CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:COP • US20825C1045

Current stock price

126.91 USD
+1.69 (+1.35%)
Last:

This COP fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. COP Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year COP was profitable.
  • In the past year COP had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years COP has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years COP had a positive operating cash flow.
COP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCOP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of COP (6.53%) is better than 72.73% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Equity value of 12.35%, COP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.90% of the companies in the same industry.
  • COP has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.88%. This is in the better half of the industry: COP outperforms 64.59% of its industry peers.
  • COP had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.46%. This is significantly below the industry average of 23.10%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.53%
ROE 12.35%
ROIC 6.88%
ROA(3y)8.47%
ROA(5y)10.83%
ROE(3y)16.25%
ROE(5y)21.06%
ROIC(3y)8.46%
ROIC(5y)11.22%
COP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCOP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of COP (13.51%) is better than 63.16% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of COP has declined.
  • COP has a Operating Margin of 19.63%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: COP outperforms 57.89% of its industry peers.
  • COP's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • COP's Gross Margin of 44.60% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 53.59% of its industry peers.
  • COP's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 19.63%
PM (TTM) 13.51%
GM 44.6%
OM growth 3Y-16.11%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-17.12%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.28%
GM growth 5Y5.66%
COP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCOP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

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6

2. COP Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), COP is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, COP has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, COP has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, COP has an improved debt to assets ratio.
COP Yearly Shares OutstandingCOP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
COP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCOP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

  • COP has an Altman-Z score of 3.22. This indicates that COP is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of COP (3.22) is better than 79.43% of its industry peers.
  • COP has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.24. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as COP would need 3.24 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • COP has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.24. This is in the better half of the industry: COP outperforms 75.12% of its industry peers.
  • COP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • COP has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.35. This is in the better half of the industry: COP outperforms 63.16% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF 3.24
Altman-Z 3.22
ROIC/WACC0.86
WACC8.04%
COP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCOP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20B 40B 60B

2.3 Liquidity

  • COP has a Current Ratio of 1.30. This is a normal value and indicates that COP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 1.30, COP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.37% of the companies in the same industry.
  • COP has a Quick Ratio of 1.14. This is a normal value and indicates that COP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • COP has a Quick ratio (1.14) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.3
Quick Ratio 1.14
COP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCOP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

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5

3. COP Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for COP have decreased strongly by -20.98% in the last year.
  • The earnings per share for COP have been decreasing by -23.08% on average. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.67% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, COP shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 25.70% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.98%
EPS 3Y-23.08%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-48.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.67%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.11%
Revenue growth 5Y25.7%
Sales Q2Q%-3.75%

3.2 Future

  • COP is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 14.15% yearly.
  • COP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.70% yearly.
EPS Next Y-19.7%
EPS Next 2Y3.68%
EPS Next 3Y10.63%
EPS Next 5Y14.15%
Revenue Next Year-1.43%
Revenue Next 2Y0.33%
Revenue Next 3Y2.32%
Revenue Next 5Y4.7%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
COP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCOP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B
COP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCOP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 5 10

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2

4. COP Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.67, COP is valued on the expensive side.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as COP.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of COP to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.91), we can say COP is valued slightly cheaper.
  • COP is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.74.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of COP is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.69. COP is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.67
Fwd PE 25.74
COP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCOP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, COP is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.94% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of COP is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 21.42
EV/EBITDA 7.33
COP Per share dataCOP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y3.68%
EPS Next 3Y10.63%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. COP Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • COP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.51%.
  • COP's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.16.
  • COP's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.51%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of COP is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 13.43%!
  • COP has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • The dividend of COP decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.43%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
COP Yearly Dividends per shareCOP Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

  • 50.18% of the earnings are spent on dividend by COP. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • COP's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP50.18%
EPS Next 2Y3.68%
EPS Next 3Y10.63%
COP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCOP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B
COP Dividend Payout.COP Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.COP Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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COP Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CONOCOPHILLIPS

NYSE:COP (4/9/2026, 10:59:09 AM)

126.91

+1.69 (+1.35%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)04-30
Inst Owners84.6%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.1%
Ins Owner Change19.96%
Market Cap155.13B
Revenue(TTM)58.94B
Net Income(TTM)7.96B
Analysts78.24
Price Target125.62 (-1.02%)
Short Float %1.95%
Short Ratio2.41
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.51%
Yearly Dividend3.19
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.43%
DP50.18%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date02-18
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.15%
Min EPS beat(2)-9.14%
Max EPS beat(2)11.45%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.14%
Max EPS beat(4)11.45%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.2%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.54%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)3.1%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.38%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.36%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.28%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.38%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.71%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.84%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.39%
PT rev (1m)5.55%
PT rev (3m)9.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)28.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.8%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-20.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)6.09%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)7.85%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.15%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.67
Fwd PE 25.74
P/S 2.63
P/FCF 21.42
P/OCF 7.84
P/B 2.41
P/tB 2.41
EV/EBITDA 7.33
EPS(TTM)6.14
EY4.84%
EPS(NY)4.93
Fwd EY3.89%
FCF(TTM)5.93
FCFY4.67%
OCF(TTM)16.2
OCFY12.76%
SpS48.22
BVpS52.76
TBVpS52.76
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number85.37
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.53%
ROE 12.35%
ROCE 10.52%
ROIC 6.88%
ROICexc 7.35%
ROICexgc 7.35%
OM 19.63%
PM (TTM) 13.51%
GM 44.6%
FCFM 12.29%
ROA(3y)8.47%
ROA(5y)10.83%
ROE(3y)16.25%
ROE(5y)21.06%
ROIC(3y)8.46%
ROIC(5y)11.22%
ROICexc(3y)9.07%
ROICexc(5y)12.26%
ROICexgc(3y)9.07%
ROICexgc(5y)12.26%
ROCE(3y)12.95%
ROCE(5y)17.16%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-32.41%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-32.41%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-16.11%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-17.12%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.28%
GM growth 5Y5.66%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF 3.24
Debt/EBITDA 0.97
Cap/Depr 109.16%
Cap/Sales 21.3%
Interest Coverage 15.29
Cash Conversion 85.8%
Profit Quality 90.98%
Current Ratio 1.3
Quick Ratio 1.14
Altman-Z 3.22
F-Score7
WACC8.04%
ROIC/WACC0.86
Cap/Depr(3y)123.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)116.13%
Cap/Sales(3y)21.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.61%
Profit Quality(3y)85.88%
Profit Quality(5y)99.99%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.98%
EPS 3Y-23.08%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-48.48%
EPS Next Y-19.7%
EPS Next 2Y3.68%
EPS Next 3Y10.63%
EPS Next 5Y14.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.67%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.11%
Revenue growth 5Y25.7%
Sales Q2Q%-3.75%
Revenue Next Year-1.43%
Revenue Next 2Y0.33%
Revenue Next 3Y2.32%
Revenue Next 5Y4.7%
EBIT growth 1Y-10.34%
EBIT growth 3Y-23.75%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year67.81%
EBIT Next 3Y26.14%
EBIT Next 5Y18.2%
FCF growth 1Y-9.53%
FCF growth 3Y-26.38%
FCF growth 5Y142.15%
OCF growth 1Y-1.63%
OCF growth 3Y-11.25%
OCF growth 5Y32.75%

CONOCOPHILLIPS / COP Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to COP.


Can you provide the valuation status for CONOCOPHILLIPS?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CONOCOPHILLIPS?

CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for COP stock?

The financial health rating of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) is 6 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?

The dividend rating of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 50.18%.