PEABODY ENERGY CORP (BTU) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:BTU - US7045511000 - Common Stock
17.4 USD
+0.56 (+3.33%)
17.39 USD
-0.01 (-0.06%)
Overall BTU gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated BTU against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. BTU has a great financial health rating, but its profitability evaluates not so good. BTU has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year BTU was profitable.
BTU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
BTU had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Of the past 5 years BTU 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
BTU has a Return On Assets (2.41%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
BTU's Return On Equity of 3.83% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. BTU outperforms 41.90% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 2.31%, BTU is not doing good in the industry: 69.05% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for BTU is significantly below the industry average of 23.42%.
The 3 year average ROIC (13.63%) for BTU is well above the current ROIC(2.31%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.41% | ||
| ROE | 3.83% | ||
| ROIC | 2.31% |
ROA(3y)14.03%
ROA(5y)1.86%
ROE(3y)23.91%
ROE(5y)-21.79%
ROIC(3y)13.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 3.43%, BTU perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.90% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of BTU has declined.
BTU has a worse Operating Margin (3.80%) than 69.05% of its industry peers.
BTU's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
BTU has a Gross Margin of 16.44%. This is in the lower half of the industry: BTU underperforms 67.14% of its industry peers.
BTU's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.8% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.43% | ||
| GM | 16.44% |
OM growth 3Y-7.61%
OM growth 5Y4.93%
PM growth 3Y-6.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.83%
GM growth 5Y-3.91%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), BTU is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for BTU has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
BTU has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
BTU has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
BTU has an Altman-Z score of 1.92. This is not the best score and indicates that BTU is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
BTU has a better Altman-Z score (1.92) than 65.71% of its industry peers.
BTU has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.54. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.54 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of BTU (1.54) is better than 86.67% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.09 indicates that BTU is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.09, BTU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.09 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.54 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.92 |
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC8.99%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.21 indicates that BTU has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.21, BTU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.14% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.64 indicates that BTU should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
BTU's Quick ratio of 1.64 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BTU outperforms 72.86% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.21 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.64 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
BTU shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -60.75%.
Measured over the past years, BTU shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -8.71% on average per year.
The Revenue has decreased by -6.94% in the past year.
BTU shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -1.73% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-60.75%
EPS 3Y-8.71%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-109.09%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.94%
Revenue growth 3Y8.49%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.73%
Sales Q2Q%-14.58%
3.2 Future
BTU is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 1.18% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.08% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-103.17%
EPS Next 2Y-8.52%
EPS Next 3Y1.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-11.42%
Revenue Next 2Y2.36%
Revenue Next 3Y2.08%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.81, which indicates a correct valuation of BTU.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as BTU.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.08. BTU is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 9.90, which indicates a very decent valuation of BTU.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, BTU is valued a bit cheaper than 72.38% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.72, BTU is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.81 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.9 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, BTU is valued cheaply inside the industry as 84.76% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of BTU indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: BTU is cheaper than 77.62% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.45 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.61 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-8.52%
EPS Next 3Y1.18%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
BTU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.78%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
BTU's Dividend Yield is slightly below the industry average, which is at 6.11.
Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.35, BTU is paying slightly less dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.78% |
5.2 History
BTU has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
BTU has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
26.53% of the earnings are spent on dividend by BTU. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP26.53%
EPS Next 2Y-8.52%
EPS Next 3Y1.18%
17.4
+0.56 (+3.33%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners95.09%
Inst Owner Change1.38%
Ins Owners0.65%
Ins Owner Change0.46%
Market Cap2.12B
Analysts80
Price Target19.35 (11.21%)
Short Float %14.39%
Short Ratio3.49
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.78% |
Yearly Dividend0.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP26.53%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)198.29%
Min EPS beat(2)-131.02%
Max EPS beat(2)527.6%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)97.94%
Min EPS beat(4)-131.02%
Max EPS beat(4)527.6%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)48.3%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)39.72%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)13.84%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.37%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.41%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.32%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.77%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.41%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.12%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.27%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.53%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.86%
PT rev (1m)7.87%
PT rev (3m)-8.59%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-168.49%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-113.98%
EPS NY rev (1m)-110.76%
EPS NY rev (3m)-112.77%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.09%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.46%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.56%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.88%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.81 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.9 | ||
| P/S | 0.52 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.45 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.4 | ||
| P/B | 0.58 | ||
| P/tB | 0.58 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.61 |
EPS(TTM)1.26
EY7.24%
EPS(NY)1.76
Fwd EY10.1%
FCF(TTM)1.84
FCFY10.58%
OCF(TTM)5.12
OCFY29.44%
SpS33.21
BVpS29.81
TBVpS29.81
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.41% | ||
| ROE | 3.83% | ||
| ROCE | 3.05% | ||
| ROIC | 2.31% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.62% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.62% | ||
| OM | 3.8% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.43% | ||
| GM | 16.44% | ||
| FCFM | 5.54% |
ROA(3y)14.03%
ROA(5y)1.86%
ROE(3y)23.91%
ROE(5y)-21.79%
ROIC(3y)13.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)17.74%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)17.74%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)17.99%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-11.04%
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y-11.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.96%
OM growth 3Y-7.61%
OM growth 5Y4.93%
PM growth 3Y-6.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.83%
GM growth 5Y-3.91%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.7
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.09 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.54 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.63 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 109.05% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 9.88% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 119.95% | ||
| Profit Quality | 161.43% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.21 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.64 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.92 |
F-Score4
WACC8.99%
ROIC/WACC0.26
Cap/Depr(3y)98.37%
Cap/Depr(5y)81.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.62%
Profit Quality(3y)73.07%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-60.75%
EPS 3Y-8.71%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-109.09%
EPS Next Y-103.17%
EPS Next 2Y-8.52%
EPS Next 3Y1.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.94%
Revenue growth 3Y8.49%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.73%
Sales Q2Q%-14.58%
Revenue Next Year-11.42%
Revenue Next 2Y2.36%
Revenue Next 3Y2.08%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-73.29%
EBIT growth 3Y0.23%
EBIT growth 5Y3.11%
EBIT Next Year-5.53%
EBIT Next 3Y22.98%
EBIT Next 5Y10.14%
FCF growth 1Y-86.21%
FCF growth 3Y-4.68%
FCF growth 5Y-12.14%
OCF growth 1Y-67.29%
OCF growth 3Y13.03%
OCF growth 5Y-2.19%