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CENTERRA GOLD INC (CG.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:CG - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA1520061021 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

9.72  -0.6 (-5.81%)

Fundamental Rating

7

Overall CG gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. We evaluated CG against 807 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. CG gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. CG scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. With these ratings, CG could be worth investigating further for value and quality investing!.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

CG had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year CG had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CG reported negative net income in multiple years.
CG had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
CG.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCG.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of CG (1.92%) is better than 86.99% of its industry peers.
CG's Return On Equity of 2.68% is amongst the best of the industry. CG outperforms 87.73% of its industry peers.
CG has a Return On Invested Capital of 8.28%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CG outperforms 93.43% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CG is significantly below the industry average of 12.23%.
The 3 year average ROIC (5.20%) for CG is below the current ROIC(8.28%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.92%
ROE 2.68%
ROIC 8.28%
ROA(3y)-1.11%
ROA(5y)-0.91%
ROE(3y)-1.42%
ROE(5y)-1.28%
ROIC(3y)5.2%
ROIC(5y)6.35%
CG.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCG.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10

1.3 Margins

CG's Profit Margin of 3.68% is amongst the best of the industry. CG outperforms 90.46% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 18.98%, CG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 92.19% of the companies in the same industry.
CG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
CG has a better Gross Margin (29.46%) than 90.95% of its industry peers.
CG's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 18.98%
PM (TTM) 3.68%
GM 29.46%
OM growth 3Y5.12%
OM growth 5Y14.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.36%
GM growth 5Y-1.39%
CG.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCG.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CG is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CG has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, CG has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for CG has been reduced compared to a year ago.
CG.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCG.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
CG.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCG.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

CG has an Altman-Z score of 3.09. This indicates that CG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.09, CG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.59% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CG is 0.29, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CG, only 0.29 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CG has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.29) than 95.91% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01 indicates that CG is not too dependend on debt financing.
CG has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.01) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.29
Altman-Z 3.09
ROIC/WACC0.96
WACC8.58%
CG.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCG.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

CG has a Current Ratio of 3.20. This indicates that CG is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of CG (3.20) is better than 65.30% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.49 indicates that CG has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 2.49, CG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.21% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.2
Quick Ratio 2.49
CG.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCG.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 65.12% over the past year.
Measured over the past 5 years, CG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 3.32% on average per year.
CG shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.88%.
CG shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -2.46% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)65.12%
EPS 3Y-2.18%
EPS 5Y3.32%
EPS Q2Q%-13.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.88%
Revenue growth 3Y10.5%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.46%
Sales Q2Q%-2.06%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.44% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, CG will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 11.75% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-10.58%
EPS Next 2Y12.15%
EPS Next 3Y-4.64%
EPS Next 5Y8.44%
Revenue Next Year-6.41%
Revenue Next 2Y0.59%
Revenue Next 3Y6.94%
Revenue Next 5Y11.75%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
CG.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCG.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B
CG.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCG.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 1 1.5

8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.02, the valuation of CG can be described as very reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CG indicates a rather cheap valuation: CG is cheaper than 94.55% of the companies listed in the same industry.
CG's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.59.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.74, the valuation of CG can be described as very cheap.
93.93% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CG, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.39. CG is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.02
Fwd PE 7.74
CG.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCG.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

CG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CG is cheaper than 98.51% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CG indicates a rather cheap valuation: CG is cheaper than 92.94% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.1
EV/EBITDA 2.58
CG.CA Per share dataCG.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The decent profitability rating of CG may justify a higher PE ratio.
CG's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.64% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)3.02
EPS Next 2Y12.15%
EPS Next 3Y-4.64%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.71%.
CG's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.62. CG pays more dividend than 98.27% of the companies in the same industry.
CG's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.39.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.71%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of CG grows each year by 18.78%, which is quite nice.
CG has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
CG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
CG.CA Yearly Dividends per shareCG.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25

5.3 Sustainability

CG pays out 96.07% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
CG's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP96.07%
EPS Next 2Y12.15%
EPS Next 3Y-4.64%
CG.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCG.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M 600M
CG.CA Dividend Payout.CG.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CG.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CENTERRA GOLD INC

TSX:CG (6/6/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

9.72

-0.6 (-5.81%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)05-06 2025-05-06/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-30 2025-07-30/amc
Inst Owners87.32%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.2%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.04B
Analysts77.78
Price Target12.29 (26.44%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.71%
Yearly Dividend0.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.78%
DP96.07%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date05-22 2025-05-22 (0.07)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.86%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.05%
Max EPS beat(2)20.78%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)8.08%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.58%
Max EPS beat(4)36.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)5.25%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-82.54%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-58.22%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.8%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.25%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.91%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.8%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.25%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.35%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)6.63%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.92%
PT rev (1m)7.78%
PT rev (3m)6.35%
EPS NQ rev (1m)30.06%
EPS NQ rev (3m)40.98%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)8.64%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.94%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.94%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.5%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.02
Fwd PE 7.74
P/S 1.23
P/FCF 22.1
P/OCF 5.79
P/B 0.9
P/tB 0.9
EV/EBITDA 2.58
EPS(TTM)0.97
EY9.98%
EPS(NY)1.26
Fwd EY12.93%
FCF(TTM)0.44
FCFY4.52%
OCF(TTM)1.68
OCFY17.28%
SpS7.88
BVpS10.83
TBVpS10.83
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)3.02
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.92%
ROE 2.68%
ROCE 11.5%
ROIC 8.28%
ROICexc 11.91%
ROICexgc 11.91%
OM 18.98%
PM (TTM) 3.68%
GM 29.46%
FCFM 5.58%
ROA(3y)-1.11%
ROA(5y)-0.91%
ROE(3y)-1.42%
ROE(5y)-1.28%
ROIC(3y)5.2%
ROIC(5y)6.35%
ROICexc(3y)7.46%
ROICexc(5y)8.89%
ROICexgc(3y)7.46%
ROICexgc(5y)8.89%
ROCE(3y)7.22%
ROCE(5y)8.82%
ROICexcg growth 3Y20.1%
ROICexcg growth 5Y25.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y20.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y25.59%
OM growth 3Y5.12%
OM growth 5Y14.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.36%
GM growth 5Y-1.39%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.29
Debt/EBITDA 0.04
Cap/Depr 157.41%
Cap/Sales 15.74%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 73.57%
Profit Quality 151.82%
Current Ratio 3.2
Quick Ratio 2.49
Altman-Z 3.09
F-Score6
WACC8.58%
ROIC/WACC0.96
Cap/Depr(3y)88.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)88.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.01%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)65.12%
EPS 3Y-2.18%
EPS 5Y3.32%
EPS Q2Q%-13.33%
EPS Next Y-10.58%
EPS Next 2Y12.15%
EPS Next 3Y-4.64%
EPS Next 5Y8.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.88%
Revenue growth 3Y10.5%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.46%
Sales Q2Q%-2.06%
Revenue Next Year-6.41%
Revenue Next 2Y0.59%
Revenue Next 3Y6.94%
Revenue Next 5Y11.75%
EBIT growth 1Y12.74%
EBIT growth 3Y16.16%
EBIT growth 5Y11.98%
EBIT Next Year36.84%
EBIT Next 3Y12.75%
EBIT Next 5Y16.75%
FCF growth 1Y134.07%
FCF growth 3Y-24.51%
FCF growth 5Y25.18%
OCF growth 1Y298.07%
OCF growth 3Y-10.39%
OCF growth 5Y-2.23%