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COGECO COMMUNICATIONS INC (CCA.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:CCA - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA19239C1068 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

64.87  +1.03 (+1.61%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, CCA scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CCA was compared to 30 industry peers in the Diversified Telecommunication Services industry. While CCA has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. CCA has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. Finally CCA also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

CCA had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year CCA had a positive cash flow from operations.
CCA had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years CCA had a positive operating cash flow.
CCA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCCA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

CCA has a better Return On Assets (3.50%) than 93.33% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of CCA (11.17%) is better than 93.33% of its industry peers.
CCA's Return On Invested Capital of 6.91% is amongst the best of the industry. CCA outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CCA is in line with the industry average of 6.94%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.5%
ROE 11.17%
ROIC 6.91%
ROA(3y)4.02%
ROA(5y)4.6%
ROE(3y)13.3%
ROE(5y)14.62%
ROIC(3y)7.39%
ROIC(5y)7.87%
CCA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCCA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 11.68%, CCA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CCA has declined.
CCA's Operating Margin of 25.55% is amongst the best of the industry. CCA outperforms 96.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CCA has remained more or less at the same level.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 74.75%, CCA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.67% of the companies in the same industry.
CCA's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 25.55%
PM (TTM) 11.68%
GM 74.75%
OM growth 3Y-2.3%
OM growth 5Y-0.81%
PM growth 3Y-11.01%
PM growth 5Y-8.75%
GM growth 3Y0.9%
GM growth 5Y0.84%
CCA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCCA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CCA is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for CCA has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, CCA has less shares outstanding
CCA has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
CCA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCCA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M
CCA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCCA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.05, we must say that CCA is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
CCA has a better Altman-Z score (1.05) than 93.33% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CCA is 16.96, which is on the high side as it means it would take CCA, 16.96 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CCA's Debt to FCF ratio of 16.96 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CCA is outperformed by 76.67% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.48 is on the high side and indicates that CCA has dependencies on debt financing.
With an excellent Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.48, CCA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.48
Debt/FCF 16.96
Altman-Z 1.05
ROIC/WACC1.18
WACC5.87%
CCA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCCA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

CCA has a Current Ratio of 0.37. This is a bad value and indicates that CCA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CCA has a worse Current ratio (0.37) than 90.00% of its industry peers.
CCA has a Quick Ratio of 0.37. This is a bad value and indicates that CCA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CCA has a Quick ratio of 0.37. This is amonst the worse of the industry: CCA underperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.37
Quick Ratio 0.37
CCA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCCA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for CCA have decreased by -3.53% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -1.26% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, CCA shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.07% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.00% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.53%
EPS 3Y-2.36%
EPS 5Y-1.26%
EPS Q2Q%18.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.07%
Revenue growth 3Y5.84%
Revenue growth 5Y5%
Sales Q2Q%-1.2%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 4.12% on average over the next years.
CCA is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -0.49% yearly.
EPS Next Y5.99%
EPS Next 2Y2.27%
EPS Next 3Y4.12%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.43%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.49%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CCA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCCA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B
CCA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCCA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 4 6 8

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

CCA is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.92.
CCA's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. CCA is more expensive than 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 30.43. CCA is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.93, the valuation of CCA can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CCA is valued a bit more expensive than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.78, CCA is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.92
Fwd PE 7.93
CCA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCCA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

66.67% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than CCA, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CCA is valued expensively inside the industry as 80.00% of the companies are valued cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.23
EV/EBITDA 5.41
CCA.CA Per share dataCCA.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 -60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

CCA's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
CCA has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.32
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y2.27%
EPS Next 3Y4.12%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.78%, CCA is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 10.68, CCA is paying slightly less dividend.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.30, CCA pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.78%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of CCA grows each year by 9.83%, which is quite nice.
CCA has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
CCA has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.83%
Div Incr Years20
Div Non Decr Years20
CCA.CA Yearly Dividends per shareCCA.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

