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CANADIAN NATL RAILWAY CO (CNR.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:CNR - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA1363751027 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

141.09  -2.15 (-1.5%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, CNR scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CNR was compared to 5 industry peers in the Ground Transportation industry. While CNR has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. CNR is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year CNR was profitable.
CNR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years CNR has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years CNR had a positive operating cash flow.
CNR.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCNR.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 7.85%, CNR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 20.84%, CNR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
CNR has a better Return On Invested Capital (9.67%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
CNR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.70%. This is above the industry average of 7.38%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.85%
ROE 20.84%
ROIC 9.67%
ROA(3y)9.53%
ROA(5y)9.32%
ROE(3y)24.34%
ROE(5y)22.53%
ROIC(3y)10.7%
ROIC(5y)10.47%
CNR.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCNR.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Profit Margin value of 26.20%, CNR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CNR has declined.
CNR has a better Operating Margin (37.15%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CNR has remained more or less at the same level.
The Gross Margin of CNR (74.52%) is better than 80.00% of its industry peers.
CNR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 37.15%
PM (TTM) 26.2%
GM 74.52%
OM growth 3Y-1.16%
OM growth 5Y-0.21%
PM growth 3Y-8.26%
PM growth 5Y-1.58%
GM growth 3Y-0.37%
GM growth 5Y0.14%
CNR.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCNR.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CNR is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for CNR has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
CNR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for CNR is higher compared to a year ago.
CNR.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCNR.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
CNR.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCNR.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

CNR has an Altman-Z score of 2.60. This is not the best score and indicates that CNR is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
CNR has a better Altman-Z score (2.60) than 80.00% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CNR is 6.39, which is on the high side as it means it would take CNR, 6.39 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 6.39, CNR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.91 indicates that CNR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of CNR (0.91) is better than 80.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.91
Debt/FCF 6.39
Altman-Z 2.6
ROIC/WACC1.2
WACC8.04%
CNR.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCNR.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.62 indicates that CNR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.62, CNR is doing worse than 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.43 indicates that CNR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of CNR (0.43) is worse than 60.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.62
Quick Ratio 0.43
CNR.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCNR.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

CNR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 0.56%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 4.09% on average over the past years.
CNR shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.60%.
Measured over the past years, CNR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.70% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.56%
EPS 3Y6.07%
EPS 5Y4.09%
EPS Q2Q%7.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.6%
Revenue growth 3Y5.6%
Revenue growth 5Y2.7%
Sales Q2Q%3.62%

3.2 Future

CNR is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.92% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.61% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y12.34%
EPS Next 2Y12.06%
EPS Next 3Y11.89%
EPS Next 5Y9.92%
Revenue Next Year3.57%
Revenue Next 2Y4.51%
Revenue Next 3Y4.85%
Revenue Next 5Y4.61%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
CNR.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCNR.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B 20B
CNR.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCNR.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 4 6 8 10

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.51, CNR is valued on the expensive side.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CNR is on the same level as its industry peers.
CNR is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.31, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.82, which indicates a correct valuation of CNR.
CNR's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.13, CNR is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.51
Fwd PE 15.82
CNR.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCNR.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as CNR.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CNR is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 27.25
EV/EBITDA 13.23
CNR.CA Per share dataCNR.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

CNR's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
CNR has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.58
PEG (5Y)4.77
EPS Next 2Y12.06%
EPS Next 3Y11.89%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.48%, CNR has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
CNR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.82.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.40, CNR has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.48%

5.2 History

The dividend of CNR is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 9.39%!
CNR has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
CNR has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.39%
Div Incr Years28
Div Non Decr Years28
CNR.CA Yearly Dividends per shareCNR.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

47.83% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CNR. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of CNR is growing around the same rate as the earnings are growing. If this keeps up the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP47.83%
EPS Next 2Y12.06%
EPS Next 3Y11.89%
CNR.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCNR.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
CNR.CA Dividend Payout.CNR.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CNR.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CANADIAN NATL RAILWAY CO

TSX:CNR (6/13/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

141.09

-2.15 (-1.5%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)05-01 2025-05-01/amc
Earnings (Next)07-22 2025-07-22/amc
Inst Owners74.62%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.17%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap88.67B
Analysts72.86
Price Target168.5 (19.43%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.48%
Yearly Dividend3.37
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.39%
DP47.83%
Div Incr Years28
Div Non Decr Years28
Ex-Date06-09 2025-06-09 (0.8875)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-2.76%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.25%
Max EPS beat(2)2.73%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.08%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.25%
Max EPS beat(4)2.73%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.51%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.08%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)0.49%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.37%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.24%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.5%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.63%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.5%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.82%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.35%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.34%
PT rev (1m)-1.78%
PT rev (3m)-3.75%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.09%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.4%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.63%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.42%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.4%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.05%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.51
Fwd PE 15.82
P/S 5.16
P/FCF 27.25
P/OCF 13.14
P/B 4.1
P/tB 4.1
EV/EBITDA 13.23
EPS(TTM)7.23
EY5.12%
EPS(NY)8.92
Fwd EY6.32%
FCF(TTM)5.18
FCFY3.67%
OCF(TTM)10.73
OCFY7.61%
SpS27.37
BVpS34.41
TBVpS34.41
PEG (NY)1.58
PEG (5Y)4.77
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.85%
ROE 20.84%
ROCE 12.03%
ROIC 9.67%
ROICexc 9.72%
ROICexgc 9.72%
OM 37.15%
PM (TTM) 26.2%
GM 74.52%
FCFM 18.92%
ROA(3y)9.53%
ROA(5y)9.32%
ROE(3y)24.34%
ROE(5y)22.53%
ROIC(3y)10.7%
ROIC(5y)10.47%
ROICexc(3y)10.79%
ROICexc(5y)10.58%
ROICexgc(3y)10.83%
ROICexgc(5y)10.63%
ROCE(3y)13.46%
ROCE(5y)13.06%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-1.67%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-2.97%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.63%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.93%
OM growth 3Y-1.16%
OM growth 5Y-0.21%
PM growth 3Y-8.26%
PM growth 5Y-1.58%
GM growth 3Y-0.37%
GM growth 5Y0.14%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.91
Debt/FCF 6.39
Debt/EBITDA 2.36
Cap/Depr 181.59%
Cap/Sales 20.3%
Interest Coverage 6.69
Cash Conversion 81.16%
Profit Quality 72.21%
Current Ratio 0.62
Quick Ratio 0.43
Altman-Z 2.6
F-Score6
WACC8.04%
ROIC/WACC1.2
Cap/Depr(3y)174.01%
Cap/Depr(5y)176.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.61%
Cap/Sales(5y)19.3%
Profit Quality(3y)71.51%
Profit Quality(5y)78.12%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.56%
EPS 3Y6.07%
EPS 5Y4.09%
EPS Q2Q%7.56%
EPS Next Y12.34%
EPS Next 2Y12.06%
EPS Next 3Y11.89%
EPS Next 5Y9.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.6%
Revenue growth 3Y5.6%
Revenue growth 5Y2.7%
Sales Q2Q%3.62%
Revenue Next Year3.57%
Revenue Next 2Y4.51%
Revenue Next 3Y4.85%
Revenue Next 5Y4.61%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.42%
EBIT growth 3Y4.37%
EBIT growth 5Y2.49%
EBIT Next Year38.13%
EBIT Next 3Y16.47%
EBIT Next 5Y11.92%
FCF growth 1Y-24.68%
FCF growth 3Y-8.26%
FCF growth 5Y8.89%
OCF growth 1Y-5.68%
OCF growth 3Y-1.32%
OCF growth 5Y2.49%