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CENTERRA GOLD INC (CG.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:CG - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA1520061021 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

9.68  -0.69 (-6.65%)

Fundamental Rating

7

Overall CG gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. We evaluated CG against 797 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making CG a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. CG may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth This makes CG very considerable for value and quality investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

CG had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year CG had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CG reported negative net income in multiple years.
CG had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
CG.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCG.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

CG has a Return On Assets of 1.92%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CG outperforms 87.20% of its industry peers.
CG's Return On Equity of 2.68% is amongst the best of the industry. CG outperforms 87.70% of its industry peers.
CG has a Return On Invested Capital of 8.28%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CG outperforms 93.48% of its industry peers.
CG had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.20%. This is significantly below the industry average of 11.45%.
The 3 year average ROIC (5.20%) for CG is below the current ROIC(8.28%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.92%
ROE 2.68%
ROIC 8.28%
ROA(3y)-1.11%
ROA(5y)-0.91%
ROE(3y)-1.42%
ROE(5y)-1.28%
ROIC(3y)5.2%
ROIC(5y)6.35%
CG.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCG.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Profit Margin value of 3.68%, CG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.21% of the companies in the same industry.
CG has a Operating Margin of 18.98%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CG outperforms 92.10% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CG has grown nicely.
CG's Gross Margin of 29.46% is amongst the best of the industry. CG outperforms 91.09% of its industry peers.
CG's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 18.98%
PM (TTM) 3.68%
GM 29.46%
OM growth 3Y5.12%
OM growth 5Y14.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.36%
GM growth 5Y-1.39%
CG.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCG.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), CG is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for CG has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
CG has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
CG has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
CG.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCG.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
CG.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCG.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

CG has an Altman-Z score of 3.15. This indicates that CG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 3.15, CG perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.85% of the companies in the same industry.
CG has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.29. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.29 years to pay back of all of its debts.
CG's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.29 is amongst the best of the industry. CG outperforms 96.11% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01 indicates that CG is not too dependend on debt financing.
CG has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.01. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CG outperforms 49.69% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.29
Altman-Z 3.15
ROIC/WACC0.97
WACC8.55%
CG.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCG.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

CG has a Current Ratio of 3.20. This indicates that CG is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
CG's Current ratio of 3.20 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CG outperforms 65.50% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.49 indicates that CG has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
CG has a Quick ratio of 2.49. This is in the better half of the industry: CG outperforms 61.36% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.2
Quick Ratio 2.49
CG.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCG.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

CG shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -15.12%.
Measured over the past 5 years, CG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 3.32% on average per year.
CG shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 10.92%.
Measured over the past years, CG shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -2.46% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.12%
EPS 3Y-2.18%
EPS 5Y3.32%
EPS Q2Q%8.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.92%
Revenue growth 3Y10.5%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.46%
Sales Q2Q%2.14%

3.2 Future

CG is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.44% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, CG will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 11.75% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-10.58%
EPS Next 2Y12.15%
EPS Next 3Y-4.64%
EPS Next 5Y8.44%
Revenue Next Year-0.87%
Revenue Next 2Y3.38%
Revenue Next 3Y6.83%
Revenue Next 5Y11.75%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
CG.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCG.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B
CG.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCG.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 1 1.5

8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

CG is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.68.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CG is valued cheaper than 95.36% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CG to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.48), we can say CG is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 7.67, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of CG.
CG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CG is cheaper than 93.73% of the companies in the same industry.
CG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 34.04.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.68
Fwd PE 7.67
CG.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCG.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CG is valued cheaply inside the industry as 98.75% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CG indicates a rather cheap valuation: CG is cheaper than 93.22% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 21.55
EV/EBITDA 2.77
CG.CA Per share dataCG.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The decent profitability rating of CG may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as CG's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.64% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.92
EPS Next 2Y12.15%
EPS Next 3Y-4.64%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.97%.
CG's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 16.93. CG pays more dividend than 98.12% of the companies in the same industry.
CG's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.40.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.97%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of CG grows each year by 18.78%, which is quite nice.
CG has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
CG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
CG.CA Yearly Dividends per shareCG.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25

