CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:COP • US20825C1045

107.59 USD
+2.68 (+2.55%)
At close: Feb 4, 2026
107.55 USD
-0.04 (-0.04%)
After Hours: 2/4/2026, 8:11:57 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, COP scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. COP was compared to 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of COP get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. COP is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year COP was profitable.
  • COP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years COP 4 years were profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years COP had a positive operating cash flow.
COP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCOP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • COP has a Return On Assets of 7.20%. This is in the better half of the industry: COP outperforms 78.26% of its industry peers.
  • COP's Return On Equity of 13.59% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 74.40% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of COP (7.70%) is better than 70.53% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for COP is significantly below the industry average of 21.95%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (13.48%) for COP is well above the current ROIC(7.70%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.2%
ROE 13.59%
ROIC 7.7%
ROA(3y)12.91%
ROA(5y)8.66%
ROE(3y)25.06%
ROE(5y)16.77%
ROIC(3y)13.48%
ROIC(5y)N/A
COP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCOP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of COP (14.76%) is better than 65.70% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of COP has declined.
  • COP's Operating Margin of 21.10% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 58.45% of its industry peers.
  • COP's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 46.10%, COP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.59% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of COP has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.1%
PM (TTM) 14.76%
GM 46.1%
OM growth 3Y-5.12%
OM growth 5Y1.4%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y-5.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.54%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
COP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCOP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), COP is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, COP has more shares outstanding
  • COP has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for COP is higher compared to a year ago.
COP Yearly Shares OutstandingCOP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
COP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCOP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.03 indicates that COP is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of COP (3.03) is better than 79.71% of its industry peers.
  • COP has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.31. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as COP would need 3.31 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • COP has a better Debt to FCF ratio (3.31) than 74.40% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35 indicates that COP is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • COP's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.35 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 59.42% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF 3.31
Altman-Z 3.03
ROIC/WACC0.96
WACC8.02%
COP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCOP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20B 40B 60B

2.3 Liquidity

  • COP has a Current Ratio of 1.32. This is a normal value and indicates that COP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • COP's Current ratio of 1.32 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 58.94% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.18 indicates that COP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of COP (1.18) is better than 60.39% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 1.18
COP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCOP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for COP have decreased strongly by -13.31% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 16.70% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has grown by 8.24% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • Measured over the past years, COP shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.04% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.31%
EPS 3Y9%
EPS 5Y16.7%
EPS Q2Q%-9.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.24%
Revenue growth 3Y6.11%
Revenue growth 5Y11.04%
Sales Q2Q%14.1%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.65% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.33% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-16.96%
EPS Next 2Y-14.59%
EPS Next 3Y-0.65%
EPS Next 5Y8.65%
Revenue Next Year8.41%
Revenue Next 2Y0.92%
Revenue Next 3Y2.78%
Revenue Next 5Y4.33%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
COP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCOP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 20B 40B 60B
COP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCOP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 5 10 15

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 15.15, which indicates a correct valuation of COP.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, COP is valued a bit cheaper than 60.39% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.25, COP is valued a bit cheaper.
  • COP is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.98.
  • COP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 27.50. COP is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.15
Fwd PE 18.98
COP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCOP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • COP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. COP is cheaper than 69.08% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of COP is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 18.76
EV/EBITDA 6.27
COP Per share dataCOP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • COP has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.91
EPS Next 2Y-14.59%
EPS Next 3Y-0.65%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • COP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.27%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.64, COP has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • COP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.27%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of COP is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 17.10%!
  • COP has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)17.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
COP Yearly Dividends per shareCOP Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

  • 43.68% of the earnings are spent on dividend by COP. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of COP is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP43.68%
EPS Next 2Y-14.59%
EPS Next 3Y-0.65%
COP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCOP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B
COP Dividend Payout.COP Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.COP Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CONOCOPHILLIPS

NYSE:COP (2/4/2026, 8:11:57 PM)

After market: 107.55 -0.04 (-0.04%)

107.59

+2.68 (+2.55%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-06
Earnings (Next)02-05
Inst Owners83.97%
Inst Owner Change-1.04%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change17.12%
Market Cap132.95B
Revenue(TTM)59.79B
Net Income(TTM)8.82B
Analysts80
Price Target113.34 (5.34%)
Short Float %1.58%
Short Ratio2.5
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.27%
Yearly Dividend2.97
Dividend Growth(5Y)17.1%
DP43.68%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)6.69%
Min EPS beat(2)1.92%
Max EPS beat(2)11.45%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)5.2%
Min EPS beat(4)0.59%
Max EPS beat(4)11.45%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.07%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.93%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)3.85%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.28%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.38%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.12%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.28%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.38%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.19%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.59%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)1%
PT rev (1m)-0.89%
PT rev (3m)-2.86%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-14.92%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-18.02%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.83%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.23%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.59%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.44%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.05%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.15
Fwd PE 18.98
P/S 2.22
P/FCF 18.76
P/OCF 6.67
P/B 2.05
P/tB 2.05
EV/EBITDA 6.27
EPS(TTM)7.1
EY6.6%
EPS(NY)5.67
Fwd EY5.27%
FCF(TTM)5.74
FCFY5.33%
OCF(TTM)16.13
OCFY14.99%
SpS48.38
BVpS52.54
TBVpS52.54
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.91
Graham Number91.61
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.2%
ROE 13.59%
ROCE 11.42%
ROIC 7.7%
ROICexc 8.17%
ROICexgc 8.17%
OM 21.1%
PM (TTM) 14.76%
GM 46.1%
FCFM 11.86%
ROA(3y)12.91%
ROA(5y)8.66%
ROE(3y)25.06%
ROE(5y)16.77%
ROIC(3y)13.48%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)14.87%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)14.87%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)19.99%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-10.62%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-0.85%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.62%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.85%
OM growth 3Y-5.12%
OM growth 5Y1.4%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y-5.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.54%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF 3.31
Debt/EBITDA 0.94
Cap/Depr 115.07%
Cap/Sales 21.49%
Interest Coverage 14.47
Cash Conversion 83.82%
Profit Quality 80.33%
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 1.18
Altman-Z 3.03
F-Score5
WACC8.02%
ROIC/WACC0.96
Cap/Depr(3y)132.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.37%
Profit Quality(3y)88.06%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.31%
EPS 3Y9%
EPS 5Y16.7%
EPS Q2Q%-9.55%
EPS Next Y-16.96%
EPS Next 2Y-14.59%
EPS Next 3Y-0.65%
EPS Next 5Y8.65%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.24%
Revenue growth 3Y6.11%
Revenue growth 5Y11.04%
Sales Q2Q%14.1%
Revenue Next Year8.41%
Revenue Next 2Y0.92%
Revenue Next 3Y2.78%
Revenue Next 5Y4.33%
EBIT growth 1Y-10.43%
EBIT growth 3Y0.67%
EBIT growth 5Y12.6%
EBIT Next Year67.3%
EBIT Next 3Y19.86%
EBIT Next 5Y13.71%
FCF growth 1Y-31.82%
FCF growth 3Y-11.81%
FCF growth 5Y12.37%
OCF growth 1Y-6.38%
OCF growth 3Y5.79%
OCF growth 5Y12.63%

CONOCOPHILLIPS / COP FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to COP.


Can you provide the valuation status for CONOCOPHILLIPS?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?

CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for CONOCOPHILLIPS?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) is expected to decline by -16.96% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for COP stock?

The dividend rating of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 43.68%.