CCA pays out 42.13% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of CCA is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP42.13%
EPS Next 2Y2.27%
EPS Next 3Y4.12%
CCA.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCCA.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
CCA.CA Dividend Payout.CCA.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CCA.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

COGECO COMMUNICATIONS INC

TSX:CCA (2/14/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

64.87

+1.03 (+1.61%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupTelecommunication Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Telecommunication Services
Earnings (Last)01-13 2025-01-13/amc
Earnings (Next)04-09 2025-04-09
Inst Owners43.7%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.54%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.98B
Analysts75.71
Price Target79.71 (22.88%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.78%
Yearly Dividend3.35
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.83%
DP42.13%
Div Incr Years20
Div Non Decr Years20
Ex-Date01-27 2025-01-27 (0.922)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)7.73%
Min EPS beat(2)0.04%
Max EPS beat(2)15.42%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.97%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.62%
Max EPS beat(4)15.42%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)4.9%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)4.75%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)3.37%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.58%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.09%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.35%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.06%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.98%
PT rev (1m)-1.39%
PT rev (3m)5.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-11.69%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.71%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.25%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.28%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.47%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.8%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.92
Fwd PE 7.93
P/S 1
P/FCF 10.23
P/OCF 2.58
P/B 0.96
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.41
EPS(TTM)8.19
EY12.63%
EPS(NY)8.18
Fwd EY12.61%
FCF(TTM)6.34
FCFY9.78%
OCF(TTM)25.18
OCFY38.81%
SpS64.57
BVpS67.51
TBVpS-65.03
PEG (NY)1.32
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.5%
ROE 11.17%
ROCE 8.3%
ROIC 6.91%
ROICexc 6.97%
ROICexgc 21.31%
OM 25.55%
PM (TTM) 11.68%
GM 74.75%
FCFM 9.83%
ROA(3y)4.02%
ROA(5y)4.6%
ROE(3y)13.3%
ROE(5y)14.62%
ROIC(3y)7.39%
ROIC(5y)7.87%
ROICexc(3y)7.57%
ROICexc(5y)8.23%
ROICexgc(3y)23.07%
ROICexgc(5y)25.86%
ROCE(3y)8.89%
ROCE(5y)9.46%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-10.26%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-4.9%
ROICexc growth 3Y-8.57%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.4%
OM growth 3Y-2.3%
OM growth 5Y-0.81%
PM growth 3Y-11.01%
PM growth 5Y-8.75%
GM growth 3Y0.9%
GM growth 5Y0.84%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.48
Debt/FCF 16.96
Debt/EBITDA 3.18
Cap/Depr 125.39%
Cap/Sales 29.17%
Interest Coverage 2.87
Cash Conversion 79.88%
Profit Quality 84.12%
Current Ratio 0.37
Quick Ratio 0.37
Altman-Z 1.05
F-Score6
WACC5.87%
ROIC/WACC1.18
Cap/Depr(3y)141.66%
Cap/Depr(5y)125.28%
Cap/Sales(3y)30.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)26.65%
Profit Quality(3y)60.03%
Profit Quality(5y)83.34%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.53%
EPS 3Y-2.36%
EPS 5Y-1.26%
EPS Q2Q%18.41%
EPS Next Y5.99%
EPS Next 2Y2.27%
EPS Next 3Y4.12%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.07%
Revenue growth 3Y5.84%
Revenue growth 5Y5%
Sales Q2Q%-1.2%
Revenue Next Year-0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.43%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.49%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-3.82%
EBIT growth 3Y3.41%
EBIT growth 5Y4.15%
EBIT Next Year71.66%
EBIT Next 3Y20.74%
EBIT Next 5Y11.61%
FCF growth 1Y273.92%
FCF growth 3Y-13.64%
FCF growth 5Y-23.16%
OCF growth 1Y0.84%
OCF growth 3Y4.87%
OCF growth 5Y-6.01%