PEABODY ENERGY CORP (BTU) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:BTU - US7045511000 - Common Stock
29.02 USD
-0.49 (-1.66%)
28.94 USD
-0.08 (-0.28%)
BTU gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While BTU seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. BTU does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year BTU has reported negative net income.
BTU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years BTU 4 years were profitable.
BTU had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
BTU has a worse Return On Assets (-0.57%) than 68.90% of its industry peers.
BTU has a worse Return On Equity (-0.92%) than 67.94% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 0.14%, BTU is doing worse than 74.16% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for BTU is significantly below the industry average of 21.47%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (0.14%) for BTU is well below the 3 year average (13.63%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that BTU had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.57% | ||
| ROE | -0.92% | ||
| ROIC | 0.14% |
ROA(3y)14.03%
ROA(5y)1.86%
ROE(3y)23.91%
ROE(5y)-21.79%
ROIC(3y)13.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of BTU has declined.
BTU's Operating Margin of 0.23% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BTU is outperformed by 75.60% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BTU has grown nicely.
BTU has a Gross Margin of 13.70%. This is in the lower half of the industry: BTU underperforms 68.42% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BTU has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 0.23% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 13.7% |
OM growth 3Y-7.61%
OM growth 5Y4.93%
PM growth 3Y-6.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.83%
GM growth 5Y-3.91%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
BTU has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
BTU has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for BTU has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
BTU has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
BTU has an Altman-Z score of 2.17. This is not the best score and indicates that BTU is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
BTU's Altman-Z score of 2.17 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BTU outperforms 68.90% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.09 indicates that BTU is not too dependend on debt financing.
BTU has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.09) than 77.03% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.09 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.17 |
ROIC/WACC0.02
WACC8.37%
2.3 Liquidity
BTU has a Current Ratio of 1.99. This is a normal value and indicates that BTU is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.99, BTU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.99% of the companies in the same industry.
BTU has a Quick Ratio of 1.49. This is a normal value and indicates that BTU is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
BTU has a better Quick ratio (1.49) than 71.77% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.49 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for BTU have decreased strongly by -101.92% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -8.71% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, BTU shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -8.88% in the last year.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -1.73% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-101.92%
EPS 3Y-8.71%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-178.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.88%
Revenue growth 3Y8.49%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.73%
Sales Q2Q%-6.98%
3.2 Future
BTU is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 7.29% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, BTU will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.88% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-119.24%
EPS Next 2Y10.4%
EPS Next 3Y7.29%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-10.3%
Revenue Next 2Y2.58%
Revenue Next 3Y1.88%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BTU. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.34 indicates a reasonable valuation of BTU.
BTU's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. BTU is cheaper than 68.90% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 36.10, BTU is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.34 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as BTU.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.51 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y10.4%
EPS Next 3Y7.29%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
BTU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.02%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.91, BTU is paying slightly less dividend.
With a Dividend Yield of 1.02, BTU pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.32.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.02% |
5.2 History
BTU has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
BTU has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
BTU has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-111.93%
EPS Next 2Y10.4%
EPS Next 3Y7.29%
29.02
-0.49 (-1.66%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners106.84%
Inst Owner Change4.42%
Ins Owners0.67%
Ins Owner Change0.07%
Market Cap3.53B
Revenue(TTM)3.96B
Net Income(TTM)-32.70M
Analysts80
Price Target35.67 (22.92%)
Short Float %14.1%
Short Ratio3.58
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.02% |
Yearly Dividend0.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-111.93%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-1073.47%
Min EPS beat(2)-2015.91%
Max EPS beat(2)-131.02%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-412.34%
Min EPS beat(4)-2015.91%
Max EPS beat(4)527.6%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-201.49%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-130.3%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-91.33%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.85%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.41%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.71%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.87%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.41%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.71%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.85%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.19%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.2%
PT rev (1m)65.07%
PT rev (3m)84.38%
EPS NQ rev (1m)100.76%
EPS NQ rev (3m)105.71%
EPS NY rev (1m)-129%
EPS NY rev (3m)-506.06%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)5.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.97%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.63%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.27%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.34 | ||
| P/S | 0.89 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 9.17 | ||
| P/B | 1 | ||
| P/tB | 1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.51 |
EPS(TTM)-0.06
EYN/A
EPS(NY)2.56
Fwd EY8.82%
FCF(TTM)-0.26
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.17
OCFY10.91%
SpS32.58
BVpS29.11
TBVpS29.11
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.57% | ||
| ROE | -0.92% | ||
| ROCE | 0.19% | ||
| ROIC | 0.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.16% | ||
| OM | 0.23% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 13.7% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)14.03%
ROA(5y)1.86%
ROE(3y)23.91%
ROE(5y)-21.79%
ROIC(3y)13.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)17.74%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)17.74%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)17.99%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-11.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y-11.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.96%
OM growth 3Y-7.61%
OM growth 5Y4.93%
PM growth 3Y-6.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.83%
GM growth 5Y-3.91%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.69
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.09 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.82 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 109.26% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.51% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 98.59% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.17 |
F-Score3
WACC8.37%
ROIC/WACC0.02
Cap/Depr(3y)98.37%
Cap/Depr(5y)81.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.62%
Profit Quality(3y)73.07%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-101.92%
EPS 3Y-8.71%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-178.38%
EPS Next Y-119.24%
EPS Next 2Y10.4%
EPS Next 3Y7.29%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.88%
Revenue growth 3Y8.49%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.73%
Sales Q2Q%-6.98%
Revenue Next Year-10.3%
Revenue Next 2Y2.58%
Revenue Next 3Y1.88%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-98.28%
EBIT growth 3Y0.23%
EBIT growth 5Y3.11%
EBIT Next Year-11.2%
EBIT Next 3Y17.4%
EBIT Next 5Y10.14%
FCF growth 1Y-102.82%
FCF growth 3Y-4.68%
FCF growth 5Y-12.14%
OCF growth 1Y-72.94%
OCF growth 3Y13.03%
OCF growth 5Y-2.19%
PEABODY ENERGY CORP / BTU FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for PEABODY ENERGY CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to BTU.
What is the valuation status for BTU stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to PEABODY ENERGY CORP (BTU). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of BTU stock?
PEABODY ENERGY CORP (BTU) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for PEABODY ENERGY CORP?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PEABODY ENERGY CORP (BTU) is expected to decline by -119.24% in the next year.