CHESAPEAKE ENERGY CORP (CHK) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:CHK - Nasdaq - US1651677353 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, CHK scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CHK was compared to 213 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. CHK has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. CHK is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year CHK was profitable.
CHK had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CHK reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years CHK had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
CHK has a Return On Assets of 3.22%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CHK underperforms 65.07% of its industry peers.
CHK has a worse Return On Equity (4.22%) than 70.33% of its industry peers.
CHK has a worse Return On Invested Capital (2.57%) than 75.60% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CHK is significantly below the industry average of 25.70%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (2.57%) for CHK is well below the 3 year average (13.76%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that CHK had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.22% | ||
| ROE | 4.22% | ||
| ROIC | 2.57% |
ROA(3y)35.26%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)62.5%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)13.76%
ROIC(5y)9.96%
1.3 Margins
CHK has a Profit Margin of 8.94%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CHK outperforms 40.67% of its industry peers.
CHK's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
CHK's Operating Margin of 8.56% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CHK is outperformed by 69.86% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CHK has grown nicely.
CHK has a better Gross Margin (78.39%) than 88.52% of its industry peers.
CHK's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.94% | ||
| GM | 78.39% |
OM growth 3Y60.28%
OM growth 5Y26.63%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y88.94%
GM growth 3Y5.78%
GM growth 5Y0.58%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CHK is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CHK has less shares outstanding
CHK has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
CHK has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.46 indicates that CHK is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 4.46, CHK belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.17% of the companies in the same industry.
CHK has a debt to FCF ratio of 9.53. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CHK would need 9.53 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 9.53, CHK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.06% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.19 indicates that CHK is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.19, CHK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.38% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9.53 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.46 |
ROIC/WACC0.33
WACC7.73%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.16 indicates that CHK has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 2.16, CHK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.21% of the companies in the same industry.
CHK has a Quick Ratio of 2.16. This indicates that CHK is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of CHK (2.16) is better than 75.12% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.16 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.16 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for CHK have decreased strongly by -74.81% in the last year.
CHK shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -8.65% yearly.
CHK shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -58.30%.
Measured over the past years, CHK shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -5.46% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74.81%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-8.65%
EPS Q2Q%-98.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-58.3%
Revenue growth 3Y13.87%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.46%
Sales Q2Q%-73.29%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 27.56% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, CHK will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 19.77% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-74.18%
EPS Next 2Y2.06%
EPS Next 3Y18.26%
EPS Next 5Y27.56%
Revenue Next Year-42.93%
Revenue Next 2Y20.29%
Revenue Next 3Y19.77%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 27.43 indicates a quite expensive valuation of CHK.
CHK's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. CHK is more expensive than 70.81% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.10, CHK is valued at the same level.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.93 indicates a correct valuation of CHK.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CHK is on the same level as its industry peers.
CHK is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 20.74, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.93 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CHK is valued a bit more expensive than 63.16% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CHK indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: CHK is more expensive than 64.59% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 87.19 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.11 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A more expensive valuation may be justified as CHK's earnings are expected to grow with 18.26% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y2.06%
EPS Next 3Y18.26%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.82%, CHK has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
CHK's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 7.27.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.43, CHK has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.82% |
5.2 History
The dividend of CHK decreases each year by -27.58%.
CHK has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-27.58%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
74.89% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CHK. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP74.89%
EPS Next 2Y2.06%
EPS Next 3Y18.26%
81.46
-0.79 (-0.96%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners69.55%
Inst Owner Change-1.99%
Ins Owners34.93%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap18.48B
Analysts75.83
Price Target97.71 (19.95%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.82% |
Yearly Dividend3.66
Dividend Growth(5Y)-27.58%
DP74.89%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)228.74%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.54%
Max EPS beat(2)464.01%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)153.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.54%
Max EPS beat(4)464.01%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)90.83%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)68.05%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-20.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)-36.48%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.59%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)7.45%
Min Revenue beat(4)-36.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)45.81%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)42.17%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)36.68%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)22.86%
PT rev (1m)-7.14%
PT rev (3m)-8.21%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-60.96%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-69.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-18.9%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-5.86%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-17.02%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.47%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.44%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.93 | ||
| P/S | 3.77 | ||
| P/FCF | 87.19 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.64 | ||
| P/B | 1.78 | ||
| P/tB | 1.78 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.11 |
EPS(TTM)2.97
EY3.65%
EPS(NY)5.11
Fwd EY6.28%
FCF(TTM)0.93
FCFY1.15%
OCF(TTM)7.66
OCFY9.4%
SpS21.58
BVpS45.7
TBVpS45.7
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.22% | ||
| ROE | 4.22% | ||
| ROCE | 3.31% | ||
| ROIC | 2.57% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.79% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.79% | ||
| OM | 8.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.94% | ||
| GM | 78.39% | ||
| FCFM | 4.33% |
ROA(3y)35.26%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)62.5%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)13.76%
ROIC(5y)9.96%
ROICexc(3y)14.49%
ROICexc(5y)10.54%
ROICexgc(3y)14.49%
ROICexgc(5y)10.54%
ROCE(3y)17.73%
ROCE(5y)12.84%
ROICexcg growth 3Y17.67%
ROICexcg growth 5Y15.1%
ROICexc growth 3Y17.67%
ROICexc growth 5Y15.1%
OM growth 3Y60.28%
OM growth 5Y26.63%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y88.94%
GM growth 3Y5.78%
GM growth 5Y0.58%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9.53 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.05 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 101.13% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 31.14% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.46 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 90.14% | ||
| Profit Quality | 48.4% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.16 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.46 |
F-Score5
WACC7.73%
ROIC/WACC0.33
Cap/Depr(3y)99.31%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.4%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.38%
Cap/Sales(5y)20.06%
Profit Quality(3y)28.9%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74.81%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-8.65%
EPS Q2Q%-98.44%
EPS Next Y-74.18%
EPS Next 2Y2.06%
EPS Next 3Y18.26%
EPS Next 5Y27.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-58.3%
Revenue growth 3Y13.87%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.46%
Sales Q2Q%-73.29%
Revenue Next Year-42.93%
Revenue Next 2Y20.29%
Revenue Next 3Y19.77%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-91.23%
EBIT growth 3Y82.51%
EBIT growth 5Y19.71%
EBIT Next Year-4.53%
EBIT Next 3Y38.42%
EBIT Next 5Y39.9%
FCF growth 1Y-86.46%
FCF growth 3Y192.58%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-37.25%
OCF growth 3Y26.92%
OCF growth 5Y6.59%