CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:COP - US20825C1045 - Common Stock
97.15 USD
+1.63 (+1.71%)
97.73 USD
+0.58 (+0.6%)
Overall COP gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated COP against 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of COP get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. COP is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year COP was profitable.
- In the past year COP had a positive cash flow from operations.
- COP had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years COP had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- COP's Return On Assets of 7.20% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 78.26% of its industry peers.
- COP's Return On Equity of 13.59% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 74.88% of its industry peers.
- With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.70%, COP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.01% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for COP is significantly below the industry average of 21.94%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (7.70%) for COP is well below the 3 year average (13.48%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that COP had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.2% | ||
| ROE | 13.59% | ||
| ROIC | 7.7% |
ROA(3y)12.91%
ROA(5y)8.66%
ROE(3y)25.06%
ROE(5y)16.77%
ROIC(3y)13.48%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- COP has a Profit Margin of 14.76%. This is in the better half of the industry: COP outperforms 65.70% of its industry peers.
- COP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 21.10%, COP is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.45% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of COP has remained more or less at the same level.
- COP's Gross Margin of 46.10% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 55.07% of its industry peers.
- COP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 21.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.76% | ||
| GM | 46.1% |
OM growth 3Y-5.12%
OM growth 5Y1.4%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y-5.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.54%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), COP is creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, COP has more shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for COP has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for COP is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.90 indicates that COP is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- COP's Altman-Z score of 2.90 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 79.71% of its industry peers.
- COP has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.31. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as COP would need 3.31 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- COP has a better Debt to FCF ratio (3.31) than 74.40% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35 indicates that COP is not too dependend on debt financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.35, COP is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.42% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.9 |
ROIC/WACC0.97
WACC7.98%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.32 indicates that COP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- COP has a Current ratio (1.32) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.18 indicates that COP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- COP has a better Quick ratio (1.18) than 60.39% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for COP have decreased strongly by -13.31% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, COP shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 16.70% on average per year.
- COP shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 8.24%.
- Measured over the past years, COP shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.04% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.31%
EPS 3Y9%
EPS 5Y16.7%
EPS Q2Q%-9.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.24%
Revenue growth 3Y6.11%
Revenue growth 5Y11.04%
Sales Q2Q%14.1%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.65% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- COP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.33% yearly.
EPS Next Y-15.41%
EPS Next 2Y-10.47%
EPS Next 3Y0.91%
EPS Next 5Y8.65%
Revenue Next Year8.83%
Revenue Next 2Y1.72%
Revenue Next 3Y3.53%
Revenue Next 5Y4.33%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 13.68 indicates a correct valuation of COP.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, COP is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 62.80% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- COP is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.32, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- COP is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.60.
- COP's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.30. COP is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.68 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.6 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, COP is valued a bit cheaper than 72.46% of the companies in the same industry.
- COP's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16.94 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.73 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The decent profitability rating of COP may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.82
EPS Next 2Y-10.47%
EPS Next 3Y0.91%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.40%, COP has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- COP's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.75.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.86, COP pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.4% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of COP grows each year by 17.10%, which is quite nice.
- COP has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)17.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- COP pays out 43.68% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- The dividend of COP is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP43.68%
EPS Next 2Y-10.47%
EPS Next 3Y0.91%
97.15
+1.63 (+1.71%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-06 2025-11-06/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-05 2026-02-05/amc
Inst Owners83.97%
Inst Owner Change-0.2%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change17.12%
Market Cap120.05B
Revenue(TTM)59.79B
Net Income(TTM)8.82B
Analysts80
Price Target113.34 (16.66%)
Short Float %1.34%
Short Ratio2.18
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.4% |
Yearly Dividend2.97
Dividend Growth(5Y)17.1%
DP43.68%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)6.69%
Min EPS beat(2)1.92%
Max EPS beat(2)11.45%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)5.2%
Min EPS beat(4)0.59%
Max EPS beat(4)11.45%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.07%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.93%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)3.85%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.28%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.38%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.12%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.28%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.38%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.19%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.59%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)1%
PT rev (1m)-1.09%
PT rev (3m)-4.64%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.5%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.31%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.26%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.34%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.38%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.16%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.04%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.68 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.6 | ||
| P/S | 2.01 | ||
| P/FCF | 16.94 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.02 | ||
| P/B | 1.85 | ||
| P/tB | 1.85 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.73 |
EPS(TTM)7.1
EY7.31%
EPS(NY)6.23
Fwd EY6.41%
FCF(TTM)5.74
FCFY5.9%
OCF(TTM)16.13
OCFY16.61%
SpS48.38
BVpS52.54
TBVpS52.54
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.82
Graham Number91.61
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.2% | ||
| ROE | 13.59% | ||
| ROCE | 11.42% | ||
| ROIC | 7.7% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.17% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.17% | ||
| OM | 21.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.76% | ||
| GM | 46.1% | ||
| FCFM | 11.86% |
ROA(3y)12.91%
ROA(5y)8.66%
ROE(3y)25.06%
ROE(5y)16.77%
ROIC(3y)13.48%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)14.87%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)14.87%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)19.99%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-10.62%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-0.85%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.62%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.85%
OM growth 3Y-5.12%
OM growth 5Y1.4%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y-5.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.54%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.31 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.94 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 115.07% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 21.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 14.47 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 83.82% | ||
| Profit Quality | 80.33% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.9 |
F-Score5
WACC7.98%
ROIC/WACC0.97
Cap/Depr(3y)132.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.37%
Profit Quality(3y)88.06%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.31%
EPS 3Y9%
EPS 5Y16.7%
EPS Q2Q%-9.55%
EPS Next Y-15.41%
EPS Next 2Y-10.47%
EPS Next 3Y0.91%
EPS Next 5Y8.65%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.24%
Revenue growth 3Y6.11%
Revenue growth 5Y11.04%
Sales Q2Q%14.1%
Revenue Next Year8.83%
Revenue Next 2Y1.72%
Revenue Next 3Y3.53%
Revenue Next 5Y4.33%
EBIT growth 1Y-10.43%
EBIT growth 3Y0.67%
EBIT growth 5Y12.6%
EBIT Next Year69.32%
EBIT Next 3Y21.2%
EBIT Next 5Y13.71%
FCF growth 1Y-31.82%
FCF growth 3Y-11.81%
FCF growth 5Y12.37%
OCF growth 1Y-6.38%
OCF growth 3Y5.79%
OCF growth 5Y12.63%
CONOCOPHILLIPS / COP FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to COP.
Can you provide the valuation status for CONOCOPHILLIPS?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?
CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for CONOCOPHILLIPS?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) is expected to decline by -15.41% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for COP stock?
The dividend rating of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 43.68%.