CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:CF - US1252691001 - Common Stock
84.76 USD
+3.97 (+4.91%)
Taking everything into account, CF scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CF was compared to 82 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making CF a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. CF may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth CF also has an excellent dividend rating. These ratings would make CF suitable for value and dividend and quality investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year CF was profitable.
CF had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years CF has been profitable.
CF had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
CF has a Return On Assets of 9.71%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CF outperforms 93.90% of its industry peers.
CF has a better Return On Equity (28.44%) than 96.34% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of CF (13.42%) is better than 90.24% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CF is significantly above the industry average of 6.10%.
The 3 year average ROIC (20.79%) for CF is well above the current ROIC(13.42%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.71% | ||
| ROE | 28.44% | ||
| ROIC | 13.42% |
ROA(3y)14.93%
ROA(5y)10.97%
ROE(3y)39.12%
ROE(5y)31.36%
ROIC(3y)20.79%
ROIC(5y)16.71%
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 20.47%, CF belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.56% of the companies in the same industry.
CF's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of CF (31.03%) is better than 96.34% of its industry peers.
CF's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 36.86%, CF is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.39% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CF has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 31.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 20.47% | ||
| GM | 36.86% |
OM growth 3Y-4.8%
OM growth 5Y7.21%
PM growth 3Y13.52%
PM growth 5Y13.82%
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y6.25%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CF is still creating some value.
CF has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
CF has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for CF is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
CF has an Altman-Z score of 2.32. This is not the best score and indicates that CF is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of CF (2.32) is better than 62.20% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CF is 1.74, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CF, only 1.74 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CF (1.74) is better than 91.46% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.61 indicates that CF is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
CF has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.61) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Although CF does not score too well on debt/equity it has very limited outstanding debt, which is well covered by the FCF. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.61 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.74 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.32 |
ROIC/WACC1
WACC13.4%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.27 indicates that CF has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
CF's Current ratio of 2.27 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CF outperforms 65.85% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.99 indicates that CF should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
CF has a better Quick ratio (1.99) than 78.05% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.99 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 36.27% over the past year.
CF shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 24.81% yearly.
Looking at the last year, CF shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 12.59% in the last year.
CF shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.28% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.27%
EPS 3Y13.85%
EPS 5Y24.81%
EPS Q2Q%65.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.17%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%21.09%
3.2 Future
CF is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 4.44% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.82% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y44.85%
EPS Next 2Y7.16%
EPS Next 3Y0.51%
EPS Next 5Y4.44%
Revenue Next Year18.43%
Revenue Next 2Y5.75%
Revenue Next 3Y2.17%
Revenue Next 5Y1.82%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
CF is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.16.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CF indicates a rather cheap valuation: CF is cheaper than 89.02% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.25. CF is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.66, the valuation of CF can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CF is valued cheaper than 81.71% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.98. CF is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.16 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.66 |
4.2 Price Multiples
CF's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CF is cheaper than 95.12% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CF indicates a rather cheap valuation: CF is cheaper than 91.46% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.72 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.26 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of CF may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.23
PEG (5Y)0.41
EPS Next 2Y7.16%
EPS Next 3Y0.51%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CF has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.46%.
CF's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.34.
CF's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.92.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.46% |
5.2 History
The dividend of CF is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 10.99%!
CF has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
CF has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.99%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years19
5.3 Sustainability
CF pays out 24.22% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
CF's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP24.22%
EPS Next 2Y7.16%
EPS Next 3Y0.51%
NYSE:CF (1/13/2026, 10:49:04 AM)
84.76
+3.97 (+4.91%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners105.73%
Inst Owner Change-0.3%
Ins Owners0.74%
Ins Owner Change1.55%
Market Cap13.22B
Revenue(TTM)6.74B
Net Income(TTM)1.38B
Analysts69.66
Price Target95.32 (12.46%)
Short Float %8.21%
Short Ratio5.35
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.46% |
Yearly Dividend2.03
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.99%
DP24.22%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years19
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-4.77%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.26%
Max EPS beat(2)0.72%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)8.06%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.26%
Max EPS beat(4)28.54%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.34%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)4.42%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.15%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.15%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.66%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.52%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.82%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.59%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.97%
PT rev (1m)-0.47%
PT rev (3m)-1.82%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.29%
EPS NQ rev (3m)19.82%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.41%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.49%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.45%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.16 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.66 | ||
| P/S | 1.96 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.72 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.02 | ||
| P/B | 2.73 | ||
| P/tB | 7.04 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.26 |
EPS(TTM)8.34
EY9.84%
EPS(NY)7.27
Fwd EY8.58%
FCF(TTM)10.98
FCFY12.95%
OCF(TTM)16.88
OCFY19.92%
SpS43.19
BVpS31.09
TBVpS12.03
PEG (NY)0.23
PEG (5Y)0.41
Graham Number76.38
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.71% | ||
| ROE | 28.44% | ||
| ROCE | 16.21% | ||
| ROIC | 13.42% | ||
| ROICexc | 15.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 21.41% | ||
| OM | 31.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 20.47% | ||
| GM | 36.86% | ||
| FCFM | 25.42% |
ROA(3y)14.93%
ROA(5y)10.97%
ROE(3y)39.12%
ROE(5y)31.36%
ROIC(3y)20.79%
ROIC(5y)16.71%
ROICexc(3y)25.05%
ROICexc(5y)19.9%
ROICexgc(3y)32.66%
ROICexgc(5y)25.93%
ROCE(3y)25.11%
ROCE(5y)20.18%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-11.21%
ROICexgc growth 5Y14.8%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y13.25%
OM growth 3Y-4.8%
OM growth 5Y7.21%
PM growth 3Y13.52%
PM growth 5Y13.82%
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y6.25%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.61 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.74 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 103.37% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 13.67% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 88.33% | ||
| Profit Quality | 124.15% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.99 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.32 |
F-Score8
WACC13.4%
ROIC/WACC1
Cap/Depr(3y)55.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)51.85%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.13%
Profit Quality(3y)131.22%
Profit Quality(5y)188.35%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.27%
EPS 3Y13.85%
EPS 5Y24.81%
EPS Q2Q%65.67%
EPS Next Y44.85%
EPS Next 2Y7.16%
EPS Next 3Y0.51%
EPS Next 5Y4.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.17%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%21.09%
Revenue Next Year18.43%
Revenue Next 2Y5.75%
Revenue Next 3Y2.17%
Revenue Next 5Y1.82%
EBIT growth 1Y22.44%
EBIT growth 3Y-7.81%
EBIT growth 5Y12.87%
EBIT Next Year69.9%
EBIT Next 3Y9.75%
EBIT Next 5Y8.93%
FCF growth 1Y-29.17%
FCF growth 3Y-9.42%
FCF growth 5Y9.75%
OCF growth 1Y-8%
OCF growth 3Y-7.54%
OCF growth 5Y8.58%
CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC / CF FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CF.
What is the valuation status of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?
CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is 10.16 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.73.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CF stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is expected to grow by 44.85% in the next year.