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PEABODY ENERGY CORP (BTU) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:BTU - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US7045511000 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

12.4102  +0.07 (+0.57%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Overall BTU gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated BTU against 212 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. BTU is in great health and has no worries on liquidiy or solvency at all, but the profibility rating is only average. BTU has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

BTU had positive earnings in the past year.
BTU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years BTU 4 years were profitable.
Of the past 5 years BTU 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
BTU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBTU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

BTU's Return On Assets of 6.23% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BTU outperforms 65.09% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of 10.16%, BTU perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.19% of the companies in the same industry.
BTU has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.86%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: BTU outperforms 40.57% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for BTU is significantly below the industry average of 25.75%.
The 3 year average ROIC (13.63%) for BTU is well above the current ROIC(4.86%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.23%
ROE 10.16%
ROIC 4.86%
ROA(3y)14.03%
ROA(5y)1.86%
ROE(3y)23.91%
ROE(5y)-21.79%
ROIC(3y)13.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
BTU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBTU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 8.75%, BTU is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.94% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of BTU has declined.
The Operating Margin of BTU (7.76%) is worse than 65.57% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BTU has grown nicely.
BTU's Gross Margin of 19.25% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BTU is outperformed by 67.92% of its industry peers.
BTU's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.76%
PM (TTM) 8.75%
GM 19.25%
OM growth 3Y-7.61%
OM growth 5Y4.93%
PM growth 3Y-6.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.83%
GM growth 5Y-3.91%
BTU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBTU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 -40 -60

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), BTU is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, BTU has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, BTU has more shares outstanding
BTU has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
BTU Yearly Shares OutstandingBTU Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M
BTU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBTU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

BTU has an Altman-Z score of 1.82. This is not the best score and indicates that BTU is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.82, BTU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.15% of the companies in the same industry.
BTU has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.70. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.70 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of BTU (1.70) is better than 84.91% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.09 indicates that BTU is not too dependend on debt financing.
BTU has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.09. This is in the better half of the industry: BTU outperforms 78.77% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.09
Debt/FCF 1.7
Altman-Z 1.82
ROIC/WACC0.49
WACC9.9%
BTU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBTU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.15 indicates that BTU has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
BTU has a Current ratio of 2.15. This is in the better half of the industry: BTU outperforms 78.77% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.68 indicates that BTU should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of BTU (1.68) is better than 73.58% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.15
Quick Ratio 1.68
BTU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBTU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for BTU have decreased strongly by -57.83% in the last year.
BTU shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -8.71% yearly.
Looking at the last year, BTU shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -14.35% in the last year.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -1.73% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-57.83%
EPS 3Y-8.71%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-77.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.35%
Revenue growth 3Y8.49%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.73%
Sales Q2Q%-9.06%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 4.75% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.40% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-57.92%
EPS Next 2Y4.89%
EPS Next 3Y4.75%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-7.67%
Revenue Next 2Y2.94%
Revenue Next 3Y1.4%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
BTU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBTU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2B 4B 6B
BTU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBTU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 10 -10 -20 -30

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 5.91 indicates a rather cheap valuation of BTU.
82.08% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than BTU, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of BTU to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.88), we can say BTU is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.04, BTU is valued correctly.
BTU's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.20. BTU is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.91
Fwd PE 14.04
BTU Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBTU Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, BTU is valued cheaper than 97.17% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, BTU is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.72% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.35
EV/EBITDA 1.71
BTU Per share dataBTU EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y4.89%
EPS Next 3Y4.75%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

BTU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.36%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
The stock price of BTU dropped by -32.01% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
BTU's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 7.31.
BTU's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.45.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.36%

5.2 History

BTU has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
The dividend of BTU decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
BTU Yearly Dividends per shareBTU Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2018 2019 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

BTU pays out 10.14% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP10.14%
EPS Next 2Y4.89%
EPS Next 3Y4.75%
BTU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendBTU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B
BTU Dividend Payout.BTU Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.BTU Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

PEABODY ENERGY CORP

NYSE:BTU (5/1/2025, 3:20:10 PM)

12.4102

+0.07 (+0.57%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-06 2025-02-06/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-06 2025-05-06/bmo
Inst Owners93.47%
Inst Owner Change-1.35%
Ins Owners0.53%
Ins Owner Change-0.09%
Market Cap1.51B
Analysts80
Price Target21.17 (70.59%)
Short Float %13.94%
Short Ratio3.11
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.36%
Yearly Dividend0.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP10.14%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date02-19 2025-02-19 (0.075)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-2.42%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.03%
Max EPS beat(2)25.19%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.39%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.03%
Max EPS beat(4)25.56%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-3.02%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-6.78%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.19%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.12%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.45%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.74%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.86%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.78%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.97%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.06%
PT rev (1m)-13.54%
PT rev (3m)-29.42%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-91.8%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-97.38%
EPS NY rev (1m)-36.71%
EPS NY rev (3m)-67.01%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.26%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.67%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.86%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.91
Fwd PE 14.04
P/S 0.36
P/FCF 7.35
P/OCF 2.49
P/B 0.41
P/tB 0.41
EV/EBITDA 1.71
EPS(TTM)2.1
EY16.92%
EPS(NY)0.88
Fwd EY7.12%
FCF(TTM)1.69
FCFY13.6%
OCF(TTM)4.99
OCFY40.2%
SpS34.85
BVpS30.03
TBVpS30.03
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.23%
ROE 10.16%
ROCE 6.41%
ROIC 4.86%
ROICexc 5.63%
ROICexgc 5.63%
OM 7.76%
PM (TTM) 8.75%
GM 19.25%
FCFM 4.84%
ROA(3y)14.03%
ROA(5y)1.86%
ROE(3y)23.91%
ROE(5y)-21.79%
ROIC(3y)13.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)17.74%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)17.74%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)17.99%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-11.04%
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y-11.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.96%
OM growth 3Y-7.61%
OM growth 5Y4.93%
PM growth 3Y-6.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.83%
GM growth 5Y-3.91%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.71
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.09
Debt/FCF 1.7
Debt/EBITDA 0.49
Cap/Depr 117%
Cap/Sales 9.47%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 90.28%
Profit Quality 55.32%
Current Ratio 2.15
Quick Ratio 1.68
Altman-Z 1.82
F-Score5
WACC9.9%
ROIC/WACC0.49
Cap/Depr(3y)98.37%
Cap/Depr(5y)81.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.62%
Profit Quality(3y)73.07%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-57.83%
EPS 3Y-8.71%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-77.44%
EPS Next Y-57.92%
EPS Next 2Y4.89%
EPS Next 3Y4.75%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.35%
Revenue growth 3Y8.49%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.73%
Sales Q2Q%-9.06%
Revenue Next Year-7.67%
Revenue Next 2Y2.94%
Revenue Next 3Y1.4%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-68.93%
EBIT growth 3Y0.23%
EBIT growth 5Y3.11%
EBIT Next Year19.14%
EBIT Next 3Y23.64%
EBIT Next 5Y25.15%
FCF growth 1Y-70.14%
FCF growth 3Y-4.68%
FCF growth 5Y-12.14%
OCF growth 1Y-41.43%
OCF growth 3Y13.03%
OCF growth 5Y-2.19%