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CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NYSE:CF - US1252691001 - Common Stock

85.26 USD
+0.71 (+0.84%)
Last: 11/5/2025, 3:53:07 PM
Fundamental Rating

8

Taking everything into account, CF scores 8 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CF was compared to 82 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making CF a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. CF is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination! These ratings would make CF suitable for value and quality investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

CF had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year CF had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years CF has been profitable.
In the past 5 years CF always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

CF has a Return On Assets of 9.47%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CF outperforms 96.34% of its industry peers.
CF has a Return On Equity of 26.23%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CF outperforms 93.90% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 12.07%, CF belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.46% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CF is significantly above the industry average of 6.23%.
The 3 year average ROIC (20.79%) for CF is well above the current ROIC(12.07%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.47%
ROE 26.23%
ROIC 12.07%
ROA(3y)14.93%
ROA(5y)10.97%
ROE(3y)39.12%
ROE(5y)31.36%
ROIC(3y)20.79%
ROIC(5y)16.71%
CF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

CF has a Profit Margin of 20.20%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CF outperforms 98.78% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CF has grown nicely.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 29.21%, CF belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.12% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CF has grown nicely.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 35.60%, CF is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.51% of the companies in the same industry.
CF's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 29.21%
PM (TTM) 20.2%
GM 35.6%
OM growth 3Y-4.8%
OM growth 5Y7.21%
PM growth 3Y13.52%
PM growth 5Y13.82%
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y6.25%
CF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30 40 50

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

CF has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CF has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for CF has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, CF has a worse debt to assets ratio.
CF Yearly Shares OutstandingCF Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
CF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

CF has an Altman-Z score of 2.42. This is not the best score and indicates that CF is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
CF's Altman-Z score of 2.42 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CF outperforms 71.95% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CF is 1.66, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CF, only 1.66 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CF's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.66 is amongst the best of the industry. CF outperforms 90.24% of its industry peers.
CF has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.60. This is a neutral value indicating CF is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
CF has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.60) which is in line with its industry peers.
Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for CF, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.6
Debt/FCF 1.66
Altman-Z 2.42
ROIC/WACC1.47
WACC8.22%
CF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.22 indicates that CF has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 3.22, CF belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.37% of the companies in the same industry.
CF has a Quick Ratio of 2.84. This indicates that CF is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 2.84, CF belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.24% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.22
Quick Ratio 2.84
CF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 26.01% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, CF shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 24.81% on average per year.
CF shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 9.53%.
Measured over the past years, CF shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.28% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.01%
EPS 3Y13.85%
EPS 5Y24.81%
EPS Q2Q%2.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.17%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%20.23%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, CF will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.14% on average per year.
CF is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.56% yearly.
EPS Next Y37.34%
EPS Next 2Y6.22%
EPS Next 3Y2.41%
EPS Next 5Y5.14%
Revenue Next Year16.77%
Revenue Next 2Y4.9%
Revenue Next 3Y2.38%
Revenue Next 5Y3.56%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
CF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 0 5 10 15

8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 11.43, which indicates a very decent valuation of CF.
78.05% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CF, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.03. CF is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 11.94, which indicates a very decent valuation of CF.
CF's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CF is cheaper than 67.07% of the companies in the same industry.
CF's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.27.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.43
Fwd PE 11.94
CF Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCF Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

91.46% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CF, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
90.24% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CF, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.73
EV/EBITDA 5.07
CF Per share dataCF EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
CF has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.31
PEG (5Y)0.46
EPS Next 2Y6.22%
EPS Next 3Y2.41%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CF has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.42%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
CF's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 4.00.
CF's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.38.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.42%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of CF grows each year by 10.99%, which is quite nice.
CF has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
CF has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.99%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years19
CF Yearly Dividends per shareCF Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

CF pays out 26.34% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
CF's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP26.34%
EPS Next 2Y6.22%
EPS Next 3Y2.41%
CF Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCF Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
CF Dividend Payout.CF Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CF Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:CF (11/5/2025, 3:53:07 PM)

