CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:CF • US1252691001

95.99 USD
+2.2 (+2.35%)
Last: Feb 18, 2026, 12:09 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Analyst Ratings Earnings Estimates Financials Ownership News
Fundamental Rating

7

We assign a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10 to CF. CF was compared to 83 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making CF a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on CF. These ratings would make CF suitable for value investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CF had positive earnings in the past year.
  • CF had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CF has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years CF always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

  • CF's Return On Assets of 9.71% is amongst the best of the industry. CF outperforms 95.18% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 28.44%, CF belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.39% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CF has a better Return On Invested Capital (13.42%) than 91.57% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CF is significantly above the industry average of 6.07%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (13.42%) for CF is well below the 3 year average (20.79%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that CF had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.71%
ROE 28.44%
ROIC 13.42%
ROA(3y)14.93%
ROA(5y)10.97%
ROE(3y)39.12%
ROE(5y)31.36%
ROIC(3y)20.79%
ROIC(5y)16.71%
CF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 20.47%, CF belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 98.80% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CF's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • CF has a better Operating Margin (31.03%) than 96.39% of its industry peers.
  • CF's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • CF has a Gross Margin of 36.86%. This is in the better half of the industry: CF outperforms 74.70% of its industry peers.
  • CF's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 31.03%
PM (TTM) 20.47%
GM 36.86%
OM growth 3Y-4.8%
OM growth 5Y7.21%
PM growth 3Y13.52%
PM growth 5Y13.82%
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y6.25%
CF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30 40 50

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7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CF has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CF has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, CF has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CF has a worse debt to assets ratio.
CF Yearly Shares OutstandingCF Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
CF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • CF has an Altman-Z score of 2.45. This is not the best score and indicates that CF is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.45, CF is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.06% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CF is 1.74, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CF, only 1.74 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • CF's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.74 is amongst the best of the industry. CF outperforms 92.77% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.61 indicates that CF is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • CF has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.61) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for CF, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.61
Debt/FCF 1.74
Altman-Z 2.45
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC13.56%
CF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.27 indicates that CF has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of CF (2.27) is better than 65.06% of its industry peers.
  • CF has a Quick Ratio of 1.99. This is a normal value and indicates that CF is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.99, CF is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.52% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.27
Quick Ratio 1.99
CF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 36.27% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 24.81% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • CF shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 12.59%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.28% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.27%
EPS 3Y13.85%
EPS 5Y24.81%
EPS Q2Q%65.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.17%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%21.09%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CF will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -0.12% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.44% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y46.54%
EPS Next 2Y8.62%
EPS Next 3Y-0.58%
EPS Next 5Y-0.12%
Revenue Next Year18.31%
Revenue Next 2Y5.58%
Revenue Next 3Y2.08%
Revenue Next 5Y1.44%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
CF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 5 10 15

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8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 11.51 indicates a reasonable valuation of CF.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CF is valued cheaper than 91.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CF is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.16, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.85, CF is valued correctly.
  • CF's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CF is cheaper than 83.13% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CF is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 28.10, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.51
Fwd PE 12.85
CF Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCF Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CF is valued cheaper than 96.39% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CF is valued cheaper than 91.57% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.75
EV/EBITDA 4.94
CF Per share dataCF EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of CF may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.25
PEG (5Y)0.46
EPS Next 2Y8.62%
EPS Next 3Y-0.58%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • CF has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.12%.
  • CF's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.15.
  • CF's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.12%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of CF is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 10.99%!
  • CF has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • CF has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.99%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years19
CF Yearly Dividends per shareCF Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • CF pays out 24.22% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP24.22%
EPS Next 2Y8.62%
EPS Next 3Y-0.58%
CF Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCF Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
CF Dividend Payout.CF Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CF Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:CF (2/18/2026, 12:09:44 PM)

95.99

+2.2 (+2.35%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)11-05
Earnings (Next)02-18
Inst Owners105.73%
Inst Owner Change-0.34%
Ins Owners0.74%
Ins Owner Change1.54%
Market Cap14.97B
Revenue(TTM)6.74B
Net Income(TTM)1.38B
Analysts69.66
Price Target94.87 (-1.17%)
Short Float %7.06%
Short Ratio4.85
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.12%
Yearly Dividend2.03
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.99%
DP24.22%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years19
Ex-Date02-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-4.77%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.26%
Max EPS beat(2)0.72%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)8.06%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.26%
Max EPS beat(4)28.54%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.34%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)4.42%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.15%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.15%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.66%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.52%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.82%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.59%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.97%
PT rev (1m)-0.48%
PT rev (3m)-2.05%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.02%
EPS NQ rev (3m)9.57%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.06%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.16%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.17%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.51
Fwd PE 12.85
P/S 2.22
P/FCF 8.75
P/OCF 5.69
P/B 3.09
P/tB 7.98
EV/EBITDA 4.94
EPS(TTM)8.34
EY8.69%
EPS(NY)7.47
Fwd EY7.78%
FCF(TTM)10.98
FCFY11.44%
OCF(TTM)16.88
OCFY17.59%
SpS43.19
BVpS31.09
TBVpS12.03
PEG (NY)0.25
PEG (5Y)0.46
Graham Number76.38
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.71%
ROE 28.44%
ROCE 16.21%
ROIC 13.42%
ROICexc 15.65%
ROICexgc 21.41%
OM 31.03%
PM (TTM) 20.47%
GM 36.86%
FCFM 25.42%
ROA(3y)14.93%
ROA(5y)10.97%
ROE(3y)39.12%
ROE(5y)31.36%
ROIC(3y)20.79%
ROIC(5y)16.71%
ROICexc(3y)25.05%
ROICexc(5y)19.9%
ROICexgc(3y)32.66%
ROICexgc(5y)25.93%
ROCE(3y)25.11%
ROCE(5y)20.18%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-11.21%
ROICexgc growth 5Y14.8%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y13.25%
OM growth 3Y-4.8%
OM growth 5Y7.21%
PM growth 3Y13.52%
PM growth 5Y13.82%
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y6.25%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.61
Debt/FCF 1.74
Debt/EBITDA 1
Cap/Depr 103.37%
Cap/Sales 13.67%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 88.33%
Profit Quality 124.15%
Current Ratio 2.27
Quick Ratio 1.99
Altman-Z 2.45
F-Score8
WACC13.56%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)55.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)51.85%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.13%
Profit Quality(3y)131.22%
Profit Quality(5y)188.35%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.27%
EPS 3Y13.85%
EPS 5Y24.81%
EPS Q2Q%65.67%
EPS Next Y46.54%
EPS Next 2Y8.62%
EPS Next 3Y-0.58%
EPS Next 5Y-0.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.17%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%21.09%
Revenue Next Year18.31%
Revenue Next 2Y5.58%
Revenue Next 3Y2.08%
Revenue Next 5Y1.44%
EBIT growth 1Y22.44%
EBIT growth 3Y-7.81%
EBIT growth 5Y12.87%
EBIT Next Year69.38%
EBIT Next 3Y9.33%
EBIT Next 5Y6.53%
FCF growth 1Y-29.17%
FCF growth 3Y-9.42%
FCF growth 5Y9.75%
OCF growth 1Y-8%
OCF growth 3Y-7.54%
OCF growth 5Y8.58%

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC / CF FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CF.


What is the valuation status of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is 11.51 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.09.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CF stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is expected to grow by 46.54% in the next year.