has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.31. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as COP would need 3.31 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.31, COP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.24% of the companies in the same industry.
COP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.35, COP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.57% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.78 |
ROIC/WACC0.98
WACC7.89%
2.3 Liquidity
COP has a Current Ratio of 1.32. This is a normal value and indicates that COP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
COP's Current ratio of 1.32 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 59.52% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.18 indicates that COP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.18, COP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.95% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for COP have decreased strongly by -13.31% in the last year.
COP shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 16.70% yearly.
COP shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 8.24%.
Measured over the past years, COP shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.04% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.31%
EPS 3Y9%
EPS 5Y16.7%
EPS Q2Q%-9.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.24%
Revenue growth 3Y6.11%
Revenue growth 5Y11.04%
Sales Q2Q%14.1%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.28% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.61% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-16.99%
EPS Next 2Y-8.38%
EPS Next 3Y1.92%
EPS Next 5Y8.28%
Revenue Next Year6.93%
Revenue Next 2Y1.39%
Revenue Next 3Y3.35%
Revenue Next 5Y4.61%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 12.49, which indicates a correct valuation of COP.
COP's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. COP is cheaper than 66.19% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.31, COP is valued rather cheaply.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.60, the valuation of COP can be described as correct.
COP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 36.59, COP is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.49 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.6 |
4.2 Price Multiples
73.33% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than COP, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
COP's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.63 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.26 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
COP has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.75
EPS Next 2Y-8.38%
EPS Next 3Y1.92%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.86%, COP has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
COP's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 5.90.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.40, COP pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.86% |
5.2 History
The dividend of COP is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 17.10%!
COP has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)17.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
COP pays out 43.68% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
COP's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP43.68%
EPS Next 2Y-8.38%
EPS Next 3Y1.92%
88.69
+1.6 (+1.84%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners83.63%
Inst Owner Change3.24%
Ins Owners0.07%
Ins Owner Change0.4%
Market Cap109.60B
Revenue(TTM)59.79B
Net Income(TTM)8.82B
Analysts80.59
Price Target115.5 (30.23%)
Short Float %1.25%
Short Ratio2.36
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.86% |
Yearly Dividend2.97
Dividend Growth(5Y)17.1%
DP43.68%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)6.69%
Min EPS beat(2)1.92%
Max EPS beat(2)11.45%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)5.2%
Min EPS beat(4)0.59%
Max EPS beat(4)11.45%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.07%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.93%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)3.85%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.51%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.38%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.35%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.36%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.38%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.08%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.51%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.05%
PT rev (1m)-2.82%
PT rev (3m)-2.76%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.24%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.36%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.48%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.84%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.33%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.94%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.49 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.6 | ||
| P/S | 1.85 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.63 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.56 | ||
| P/B | 1.71 | ||
| P/tB | 1.71 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.26 |
EPS(TTM)7.1
EY8.01%
EPS(NY)6.52
Fwd EY7.35%
FCF(TTM)5.68
FCFY6.4%
OCF(TTM)15.96
OCFY18%
SpS47.87
BVpS51.98
TBVpS51.98
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.75
Graham Number91.13
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.2% | ||
| ROE | 13.59% | ||
| ROCE | 11.42% | ||
| ROIC | 7.7% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.17% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.17% | ||
| OM | 21.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.76% | ||
| GM | 46.1% | ||
| FCFM | 11.86% |
ROA(3y)12.91%
ROA(5y)8.66%
ROE(3y)25.06%
ROE(5y)16.77%
ROIC(3y)13.48%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)14.87%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)14.87%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)19.99%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-10.62%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-0.85%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.62%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.85%
OM growth 3Y-5.12%
OM growth 5Y1.4%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y-5.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.54%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.31 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.94 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 115.07% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 21.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 14.47 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 83.82% | ||
| Profit Quality | 80.33% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.78 |
F-Score5
WACC7.89%
ROIC/WACC0.98
Cap/Depr(3y)132.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.37%
Profit Quality(3y)88.06%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.31%
EPS 3Y9%
EPS 5Y16.7%
EPS Q2Q%-9.55%
EPS Next Y-16.99%
EPS Next 2Y-8.38%
EPS Next 3Y1.92%
EPS Next 5Y8.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.24%
Revenue growth 3Y6.11%
Revenue growth 5Y11.04%
Sales Q2Q%14.1%
Revenue Next Year6.93%
Revenue Next 2Y1.39%
Revenue Next 3Y3.35%
Revenue Next 5Y4.61%
EBIT growth 1Y-10.43%
EBIT growth 3Y0.67%
EBIT growth 5Y12.6%
EBIT Next Year68.03%
EBIT Next 3Y22.65%
EBIT Next 5Y13.33%
FCF growth 1Y-31.82%
FCF growth 3Y-11.81%
FCF growth 5Y12.37%
OCF growth 1Y-6.38%
OCF growth 3Y5.79%
OCF growth 5Y12.63%
CONOCOPHILLIPS / COP FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to COP.
What is the valuation status of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?
CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the valuation of CONOCOPHILLIPS based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) is 12.49 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.71.
What is the financial health of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?
The financial health rating of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) is 5 / 10.