CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:COP • US20825C1045

110.52 USD
+1.74 (+1.6%)
At close: Feb 18, 2026
110.535 USD
+0.02 (+0.01%)
After Hours: 2/18/2026, 8:22:49 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, COP scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. COP was compared to 206 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. COP has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. COP has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • COP had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year COP had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years COP 4 years were profitable.
  • COP had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
COP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCOP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of COP (7.20%) is better than 78.64% of its industry peers.
  • COP's Return On Equity of 13.59% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 74.76% of its industry peers.
  • COP has a Return On Invested Capital of 7.70%. This is in the better half of the industry: COP outperforms 71.84% of its industry peers.
  • COP had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 13.48%. This is significantly below the industry average of 21.97%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (13.48%) for COP is well above the current ROIC(7.70%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.2%
ROE 13.59%
ROIC 7.7%
ROA(3y)12.91%
ROA(5y)8.66%
ROE(3y)25.06%
ROE(5y)16.77%
ROIC(3y)13.48%
ROIC(5y)N/A
COP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCOP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • COP's Profit Margin of 14.76% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 65.53% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of COP has declined.
  • COP has a Operating Margin (21.10%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of COP has remained more or less at the same level.
  • COP has a Gross Margin (46.10%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • COP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.1%
PM (TTM) 14.76%
GM 46.1%
OM growth 3Y-5.12%
OM growth 5Y1.4%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y-5.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.54%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
COP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCOP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40

6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so COP is still creating some value.
  • There is no outstanding debt for COP. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
COP Yearly Shares OutstandingCOP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
COP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCOP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.04 indicates that COP is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 3.04, COP belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • COP has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.31. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as COP would need 3.31 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.31, COP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.27% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35 indicates that COP is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.35, COP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.22% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF 3.31
Altman-Z 3.04
ROIC/WACC0.98
WACC7.84%
COP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCOP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20B 40B 60B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.32 indicates that COP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • COP has a Current ratio (1.32) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • COP has a Quick Ratio of 1.18. This is a normal value and indicates that COP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • COP has a Quick ratio of 1.18. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: COP outperforms 59.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 1.18
COP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCOP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for COP have decreased strongly by -20.98% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, COP shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -23.08% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.98%
EPS 3Y-23.08%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-48.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-3.75%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, COP will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 14.37% on average per year.
  • COP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.70% yearly.
EPS Next Y-11.42%
EPS Next 2Y7.85%
EPS Next 3Y14%
EPS Next 5Y14.37%
Revenue Next Year-6.04%
Revenue Next 2Y0.08%
Revenue Next 3Y2.2%
Revenue Next 5Y4.7%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
COP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCOP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B
COP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCOP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 5 10

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • COP is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.00.
  • COP's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • COP's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.27.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.32, COP is valued on the expensive side.
  • COP's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • COP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 28.16.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18
Fwd PE 20.32
COP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCOP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of COP indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: COP is cheaper than 70.39% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • COP's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 19.1
EV/EBITDA 6.29
COP Per share dataCOP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as COP's earnings are expected to grow with 14.00% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y7.85%
EPS Next 3Y14%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • COP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.03%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • COP's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.56.
  • COP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.84.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.03%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of COP grows each year by 17.10%, which is quite nice.
  • COP has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)17.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
COP Yearly Dividends per shareCOP Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

  • COP pays out 43.68% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of COP is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP43.68%
EPS Next 2Y7.85%
EPS Next 3Y14%
COP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCOP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B
COP Dividend Payout.COP Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.COP Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CONOCOPHILLIPS

NYSE:COP (2/18/2026, 8:22:49 PM)

After market: 110.535 +0.02 (+0.01%)

110.52

+1.74 (+1.6%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners83.97%
Inst Owner Change-1.64%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change17.12%
Market Cap135.41B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)8.82B
Analysts78.82
Price Target115.81 (4.79%)
Short Float %1.29%
Short Ratio1.9
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.03%
Yearly Dividend2.97
Dividend Growth(5Y)17.1%
DP43.68%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)6.69%
Min EPS beat(2)1.92%
Max EPS beat(2)11.45%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)5.2%
Min EPS beat(4)0.59%
Max EPS beat(4)11.45%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.07%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.93%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)3.85%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.28%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.38%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.12%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.28%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.38%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.19%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.59%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)1%
PT rev (1m)1.27%
PT rev (3m)-0.73%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-13.23%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-17.18%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.51%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.27%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.39%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.38%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18
Fwd PE 20.32
P/S 2.26
P/FCF 19.1
P/OCF 6.79
P/B 2.09
P/tB 2.09
EV/EBITDA 6.29
EPS(TTM)6.14
EY5.56%
EPS(NY)5.44
Fwd EY4.92%
FCF(TTM)5.79
FCFY5.23%
OCF(TTM)16.27
OCFY14.72%
SpS48.8
BVpS52.99
TBVpS52.99
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number85.56
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.2%
ROE 13.59%
ROCE 11.42%
ROIC 7.7%
ROICexc 8.17%
ROICexgc 8.17%
OM 21.1%
PM (TTM) 14.76%
GM 46.1%
FCFM 11.86%
ROA(3y)12.91%
ROA(5y)8.66%
ROE(3y)25.06%
ROE(5y)16.77%
ROIC(3y)13.48%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)14.87%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)14.87%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)19.99%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-10.62%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-0.85%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.62%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.85%
OM growth 3Y-5.12%
OM growth 5Y1.4%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y-5.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.54%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF 3.31
Debt/EBITDA 0.94
Cap/Depr 115.07%
Cap/Sales 21.49%
Interest Coverage 14.47
Cash Conversion 83.82%
Profit Quality 80.33%
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 1.18
Altman-Z 3.04
F-Score5
WACC7.84%
ROIC/WACC0.98
Cap/Depr(3y)132.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.37%
Profit Quality(3y)88.06%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.98%
EPS 3Y-23.08%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-48.48%
EPS Next Y-11.42%
EPS Next 2Y7.85%
EPS Next 3Y14%
EPS Next 5Y14.37%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-3.75%
Revenue Next Year-6.04%
Revenue Next 2Y0.08%
Revenue Next 3Y2.2%
Revenue Next 5Y4.7%
EBIT growth 1Y-10.43%
EBIT growth 3Y0.67%
EBIT growth 5Y12.6%
EBIT Next Year67.3%
EBIT Next 3Y19.86%
EBIT Next 5Y14.3%
FCF growth 1Y-31.82%
FCF growth 3Y-11.81%
FCF growth 5Y12.37%
OCF growth 1Y-6.38%
OCF growth 3Y5.79%
OCF growth 5Y12.63%

CONOCOPHILLIPS / COP FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to COP.


Can you provide the valuation status for CONOCOPHILLIPS?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?

CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for CONOCOPHILLIPS?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) is expected to decline by -11.42% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for COP stock?

The dividend rating of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 43.68%.