5.3 Sustainability

CG pays out 96.07% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of CG is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP96.07%
EPS Next 2Y12.15%
EPS Next 3Y-4.64%
CG.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCG.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M 600M
CG.CA Dividend Payout.CG.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CG.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CENTERRA GOLD INC

TSX:CG (8/8/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

9.68

-0.69 (-6.65%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)05-06 2025-05-06/bmo
Earnings (Next)08-06 2025-08-06/amc
Inst Owners88.55%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.23%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.00B
Analysts77.78
Price Target12.67 (30.89%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.97%
Yearly Dividend0.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.78%
DP96.07%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date05-22 2025-05-22 (0.07)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.86%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.05%
Max EPS beat(2)20.78%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)8.08%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.58%
Max EPS beat(4)36.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)5.25%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-82.54%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-58.22%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.8%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.25%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.91%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.8%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.25%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.35%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)6.63%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.92%
PT rev (1m)2.26%
PT rev (3m)11.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.86%
EPS NQ rev (3m)48.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.71%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.5%
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.92%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.85%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.68
Fwd PE 7.67
P/S 1.2
P/FCF 21.55
P/OCF 5.64
P/B 0.88
P/tB 0.88
EV/EBITDA 2.77
EPS(TTM)1
EY10.33%
EPS(NY)1.26
Fwd EY13.04%
FCF(TTM)0.45
FCFY4.64%
OCF(TTM)1.72
OCFY17.72%
SpS8.05
BVpS11.06
TBVpS11.06
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.92
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.92%
ROE 2.68%
ROCE 11.5%
ROIC 8.28%
ROICexc 11.91%
ROICexgc 11.91%
OM 18.98%
PM (TTM) 3.68%
GM 29.46%
FCFM 5.58%
ROA(3y)-1.11%
ROA(5y)-0.91%
ROE(3y)-1.42%
ROE(5y)-1.28%
ROIC(3y)5.2%
ROIC(5y)6.35%
ROICexc(3y)7.46%
ROICexc(5y)8.89%
ROICexgc(3y)7.46%
ROICexgc(5y)8.89%
ROCE(3y)7.22%
ROCE(5y)8.82%
ROICexcg growth 3Y20.1%
ROICexcg growth 5Y25.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y20.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y25.59%
OM growth 3Y5.12%
OM growth 5Y14.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.36%
GM growth 5Y-1.39%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.29
Debt/EBITDA 0.04
Cap/Depr 157.41%
Cap/Sales 15.74%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 73.57%
Profit Quality 151.82%
Current Ratio 3.2
Quick Ratio 2.49
Altman-Z 3.15
F-Score6
WACC8.55%
ROIC/WACC0.97
Cap/Depr(3y)88.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)88.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.01%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.12%
EPS 3Y-2.18%
EPS 5Y3.32%
EPS Q2Q%8.7%
EPS Next Y-10.58%
EPS Next 2Y12.15%
EPS Next 3Y-4.64%
EPS Next 5Y8.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.92%
Revenue growth 3Y10.5%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.46%
Sales Q2Q%2.14%
Revenue Next Year-0.87%
Revenue Next 2Y3.38%
Revenue Next 3Y6.83%
Revenue Next 5Y11.75%
EBIT growth 1Y12.74%
EBIT growth 3Y16.16%
EBIT growth 5Y11.98%
EBIT Next Year36.84%
EBIT Next 3Y12.75%
EBIT Next 5Y16.75%
FCF growth 1Y134.07%
FCF growth 3Y-24.51%
FCF growth 5Y25.18%
OCF growth 1Y298.07%
OCF growth 3Y-10.39%
OCF growth 5Y-2.23%