85.26

+0.71 (+0.84%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)08-06 2025-08-06/amc
Earnings (Next)11-05 2025-11-05/amc
Inst Owners105.15%
Inst Owner Change-1.24%
Ins Owners0.71%
Ins Owner Change-1.91%
Market Cap13.81B
Revenue(TTM)6.45B
Net Income(TTM)1.30B
Analysts69.29
Price Target96.85 (13.59%)
Short Float %6.16%
Short Ratio4.11
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.42%
Yearly Dividend2.03
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.99%
DP26.34%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years19
Ex-Date11-14 2025-11-14 (0.5)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)9.14%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.26%
Max EPS beat(2)28.54%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)10.38%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.26%
Max EPS beat(4)28.54%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)3.23%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)1.54%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-11.42%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.09%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.66%
Max Revenue beat(2)5.52%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.36%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.42%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.52%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.53%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.92%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.07%
PT rev (1m)-0.8%
PT rev (3m)2.35%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)36.74%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.12%
EPS NY rev (3m)19.84%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.85%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.26%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)7.1%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.43
Fwd PE 11.94
P/S 2.14
P/FCF 7.73
P/OCF 5.52
P/B 2.78
P/tB 6.97
EV/EBITDA 5.07
EPS(TTM)7.46
EY8.75%
EPS(NY)7.14
Fwd EY8.38%
FCF(TTM)11.03
FCFY12.94%
OCF(TTM)15.44
OCFY18.1%
SpS39.8
BVpS30.64
TBVpS12.24
PEG (NY)0.31
PEG (5Y)0.46
Graham Number71.72
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.47%
ROE 26.23%
ROCE 14.57%
ROIC 12.07%
ROICexc 13.88%
ROICexgc 18.89%
OM 29.21%
PM (TTM) 20.2%
GM 35.6%
FCFM 27.72%
ROA(3y)14.93%
ROA(5y)10.97%
ROE(3y)39.12%
ROE(5y)31.36%
ROIC(3y)20.79%
ROIC(5y)16.71%
ROICexc(3y)25.05%
ROICexc(5y)19.9%
ROICexgc(3y)32.66%
ROICexgc(5y)25.93%
ROCE(3y)25.11%
ROCE(5y)20.18%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-11.21%
ROICexgc growth 5Y14.8%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y13.25%
OM growth 3Y-4.8%
OM growth 5Y7.21%
PM growth 3Y13.52%
PM growth 5Y13.82%
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y6.25%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.6
Debt/FCF 1.66
Debt/EBITDA 1.07
Cap/Depr 78.96%
Cap/Sales 11.06%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 89.73%
Profit Quality 137.25%
Current Ratio 3.22
Quick Ratio 2.84
Altman-Z 2.42
F-Score7
WACC8.22%
ROIC/WACC1.47
Cap/Depr(3y)55.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)51.85%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.13%
Profit Quality(3y)131.22%
Profit Quality(5y)188.35%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.01%
EPS 3Y13.85%
EPS 5Y24.81%
EPS Q2Q%2.17%
EPS Next Y37.34%
EPS Next 2Y6.22%
EPS Next 3Y2.41%
EPS Next 5Y5.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.17%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%20.23%
Revenue Next Year16.77%
Revenue Next 2Y4.9%
Revenue Next 3Y2.38%
Revenue Next 5Y3.56%
EBIT growth 1Y14.33%
EBIT growth 3Y-7.81%
EBIT growth 5Y12.87%
EBIT Next Year64.85%
EBIT Next 3Y11.41%
EBIT Next 5Y8.39%
FCF growth 1Y-34.92%
FCF growth 3Y-9.42%
FCF growth 5Y9.75%
OCF growth 1Y-22.7%
OCF growth 3Y-7.54%
OCF growth 5Y8.58%

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC / CF FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 8 / 10 to CF.


Can you provide the valuation status for CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


What is the valuation of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is 11.43 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.78.


Can you provide the financial health for CF stock?

The financial health rating of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is 8 / 10.