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CENTERRA GOLD INC (CG.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:CG - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA1520061021 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

9.69  -0.18 (-1.82%)

Fundamental Rating

7

Overall CG gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. We evaluated CG against 808 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making CG a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on CG. These ratings could make CG a good candidate for value and quality investing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

CG had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year CG had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CG reported negative net income in multiple years.
CG had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
CG.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCG.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

CG has a better Return On Assets (1.92%) than 87.38% of its industry peers.
CG has a Return On Equity of 2.68%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CG outperforms 88.12% of its industry peers.
CG's Return On Invested Capital of 8.28% is amongst the best of the industry. CG outperforms 93.44% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CG is significantly below the industry average of 12.32%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (8.28%) for CG is above the 3 year average (5.20%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.92%
ROE 2.68%
ROIC 8.28%
ROA(3y)-1.11%
ROA(5y)-0.91%
ROE(3y)-1.42%
ROE(5y)-1.28%
ROIC(3y)5.2%
ROIC(5y)6.35%
CG.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCG.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Profit Margin value of 3.68%, CG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.47% of the companies in the same industry.
CG's Operating Margin of 18.98% is amongst the best of the industry. CG outperforms 92.20% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CG has grown nicely.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 29.46%, CG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.97% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CG has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 18.98%
PM (TTM) 3.68%
GM 29.46%
OM growth 3Y5.12%
OM growth 5Y14.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.36%
GM growth 5Y-1.39%
CG.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCG.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CG is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for CG has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for CG has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, CG has an improved debt to assets ratio.
CG.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCG.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
CG.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCG.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

CG has an Altman-Z score of 3.12. This indicates that CG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
CG's Altman-Z score of 3.12 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CG outperforms 61.14% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CG is 0.29, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CG, only 0.29 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CG's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.29 is amongst the best of the industry. CG outperforms 96.04% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01 indicates that CG is not too dependend on debt financing.
CG has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.01. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CG outperforms 49.75% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.29
Altman-Z 3.12
ROIC/WACC1.07
WACC7.7%
CG.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCG.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.20 indicates that CG has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
CG has a Current ratio of 3.20. This is in the better half of the industry: CG outperforms 65.10% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.49 indicates that CG has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of CG (2.49) is better than 61.01% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.2
Quick Ratio 2.49
CG.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCG.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 65.12% over the past year.
Measured over the past 5 years, CG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 3.32% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, CG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.88% in the last year.
CG shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -2.46% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)65.12%
EPS 3Y-2.18%
EPS 5Y3.32%
EPS Q2Q%-13.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.88%
Revenue growth 3Y10.5%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.46%
Sales Q2Q%-2.06%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, CG will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.44% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 11.75% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-10.58%
EPS Next 2Y12.15%
EPS Next 3Y-4.64%
EPS Next 5Y8.44%
Revenue Next Year-6.41%
Revenue Next 2Y0.59%
Revenue Next 3Y6.94%
Revenue Next 5Y11.75%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
CG.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCG.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B
CG.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCG.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 1 1.5

8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 9.99, the valuation of CG can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CG is valued cheaper than 94.68% of the companies in the same industry.
CG is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.57, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
CG is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.74.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CG is valued cheaper than 93.81% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CG to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.41), we can say CG is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.99
Fwd PE 7.74
CG.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCG.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

CG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CG is cheaper than 98.27% of the companies in the same industry.
93.07% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CG, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.12
EV/EBITDA 2.66
CG.CA Per share dataCG.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The decent profitability rating of CG may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as CG's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.64% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)3.01
EPS Next 2Y12.15%
EPS Next 3Y-4.64%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.85%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
CG's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.52. CG pays more dividend than 98.39% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.40, CG has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.85%

5.2 History

The dividend of CG is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 18.78%!
CG has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
CG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
CG.CA Yearly Dividends per shareCG.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25

5.3 Sustainability

96.07% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CG. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
CG's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP96.07%
EPS Next 2Y12.15%
EPS Next 3Y-4.64%
CG.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCG.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M 600M
CG.CA Dividend Payout.CG.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CG.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CENTERRA GOLD INC

TSX:CG (6/16/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

9.69

-0.18 (-1.82%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)05-06 2025-05-06/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-30 2025-07-30/amc
Inst Owners88.55%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.23%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.03B
Analysts77.78
Price Target12.29 (26.83%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.85%
Yearly Dividend0.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.78%
DP96.07%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date05-22 2025-05-22 (0.07)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.86%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.05%
Max EPS beat(2)20.78%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)8.08%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.58%
Max EPS beat(4)36.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)5.25%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-82.54%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-58.22%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.8%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.25%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.91%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.8%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.25%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.35%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)6.63%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.92%
PT rev (1m)6.35%
PT rev (3m)6.35%
EPS NQ rev (1m)30.06%
EPS NQ rev (3m)27.74%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)8.64%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.94%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.94%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.5%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.99
Fwd PE 7.74
P/S 1.23
P/FCF 22.12
P/OCF 5.79
P/B 0.9
P/tB 0.9
EV/EBITDA 2.66
EPS(TTM)0.97
EY10.01%
EPS(NY)1.25
Fwd EY12.91%
FCF(TTM)0.44
FCFY4.52%
OCF(TTM)1.67
OCFY17.26%
SpS7.85
BVpS10.78
TBVpS10.78
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)3.01
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.92%
ROE 2.68%
ROCE 11.5%
ROIC 8.28%
ROICexc 11.91%
ROICexgc 11.91%
OM 18.98%
PM (TTM) 3.68%
GM 29.46%
FCFM 5.58%
ROA(3y)-1.11%
ROA(5y)-0.91%
ROE(3y)-1.42%
ROE(5y)-1.28%
ROIC(3y)5.2%
ROIC(5y)6.35%
ROICexc(3y)7.46%
ROICexc(5y)8.89%
ROICexgc(3y)7.46%
ROICexgc(5y)8.89%
ROCE(3y)7.22%
ROCE(5y)8.82%
ROICexcg growth 3Y20.1%
ROICexcg growth 5Y25.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y20.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y25.59%
OM growth 3Y5.12%
OM growth 5Y14.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.36%
GM growth 5Y-1.39%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.29
Debt/EBITDA 0.04
Cap/Depr 157.41%
Cap/Sales 15.74%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 73.57%
Profit Quality 151.82%
Current Ratio 3.2
Quick Ratio 2.49
Altman-Z 3.12
F-Score6
WACC7.7%
ROIC/WACC1.07
Cap/Depr(3y)88.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)88.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.01%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)65.12%
EPS 3Y-2.18%
EPS 5Y3.32%
EPS Q2Q%-13.33%
EPS Next Y-10.58%
EPS Next 2Y12.15%
EPS Next 3Y-4.64%
EPS Next 5Y8.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.88%
Revenue growth 3Y10.5%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.46%
Sales Q2Q%-2.06%
Revenue Next Year-6.41%
Revenue Next 2Y0.59%
Revenue Next 3Y6.94%
Revenue Next 5Y11.75%
EBIT growth 1Y12.74%
EBIT growth 3Y16.16%
EBIT growth 5Y11.98%
EBIT Next Year36.84%
EBIT Next 3Y12.75%
EBIT Next 5Y16.75%
FCF growth 1Y134.07%
FCF growth 3Y-24.51%
FCF growth 5Y25.18%
OCF growth 1Y298.07%
OCF growth 3Y-10.39%
OCF growth 5Y-2.23%